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2020 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

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2020 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout54.8% Increase 5.8 pp[1]
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Electoral vote 7 0
Popular vote 1,020,280 503,890
Percentage 65.37% 32.29%


President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Oklahoma was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[2] Oklahoma voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Oklahoma has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]

Trump easily carried Oklahoma on Election Day by a margin of 33.08%, down from 36.39 points in 2016. Oklahoma was one of two states where Trump won every county (though Oklahoma County was won by a plurality of votes, compared to the absolute majorities achieved across the state), the other being West Virginia. This also signaled the fifth consecutive election in which the Republican candidate carried every county in the state, including those counties encompassed by Native American reservations. In this election, Trump also became the first presidential candidate ever to win more than a million votes in Oklahoma.[4] Biden, however, came within 3,326 votes of winning Oklahoma's most populous county Oklahoma County, and won more than 40% of the vote in Oklahoma's second-most populous county Tulsa. No Democratic presidential candidate has won Oklahoma County since Lyndon B. Johnson in his 1964 landslide, or Tulsa County since Franklin D. Roosevelt in his 1936 landslide. This is the first election since 2000 in which not every county voted in the majority for the Republican, as Oklahoma County was won by Republicans with a 49.21% plurality. However, these gains in urban Oklahoma were partly offset by continued falloff in southeast Oklahoma, where Biden even underperformed Hillary Clinton's performance four years earlier in most counties.

Primary elections

[edit]

The primary elections were held on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020.

Republican primary

[edit]

Donald Trump and Bill Weld were among the declared Republican candidates.

Trump won the state in a landslide victory against his five opponents.

2020 Oklahoma Republican presidential primary[5][6]
Candidate Popular vote Delegates[7]
Count Percentage
Donald Trump (incumbent) 273,738 92.60% 43
Joe Walsh (withdrawn) 10,996 3.72% 0
Matthew Matern 3,810 1.29% 0
Bob Ely 3,294 1.11% 0
Rocky De La Fuente 2,466 0.83% 0
Zoltan Istvan 1,297 0.44% 0
Total 295,601 100% 43

Democratic primary

[edit]

Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, and former Vice President Joe Biden were the major declared Democratic candidates.[8]

Popular vote share by county
  Biden—<30%
  Biden—30–40%
  Biden—40–50%
2020 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary[9]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[10]
Joe Biden 117,633 38.66 21
Bernie Sanders 77,425 25.45 13
Michael Bloomberg 42,270 13.89 2
Elizabeth Warren 40,732 13.39 1
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)[a] 6,733 2.21
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)[a] 5,115 1.68
Tulsi Gabbard 5,109 1.68
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)[a] 2,006 0.66
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 1,997 0.66
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 1,530 0.50
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 1,273 0.42
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 1,158 0.38
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 680 0.22
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 620 0.20
Total 304,281 100% 37

Libertarian nominee

[edit]
  • Jo Jorgensen, Psychology Senior Lecturer at Clemson University

Independent candidates

[edit]

Three unaffiliated candidates filed to be on the Oklahoma presidential ballot, all by paying a $35,000 fee. Green Party candidate Howie Hawkins filed a lawsuit challenging the amount of the filing fee.[11]

Ballot order

[edit]

Oklahoma determines ballot order by lot, with unaffiliated candidates listed below candidates of recognized parties. The drawing was held on July 16, with the resulting order for political parties being Republican, Libertarian, Democrat.[15] The unaffiliated candidates for president will be listed in this order: Jade Simmons, Kanye West, Brock Pierce.[16]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[17] Safe R September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[18] Safe R September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] Safe R July 14, 2020
Politico[20] Safe R September 8, 2020
RCP[21] Safe R August 3, 2020
Niskanen[22] Safe R July 26, 2020
CNN[23] Safe R August 3, 2020
The Economist[24] Safe R September 2, 2020
CBS News[25] Likely R August 16, 2020
270towin[26] Safe R August 2, 2020
ABC News[27] Safe R July 31, 2020
NPR[28] Likely R August 3, 2020
NBC News[29] Safe R August 6, 2020
538[30] Safe R September 9, 2020

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]
Graph of opinion polls conducted. Trend lines represent local regressions.

Aggregate polls

[edit]
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[b]
Margin
270 to Win[31] October 17–21, 2020 November 3, 2020 38.5% 58.5% 3.0% Trump +20.0
FiveThirtyEight[32] until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 36.2% 59.2% 4.6% Trump +23.0
Average 37.4% 58.9% 3.7% Trump +21.5

Polls

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 1,902 (LV) ± 3% 65%[d] 35%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] Oct 1–28, 2020 3,191 (LV) 59% 40%
SoonerPoll/News 9/News on 6[34] Oct 15–20, 2020 5,466 (LV) ± 1.33% 59% 37% 1% 2%[e] 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] Sep 1–30, 2020 1,174 (LV) 63% 35% 2%
Amber Integrated[35] Sep 17–20, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 55% 33% 1% 5%[f] 6%
SoonerPoll/News9[36][1] Sep 2–8, 2020 486 (LV) ± 4.45% 60% 35% 1%[e] 4%
SoonerPoll[37] Aug 13–31, 2020 379 (LV) ± 5.03% 60% 35% 2%[g] 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] Aug 1–31, 2020 1,009 (LV) 64% 35% 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] Jul 1–31, 2020 1,410 (LV) 64% 34% 4%
DFM Research/Abby Broyles for US Senate[38][A] Jul 29–30, 2020 572 (LV) ± 4.1% 56% 36% 5%[h] 3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] Jun 8–30, 2020 591 (LV) 61% 37% 1%
Amber Integrated[39] Jun 3–4, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 55% 36% 4%[i] 5%
Amber Integrated[40] Mar 5–8, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 57% 33% 4% 5%
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass
& Associates
/OK Sooner[41]
Feb 10–13, 2020 500 (RV) ± 4.3% 62% 34% 4%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Other Undecided
Amber Integrated[40] Mar 5–8, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4 % 59% 30% 5% 5%
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass
& Associates
/OK Sooner[41]
Feb 10–13, 2020 500 (RV) ± 4.3% 63% 34% 3%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Other Undecided
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass
& Associates
/OK Sooner[41]
Feb 10–13, 2020 500 (RV) ± 4.3% 61% 35% 3%

Donald Trump vs. Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Democrat (D)
Independent Undecided
Amber Integrated[42] Dec. 4-6, 2019 500 (RV) 4.38% 54% 27% 8% 10%

Results

[edit]
2020 United States presidential election in Oklahoma[43]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
1,020,280 65.37 +0.05%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
503,890 32.29 +3.36%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
24,731 1.58 −4.17%
Independent Kanye West
Michelle Tidball
5,597 0.36 N/A
Independent Jade Simmons
Claudeliah Roze
3,654 0.23 N/A
Independent Brock Pierce
Karla Ballard
2,547 0.16 N/A
Total votes 1,560,699 100.0

By county

[edit]
County Donald Trump
Republican
Joe Biden
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Adair 5,585 78.57% 1,387 19.51% 136 1.92% 4,198 59.06% 7,108
Alfalfa 1,978 87.44% 232 10.26% 52 2.30% 1,746 77.18% 2,262
Atoka 4,557 84.56% 765 14.20% 67 1.24% 3,792 70.36% 5,389
Beaver 1,968 90.36% 190 8.72% 20 0.92% 1,778 81.64% 2,178
Beckham 6,767 85.14% 1,048 13.19% 133 1.67% 5,719 71.95% 7,948
Blaine 3,136 80.39% 688 17.64% 77 1.97% 2,448 62.75% 3,901
Bryan 12,344 77.27% 3,323 20.80% 309 1.93% 9,021 56.47% 15,976
Caddo 7,013 71.13% 2,670 27.08% 176 1.79% 4,343 44.05% 9,859
Canadian 43,550 70.31% 16,742 27.03% 1,648 2.66% 26,808 43.28% 61,940
Carter 14,699 75.46% 4,470 22.95% 310 1.59% 10,229 52.51% 19,479
Cherokee 11,223 63.36% 6,027 34.02% 464 2.62% 5,196 29.34% 17,714
Choctaw 4,698 80.56% 1,082 18.55% 52 0.89% 3,616 62.01% 5,832
Cimarron 970 92.03% 70 6.64% 14 1.43% 900 85.39% 1,054
Cleveland 66,677 55.67% 49,827 41.60% 3,274 2.73% 16,850 14.07% 119,778
Coal 2,091 82.84% 374 14.82% 59 2.34% 1,717 68.02% 2,524
Comanche 20,905 58.67% 13,747 38.58% 979 2.75% 7,158 20.09% 35,631
Cotton 2,117 82.31% 393 15.28% 62 2.41% 1,724 67.03% 2,572
Craig 4,686 77.69% 1,217 20.18% 129 2.13% 3,469 57.51% 6,032
Creek 23,294 76.36% 6,577 21.56% 634 2.08% 16,717 54.80% 30,505
Custer 8,060 75.39% 2,369 22.16% 262 2.45% 5,691 53.23% 10,691
Delaware 13,557 78.61% 3,472 20.13% 216 1.26% 10,085 58.48% 17,245
Dewey 2,124 90.04% 214 9.07% 21 0.89% 1,910 80.97% 2,359
Ellis 1,688 90.12% 162 8.65% 23 1.23% 1,526 81.47% 1,873
Garfield 16,970 75.66% 4,919 21.93% 541 2.41% 12,051 53.73% 22,430
Garvin 8,878 81.29% 1,865 17.08% 179 1.63% 7,013 64.21% 10,922
Grady 18,538 80.25% 4,144 17.94% 419 1.81% 14,394 62.31% 23,101
Grant 1,916 86.07% 280 12.58% 30 1.35% 1,636 73.49% 2,226
Greer 1,605 81.35% 328 16.62% 40 2.03% 1,277 64.73% 1,973
Harmon 747 80.06% 177 18.97% 9 0.97% 570 61.09% 933
Harper 1,327 89.24% 136 9.15% 24 1.61% 1,191 80.09% 1,487
Haskell 4,165 83.07% 783 15.62% 66 1.51% 3,382 67.45% 5,014
Hughes 3,875 79.78% 919 18.92% 63 1.30% 2,956 60.86% 4,857
Jackson 6,392 77.75% 1,646 20.02% 183 2.23% 4,746 57.73% 8,221
Jefferson 2,026 84.95% 319 13.38% 40 1.67% 1,707 71.57% 2,385
Johnston 3,441 80.95% 738 17.36% 72 1.69% 2,703 63.59% 4,251
Kay 12,834 74.40% 4,040 23.42% 375 2.18% 8,794 50.98% 17,249
Kingfisher 5,521 85.40% 854 13.21% 90 1.39% 4,667 72.19% 6,465
Kiowa 2,673 78.00% 699 20.40% 55 1.60% 1,974 57.60% 3,427
Latimer 3,437 80.89% 762 17.93% 50 1.18% 2,675 62.96% 4,249
LeFlore 15,213 80.90% 3,299 17.54% 293 1.56% 11,914 63.36% 18,805
Lincoln 12,013 80.69% 2,609 17.52% 266 1.79% 9,404 63.17% 14,888
Logan 15,608 72.35% 5,455 25.29% 511 2.36% 10,153 47.06% 21,574
Love 3,305 81.08% 711 17.44% 60 1.48% 2,594 63.64% 4,076
McClain 15,295 79.51% 3,582 18.62% 359 1.87% 11,713 60.89% 19,236
McCurtain 9,485 82.72% 1,858 16.20% 124 1.08% 7,627 66.52% 11,467
McIntosh 6,172 74.05% 2,031 24.37% 132 1.58% 4,141 49.68% 8,335
Major 3,084 88.95% 320 9.23% 63 1.82% 2,764 79.72% 3,467
Marshall 4,891 80.66% 1,100 18.14% 73 1.20% 3,791 62.52% 6,064
Mayes 12,749 76.68% 3,581 21.54% 296 1.78% 9,168 55.14% 16,626
Murray 4,612 78.25% 1,156 19.61% 126 2.14% 3,456 58.64% 5,894
Muskogee 16,526 65.89% 8,027 32.00% 528 2.11% 8,499 33.89% 25,081
Noble 3,821 77.38% 1,003 20.31% 114 2.31% 2,818 57.07% 4,938
Nowata 3,610 82.21% 712 16.21% 69 1.58% 2,898 66.00% 4,391
Okfuskee 3,058 75.73% 896 22.19% 84 2.08% 2,062 53.54% 4,038
Oklahoma 145,050 49.21% 141,724 48.08% 7,966 2.71% 3,326 1.13% 294,740
Okmulgee 9,668 67.55% 4,357 30.44% 288 2.01% 5,311 37.11% 14,313
Osage 14,121 68.76% 6,002 29.22% 415 2.02% 8,119 39.54% 20,538
Ottawa 8,545 74.71% 2,686 23.48% 207 1.81% 5,859 51.23% 11,438
Pawnee 5,267 77.62% 1,363 20.09% 156 2.29% 3,904 57.53% 6,786
Payne 17,813 60.09% 10,904 36.78% 926 3.13% 6,909 23.31% 29,643
Pittsburg 13,851 77.28% 3,768 21.02% 305 1.70% 10,083 56.26% 17,924
Pontotoc 10,805 70.53% 4,117 26.87% 398 2.60% 6,688 43.66% 15,320
Pottawatomie 20,240 71.81% 7,275 25.81% 670 2.38% 12,965 46.00% 28,185
Pushmataha 4,016 84.74% 668 14.10% 55 1.16% 3,348 70.64% 4,739
Roger Mills 1,629 88.82% 168 9.16% 37 2.02% 1,461 79.66% 1,834
Rogers 34,031 76.38% 9,589 21.52% 933 2.10% 24,442 54.86% 44,553
Seminole 6,011 72.10% 2,150 25.79% 176 2.11% 3,861 46.31% 8,337
Sequoyah 12,113 78.73% 3,035 19.73% 238 1.54% 9,078 59.00% 15,386
Stephens 15,560 81.65% 3,154 16.55% 343 1.80% 12,404 65.10% 19,057
Texas 4,505 81.60% 894 16.19% 122 2.21% 3,611 65.41% 5,521
Tillman 2,076 76.66% 597 22.05% 35 1.29% 1,479 54.61% 2,708
Tulsa 150,574 56.46% 108,996 40.87% 7,108 2.67% 41,578 15.59% 266,678
Wagoner 26,165 74.04% 8,464 23.95% 709 2.01% 17,701 50.09% 35,338
Washington 17,076 72.66% 5,790 24.64% 635 2.70% 11,286 48.02% 23,501
Washita 4,086 85.53% 598 12.52% 93 1.95% 3,488 73.01% 4,777
Woods 2,993 81.38% 591 16.07% 94 2.55% 2,402 65.31% 3,678
Woodward 6,611 84.92% 1,005 12.91% 169 2.17% 5,606 72.01% 7,785
Totals 1,020,280 65.37% 503,890 32.29% 36,529 2.34% 516,390 33.08% 1,560,699

By congressional district

[edit]

Trump won all 5 congressional districts.

District Trump Biden Representative
1st 60.11% 37.31% Kevin Hern
2nd 76.10% 22.15% Markwayne Mullin
3rd 74.58% 23.15% Frank Lucas
4th 65.23% 32.22% Tom Cole
5th 51.56% 45.95% Kendra Horn (116th Congress)
Stephanie Bice (117th Congress)

Electors

[edit]
  • Republican Party electors

Ronda Vuillemont-Smith, Lonnie Lu Anderson, Chris Martin, Steve Fair, Linda Huggard, A. J. Ferate, Carolyn McLarty[44]

  • Libertarian Party electors

Erin Adams, Danny Chabino, Drew Cook, Kevin Hobbie, Rex Lawhorn, Jay Norton, Victoria Whitfield[45]

  • Democratic Party electors

Judy Eason McIntyre, Eric Proctor, Jeff Berrong, Christine Byrd, Demetrios Bereolos, Pamela Iron, Shevonda Steward[46]

  • Electors for Jade Simmons

Shanda Carter, Terrence Stephens, Hope Stephens, Elizabeth Stephens, Dakota Hooks, Phalanda Boyd, Quincy Boyd[12]

  • Electors for Kanye West

April Anderson, Craig Alan Weygandt, Will Flanagan, Tom Krup, Megan Krup, Gretchen Schrupp, David Schrupp[14]

  • Electors for Brock Pierce

Robert Murphy, Susan Darlene Murphy, Richard Prawdzienski, Jessy Artman, David Selinger, Shane Wayne Howell, Angela McCaslin[13]

Analysis

[edit]

Oklahoma, a majority-White, mainly-rural state sandwiched between the South and the Midwest, has long been a Republican stronghold at the presidential level, although Democrats did well in state-level elections until the 2000s. 4 of 5 congressional seats are considered non-competitive for Democrats, and it hasn't voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since Lyndon B. Johnson carried it in 1964, against the backdrop of his nationwide landslide victory. Oklahoma was last competitive at the presidential level in 1996.

Despite Trump's win in the state, Biden came less than 1 percentage point of flipping the rapidly-urbanizing Oklahoma County, which hosts the state capital, while he also reduced Trump's margin of victory in Tulsa County. Meanwhile, Trump carried the state's only Hispanic-majority county of Texas, located in the Oklahoma panhandle. He also held onto the only two plurality-Native American counties in the state: Adair and Cherokee, both encompassed by the Cherokee Reservation, and the latter hosting the tribal capital in Tahlequah. Trump also exhibited considerable strength in the historically Democratic region known as "Little Dixie," carrying Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district by 54%. The counties encompassed by the Cherokee, Choctaw, Chickasaw, Muscogee, Seminole, Osage, and Pawnee reservations were all captured by Trump by large margins.

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Oklahoma came from whites, with 71% support; he narrowly won 50% of the state's non-white vote (most notably from the state's large Native American population). Oklahoma, often termed the "Buckle of the Bible Belt", is a very religious state, with Trump capturing the Protestant vote by 78%.[47]

Exit polls

[edit]
2020 presidential election in Oklahoma by demographic subgroup (New York Times)[48]
Demographic subgroup Biden Trump % of

total vote

Total vote 32.29 65.37 100
Ideology
Liberals 73 27 21
Moderates 46 52 30
Conservatives 7 91 49
Party
Democrats 90 9 29
Republicans 7 92 68
Gender
Men 26 72 46
Women 37 62 53
Race/ethnicity
White 28 71 78
Non-white 49 50 22
Age
18–29 years old 55 43 10
30–44 years old 36 62 20
45–64 years old 29 70 37
65 and older 28 71 33
Sexual orientation
LGBT 10
Not LGBT 25 75 90
Education
High school or less 29 70 29
Some college, or associate degree 36 62 36
College graduate 20 69 22
Postgraduate degree 13
Area type
Urban 43 55 17
Suburban 39 59 37
Small town 25 73 20
Rural 21 78 25

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c Candidate withdrew during absentee voting, shortly before the election.
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^ a b c d Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  5. ^ a b West (B) with 1%; Pierce (I) and Simmons (I) with less than 1%
  6. ^ Pierce (I), Simmons (I), West (B) and "refused" with 1%
  7. ^ Would not vote with 2%
  8. ^ "Other candidate" with 5%
  9. ^ "Neither" with 3%; "refused" with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Broyles' campaign

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "2020 November General Election Turnout Rates". United States Elections Project. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
  2. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. ^ Casteel, Chris (November 15, 2020). "Trump's Oklahoma County squeaker, Horn's Grady County connection and 3 other things about the election". The Oklahoman. Retrieved December 9, 2020.
  5. ^ "Candidate Information". Oklahoma State Election Board.
  6. ^ "Presidential Preferential Primary and Special Elections – March 3, 2020". OK Election Results. Oklahoma State Election Board. Retrieved March 25, 2020.
  7. ^ "Oklahoma Election Results 2020". PBS NewsHour. Retrieved March 26, 2020.
  8. ^ Taylor, Kate (February 9, 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  9. ^ "Presidential Preferential Primary and Special Elections – March 3, 2020". OK Election Results. Oklahoma State Election Board. Retrieved March 25, 2020.
  10. ^ "How Many Delegates Do The 2020 Democratic Presidential Candidates Have?". NPR.org. National Public Radio. Retrieved March 3, 2020.
  11. ^ "Howie Hawkins Files Federal Lawsuit Against Amount of Oklahoma Presidential Filing Fee | Ballot Access News". July 16, 2020. Retrieved May 7, 2021.
  12. ^ a b "2020 Oklahoma Statement of Candidacy - Jade Simmons" (PDF). Oklahoma State Election Board. July 15, 2020. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 18, 2020.
  13. ^ a b "2020 Oklahoma Statement of Candidacy - Brock Pierce" (PDF). Oklahoma State Election Board. July 15, 2020. Archived from the original (PDF) on September 13, 2020.
  14. ^ a b "2020 Oklahoma Statement of Candidacy - Kanye West" (PDF). Oklahoma State Election Board. July 15, 2020. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 17, 2020.
  15. ^ "Oklahoma State Election Board".
  16. ^ "General Election Ballot Order Set | The McCarville Report". Retrieved May 7, 2021.
  17. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  18. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  19. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  20. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  21. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  22. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
  23. ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  24. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  25. ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  26. ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  27. ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  28. ^ Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
  29. ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  30. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  31. ^ 270 to Win
  32. ^ FiveThirtyEight
  33. ^ a b c d e f SurveyMonkey/Axios
  34. ^ SoonerPoll/News 9/News on 6
  35. ^ Amber Integrated
  36. ^ SoonerPoll/News9
  37. ^ SoonerPoll
  38. ^ DFM Research/Abby Broyles for US Senate
  39. ^ Amber Integrated
  40. ^ a b Amber Integrated
  41. ^ a b c Cole Hargrave Snodgrass
    & Associates/OK Sooner
  42. ^ Amber Integrated
  43. ^ "OK election results". Retrieved November 27, 2020.
  44. ^ "Oklahoma Republican Electors" (PDF). Oklahoma Republican Party. July 14, 2020. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 19, 2020.
  45. ^ "Libertarian Certification Letter" (PDF). Oklahoma Libertarian Party. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 18, 2020.
  46. ^ "Democratic Certification Letter" (PDF). Oklahoma Democrats. July 14, 2020. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 18, 2020.
  47. ^ "Oklahoma Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 16, 2020.
  48. ^ "Oklahoma Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. Retrieved December 28, 2020.
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