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Following the results of unofficial quick counts, Prabowo claimed victory on the evening of 14 February at an event with his supporters at [[Istora Senayan]] in Jakarta, calling it the “the victory of all Indonesians.”<ref>{{cite news |date=14 February 2024 |title=Prabowo Delivers Victory Speech: Grateful for the Safe Election |url=https://en.tempo.co/read/1833618/prabowo-delivers-victory-speech-grateful-for-the-safe-election |access-date=15 February 2024 |work=Tempo |language=en}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last=Karmini |first=Niniek |last2=Tarigan |first2=Edna |date=14 February 2024 |title=Indonesian defense chief linked to past rights abuses claims victory in presidential election |url=https://apnews.com/article/indonesia-presidential-election-voting-dd732adb2d0f3b674fc92aee4f547c6a |access-date=14 February 2024 |work=Associated Press |language=en}}</ref> Ganjar Pranowo’s campaign team said that they were investigating reports of electoral violations and alleged “structural, systematic and massive fraud” during the voting.<ref>{{cite news |date=14 February 2024 |title=Prabowo Subianto claims victory in Indonesian presidential election |url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/2/14/prabowo-subianto-claims-victory-in-indonesian-presidential-election |access-date=15 February 2024 |work=Al Jazeera |language=en}}</ref> Following the allegations, police said that it would allow peaceful protests.<ref>{{cite news |last=Sukma |first=Anshary Madya|date=14 February 2024 |title=National Police Chief Allows Crowds to Take to Streets to Protest 2024 Election Results as Long as They Are Orderly
Following the results of unofficial quick counts, Prabowo claimed victory on the evening of 14 February at an event with his supporters at [[Istora Senayan]] in Jakarta, calling it the “the victory of all Indonesians.”<ref>{{cite news |date=14 February 2024 |title=Prabowo Delivers Victory Speech: Grateful for the Safe Election |url=https://en.tempo.co/read/1833618/prabowo-delivers-victory-speech-grateful-for-the-safe-election |access-date=15 February 2024 |work=Tempo |language=en}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last=Karmini |first=Niniek |last2=Tarigan |first2=Edna |date=14 February 2024 |title=Indonesian defense chief linked to past rights abuses claims victory in presidential election |url=https://apnews.com/article/indonesia-presidential-election-voting-dd732adb2d0f3b674fc92aee4f547c6a |access-date=14 February 2024 |work=Associated Press |language=en}}</ref> Ganjar Pranowo’s campaign team said that they were investigating reports of electoral violations and alleged “structural, systematic and massive fraud” during the voting.<ref>{{cite news |date=14 February 2024 |title=Prabowo Subianto claims victory in Indonesian presidential election |url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/2/14/prabowo-subianto-claims-victory-in-indonesian-presidential-election |access-date=15 February 2024 |work=Al Jazeera |language=en}}</ref> Following the allegations, police said that it would allow peaceful protests.<ref>{{cite news |last=Sukma |first=Anshary Madya|date=14 February 2024 |title=National Police Chief Allows Crowds to Take to Streets to Protest 2024 Election Results as Long as They Are Orderly
|url=https://kabar24.bisnis.com/read/20240214/16/1740844/kapolri-izinkan-massa-turun-ke-jalan-protes-hasil-pemilu-2024-asalkan-tertib|access-date=14 February 2024 |work=kabar24.bisnis.com|language=id}}</ref>
|url=https://kabar24.bisnis.com/read/20240214/16/1740844/kapolri-izinkan-massa-turun-ke-jalan-protes-hasil-pemilu-2024-asalkan-tertib|access-date=14 February 2024 |work=kabar24.bisnis.com|language=id}}</ref>

== Reactions ==
=== Domestic ===

=== International ===
*{{flag|United States}} – The [[Spokesperson for the United States Department of State|State Department]] spokesman [[Matthew Miller]] initials calling for the Indonesian general election, "We congratulate the Indonesian people for their robust turnout in today’s election. This vote was a testament to the durability and strength of the Indonesian people’s commitment to the democratic process and electoral institutions. We look forward to the General Election Commission’s announcement of the official election results. This year, as we celebrate 75 years of U.S.-Indonesian diplomatic relations, we look forward to working with Indonesia’s next President-elect and government, as well as the legislative houses, on the shared priorities that benefit the people of both our countries, including addressing climate change, ensuring a prosperous and secure Indo-Pacific, and safeguarding international stability. The United States and Indonesia are close partners, guided by the principles set forth in our Comprehensive Strategic Partnership. Together with Indonesia’s new administration, we will work to deliver a better future for our citizens and tackle the most pressing challenges of the 21st century."<ref>{{cite news|date=Election in Indonesia
PRESS STATEMENT|language=en|work=US Department of State|url=https://www.state.gov/election-in-indonesia/|access-date=14 February 2024}}</ref>


== Notes ==
== Notes ==

Revision as of 05:15, 15 February 2024

2024 Indonesian general election
← 2019 14 February 2024 (2024-02-14) 2029 →
Registered204,807,222 (Increase 6.9%)
Votes counted
41.01%
as of 09.00 UTC+7
Opinion polls
 
Candidate Prabowo Subianto Anies Baswedan Ganjar Pranowo
Party Gerindra Independent PDI-P
Alliance Advanced Indonesia[a] Change for Unity[b] Alliance of Parties[c]
Running mate Gibran Rakabuming Muhaimin Iskandar Mahfud MD
Incumbent President

Joko Widodo
PDI-P



Legislative election
All 580 seats in the House of Representatives
291 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Current seats
PDI-P Megawati Sukarnoputri 128
Golkar Airlangga Hartarto 85
Gerindra Prabowo Subianto 78
NasDem Surya Paloh 59
PKB Muhaimin Iskandar 58
Demokrat Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono 54
PKS Ahmad Syaikhu 50
PAN Zulkifli Hasan 44
PPP Muhamad Mardiono 19
Incumbent Speaker
Puan Maharani
PDI-P
This article is part of a series on the
Politics of
Indonesia
National government
Pancasila (national philosophy)
Executive
Legislature
Judiciary
Elections
  • Chairman Hasyim Asy'ari
Political parties
Foreign relations

General elections were held in Indonesia on 14 February 2024 to elect the President, Vice President, People's Consultative Assembly (MPR) which consists of the House of Representatives (DPR), the Senate (DPD), and members of local legislative bodies at the provincial and city/regency level.[1][2] The newly elected members of the MPR will be sworn in on 1 October 2024, while the elected President and Vice President will be sworn in on 20 October 2024.[3] Incumbent President Joko Widodo is ineligible to run for a third term due to limitations established by the Indonesian constitution.[4] The election has over 200 million eligible voters, voting in over 800,000 polling stations across the country on the same date.

Electoral system

The previous election was regulated by Law No. 7 of 2017. The General Elections Commission (KPU), a legally independent government body was responsible for organizing the election. In addition, the vote is monitored by the General Election Supervisory Agency (Bawaslu), which also has the authority to rule on violations of election rules (e.g. administrative errors, vote-buying, etc.). Any ethical violations committed by either Bawaslu or the KPU were to be handled by the Elections Organiser Honours Council [id] (DKPP), which consists of one member from each body and five others recommended by the government. The same system and regulations are expected to be applied in 2024.

Voters will be given at least four ballot papers: one for the presidential candidates and their running mate, one for the Regional Representative Council (DPD), one for the House of Representatives, one for the Province People's Representative Councils (DPRD Provinsi). Outside Jakarta, voters will receive an additional ballot paper for the Regency or City People's Representative Councils (DPRD Kabupaten/Kota). Voters use a nail to poke a hole in the ballot paper indicating which party or candidate they wish to vote for, and then dip their fingers in ink as a precaution against voter fraud.

Presidential

In order to run as a presidential candidate, a candidate must be formally endorsed by a political party or a coalition thereof which compose either 20 percent of seats in the DPR or 25 percent of popular votes in the prior election, i.e. in the 2019 election.[5] Political parties are allowed to remain neutral if they are unable to propose their own candidate. However, if a neutral party(s) is able to endorse their own candidate, they are required to do so, or face being barred from participating in the next election.

The voting procedure followed a two-round system, with voters simply choosing one of the candidate pairs. A candidate will be required to win a majority and at least 20% of the votes in over half of Indonesia's provinces to be declared the winner. If no candidate pairs had fulfilled the criterion (50%+1 of total popular votes), the election will be repeated or progressed to a second round with only the two candidates receiving the most popular votes.

According to the Indonesian Electoral Law No. 7 of 2017, presidential candidates must:

  • Be at least 30 years old (the requirement has not changed);
  • Be resident in Indonesia for at least 5 years;
  • Not have foreign citizenship, either at the time of the election or at any time before.

Legislative

Members of both the House of Representatives or People's Representative Council (DPR) and the Regional People's Representative Councils (DPRD) are elected from multi-member electoral districts through voting with an open list system, and seat distribution is done with the Sainte-Laguë method. There is a gender quota requiring at least 30% of registered candidates to be female.

A 4% parliamentary threshold is set for parties to be represented in the DPR, though candidates could still win seats in the regional councils provided they won sufficient votes. There are 580 DPR seats contested. Nationally, there are 84 DPR electoral districts, with 301 provincial and 2,375 municipal electoral districts. Senatorial candidates for the DPD are not allowed to be members of any political party. Four senators are elected for each province – a total of 152 members from all 38 provinces.[6]

This will be the first elections for provincial deputies and senators of both Houses for Central Papua, Southwest Papua, South Papua, and Highland Papua - all new provinces formed in 2022. On 12 December 2022, Government Regulation in Lieu of Law No. 1/2022 signed and published to amend the 2017 electoral law to make the new electoral regions to those provinces and facilitate the election there.[7]

Nusantara, the designated new national capital, is expected to not to be developed as new separate electoral region in the 2024 general election. Proposed plans by the government is currently not focused on the establishment of new electoral region and districts in Nusantara due to its under-construction state and currently as there are few people currently living in Nusantara, less than the standard number of people to be established as a new electoral district. Due to this, a new temporary mechanism is currently devised by the government for DPR to serve as the temporary representation body until 2029, when Nusantara can be deemed capable to be established as new electoral region. For 2024 election, electors living within Nusantara are considered a part of the East Kalimantan electoral region and thus the regional representatives to the DPR that covers the area, as well as the provincial senators at large, will be elected.[8][9][10]

Voters

Ballot papers for the election.

The voting age is 17, or less if the voter has an Indonesian identity e-card or e-KTP in account of marriage.[11] Members of the Indonesian National Armed Forces (TNI) and the Indonesian Police (Polri) are not allowed to vote.[12]

On 18 April 2023, the KPU announced that there were provisionally 205,853,818 registered voters, including 1,574,737 voters registered overseas. It was planned that the vote will be held in 823,287 polling stations (TPS).[13] This was updated to a "final" figure of 204,807,222 voters in July 2023, who were to vote in 823,220 polling stations.[14]

The Postal ballots were sent to overseas voters in early January 2024.[15] Although overseas voters cast their votes before voters in Indonesia, the KPU explicitly banned any exit polls or publication of results from overseas voting before the election process had been completed across Indonesia.[16] Voting occurred between 7 AM and 1 PM local time, although voters who had arrived before 1 PM may still cast their votes after the deadline.[17]

Contesting parties

See also: List of political parties in Indonesia

To participate in the election, political parties must have branches in every province in Indonesia, 75% of regencies or cities in those provinces, and 50% of districts in regencies where the party have branches.[18] In April 2022, the Ministry of Law and Human Rights declared the names of 75 national political parties eligible to register for the 2024 elections.[19][20] In the end, a total of 24 political parties registered with the KPU to run in the election nationally.[21] On 14 December 2022, the KPU announced that 17 parties would be eligible to contest the legislative election.

The Ummah Party, who the KPU deemed not qualified to participate in the elections, accused the KPU of irregularities in the process. The party subsequently filed a written complaint.[22] Following mediations brokered by Bawaslu between the party and the KPU on 20 and 21 December, Bawaslu instructed the electoral commission to repeat the verification process for Ummah Party.[23] The party declared as qualified to participate in the election on 30 December.[24][25]

Meanwhile, the Just and Prosperous People's Party (PRIMA), which registration was initially rejected, filed a lawsuit against KPU, and won the right for a second verification from the KPU.[26] However, on 19 April 2023, the KPU deemed PRIMA not qualified to participate in 2024 elections after the party failed in its factual verification phase, where the KPU found the party's membership numbers below the required threshold.[27]

# English name
Indonesian name 		Leader Position 2019 result
Votes (%) Seats
1
 PKB National Awakening Party
Partai Kebangkitan Bangsa 		Muhaimin Iskandar Centre 9.69%
58 / 575
2
 Gerindra Great Indonesia Movement Party
Partai Gerakan Indonesia Raya 		Prabowo Subianto Right-wing 12.57%
78 / 575
3
 PDI-P Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle
Partai Demokrasi Indonesia Perjuangan 		Megawati Sukarnoputri Centre-left to left-wing 19.33%
128 / 575
4
 Golkar Party of Functional Groups
Partai Golongan Karya 		Airlangga Hartarto Centre-right to right-wing 12.31%
85 / 575
5
 NasDem Nasdem Party
Partai NasDem 		Surya Paloh Centre to centre-left 9.05%
59 / 575
6
 PB Labour Party
Partai Buruh 		Said Iqbal Centre-left to left-wing New
7
 Gelora Indonesian People's Wave Party
Partai Gelombang Rakyat Indonesia 		Anis Matta Centre to centre-right New
8
 PKS Prosperous Justice Party
Partai Keadilan Sejahtera 		Ahmad Syaikhu Right-wing to far-right 8.21%
50 / 575
9
 PKN Nusantara Awakening Party
Partai Kebangkitan Nusantara 		Anas Urbaningrum Centre New
10
 Hanura People's Conscience Party
Partai Hati Nurani Rakyat 		Oesman Sapta Odang Centre 1.54%
0 / 575
11
 Garuda Change Indonesia Guardian Party
Partai Garda Perubahan Indonesia 		Ahmad Ridha Sabana Centre 0.50%
0 / 575
12
 PAN National Mandate Party
Partai Amanat Nasional 		Zulkifli Hasan Centre to centre-right 6.84%
44 / 575
13
 PBB Crescent Star Party
Partai Bulan Bintang 		Yusril Ihza Mahendra Right-wing 0.79%
0 / 575
14
 Demokrat Democratic Party
Partai Demokrat 		Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono Centre to centre-right 7.77%
54 / 575
15
 PSI Indonesian Solidarity Party
Partai Solidaritas Indonesia 		Kaesang Pangarep Centre-left 1.89%
0 / 575
16
 Perindo Indonesian Unity Party
Partai Persatuan Indonesia 		Hary Tanoesoedibjo Centre-right 2.67%
0 / 575
17
 PPP United Development Party
Partai Persatuan Pembangunan 		Muhamad Mardiono Centre-right to right-wing 4.52%
19 / 575
Ballot number 18-23 allocated to local parties in Aceh[28]
18
 PNA Nanggroe Aceh Party
Partai Nanggroe Aceh 		Irwandi Yusuf Big tent DNP
19
 Gabthat Atjeh Beusaboh Tha'at and Taqwa Generation Party
Partai Generasi Atjeh Beusaboh Tha'at dan Taqwa 		Ahmad Tajuddin Big tent
20
 PDA Aceh Abode Party
Partai Darul Aceh 		Muhibbussabri A. Wahab Big tent
21
 PA Aceh Party
Partai Aceh 		Muzakir Manaf Big tent
22
 PAS Aceh Aceh Just and Prosperous Party
Partai Adil Sejahtera Aceh 		Tu Bulqaini Tanjongan Big tent
23
 SIRA Independent Solidity of the Acehnese Party
Partai Soliditas Independen Rakyat Aceh 		Muslim Syamsuddin Big tent
24
 Ummat Ummah Party
Partai Ummat 		Ridho Rahmadi Right-wing to far-right New

Presidential election

Main article: 2024 Indonesian presidential election

Candidates

In July 2017, the People's Representative Council (DPR) passed a law that only parties or coalitions with at least 20% of seats in the legislature (i.e. 115 seats), or 25% of votes in the previous election are eligible to submit a presidential candidate. Requirements for presidential/vice-presidential candidates are, Indonesian-born citizens, Indonesian citizens who were born abroad, a minimum age of 40 and a requirement to "have a belief in the One and Only God". If the candidates had spouses, they also had to be Indonesian citizens. A criminal record resulting in over five years of incarceration or an active bankruptcy bars a candidate from running.[29]

An October 2023 ruling by the Constitutional Court of Indonesia added an exception to the 40-year minimum age criteria, allowing those younger than 40 who had been previously elected as regional leaders to run as presidential or vice-presidential candidates. This allowed 36-year-old Gibran Rakabuming, son of incumbent president Jokowi and mayor of Surakarta, to run for the vice-presidency. The ruling was controversial as the court chief justice, Anwar Usman, is Gibran's uncle.[30][31][32] Anwar Usman was ultimately demoted by the Majelis Kehormatan Mahkamah Konstitusi or the Honorary Council of the Constitutional Court from the position of Chief Justice on 8 November after finding him guilty of conflict of interest on the ruling.[33] Furthermore, the KPU was found to have committed ethics violations surrounding Gibran’s vice presidential registration for allowing him to register his candidacy before the commission had adjusted the age minimum for candidates in its internal regulation.[34]

The Anies Baswedan–Muhaimin Iskandar and Ganjar Pranowo–Mahfud MD pairs officially registered with the General Elections Commission on 19 October 2023.[35] The Prabowo Subianto–Gibran Rakabuming pair officially registered on 25 October 2023.[36]

Nominees

Withdrawn support

The National Awakening Party had previously declared support for Prabowo Subianto but later rescinded their support and declared support for Anies Baswedan with the National Awakening Party's Chairman, Muhaimin Iskandar, being selected as Anies Baswedan's running mate.[37][38]

Demokrat had previously declared support for Anies Baswedan, but due to the selection of Muhaimin Iskandar as Anies Baswedan's running mate, Demokrat Party's Chairman Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono rescinded their support and then declared support for Prabowo Subianto.[39][40]

The Indonesian Solidarity Party had previously declared their support for Ganjar Pranowo but rescinded support and on 24 October 2023, officially declared support for Prabowo Subianto[41][42]

Endorsements

Main article: Endorsements in the 2024 Indonesian presidential election

Debates

Five concurrent televised presidential and vice presidential debates were held between 12 December 2023 and 4 February 2024. During the debate on 21 January, Gibran Rakabuming was seen making a “ducking” gesture and pretending to search for a lost item in response to an answer from Mahfud MD, which drew mostly negative reactions online for its supposed rudeness.[43][44]

Social media usage and disinformation

Prabowo Subianto's campaign was noted for its efforts at rehabilitating his image from his association with human rights violations during the dictatorship of former President Suharto into a "cuddly" grandfather figure among the youth, going as far as to make an animated avatar of him on TikTok using artificial intelligence. Anies Baswedan's and Ganjar Pranowo's campaign also used interactive AI chatbots to engage with voters.[45][46]

During the campaign, Anies Baswedan was targeted by a deepfake audio recording purportedly showing him being chastised by a political backer in January. Prabowo Subianto's campaign team used AI to depict children in a television commercial in order to bypass laws prohibiting the appearance of minors in electoral advertisements.[45]

Golkar, one of the parties supporting Prabowo for president, uploaded a viral AI-generated deepfake video on social media of a simulation of Suharto, who had died in 2008, in which he appeared to urge voters to select the party's candidates in the upcoming election. This led some civil society organizations to urge the KPU to implement regulations on the usage of artificial intelligence.[47]

Allegations of state support

On 12 February 2024, investigative journalist Dandhy Laksono released a documentary on YouTube directed by him, titled Dirty Vote, alleging that Joko Widodo used state funds to support Prabowo Subianto's campaign, becoming viral within the day and prompting accusations of sabotage by Prabowo's campaign team.[48]

Legislative election

Contested seats

Legislative elections in Indonesia: February 2024[49]
Level Institution Seats contested Change from 2019 elections Candidates running
National
Nasional 		People's Representative Council
Dewan Perwakilan Rakyat (DPR) 		580 Increase5 9,917[50]
Regional Representative Council
Dewan Perwakilan Daerah (DPD) 		152 Increase16[d] 668[50]
Provincial
Provinsi 		Provincial People's Regional Representative Council
Dewan Perwakilan Rakyat Daerah Provinsi (DPRD I) 		2,372 Increase165 32,880[52]
Regency/Municipal
Kabupaten/Kota 		Regency/Municipal People's Regional Representative Council
Dewan Perwakilian Rakyat Daerah Kabupaten/Kota (DPRD II) 		17,510 Increase170 214,915[53]
Total 20,614 Increase356 258,380

Candidates

All legislative candidates has to be Indonesian citizens, over 21 years old, senior high school (or equivalent) graduates, and have never been convicted for a crime resulting in a sentence of five years or more. In addition, the candidates for the DPR or local legislatures has to be endorsed by a political party and are required to resign from their non-legislative government offices – except for the president and vice president – or their state-owned company positions. Legislators running for reelection or another body through a new political party are also required to resign.[54] For each electoral district, political parties are required to have at least 30 percent of running candidates, rounded to the closest whole number, be women. This was changed from the regulations in effect in the 2019 election, where the 30 percent figure would be rounded up, and thus less women candidates overall would be required.[55]

Candidate registration was opened between 1–14 May 2023, with a total of 10,341 candidates registering to run for the DPR. This included 17 of the 18 national parties registering a maximum of 580 candidates allowed each, with only the Gelora Party registering less with 481 candidates.[56] Approximately 1,100 individuals registered as candidates for the Regional Representative Council, with only 622 passing requirements.[57] A total of 9,917 candidates were recognized by the KPU.[58]

Opinion polls

President

Main article: Opinion polling for the 2024 Indonesian presidential election

  Quick count   Real count

Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error
Prabowo
Gerindra 		Anies
Independent 		Ganjar
PDI-P
14 February 2024 Election results 58.59% 24.95% 16.47%
Litbang Kompas[59] 14 February 2024 58.45% 25.25% 16.30%
Charta Politika[60] 14 February 2024 57.99% 25.36% 16.64%
SMRC[61] 14 February 2024 1,994 58.36% 24.86% 16.78%
Lembaga Survei Indonesia[62] 14 February 2024 1% 57.46% 25.30% 17.23%
Indikator[63] 14 February 2024 3,000 0.52% 58.17% 25.38% 16.46%
LSI Denny JA[64] 14 February 2024 58.47% 24.98% 16.55%
Poltracking[65] 14 February 2024 3,000 1% 58.51% 25.13% 16.36%
Populi Center[59] 14 February 2024 0.16% 59.08% 25.06% 15.86%
CSIS - Cyrus Network[66] 14 February 2024 2,000 1% 58.22% 24.94% 16.84%
Politika Research & Consulting[67] 14 February 2024 59.22% 24.07% 16.71%
SPIN[68] 5 - 8 February 2024 1,200 2.8% 54.8% 24.3% 16.1%
LSI Denny JA[69] 26 January - 6 February 2024 1,200 2.9% 53.5% 21.7% 19.2%
Lembaga Survei Indonesia[70] 29 January - 5 February 2024 1,220 2.9% 51.9% 23.3% 20.3%
4 February 2024 Fifth presidential debate
Indikator[71] 28 January - 4 February 2024 1,200 2.9% 51.8% 24.1% 19.6%
Populi Center[72] 27 January - 3 February 2024 1,500 2.53% 52.5% 22.1% 16.9%
Poltracking[73] 25 January - 2 February 2024 1,220 2.9% 50.9% 25.1% 18.4%
Lembaga Point Indonesia[74] 26 - 28 January 2024 1,500 2.53% 52.9% 22.7% 19.1%
Political Weather Station[75] 21 - 25 January 2024 1,220 2.81% 52.3% 21.3% 19.7%
LSI Denny JA[76] 16 - 26 January 2024 1,200 2.9% 50.7% 22% 19.7%
21 January 2024 Fourth presidential debate
Polling Institute[75] 15 - 16 January 2024 1,219 2.9% 48.7% 23% 20.9%
Indonesia Survey Center[77] 11 - 19 January 2024 1,670 2.4% 52% 21.7% 18.1%
Indikator[78] 10 - 16 January 2024 1,200 2.9% 48.6% 24.2% 21.6%
SPIN[79] 8 - 14 January 2024 2,178 2.1% 50.9% 18.7% 23.5%
Lembaga Survei Indonesia[78] 10 - 11 January 2024 1,206 2.9% 47.0% 23.2% 21.7%
Indonesia Polling Stations[80] 7 - 13 January 2024 1,220 2.8% 51.8% 21.3% 19.2%
Charta Politika[78] 4 - 11 January 2024 1,220 2.82% 42.2% 26.7% 28.0%
LSI Denny JA[81] 3 - 11 January 2024 1,200 2.9% 46.6% 22.8% 24.8%
7 January 2024 Third presidential debate
Indonesia Political Opinion[79] 1 - 7 January 2024 1,200 2.5% 42.3% 34.5% 21.5%
Poltracking[78] 1 - 7 January 2024 1,220 2.9% 46.7% 26.9% 20.6%
Indikator[81] 30 December 2023 - 6 January 2024 1,200 2% 45,8% 25,5% 23%
Ipsos Public Affairs[79] 27 December 2023 - 5 January 2024 2,000 2.19% 48.1% 21.8% 18.4%
Lembaga Survei Nasional[79] 28 December 2023 - 2 January 2024 1,420 2.6% 49.5% 24.3% 20.5%
Median[79] 23 December 2023 - 1 January 2024 1,500 2.53% 43.1% 26.8% 20.1%
Polling Institute[79] 26 - 28 December 2023 1,246 2.9% 46.2% 24.6% 21.3%
PRC[82] 20 - 27 December 2023 1,200 2.7% 42.4% 28.0% 21.8%
ICRC[79] 20 - 26 December 2023 1,230 2.79% 39.4% 25.6% 29.1%
Indikator[83] 23 - 24 December 2023 1,217 2.9% 46.7% 21.0% 24.5%
LSI Denny JA[83] 17 - 23 December 2023 1,200 2.9% 43.3% 25.3% 22.9%
22 December 2023 Second presidential debate
Polling Institute[83] 15 - 19 December 2023 2,130 2.9% 46.1% 22.1% 20.5%
CSIS[84] 13 - 18 December 2023 1,300 2.7% 43.7% 26.1% 19.4%
Puspoll[79] 11 - 18 December 2023 1,220 2.83% 41% 26.1% 27.6%
12 December 2023 First presidential debate
Indikator Publik[85] 3 - 11 December 2023 1,670 2.4% 50.2% 22.7% 23.1%
Poltracking[86] 29 November - 5 December 2023 1,220 2.9% 45.2% 23.1% 27.3%
Populi Center[87] 28 November - 5 December 2023 1,200 2.83% 46.7% 21.7% 21.7%
Litbang Kompas[88] 29 November - 4 December 2023 1,364 2.65% 39.3% 16.7% 15.3%
Indikator[89] 23 November - 1 December 2023 1,200 2.9% 38.2% 19.1% 20.4%
LSI Denny JA[90] 6 - 13 November 2023 1,200 2.90% 40.3% 20.3% 28.6%
Populi Center[91] 29 October - 5 November 2023 1,200 2.83% 43.1% 22.3% 23.0%
Poltracking[92] 28 October - 3 November 2023 1,220 2.9% 40.2% 24.4% 30.1%
Indikator[93] 27 October - 1 November 2023 1,220 2.9% 39.7% 24.4% 30.0%
Charta Politika[94] 26 - 31 October 2023 2,400 2.0% 34.7% 24.3% 36.8%
Indo Barometer[95] 25 - 31 October 2023 1,230 2.79% 43.5% 23.2% 33.3%

House of Representatives

Main article: Opinion polling for the 2024 Indonesian legislative election

This graph shows the polling trends in the run-up to the 2024 Indonesian legislative election. Scenario polls are not included.

The electoral threshold to obtain seats is currently set at 4%.

Finance and logistics

Workers unloading ballot boxes in Jakarta the day before the election.

The Indonesian Government budgeted Rp 25 trillion (~USD 1.7 billion) for the election preparations in 2022–2023, over half of which was used by the General Elections Commission (KPU) and most of the remaining funds used by the General Election Supervisory Agency.[96] The Ministry of Finance budgeted Rp 71.3 trillion for the whole election process, a 57 percent increase from the 2019 election's budget.[97] Around Rp 17 trillion (USD 1.1 billion) of the budget is earmarked for presidential election runoffs, if one is required.[98]

Over 1.2 billion ballot papers were printed, along with 4.16 million ballot boxes.[99] According to KPU chairman Hasyim Asyari, the costs of printing the legislative ballots alone would be over Rp 800 billion.[100] Ballots began to be printed in November 2023,[101] with the distribution of ballots mostly beginning on 10 February 2024. Polling stations are intended to receive their ballots the day before voting, although more isolated regions began distribution earlier.[102] To reach more isolated polling stations, helicopters, boats, and animal-drawn carts were employed.[103]

Over 5.7 million poll workers and volunteers (Kelompok Penyelenggara Pemungut Suara/KPPS) would serve at the polling stations in Indonesia and abroad. Due to concerns over deaths of KPPS staff in the 2019 election, KPU added rules in 2024 limiting their age to between 17 and 55, in addition to providing proof of good health.[104] Seven KPPS members are assigned to each polling station, with one serving as the head.[105] KPPS staff are paid Rp 1.1 million to 1.2 million (~USD 70) for their work, double the payment received by KPPS staff in 2019.[106] Vote counting at each polling station occurs between 14 and 15 February, with vote recapitulation being done between 15 February and 20 March at the village/subdistrict, district, and regency/city levels.[107] Each pair of presidential candidates are also allowed a maximum of two witnesses for each polling station,[108]

As Indonesia's territory stretches across three time zones, voting began at 7:00 am in each time zone and closed at 01:00 pm., beginning at 22:00 GMT (13 February) in Papua and ending at 06:00 GMT (14 February) in Sumatra.[46]

Incidents

On 11 February, a mob in Paniai Regency, Central Papua, burned down a district office along with a number of ballots and ballot boxes over a KPU decision to relocate a polling station in the regency.[109] On 12 February, the KPU ordered the postponement of voting in 108 polling stations in Demak Regency, Central Java, due to flooding from the Wulan River.[110] On election day, voting was delayed by several hours in 34 polling stations in Jakarta due to flooding caused by a thunderstorm.[46] Voting was also postponed in some polling stations in South Tangerang due to flooding.[111][112] Voting was not held in one polling station in Cimahi as the ballot box delivered was found to be empty.[113] In Bogor Regency, Bawaslu confirmed that eight ballot papers had been rigged to select certain candidates before they could be distributed to voters.[114]

On 14 February, three KPPS officers in Banten and in East Java died from fatigue during the counting of ballots.[115][116][117]

Preliminary results

Quick counts

Official results are expected to be released in March, but quick counts from government-approved tabulators came out shortly after polling stations closed.[46] Initial tallies from Indikator Politik, Kompas, and the Indonesian Survey Circle showed Prabowo Subianto receiving between 53.4 and 59.8 percent of votes cast, followed by Anies Baswedan, who received between 23.11 and 26.39 percent, and Ganjar Pranowo, who received between 16.72 and 17.12 percent.[118]

President

41.01% reporting
CandidateRunning matePartyVotes%
Prabowo SubiantoGibran Rakabuming (Independent)Gerindra12,476,92556.11
Anies BaswedanMuhaimin Iskandar (PKB)Independent5,459,42524.55
Ganjar PranowoMahfud MD (Independent)PDI-P4,300,83519.34
Total22,237,185100.00
Source: KPU RI

By province

Votes by province
Total Votes
Anies Baswedan
Independent 		Prabowo Subianto
Gerindra 		Ganjar Pranowo
PDI-P
Votes % Votes % Votes %
Sumatra Aceh 232,838 66,265 10,456
North Sumatra 229,334 442,551 101,586
West Sumatra 216,728 139,532 16,657
Riau 127,283 165,361 39,114
Jambi 59,532 150,101 28,007
South Sumatra 114,863 360,203 67,790
Bengkulu 36,400 131,108 21,086
Lampung 133,277 517,135 113,725
Bangka Belitung Islands 36,188 94,765 27,338
Riau Islands 43,119 70,964 14,945
Java Banten 351,337 545,660 113,784
Jakarta 388,801 417,759 193,059
West Java 1,311,770 2,355,799 455,761
Central Java 655,014 2,648,342 1,726,124
Yogyakarta 73,999 163,531 102,460
East Java 503,022 2,061,285 582,423
Kalimantan West Kalimantan 106,139 185,546 54,687
Central Kalimantan 22,357 76,251 16,319
South Kalimantan 104,612 153,358 22,738
East Kalimantan 65,946 208,537 35,281
North Kalimantan 5,436 14,251 4,397
Lesser Sunda Bali 14,171 186,142 157,320
West Nusa Tenggara 80,317 207,734 34,082
East Nusa Tenggara 14,454 82,997 45,051
Sulawesi North Sulawesi 21,627 199,998 45,397
Gorontalo 14,261 33,487 3,031
Central Sulawesi 20,941 50,767 8,500
Southeast Sulawesi 32,956 91,872 8,710
West Sulawesi 15,843 39,065 5,963
South Sulawesi 262,300 374,499 38,090
Maluku Maluku 6,339 33,680 9,580
North Maluku 13,366 27,407 4,787
Papua Papua 1,195 8,758 2,693
West Papua 855 4,524 1,723
South Papua 1,801 8,458 1,343
Central Papua 1,240 2,362 817
Highland Papua
Southwest Papua 2,831 9,785 3,569
Overseas 136,733 146,086 181,722
Total 5,459,425 24.55 12,476,925 56.11 4,300,835 19.34

Voter turnout for president

Time
14:30
14 February[119]
18.31%

Source: KPU RI

Legislative

PartyVotes%+/–Seats+/–
Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle702,37317.71000
Party of Functional Groups516,79913.03000
Great Indonesia Movement Party475,59911.99000
National Awakening Party411,74110.38000
Prosperous Justice Party336,5028.49000
Nasdem Party308,1077.77000
Democratic Party269,7806.80000
National Mandate Party246,9906.23000
United Development Party157,8613.98000
Indonesian Solidarity Party145,4843.67000
Indonesian Unity Party70,8871.79000
Indonesian People's Wave Party58,1631.47000
Labour Party51,0641.29000
People's Conscience Party50,9621.29000
Ummah Party50,3371.27000
Crescent Star Party40,5051.02000
Change Indonesia Guardian Party36,0870.91000
Nusantara Awakening Party35,8800.90000
Total3,965,121100.00–00
Source: KPU RI

Voter turnout for legislative

Time
14:46
14 February[119]
0.55%

Aftermath

Following the results of unofficial quick counts, Prabowo claimed victory on the evening of 14 February at an event with his supporters at Istora Senayan in Jakarta, calling it the “the victory of all Indonesians.”[120][121] Ganjar Pranowo’s campaign team said that they were investigating reports of electoral violations and alleged “structural, systematic and massive fraud” during the voting.[122] Following the allegations, police said that it would allow peaceful protests.[123]

Reactions

Domestic

International

  •  United States – The State Department spokesman Matthew Miller initials calling for the Indonesian general election, "We congratulate the Indonesian people for their robust turnout in today’s election. This vote was a testament to the durability and strength of the Indonesian people’s commitment to the democratic process and electoral institutions. We look forward to the General Election Commission’s announcement of the official election results. This year, as we celebrate 75 years of U.S.-Indonesian diplomatic relations, we look forward to working with Indonesia’s next President-elect and government, as well as the legislative houses, on the shared priorities that benefit the people of both our countries, including addressing climate change, ensuring a prosperous and secure Indo-Pacific, and safeguarding international stability. The United States and Indonesia are close partners, guided by the principles set forth in our Comprehensive Strategic Partnership. Together with Indonesia’s new administration, we will work to deliver a better future for our citizens and tackle the most pressing challenges of the 21st century."[124]

Notes

  1. ^ Includes Gerindra, the Golkar Party, the Democratic Party, the National Mandate Party, the Indonesian Solidarity Party, the Crescent Star Party, the Garuda Party, the Gelora Party, and the Aceh Party.
  2. ^ Includes Nasdem, the National Awakening Party, the Prosperous Justice Party, the Ummah Party, the Aceh Abode Party, the Independent Solidity of the Acehnese Party, and the Aceh Just and Prosperous Party.
  3. ^ Includes PDI-P, the United Development Party, the Perindo Party, and the People's Conscience Party.
  4. ^ Due to the formation of four new provinces in Western New Guinea: Central Papua, Highland Papua, South Papua, and Southwest Papua.[51]

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