Opinion polling for the 2025 German federal election
Appearance
In the run-up to the 2025 German federal election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Germany. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.
Poll results
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit]2024
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | BSW | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
INSA | 13–16 Sep 2024 | 2,008 | – | 14 | 33 | 10 | 4.5 | 19.5 | 2.5 | – | 10 | 6.5 | 13.5 |
GMS | 11–16 Sep 2024 | 1,006 | – | 14 | 34 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 16 |
Forsa | 10–16 Sep 2024 | 2,501 | – | 15 | 31 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 3 | – | 6 | 13 | 14 |
INSA | 9–13 Sep 2024 | 1,206 | – | 14 | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 3 | – | 10 | 7 | 14 |
Allensbach | 29 Aug – 11 Sep 2024 | 1,017 | – | 16 | 35.5 | 10 | 4 | 17 | – | – | 9 | 8.5 | 18.5 |
YouGov | 6–10 Sep 2024 | 1,752 | – | 14 | 32 | 13 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
INSA | 6–9 Sep 2024 | 2,010 | – | 14 | 32.5 | 10 | 4 | 19.5 | 2.5 | – | 10 | 7.5 | 13 |
Forsa | 3–9 Sep 2024 | 2,500 | – | 14 | 33 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 3 | – | 7 | 12 | 16 |
Ipsos | 6–7 Sep 2024 | 1,000 | – | 13 | 32 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 14 |
INSA | 2–6 Sep 2024 | 1,202 | – | 15 | 31 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 3 | – | 10 | 8 | 12 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 3–5 Sep 2024 | 1,328 | 14 | 15 | 33 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 4 | – | 7 | 9 | 16 |
Infratest dimap | 3–4 Sep 2024 | 1,309 | – | 15 | 33 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 3 | – | 8 | 9 | 16 |
Verian | 28 Aug – 3 Sep 2024 | 1,427 | – | 15 | 31 | 12 | 4 | 17 | 3 | – | 8 | 10 | 14 |
INSA | 30 Aug – 2 Sep 2024 | 2,002 | – | 15 | 31.5 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 19 | 2.5 | – | 9.5 | 7.5 | 12.5 |
Forsa | 27 Aug – 2 Sep 2024 | 2,508 | – | 14 | 32 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 3 | – | 7 | 11 | 15 |
INSA | 26–30 Aug 2024 | 1,202 | – | 16 | 31 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 3 | – | 9 | 7 | 12 |
INSA | 23–26 Aug 2024 | 2,004 | – | 15 | 31.5 | 11.5 | 5.5 | 18.5 | 3 | – | 9 | 6 | 13 |
Forsa | 20–26 Aug 2024 | 2,501 | – | 15 | 31 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 3 | – | 7 | 11 | 14 |
INSA | 19–23 Aug 2024 | 1,202 | – | 16 | 31 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 3 | – | 9 | 7 | 13 |
INSA | 16–19 Aug 2024 | 2,006 | – | 15.5 | 30.5 | 10.5 | 5 | 19 | 3 | – | 9.5 | 7 | 11.5 |
Forsa | 13–19 Aug 2024 | 2,503 | – | 15 | 31 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 3 | – | 7 | 11 | 14 |
INSA | 12–16 Aug 2024 | 1,203 | – | 16 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 3 | – | 9 | 7 | 11 |
Allensbach | 3–15 Aug 2024 | 1,051 | – | 16 | 34 | 11.5 | 5 | 16 | 3 | – | 7 | 7.5 | 18 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12–14 Aug 2024 | 1,334 | 14 | 14 | 32 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 3 | – | 8 | 10 | 16 |
YouGov | 9–13 Aug 2024 | 1,998 | – | 15 | 31 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 12 |
INSA | 9–12 Aug 2024 | 2,008 | – | 15 | 30.5 | 10.5 | 5 | 18 | 3 | – | 9.5 | 8.5 | 12.5 |
Forsa | 6–12 Aug 2024 | 2,502 | 22 | 15 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 3 | – | 7 | 12 | 13 |
GMS | 6–12 Aug 2024 | 1,006 | – | 14 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
INSA | 5–9 Aug 2024 | 1,203 | – | 16 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 3 | – | 9 | 8 | 13 |
Infratest dimap | 5–7 Aug 2024 | 1,311 | – | 15 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 16 | – | – | 9 | 11 | 16 |
Verian | 31 Jul – 6 Aug 2024 | 1,449 | – | 16 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 3 | – | 7 | 9 | 15 |
INSA | 2–5 Aug 2024 | 2,002 | – | 15 | 30.5 | 10.5 | 5 | 17 | 3 | – | 9.5 | 9.5 | 13.5 |
Forsa | 30 Jul – 5 Aug 2024 | 2,500 | 20 | 15 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 |
Ipsos | 2–4 Aug 2024 | 1,000 | – | 14 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 14 |
INSA | 29 Jul – 2 Aug 2024 | 1,199 | – | 15 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 3 | – | 9 | 9 | 13 |
INSA | 26–29 Jul 2024 | 2,006 | – | 15 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 3.5 | – | 9.5 | 9 | 12 |
Forsa | 23–29 Jul 2024 | 2,501 | 21 | 15 | 30 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 3 | – | 7 | 13 | 13 |
INSA | 22–26 Jul 2024 | 1,203 | – | 15 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 3 | – | 10 | 8 | 12 |
INSA | 19–22 Jul 2024 | 2,010 | – | 15 | 31 | 10.5 | 5 | 17 | 3.5 | – | 9 | 9 | 14 |
Forsa | 16–22 Jul 2024 | 2,504 | 18 | 14 | 31 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 4 | – | 7 | 11 | 14 |
INSA | 15–19 Jul 2024 | 1,207 | – | 15 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 3 | – | 9 | 10 | 13 |
Allensbach | 5–19 Jul 2024 | 1,003 | – | 16.5 | 32 | 11.5 | 6 | 17 | – | – | 8 | 9 | 15 |
INSA | 12–15 Jul 2024 | 2,500 | – | 15 | 31 | 11.5 | 5 | 18 | 3 | – | 8.5 | 8 | 13 |
Forsa | 9–15 Jul 2024 | 2,503 | 18 | 14 | 32 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 3 | – | 7 | 12 | 16 |
INSA | 8–12 Jul 2024 | 1,449 | – | 15 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 2 | – | 9 | 9 | 12 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Jul 2024 | 1,341 | 15 | 14 | 32 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 3 | – | 7 | 10 | 15 |
Verian | 3–9 Jul 2024 | 1,486 | – | 15 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 3 | – | 7 | 10 | 15 |
INSA | 5–8 Jul 2024 | 2,007 | – | 15 | 30.5 | 11 | 5.5 | 17.5 | 3 | 1.5 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 13 |
Forsa | 2–8 Jul 2024 | 2,504 | 19 | 14 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 17 | – | – | 8 | 15 | 13 |
Ipsos | 5–7 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | – | 14 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 14 |
INSA | 1–5 Jul 2024 | 1,204 | – | 15 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 2 | – | 9 | 10 | 12 |
Infratest dimap | 1–3 Jul 2024 | 1,294 | – | 14 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 3 | – | 8 | 9 | 14 |
YouGov | 28 Jun – 3 Jul 2024 | 1,711 | – | 14 | 30 | 12 | 6 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
INSA | 28 Jun – 1 Jul 2024 | 2,006 | – | 15 | 29.5 | 12 | 5.5 | 17.5 | 2.5 | 2 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 12 |
Forsa | 25 Jun – 1 Jul 2024 | 2,506 | 18 | 15 | 31 | 11 | 6 | 16 | – | – | 7 | 14 | 15 |
INSA | 24–28 Jun 2024 | 1,203 | – | 15 | 30 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 13 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 25–27 Jun 2024 | 1,186 | 11 | 14 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 3 | – | 7 | 11 | 14 |
INSA | 21–24 Jun 2024 | 2,008 | – | 14.5 | 30.5 | 11.5 | 5 | 17.5 | 3 | 2 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 13 |
Forsa | 18–24 Jun 2024 | 2,505 | 19 | 15 | 31 | 11 | 5 | 16 | – | 3 | 7 | 12 | 15 |
INSA | 17–21 Jun 2024 | 1,204 | – | 15 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
INSA | 14–17 Jun 2024 | 2,010 | – | 15 | 31 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 14 |
Forsa | 11–17 Jun 2024 | 2,504 | – | 15 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 16 | – | 2 | 7 | 12 | 14 |
GMS | 11–17 Jun 2024 | 1,007 | – | 14 | 31 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
INSA | 10–15 Jun 2024 | 1,205 | – | 16 | 31 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 14 |
Allensbach | 1–13 Jun 2024 | 1,084 | – | 16 | 32 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 3 | – | 7 | 8 | 16 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 10–12 Jun 2024 | 1,334 | 15 | 14 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 16 | – | – | 7 | 14 | 14 |
Verian | 5–11 Jun 2024 | 1,425 | – | 16 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
INSA | 7–10 Jun 2024 | 2,008 | – | 15.5 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 3 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 8.5 | 14 |
Forsa | 4–10 Jun 2024 | 2,505 | 22 | 16 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 16 | – | – | 6 | 13 | 14 |
2024 EU Parliament Election | 9 Jun 2024 | – | – | 13.9 | 30.0 | 11.9 | 5.2 | 15.9 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 6.2 | 11.5 | 14.1 |
INSA | 3–7 Jun 2024 | 1,203 | – | 16 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 14 |
YouGov | 31 May – 5 Jun 2024 | 1,894 | – | 14 | 29 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
Ipsos | 29 May – 5 Jun 2024 | 957 | – | 15 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 12 |
INSA | 31 May – 3 Jun 2024 | 2,002 | – | 16 | 30.5 | 12 | 5 | 15.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 14.5 |
Forsa | 28 May – 3 Jun 2024 | 2,506 | 22 | 17 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 15 | – | – | 6 | 13 | 13 |
INSA | 27–31 May 2024 | 1,205 | – | 16 | 31 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 15 |
Infratest dimap | 27–29 May 2024 | 1,479 | – | 15 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 |
INSA | 24–27 May 2024 | 2,004 | – | 15 | 30.5 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 2.5 | 7 | 8 | 13.5 |
Forsa | 21–27 May 2024 | 2,503 | 22 | 16 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 15 | – | – | 6 | 14 | 14 |
INSA | 21–24 May 2024 | 1,202 | – | 15 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13 |
INSA | 17–21 May 2024 | 2,010 | – | 16 | 30 | 12.5 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6.5 | 13 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 13–19 May 2024 | 2,500 | 24 | 16.5 | 31 | 13.5 | 6 | 15 | 3 | – | 6 | 9 | 14.5 |
Forsa | 14–17 May 2024 | 2,001 | – | 16 | 32 | 14 | 5 | 15 | – | – | 5 | 13 | 16 |
INSA | 13–17 May 2024 | 1,206 | – | 16 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14–16 May 2024 | 1,247 | 18 | 15 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 4 | – | 5 | 11 | 15 |
Allensbach | 4–16 May 2024 | 1,093 | – | 17.5 | 32.5 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 3 | – | 8 | 6 | 15 |
Verian | 7–14 May 2024 | 1,506 | – | 16 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
INSA | 10–13 May 2024 | 2,087 | – | 15.5 | 30.5 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 6 | 13.5 |
Forsa | 7–13 May 2024 | 2,006 | 23 | 16 | 32 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 3 | – | 5 | 11 | 16 |
INSA | 6–10 May 2024 | 1,247 | – | 15 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 13 |
YouGov | 3–8 May 2024 | 1,749 | – | 16 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
INSA | 3–6 May 2024 | 2,006 | – | 15.5 | 30.5 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 12.5 |
Forsa | 30 Apr – 6 May 2024 | 2,000 | – | 16 | 31 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 3 | – | 4 | 13 | 15 |
GMS | 30 Apr – 6 May 2024 | 1,005 | – | 15 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
Ipsos | 2–5 May 2024 | 2,000 | – | 16 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
INSA | 29 Apr – 3 May 2024 | 1.203 | – | 15 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 12 |
Infratest dimap | 29–30 Apr 2024 | 1,280 | – | 15 | 31 | 15 | 5 | 18 | – | – | 5 | 11 | 13 |
INSA | 26–29 Apr 2024 | 2.004 | – | 16.5 | 29.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 18.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
Forsa | 23–29 Apr 2024 | 2,505 | 23 | 17 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 3 | – | 4 | 13 | 13 |
INSA | 22–26 Apr 2024 | 1,203 | – | 16 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23–25 Apr 2024 | 1,228 | 18 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 17 | 4 | – | 5 | 10 | 13 |
INSA | 19–22 Apr 2024 | 2,008 | – | 15 | 30.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 18.5 | 4 | 2.5 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
Forsa | 16–22 Apr 2024 | 2,501 | 25 | 16 | 31 | 12 | 5 | 16 | – | – | 5 | 15 | 15 |
INSA | 15–19 Apr 2024 | 1,204 | – | 15 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 12 |
Allensbach | 5–18 Apr 2024 | 1,041 | – | 16 | 32.5 | 15 | 6 | 16 | 3 | – | 7 | 4.5 | 16.5 |
Verian | 10–16 Apr 2024 | 1,445 | – | 16 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 |
INSA | 12–15 Apr 2024 | 2,006 | – | 16 | 29.5 | 13 | 6 | 18.5 | 3 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5 | 11 |
Forsa | 9–15 Apr 2024 | 2,505 | 23 | 16 | 31 | 12 | 5 | 17 | – | – | 5 | 14 | 14 |
INSA | 8–12 Apr 2024 | 1,203 | – | 16 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Apr 2024 | 1,254 | 20 | 16 | 31 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 3 | – | 6 | 10 | 13 |
YouGov | 5–10 Apr 2024 | 1,588 | – | 14 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
INSA | 5–8 Apr 2024 | 2,084 | – | 15 | 30.5 | 13 | 5 | 18.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 12 |
Forsa | 2–8 Apr 2024 | 2,506 | 24 | 16 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 17 | – | – | 5 | 14 | 13 |
Ipsos | 5–7 Apr 2024 | 2,000 | – | 15 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
INSA | 2–5 Apr 2024 | 1,243 | – | 15 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
Infratest dimap | 2–3 Apr 2024 | 1,304 | – | 15 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
INSA | 28 Mar – 2 Apr 2024 | 2,004 | – | 15 | 30 | 12.5 | 5 | 19.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 10.5 |
Forsa | 26–28 Mar 2024 | 1,508 | 24 | 16 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 17 | – | – | 5 | 14 | 14 |
INSA | 25–28 Mar 2024 | 1,210 | – | 15 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
INSA | 22–25 Mar 2024 | 2,008 | – | 15.5 | 30 | 12.5 | 5 | 19.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5 | 10.5 |
Forsa | 19–25 Mar 2024 | 2,503 | 24 | 16 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
INSA | 18–22 Mar 2024 | 1,204 | – | 16 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 19–21 Mar 2024 | 1,296 | 19 | 16 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 18 | 3 | – | 6 | 9 | 13 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 18–20 Mar 2024 | 1,300 | 25 | 19.5 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 15 | 3.5 | – | 6.5 | 8.5 | 9.5 |
Verian | 13–19 Mar 2024 | 1,480 | – | 17 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 3 | – | 5 | 8 | 11 |
INSA | 15–18 Mar 2024 | 2,002 | – | 16 | 29.5 | 12 | 5 | 19.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 10 |
Forsa | 12–18 Mar 2024 | 2,500 | 24 | 16 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
INSA | 11–15 Mar 2024 | 1,199 | – | 15 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 11 |
Allensbach | 1–14 Mar 2024 | 1,027 | – | 15 | 34 | 14 | 5 | 16 | 3 | – | 7 | 6 | 18 |
INSA | 8–11 Mar 2024 | 2,079 | – | 14.5 | 31 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 18.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 12.5 |
Forsa | 5–11 Mar 2024 | 2,502 | 26 | 15 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
INSA | 4–8 Mar 2024 | 1,249 | – | 15 | 31 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 12 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5–7 Mar 2024 | 1,260 | 19 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
Infratest dimap | 4–6 Mar 2024 | 1,288 | – | 16 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 3 | – | 6 | 8 | 10 |
YouGov | 1–5 Mar 2024 | 1,762 | – | 15 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
INSA | 1–4 Mar 2024 | 2,024 | – | 14.5 | 30.5 | 13 | 5.5 | 19.5 | 3 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5 | 11 |
Forsa | 27 Feb – 4 Mar 2024 | 2,506 | – | 15 | 31 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
Ipsos | 1–3 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | – | 15 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
INSA | 26 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 | 1,200 | – | 15 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
Verian | 21–27 Feb 2024 | 1,392 | – | 16 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 3 | – | 4 | 9 | 12 |
INSA | 23–26 Feb 2024 | 2,006 | – | 15.5 | 30.5 | 13 | 4.5 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 7.5 | 4 | 11.5 |
Forsa | 20–26 Feb 2024 | 2,503 | – | 14 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
INSA | 19–23 Feb 2024 | 1,203 | – | 15 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 21–22 Feb 2024 | 1,300 | – | 14 | 28.5 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 8.5 | 8 | 9.5 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 20–22 Feb 2024 | 1,294 | 18 | 15 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 19 | 4 | – | 5 | 9 | 11 |
Verian | 14–20 Feb 2024 | 1,505 | – | 16 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 19 | 3 | – | 5 | 9 | 10 |
INSA | 16–19 Feb 2024 | 2,007 | – | 14.5 | 30.5 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 19.5 | 3.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 11 |
Forsa | 13–19 Feb 2024 | 2,504 | 24 | 15 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
INSA | 12–16 Feb 2024 | 1,203 | – | 14 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
Allensbach | 3–15 Feb 2024 | 1,053 | – | 15 | 32 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 3 | – | 7 | 5 | 14 |
INSA | 9–12 Feb 2024 | 2,083 | – | 15 | 30 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 20.5 | 3.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 9.5 |
Forsa | 6–12 Feb 2024 | 2,502 | 25 | 15 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 3 | – | 5 | 10 | 13 |
INSA | 5–8 Feb 2024 | 1,276 | – | 15 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
YouGov | 2–6 Feb 2024 | 2,018 | – | 14 | 31 | 12 | 4 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
INSA | 2–5 Feb 2024 | 2,004 | – | 15 | 30 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 20.5 | 3.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 9.5 |
GMS | 31 Jan – 5 Feb 2024 | 1,012 | – | 16 | 32 | 13 | 4 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
Forsa | 30 Jan – 5 Feb 2024 | 2,503 | 25 | 15 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 |
Ipsos | 2–4 Feb 2024 | 2,000 | – | 15 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
INSA | 29 Jan – 2 Feb 2024 | 1,202 | – | 15 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 30 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 | 1,217 | 20 | 15 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
Infratest dimap | 29–31 Jan 2024 | 1,303 | – | 16 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 19 | 3 | – | 5 | 9 | 11 |
INSA | 26–29 Jan 2024 | 2,002 | – | 14.5 | 30 | 12.5 | 5 | 21 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
Forsa | 23–29 Jan 2024 | 2,506 | 27 | 15 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 |
INSA | 22–26 Jan 2024 | 1,201 | – | 14 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 22–24 Jan 2024 | 1,366 | 26 | 17.5 | 30.5 | 11 | 4.5 | 22 | 2.5 | 4 | – | 8 | 8.5 |
15.5 | 27.5 | 12.5 | 6.5 | 19 | 2.5 | 2 | 9 | 5.5 | 8.5 | ||||
Verian | 16–23 Jan 2024 | 1,922 | – | 16 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 19 | 4 | – | 3 | 9 | 10 |
pollytix | 19–22 Jan 2024 | 1,530 | – | 15 | 29 | 12 | 5 | 22 | 4 | – | 9 | 4 | 7 |
INSA | 19–22 Jan 2024 | 2,006 | – | 13.5 | 30.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 21.5 | 3 | 2.5 | – | 11.5 | 8 |
Forsa | 16–22 Jan 2024 | 2,503 | – | 14 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 |
INSA | 15–19 Jan 2024 | 1,203 | – | 13 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
Allensbach | 5–18 Jan 2024 | 1,018 | – | 15 | 34 | 13.5 | 6 | 19.5 | 4 | 3 | – | 5 | 14.5 |
INSA | 12–15 Jan 2024 | 2,004 | – | 14 | 31 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 3 | – | 8 | 8 |
Forsa | 9–15 Jan 2024 | 2,504 | – | 13 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 3 | – | 9 | 9 |
INSA | 11–12 Jan 2024 | 1,002 | – | 14 | 27 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 9 |
INSA | 8–12 Jan 2024 | 1,202 | – | 15 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 22 | 4 | 3 | – | 9 | 8 |
Verian | 9–11 Jan 2024 | 1,359 | – | 14 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 3 | – | 6 | 9 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Jan 2024 | 1,337 | 21 | 13 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
INSA | 5–8 Jan 2024 | 2,008 | – | 16 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 3 | – | 5 | 9 |
YouGov | 3–8 Jan 2024 | 1,614 | – | 15 | 29 | 12 | 6 | 24 | 5 | 2 | – | 7 | 5 |
Forsa | 2–8 Jan 2024 | 2,502 | – | 15 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 3 | – | 8 | 8 |
Ipsos | 5–7 Jan 2024 | 2,000 | – | 15 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 22 | 5 | – | – | 9 | 8 |
INSA | 2–5 Jan 2024 | 1,204 | – | 16 | 31 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 3 | – | 6 | 8 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 2–4 Jan 2024 | 1,500 | 24 | 12 | 34 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 24.5 | 3 | 4 | – | 7.5 | 9.5 |
Infratest dimap | 2–3 Jan 2024 | 1,321 | – | 14 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 22 | 4 | 3 | – | 8 | 9 |
INSA | 29 Dec – 2 Jan 2024 | 2,002 | – | 15 | 32 | 13 | 5 | 22.5 | 4 | 3 | – | 5.5 | 9.5 |
GMS | 27 Dec – 2 Jan 2024 | 1,004 | – | 14 | 33 | 13 | 6 | 23 | 3 | 3 | – | 5 | 10 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 23.4 | 25.7 | 24.2 | 14.7 | 11.4 | 10.4 | 4.9 | 2.4 | – | 6.3 | 1.6 |
2023
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
INSA | 28–29 Dec 2023 | 1,001 | – | 15 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
INSA | 22–27 Dec 2023 | 2,000 | – | 15 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Forsa | 19–22 Dec 2023 | – | – | 14 | 31 | 14 | 5 | 22 | 3 | – | 11 | 9 |
INSA | 18–22 Dec 2023 | 1,202 | – | 15 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
Infratest dimap | 18–20 Dec 2023 | 1,210 | – | 14 | 32 | 14 | 5 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
Verian | 13–19 Dec 2023 | 1,421 | – | 15 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 21 | 4 | – | 10 | 10 |
INSA | 15–18 Dec 2023 | 2,002 | – | 15.5 | 31.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 2.5 | 6 | 8.5 |
Forsa | 12–18 Dec 2023 | 2,501 | 26 | 14 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 23 | 3 | – | 11 | 8 |
INSA | 11–15 Dec 2023 | 1,202 | – | 15 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12–14 Dec 2023 | 1,146 | 21 | 14 | 32 | 14 | 5 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 |
Allensbach | 1–14 Dec 2023 | 1,013 | – | 17 | 34 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 3.5 | 3 | 4.5 | 16 |
Verian | 6–12 Dec 2023 | 1,515 | – | 15 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 20 | 4 | – | 10 | 10 |
INSA | 8–11 Dec 2023 | 2,008 | – | 16 | 30 | 12.5 | 6 | 22.5 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7.5 |
GMS | 6–11 Dec 2023 | 1,001 | – | 14 | 32 | 15 | 5 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
Forsa | 5–11 Dec 2023 | 2,501 | 27 | 14 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 22 | 4 | – | 11 | 9 |
INSA | 4–8 Dec 2023 | 1,203 | – | 16 | 30 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 8 |
Infratest dimap | 4–6 Dec 2023 | 1,364 | – | 14 | 32 | 15 | 4 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
YouGov | 1–6 Dec 2023 | 1,669 | – | 14 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 7 |
Verian | 29 Nov – 5 Dec 2023 | 1,402 | – | 14 | 30 | 17 | 4 | 20 | 4 | – | 11 | 10 |
INSA | 1–4 Dec 2023 | 2,006 | – | 15.5 | 29.5 | 13 | 6 | 22.5 | 3.5 | 3 | 7 | 7 |
Forsa | 28 Nov – 4 Dec 2023 | 2,501 | – | 14 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 22 | 4 | – | 11 | 8 |
Ipsos | 1–3 Dec 2023 | 2,000 | – | 16 | 29 | 13 | 6 | 21 | 5 | – | 10 | 8 |
INSA | 27 Nov – 1 Dec 2023 | 1,202 | – | 16 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 |
Verian | 20–28 Nov 2023 | 1,806 | – | 17 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 19 | 4 | – | 10 | 10 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 25–27 Nov 2023 | 1,200 | 25 | 15 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 26 | 3.5 | – | 6.5 | 5 |
INSA | 24–27 Nov 2023 | 2,007 | – | 15.5 | 30.5 | 12.5 | 6 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 6.5 | 8.5 |
Forsa | 21–27 Nov 2023 | 2,500 | 25 | 14 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 21 | 4 | – | 11 | 9 |
INSA | 20–24 Nov 2023 | 1,202 | – | 16 | 30 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 8 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21–23 Nov 2023 | 1,242 | 22 | 15 | 31 | 15 | 5 | 22 | 4 | – | 8 | 9 |
Verian | 14–21 Nov 2023 | 1,452 | – | 16 | 29 | 17 | 5 | 20 | 4 | – | 9 | 9 |
INSA | 17–20 Nov 2023 | 2,003 | – | 16.5 | 30 | 13 | 5.5 | 21 | 4.5 | 3 | 6.5 | 9 |
Forsa | 14–20 Nov 2023 | 2,501 | 26 | 15 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 |
INSA | 13–17 Nov 2023 | 1,201 | – | 16 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
Allensbach | 1–16 Nov 2023 | 1,047 | – | 17 | 32 | 13.5 | 6 | 19 | 3.5 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
Verian | 8–14 Nov 2023 | 1,421 | – | 16 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 4 | – | 10 | 8 |
INSA | 10–13 Nov 2023 | 2,008 | – | 16.5 | 30.5 | 13.5 | 5 | 21.5 | 4.5 | 3 | 5.5 | 9 |
Forsa | 7–13 Nov 2023 | 2,504 | – | 14 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 9 |
INSA | 6–10 Nov 2023 | 1,204 | – | 17 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 7–9 Nov 2023 | 1,234 | 21 | 16 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Infratest dimap | 7–8 Nov 2023 | 1,195 | – | 15 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
YouGov | 3–7 Nov 2023 | 1,732 | – | 15 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 7 |
Kantar | 1–7 Nov 2023 | 1,443 | – | 16 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 8 |
INSA | 3–6 Nov 2023 | 2,006 | – | 16.5 | 29.5 | 13.5 | 5.5 | 22 | 4.5 | 3 | 5.5 | 7.5 |
Forsa | 31 Oct – 6 Nov 2023 | 2,502 | – | 15 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 8 |
Ipsos | 3–5 Nov 2023 | 2,000 | – | 17 | 28 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 5 | – | 9 | 8 |
INSA | 30 Oct – 3 Nov 2023 | 1,204 | – | 16 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 |
Infratest dimap | 30 Oct – 1 Nov 2023 | 1,314 | – | 16 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 8 |
Kantar | 25–31 Oct 2023 | 1,418 | – | 17 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 21 | 4 | – | 10 | 6 |
INSA | 27–30 Oct 2023 | 2,010 | – | 16.5 | 30.5 | 13 | 5.5 | 21 | 4 | 3.5 | 6 | 9.5 |
Forsa | 24–30 Oct 2023 | 2,501 | 26 | 15 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 7 |
INSA | 23–27 Oct 2023 | 1,216 | – | 16 | 31 | 13 | 6 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 23–25 Oct 2023 | 1,300 | 24 | 14.5 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 22 | 4 | – | 9.5 | 8 |
Kantar | 18–24 Oct 2023 | 1,422 | – | 16 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 20 | 5 | – | 10 | 8 |
INSA | 20–23 Oct 2023 | 2,004 | – | 16.5 | 28.5 | 13 | 5.5 | 22 | 5 | 3.5 | 6 | 6.5 |
Forsa | 17–23 Oct 2023 | 2,504 | – | 14 | 31 | 14 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10 |
INSA | 16–20 Oct 2023 | 1,202 | – | 16 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17–19 Oct 2023 | 1,252 | 21 | 15 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
Allensbach | 6–19 Oct 2023 | 1,010 | – | 17 | 34 | 13 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 |
Kantar | 11–17 Oct 2023 | 1,388 | – | 14 | 31 | 15 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
INSA | 13–16 Oct 2023 | 2,006 | – | 16.5 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 23 | 4.5 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Forsa | 10–16 Oct 2023 | 2,501 | 22 | 14 | 32 | 14 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
INSA | 9–13 Oct 2023 | 1,202 | – | 17 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Infratest dimap | 10–11 Oct 2023 | 1,203 | – | 15 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
YouGov | 6–10 Oct 2023 | 1,842 | – | 16 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
Kantar | 4–10 Oct 2023 | 1,386 | – | 16 | 27 | 15 | 6 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
INSA | 6–9 Oct 2023 | 2,001 | – | 17 | 27 | 13.5 | 6 | 22.5 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 4.5 |
Forsa | 4–9 Oct 2023 | 2,003 | – | 18 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 20 | 4 | – | 10 | 8 |
Ipsos | 6–8 Oct 2023 | 2,000 | – | 17 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 22 | 5 | – | 9 | 4 |
INSA | 2–6 Oct 2023 | 1,201 | – | 17 | 27 | 14 | 6 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
INSA | 29 Sep – 2 Oct 2023 | 2,010 | – | 18 | 26.5 | 13.5 | 7 | 22 | 5 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 4.5 |
Forsa | 26–29 Sep 2023 | 2,004 | 25 | 18 | 28 | 14 | 5 | 20 | 4 | – | 11 | 8 |
INSA | 25–29 Sep 2023 | 1,206 | – | 18 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Kantar | 26–28 Sep 2023 | 1,391 | – | 16 | 26 | 16 | 7 | 21 | 5 | – | 9 | 5 |
Infratest dimap | 25–27 Sep 2023 | 1,302 | – | 16 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
Kantar | 20–26 Sep 2023 | 1,356 | – | 16 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 5 | – | 9 | 6 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 24–25 Sep 2023 | 1,200 | 24 | 18.5 | 24 | 15 | 6.5 | 23 | 3.5 | – | 9.5 | 1 |
INSA | 22–25 Sep 2023 | 2,003 | – | 17.5 | 27 | 13.5 | 6.5 | 21.5 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5.5 |
Forsa | 19–25 Sep 2023 | 2,503 | 27 | 17 | 27 | 14 | 6 | 21 | 4 | – | 11 | 6 |
INSA | 18–22 Sep 2023 | 1,203 | – | 17 | 27 | 14 | 6 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
Kantar | 13–19 Sep 2023 | 1,370 | – | 17 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 4 | – | 9 | 6 |
INSA | 15–18 Sep 2023 | 2,008 | – | 17 | 26.5 | 14.5 | 6 | 21 | 5 | 3.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 |
GMS | 13–18 Sep 2023 | 1,002 | – | 16 | 27 | 15 | 6 | 23 | 4 | – | 9 | 4 |
Forsa | 12–18 Sep 2023 | 2,504 | 27 | 17 | 27 | 14 | 6 | 22 | 4 | – | 10 | 5 |
INSA | 11–15 Sep 2023 | 1,204 | – | 17 | 27 | 15 | 6 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
Allensbach | 4–15 Sep 2023 | 1,030 | – | 18 | 30 | 14 | 7 | 19 | 5 | – | 7 | 11 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12–14 Sep 2023 | 1,201 | 21 | 17 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
Infratest dimap | 12–13 Sep 2023 | 1,222 | – | 16 | 28 | 15 | 7 | 22 | 4 | – | 8 | 6 |
Kantar | 6–12 Sep 2023 | 1,442 | – | 16 | 26 | 15 | 7 | 22 | 5 | – | 9 | 4 |
INSA | 8–11 Sep 2023 | 2,002 | – | 18 | 26.5 | 14 | 7 | 22 | 4.5 | – | 8 | 4.5 |
Forsa | 5–11 Sep 2023 | 2,505 | 28 | 17 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 21 | 4 | – | 11 | 6 |
INSA | 4–8 Sep 2023 | 1,201 | – | 18 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 22 | 5 | – | 8 | 5 |
YouGov | 1–6 Sep 2023 | 1,833 | – | 16 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 6 |
Kantar | 30 Aug – 5 Sep 2023 | 1,441 | – | 17 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 21 | 5 | – | 10 | 5 |
INSA | 1–4 Sep 2023 | 2,010 | – | 17.5 | 26.5 | 13.5 | 7.5 | 21.5 | 4.5 | – | 9 | 5 |
Forsa | 29 Aug – 4 Sep 2023 | 2,506 | – | 16 | 27 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 4 | – | 11 | 6 |
Ipsos | 1–3 Sep 2023 | 2,000 | – | 17 | 26 | 14 | 8 | 21 | 6 | – | 8 | 5 |
INSA | 28 Aug – 1 Sep 2023 | 1,195 | – | 18 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 21 | 5 | – | 9 | 6 |
Infratest dimap | 28–30 Aug 2023 | 1,310 | – | 16 | 29 | 14 | 6 | 22 | 4 | – | 9 | 7 |
Kantar | 23–29 Aug 2023 | 1,330 | – | 18 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 5 | – | 10 | 5 |
INSA | 25–28 Aug 2023 | 2,006 | – | 18 | 26.5 | 14.5 | 7 | 21 | 4.5 | – | 8.5 | 5.5 |
Forsa | 22–28 Aug 2023 | 2,504 | 29 | 17 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 4 | – | 11 | 5 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 22–27 Aug 2023 | 1,200 | 26 | 20.5 | 25 | 13 | 7.5 | 22 | 4 | – | 8 | 3 |
INSA | 21–25 Aug 2023 | 1,285 | – | 18 | 27 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 5 | – | 8 | 6 |
Kantar | 16–22 Aug 2023 | 1,426 | – | 18 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 20 | 5 | – | 10 | 6 |
INSA | 18–21 Aug 2023 | 2,008 | – | 18.5 | 26.5 | 14 | 8 | 20.5 | 5 | – | 7.5 | 6 |
Forsa | 15–21 Aug 2023 | 2,506 | 29 | 18 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 20 | 4 | – | 11 | 6 |
INSA | 14–18 Aug 2023 | 1,203 | – | 18 | 27 | 14 | 8 | 21 | 5 | – | 7 | 6 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15–17 Aug 2023 | 1,288 | 26 | 19 | 26 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 5 | – | 8 | 6 |
Infratest dimap | 15–16 Aug 2023 | 1,216 | – | 17 | 27 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 4 | – | 10 | 6 |
Allensbach | 4–16 Aug 2023 | 1,026 | – | 19 | 29 | 14 | 7 | 19 | 5 | – | 7 | 10 |
Kantar | 9–15 Aug 2023 | 1,426 | – | 18 | 26 | 15 | 7 | 19 | 5 | – | 10 | 7 |
INSA | 11–14 Aug 2023 | 2,002 | – | 19.5 | 26 | 13.5 | 7 | 21 | 4.5 | – | 8.5 | 5 |
Forsa | 8–14 Aug 2023 | 2,501 | 28 | 17 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 4 | – | 11 | 4 |
INSA | 7–11 Aug 2023 | 1,200 | – | 20 | 26 | 13 | 7 | 21 | 5 | – | 8 | 5 |
GMS | 2–9 Aug 2023 | 1,004 | – | 17 | 27 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 4 | – | 10 | 6 |
Kantar | 2–8 Aug 2023 | 1,330 | – | 19 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 18 | 6 | – | 8 | 8 |
INSA | 4–7 Aug 2023 | 2,004 | – | 19 | 27 | 14.5 | 7.5 | 20.5 | 4.5 | – | 7 | 6.5 |
Forsa | 1–7 Aug 2023 | 2,502 | 28 | 17 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 4 | – | 11 | 4 |
Ipsos | 4–6 Aug 2023 | 1,000 | – | 17 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 5 | – | 7 | 4 |
INSA | 31 Jul – 4 Aug 2023 | 1,203 | – | 19 | 27 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 5 | – | 7 | 6 |
Infratest dimap | 31 Jul – 2 Aug 2023 | 1,297 | – | 17 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 4 | – | 9 | 6 |
Kantar | 26 Jul – 1 Aug 2023 | 1,310 | – | 19 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 19 | 5 | – | 8 | 8 |
YouGov | 25 Jul – 2 Aug 2023 | 1,756 | – | 17 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 4 |
INSA | 28–31 Jul 2023 | 2,003 | – | 18.5 | 26.5 | 14 | 6.5 | 21.5 | 5 | – | 8 | 5 |
Forsa | 25–31 Jul 2023 | 2,500 | 28 | 17 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 21 | 5 | – | 11 | 4 |
INSA | 24–28 Jul 2023 | 1,200 | – | 18 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 22 | 5 | – | 8 | 4 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jul 2023 | 1,525 | 23 | 20.5 | 25 | 13 | 7 | 20.5 | 4.5 | 3 | 6.5 | 4.5 |
Kantar | 19–25 Jul 2023 | 1,402 | – | 18 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
INSA | 21–24 Jul 2023 | 2,006 | – | 18.5 | 26.5 | 14 | 7.5 | 21.5 | 4.5 | – | 7.5 | 5 |
Forsa | 18–24 Jul 2023 | 2,504 | 28 | 18 | 27 | 14 | 6 | 19 | 5 | – | 11 | 8 |
INSA | 17–21 Jul 2023 | 1,266 | – | 18 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 22 | 5 | – | 8 | 4 |
Infratest dimap | 18–19 Jul 2023 | 1,235 | – | 18 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 20 | 4 | – | 10 | 8 |
Allensbach | 7–19 Jul 2023 | 1,011 | – | 19 | 29 | 16 | 7 | 18 | 4 | – | 7 | 10 |
Kantar | 12–18 Jul 2023 | 1,403 | – | 18 | 26 | 16 | 7 | 20 | 5 | – | 8 | 6 |
INSA | 14–17 Jul 2023 | 2,004 | – | 18 | 27 | 14 | 7 | 20.5 | 5 | – | 8.5 | 6.5 |
Forsa | 11–17 Jul 2023 | 2,502 | 26 | 18 | 26 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 4 | – | 10 | 6 |
INSA | 10–14 Jul 2023 | 1,184 | – | 18 | 27 | 14 | 7 | 20 | 5 | – | 9 | 7 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11–13 Jul 2023 | 1,347 | 27 | 17 | 27 | 16 | 7 | 20 | 4 | – | 9 | 7 |
Kantar | 5–11 Jul 2023 | 1,393 | – | 19 | 26 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 5 | – | 8 | 6 |
INSA | 7–10 Jul 2023 | 2,008 | – | 19 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 20.5 | 5 | – | 8.5 | 5.5 |
Ipsos | 7–9 Jul 2023 | 1,000 | – | 18 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 22 | 5 | – | 8 | 4 |
Forsa | 4–7 Jul 2023 | 2,003 | 25 | 18 | 27 | 14 | 7 | 19 | 5 | – | 10 | 8 |
INSA | 3–7 Jul 2023 | 1,204 | – | 19 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 20 | 5 | – | 9 | 7 |
Infratest dimap | 3–5 Jul 2023 | 1,305 | – | 18 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 20 | 4 | – | 9 | 8 |
YouGov | 30 Jun – 4 Jul 2023 | 1,694 | – | 18 | 27 | 14 | 6 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
Kantar | 28 Jun – 4 Jul 2023 | 1,403 | – | 18 | 27 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 5 | – | 9 | 7 |
INSA | 30 Jun – 3 Jul 2023 | 2,897 | – | 19 | 25.5 | 14.5 | 6.5 | 21 | 5 | – | 8.5 | 4.5 |
GMS | 28 Jun – 3 Jul 2023 | 1,005 | – | 17 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 20 | 4 | – | 10 | 8 |
Forsa | 27 Jun – 3 Jul 2023 | 2,501 | 25 | 18 | 27 | 15 | 6 | 19 | 5 | – | 10 | 8 |
INSA | 26–30 Jun 2023 | 1,401 | – | 19 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 20 | 5 | – | 9 | 6 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 27–29 Jun 2023 | 1,379 | 24 | 18 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 19 | 5 | – | 8 | 9 |
Kantar | 20–27 Jun 2023 | 1,408 | – | 18 | 26 | 15 | 7 | 19 | 5 | – | 10 | 7 |
INSA | 23–26 Jun 2023 | 2,004 | – | 19.5 | 26.5 | 13.5 | 6.5 | 20.5 | 4.5 | – | 9 | 6 |
Forsa | 20–26 Jun 2023 | 2,506 | 25 | 18 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 19 | 4 | – | 10 | 8 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 22–25 Jun 2023 | 1,399 | 25 | 21 | 24 | 14.5 | 6 | 21 | 4.5 | – | 9 | 3 |
INSA | 19–23 Jun 2023 | 1,203 | – | 20 | 26 | 13 | 7 | 20 | 4 | – | 10 | 6 |
Allensbach | 9–22 Jun 2023 | 1,039 | – | 19 | 31 | 15 | 8 | 17 | 4 | – | 6 | 12 |
Infratest dimap | 20–21 Jun 2023 | 1,191 | – | 17 | 29 | 15 | 6 | 19 | 4 | – | 10 | 10 |
Kantar | 14–20 Jun 2023 | 1,406 | – | 19 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 4 | – | 8 | 7 |
INSA | 16–19 Jun 2023 | 2,006 | – | 20 | 26.5 | 13.5 | 7.5 | 20 | 4.5 | – | 8 | 6.5 |
Forsa | 13–19 Jun 2023 | 2,503 | 25 | 18 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 19 | 4 | – | 10 | 8 |
INSA | 12–16 Jun 2023 | 1,203 | – | 20 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 4 | – | 9 | 7 |
Civey | 9–16 Jun 2023 | 10,031 | – | 19 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 20 | 5 | – | 8 | 5 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 13–15 Jun 2023 | 1,224 | 21 | 19 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 18 | 5 | – | 8 | 9 |
Kantar | 6–13 Jun 2023 | 1,387 | – | 20 | 27 | 15 | 6 | 19 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
INSA | 9–12 Jun 2023 | 2,003 | – | 20 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 19.5 | 4.5 | – | 8 | 7 |
Forsa | 6–12 Jun 2023 | 2,504 | 24 | 18 | 29 | 14 | 7 | 19 | 4 | – | 9 | 10 |
INSA | 5–9 Jun 2023 | 1,201 | – | 20 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
YouGov | 2–7 Jun 2023 | 1,628 | – | 19 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 8 |
Kantar | 31 May – 6 Jun 2023 | 1,402 | – | 20 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
INSA | 2–5 Jun 2023 | 2,009 | – | 19 | 26.5 | 13.5 | 9 | 19 | 5 | – | 8 | 7.5 |
GMS | 31 May – 5 Jun 2023 | 1,001 | – | 18 | 29 | 15 | 7 | 19 | 4 | – | 8 | 10 |
Forsa | 30 May – 5 Jun 2023 | 2,505 | 23 | 18 | 30 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 4 | – | 10 | 12 |
Ipsos | 2–4 Jun 2023 | 1,000 | – | 20 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 6 | – | 6 | 8 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 1–2 Jun 2023 | 1,100 | 24 | 21 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 4 | – | 8 | 6 |
INSA | 30 May – 2 Jun 2023 | 1,205 | – | 19 | 27 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 5 | – | 8 | 8 |
Infratest dimap | 30–31 May 2023 | 1,302 | – | 18 | 29 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 4 | – | 9 | 11 |
INSA | 26–30 May 2023 | 2,004 | – | 20.5 | 28 | 13 | 8.5 | 18 | 4.5 | – | 7.5 | 7.5 |
Kantar | 23–30 May 2023 | 1,379 | – | 20 | 27 | 15 | 8 | 17 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
Forsa | 23–26 May 2023 | 2,001 | 23 | 18 | 29 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 5 | – | 10 | 11 |
INSA | 22–26 May 2023 | 1,207 | – | 20 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 4 | – | 8 | 8 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23–25 May 2023 | 1,257 | 24 | 20 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 5 | – | 8 | 8 |
Kantar | 16–23 May 2023 | 1,321 | – | 18 | 29 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 5 | – | 9 | 11 |
INSA | 19–22 May 2023 | 2,004 | – | 20.5 | 27.5 | 14 | 8.5 | 17 | 5 | – | 7.5 | 7 |
Forsa | 16–22 May 2023 | 2,003 | – | 18 | 30 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 5 | – | 10 | 12 |
INSA | 15–19 May 2023 | 1,195 | – | 21 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 17 | 5 | – | 7 | 7 |
Kantar | 9–16 May 2023 | 1,401 | – | 18 | 28 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 5 | – | 9 | 10 |
INSA | 12–15 May 2023 | 2,010 | – | 20 | 28 | 14.5 | 8.5 | 16.5 | 5 | – | 7.5 | 8 |
Forsa | 9–15 May 2023 | 2,503 | 25 | 17 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 4 | – | 10 | 13 |
INSA | 8–12 May 2023 | 1,205 | – | 20 | 28 | 15 | 9 | 16 | 4 | – | 8 | 8 |
Infratest dimap | 9–10 May 2023 | 1,220 | – | 18 | 28 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 5 | – | 9 | 10 |
Allensbach | 28 Apr – 10 May 2023 | 1,001 | – | 18 | 32 | 16 | 8 | 15 | 5 | – | 6 | 14 |
YouGov | 5–9 May 2023 | 1,700 | – | 16 | 31 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 14 |
Kantar | 3–9 May 2023 | 1,405 | – | 18 | 29 | 17 | 8 | 16 | 5 | – | 7 | 11 |
INSA | 5–8 May 2023 | 2,008 | – | 20 | 28 | 14 | 9 | 16.5 | 4.5 | – | 8 | 8 |
Forsa | 2–8 May 2023 | 2,505 | – | 18 | 29 | 16 | 7 | 16 | 4 | – | 10 | 11 |
Ipsos | 5–7 May 2023 | 1,000 | – | 19 | 29 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 5 | – | 8 | 10 |
INSA | 2–5 May 2023 | 1,204 | – | 20 | 28 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 4 | – | 9 | 8 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 2–4 May 2023 | 1,225 | 28 | 19 | 30 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 5 | – | 8 | 11 |
Infratest dimap | 2–3 May 2023 | 1,360 | – | 17 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 16 | 5 | – | 9 | 13 |
INSA | 28 Apr – 2 May 2023 | 2,006 | – | 21 | 27 | 15 | 8 | 16.5 | 4.5 | – | 8 | 6 |
Kantar | 26 Apr – 2 May 2023 | 1,394 | – | 17 | 31 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 4 | – | 8 | 14 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 26–30 Apr 2023 | 1,400 | 24 | 21 | 27.5 | 14 | 10.5 | 15 | 3.5 | – | 8.5 | 6.5 |
Forsa | 25–28 Apr 2023 | 2,007 | – | 17 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 16 | 4 | – | 10 | 13 |
INSA | 24–28 Apr 2023 | 1,202 | – | 21 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
Kantar | 18–25 Apr 2023 | 1,426 | – | 18 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 16 | 5 | – | 8 | 12 |
INSA | 21–24 Apr 2023 | 2,004 | – | 20 | 27.5 | 14.5 | 9 | 16 | 4.5 | – | 8.5 | 7.5 |
Forsa | 18–24 Apr 2023 | 2,506 | 23 | 18 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 4 | – | 10 | 12 |
INSA | 17–21 Apr 2023 | 1,202 | – | 20 | 28 | 15 | 9 | 16 | 4 | – | 8 | 8 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 18–20 Apr 2023 | 1,266 | 24 | 18 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 15 | 4 | – | 8 | 13 |
Kantar | 12–18 Apr 2023 | 1,407 | – | 19 | 29 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 4 | – | 9 | 10 |
Allensbach | 3–18 Apr 2023 | 1,007 | – | 20 | 31 | 15 | 7.5 | 16 | 5 | – | 5.5 | 11 |
INSA | 14–17 Apr 2023 | 2,008 | – | 21 | 27.5 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 4.5 | – | 8 | 6.5 |
Forsa | 11–17 Apr 2023 | 2,508 | 24 | 18 | 29 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 4 | – | 10 | 11 |
INSA | 11–14 Apr 2023 | 1,204 | – | 21 | 27 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 5 | – | 8 | 6 |
Infratest dimap | 11–12 Apr 2023 | 1,204 | – | 19 | 29 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 4 | – | 9 | 10 |
INSA | 6–11 Apr 2023 | 2,005 | – | 20 | 27.5 | 15.5 | 8 | 16 | 4.5 | – | 8.5 | 7.5 |
Kantar | 5–11 Apr 2023 | 1,367 | – | 21 | 27 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 5 | – | 8 | 6 |
Forsa | 4–6 Apr 2023 | 1,501 | 25 | 18 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | – | 10 | 12 |
INSA | 3–6 Apr 2023 | 1,204 | – | 20 | 28 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 4 | – | 8 | 8 |
Infratest dimap | 3–5 Apr 2023 | 1,304 | – | 18 | 30 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 4 | – | 9 | 12 |
Ipsos | 3–4 Apr 2023 | 1,000 | – | 21 | 27 | 17 | 8 | 15 | 4 | – | 8 | 6 |
YouGov | 30 Mar – 4 Apr 2023 | 1,522 | – | 20 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 10 |
Kantar | 29 Mar – 4 Apr 2023 | 1,269 | – | 20 | 27 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
INSA | 31 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 | 2,007 | – | 20 | 28 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 16 | 4.5 | – | 8.5 | 8 |
GMS | 29 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 | 1,007 | – | 19 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 4 | – | 8 | 12 |
Forsa | 28 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 | 2,502 | 25 | 18 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | – | 10 | 11 |
INSA | 27–31 Mar 2023 | 1,200 | – | 21 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 4 | – | 8 | 6 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 28–30 Mar 2023 | 1,379 | 25 | 19 | 30 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 7 | 11 |
Kantar | 21–28 Mar 2023 | 1,387 | – | 18 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 4 | – | 9 | 10 |
INSA | 24–27 Mar 2023 | 2,004 | – | 20.5 | 28 | 16 | 8 | 15.5 | 4 | – | 8 | 7.5 |
Forsa | 21–27 Mar 2023 | 2,506 | 24 | 19 | 29 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 4 | – | 10 | 10 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 23–26 Mar 2023 | 1,200 | 23 | 23 | 26.5 | 15 | 7.5 | 13.5 | 4 | – | 10.5 | 3.5 |
INSA | 20–24 Mar 2023 | 1,203 | – | 21 | 28 | 16 | 8 | 15 | 4 | – | 8 | 7 |
Kantar | 14–21 Mar 2023 | 1,504 | – | 18 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 9 | 10 |
INSA | 17–20 Mar 2023 | 2,006 | – | 21.5 | 28 | 15 | 7.5 | 16 | 5 | – | 7 | 6.5 |
Forsa | 14–20 Mar 2023 | 2,503 | 23 | 19 | 29 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 5 | – | 9 | 10 |
INSA | 13–17 Mar 2023 | 1,202 | – | 21 | 28 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 5 | – | 7 | 7 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14–16 Mar 2023 | 1,146 | 24 | 21 | 29 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 5 | – | 7 | 8 |
Infratest dimap | 14–15 Mar 2023 | 1,215 | – | 18 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 9 | 12 |
Allensbach | 2–15 Mar 2023 | 1,101 | – | 21 | 31 | 16 | 6.5 | 15 | 4.5 | – | 6 | 10 |
Kantar | 8–14 Mar 2023 | 1,432 | – | 19 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 8 | 9 |
INSA | 10–13 Mar 2023 | 2,002 | – | 21.5 | 28.5 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 16 | 4 | – | 7 | 7 |
Forsa | 7–13 Mar 2023 | 2,505 | 22 | 20 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 5 | – | 9 | 9 |
INSA | 6–10 Mar 2023 | 1,268 | – | 21 | 29 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 4 | – | 8 | 8 |
YouGov | 3–7 Mar 2023 | 1,649 | – | 20 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 |
Kantar | 1–7 Mar 2023 | 1,504 | – | 19 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 5 | – | 8 | 10 |
INSA | 3–6 Mar 2023 | 2,007 | – | 20 | 29.5 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 15.5 | 5 | – | 7 | 9.5 |
Forsa | 28 Feb – 6 Mar 2023 | 2,504 | – | 20 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 5 | – | 9 | 11 |
Ipsos | 3–4 Mar 2023 | 1,000 | – | 20 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
INSA | 27 Feb – 3 Mar 2023 | 1,203 | – | 20 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 7 | 10 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 28 Feb – 2 Mar 2023 | 1,165 | 24 | 21 | 29 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 5 | – | 7 | 8 |
Infratest dimap | 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023 | 1,311 | – | 18 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 5 | – | 9 | 13 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023 | 1,419 | 25 | 23.5 | 32 | 15.5 | 5 | 14 | 3 | – | 7 | 8.5 |
Kantar | 21–28 Feb 2023 | 1,722 | – | 20 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 6 | – | 8 | 8 |
INSA | 24–27 Feb 2023 | 2,010 | – | 20.5 | 29.5 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 15.5 | 4.5 | – | 7 | 9 |
Forsa | 21–27 Feb 2023 | 2,501 | 22 | 20 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 5 | – | 9 | 11 |
INSA | 20–24 Feb 2023 | 1,200 | – | 21 | 29 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 7 | 8 |
Kantar | 14–21 Feb 2023 | 1,373 | – | 21 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 5 | – | 7 | 8 |
INSA | 17–20 Feb 2023 | 2,006 | – | 21.5 | 29 | 15.5 | 7 | 15.5 | 5 | – | 6.5 | 7.5 |
GMS | 15–20 Feb 2023 | 1,004 | – | 19 | 29 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 8 | 10 |
Forsa | 14–20 Feb 2023 | 2,510 | – | 19 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 5 | – | 9 | 12 |
INSA | 13–17 Feb 2023 | 1,207 | – | 21 | 29 | 16 | 7 | 16 | 5 | – | 6 | 8 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14–16 Feb 2023 | 1,361 | 25 | 20 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 5 | – | 7 | 10 |
Infratest dimap | 14–15 Feb 2023 | 1,216 | – | 19 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 5 | – | 9 | 10 |
Kantar | 8–14 Feb 2023 | 1,386 | – | 21 | 26 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 8 | 5 |
INSA | 10–13 Feb 2023 | 2,005 | – | 20 | 28 | 16 | 7.5 | 16 | 5 | – | 7.5 | 8 |
Forsa | 7–13 Feb 2023 | 2,505 | 23 | 21 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 5 | – | 9 | 7 |
INSA | 6–10 Feb 2023 | 1,457 | – | 20 | 28 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 5 | – | 7 | 8 |
YouGov | 3–9 Feb 2023 | 1,736 | – | 19 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 8 |
Allensbach | 27 Jan – 9 Feb 2023 | 1,088 | – | 22.5 | 30 | 16 | 7.5 | 14 | 4 | – | 6 | 7.5 |
Kantar | 31 Jan – 7 Feb 2023 | 1,410 | – | 21 | 25 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 8 | 4 |
INSA | 3–6 Feb 2023 | 2,008 | – | 21 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 15.5 | 5 | – | 7.5 | 6 |
Forsa | 31 Jan – 6 Feb 2023 | 2,502 | 24 | 21 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
Ipsos | 3 Feb 2023 | 1,000 | – | 20 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 16 | 5 | – | 8 | 6 |
INSA | 30 Jan – 3 Feb 2023 | 1,462 | – | 21 | 28 | 16 | 8 | 15 | 5 | – | 7 | 7 |
Infratest dimap | 30 Jan – 1 Feb 2023 | 1,328 | – | 20 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | – | 9 | 7 |
Kantar | 25–31 Jan 2023 | 1,405 | – | 21 | 25 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 8 | 4 |
INSA | 27–30 Jan 2023 | 2,007 | – | 20.5 | 28.5 | 16 | 7.5 | 15 | 5 | – | 7.5 | 8 |
Forsa | 24–30 Jan 2023 | 2,503 | – | 20 | 27 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 5 | – | 9 | 7 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jan 2023 | 1,421 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 18 | 6.5 | 14.5 | 3.5 | – | 9.5 | Tie |
INSA | 24–27 Jan 2023 | 1,506 | – | 20 | 29 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 8 | 9 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 24–26 Jan 2023 | 1,345 | 26 | 21 | 27 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 6 | – | 6 | 6 |
Kantar | 18–24 Jan 2023 | 1,392 | – | 21 | 27 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 5 | – | 7 | 6 |
INSA | 20–23 Jan 2023 | 2,009 | – | 20.5 | 28 | 16.5 | 7.5 | 15 | 4.5 | – | 8 | 7.5 |
Forsa | 17–23 Jan 2023 | 2,502 | 23 | 19 | 28 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 5 | – | 9 | 8 |
INSA | 16–21 Jan 2023 | 1,504 | – | 20 | 28 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 9 | 8 |
Infratest dimap | 17–18 Jan 2023 | 1,211 | – | 19 | 29 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 4 | – | 9 | 10 |
Allensbach | 5–18 Jan 2023 | 1,023 | – | 21 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 4.5 | – | 6.5 | 10 |
Kantar | 11–17 Jan 2023 | 1,418 | – | 20 | 27 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 15–16 Jan 2023 | 1,500 | – | 21.5 | 24.5 | 17 | 8 | 16.5 | 3.5 | – | 9 | 3 |
INSA | 13–16 Jan 2023 | 2,006 | – | 21 | 28 | 16.5 | 7.5 | 15 | 5 | – | 7 | 7 |
Forsa | 10–16 Jan 2023 | 2,500 | 24 | 18 | 28 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 5 | – | 9 | 8 |
INSA | 9–13 Jan 2023 | 1,202 | – | 20 | 27 | 17 | 8 | 15 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 10–12 Jan 2023 | 1,259 | 26 | 20 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 14 | 6 | – | 6 | 6 |
Civey | 5–12 Jan 2023 | 10,065 | – | 18 | 28 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 5 | – | 8 | 8 |
Ipsos | 9–10 Jan 2023 | 1,000 | – | 19 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 6 | – | 8 | 8 |
YouGov | 6–10 Jan 2023 | 1,561 | – | 18 | 27 | 17 | 8 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 9 |
Kantar | 4–10 Jan 2023 | 1,398 | – | 19 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | – | 10 | 9 |
INSA | 6–9 Jan 2023 | 2,006 | – | 20 | 27 | 17.5 | 7.5 | 15 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
Forsa | 3–9 Jan 2023 | 2,502 | 23 | 18 | 29 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 5 | – | 8 | 9 |
INSA | 2–6 Jan 2023 | 1,465 | – | 20 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
Infratest dimap | 2–4 Jan 2023 | 1,314 | – | 18 | 29 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 5 | – | 8 | 10 |
GMS | 28 Dec – 3 Jan 2023 | 1,002 | – | 19 | 29 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 5 | – | 9 | 10 |
INSA | 29 Dec – 2 Jan 2023 | 2,010 | – | 20 | 27 | 17.5 | 7.5 | 15 | 4.5 | – | 8.5 | 7 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 23.4 | 25.7 | 24.2 | 14.7 | 11.4 | 10.4 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 6.3 | 1.6 |
2022
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
INSA | 27–29 Dec 2022 | 1,205 | – | 20 | 26 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 5 | − | 9 | 6 |
INSA | 19–22 Dec 2022 | 1,203 | – | 21 | 27 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 5 | − | 8 | 6 |
YouGov | 16–21 Dec 2022 | 1,608 | – | 19 | 30 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 11 |
INSA | 16–19 Dec 2022 | 2,005 | – | 21 | 27.5 | 17.5 | 7.5 | 14.5 | 4.5 | − | 7.5 | 6.5 |
Forsa | 13–19 Dec 2022 | 2,503 | 24 | 19 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 5 | − | 9 | 9 |
INSA | 12–16 Dec 2022 | 1,501 | – | 21 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 5 | − | 7 | 6 |
Kantar | 13–15 Dec 2022 | 1,717 | – | 19 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 5 | − | 8 | 10 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12–15 Dec 2022 | 1,365 | 22 | 20 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 15 | 5 | − | 6 | 8 |
Allensbach | 2–15 Dec 2022 | 1,035 | – | 22 | 30 | 18 | 7.5 | 12 | 4.5 | − | 6 | 8 |
INSA | 9–12 Dec 2022 | 2,007 | – | 20 | 28.5 | 18 | 7 | 15.5 | 4.5 | − | 6.5 | 8.5 |
Kantar | 7–12 Dec 2022 | 1,429 | – | 18 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 5 | − | 9 | 9 |
Forsa | 6–12 Dec 2022 | 2,506 | 24 | 19 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 5 | − | 9 | 10 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 7–9 Dec 2022 | 1,500 | – | 22.5 | 25 | 16.5 | 7 | 14.5 | 4 | − | 10.5 | 2.5 |
INSA | 2–9 Dec 2022 | 1,502 | – | 20 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | − | 8 | 8 |
Infratest dimap | 6–7 Dec 2022 | 1,259 | – | 18 | 29 | 18 | 6 | 15 | 5 | − | 9 | 11 |
Kantar | 30 Nov – 6 Dec 2022 | 1,443 | – | 19 | 27 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 5 | − | 9 | 8 |
INSA | 3–5 Dec 2022 | 2,008 | – | 20.5 | 28 | 17 | 7 | 14.5 | 5 | − | 8 | 7.5 |
Forsa | 29 Nov – 5 Dec 2022 | 2,500 | 25 | 19 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 5 | − | 9 | 10 |
Ipsos | 2–3 Dec 2022 | 1,000 | – | 19 | 27 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 6 | − | 8 | 8 |
INSA | 28 Nov – 2 Dec 2022 | 1,502 | – | 20 | 28 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 5 | − | 8 | 8 |
Civey | 25 Nov – 2 Dec 2022 | 10,016 | – | 19 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 4 | − | 8 | 7 |
GMS | 28 Nov – 1 Dec 2022 | 1,005 | – | 18 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 12 | 4 | − | 10 | 7 |
Infratest dimap | 28–30 Nov 2022 | 1,318 | – | 18 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 5 | − | 9 | 12 |
Kantar | 22–29 Nov 2022 | 1,414 | – | 18 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 5 | − | 9 | 7 |
INSA | 25–28 Nov 2022 | 2,006 | – | 21 | 27 | 17.5 | 7 | 15 | 5 | − | 7.5 | 6 |
Forsa | 22–28 Nov 2022 | 2,505 | 24 | 19 | 29 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 5 | − | 9 | 9 |
INSA | 21–25 Nov 2022 | 1,501 | – | 21 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 5 | − | 7 | 6 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 22–24 Nov 2022 | 1,273 | 26 | 19 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 14 | 6 | − | 6 | 6 |
Kantar | 15–22 Nov 2022 | 1,430 | – | 19 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 4 | − | 9 | 10 |
INSA | 18–21 Nov 2022 | 2,004 | – | 20 | 28 | 17 | 7.5 | 15 | 5 | − | 7.5 | 8 |
Forsa | 15–21 Nov 2022 | 2,502 | 25 | 19 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 5 | − | 9 | 8 |
INSA | 14–18 Nov 2022 | 1,314 | – | 20 | 28 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 5 | − | 8 | 8 |
Allensbach | 5–17 Nov 2022 | 1,042 | – | 20 | 29.5 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 4 | − | 5.5 | 9.5 |
Kantar | 9–15 Nov 2022 | 1,443 | – | 20 | 27 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 5 | − | 9 | 7 |
INSA | 11–14 Nov 2022 | 2,010 | – | 20.5 | 27.5 | 17.5 | 7 | 15 | 4.5 | − | 8 | 7 |
Forsa | 8–14 Nov 2022 | 2,503 | 25 | 19 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 4 | − | 9 | 8 |
INSA | 8–11 Nov 2022 | 1,255 | – | 21 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | − | 7 | 7 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 8–10 Nov 2022 | 1,310 | 23 | 19 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 15 | 5 | − | 6 | 6 |
Infratest dimap | 8–9 Nov 2022 | 1,225 | – | 18 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 4 | − | 10 | 9 |
YouGov | 4–9 Nov 2022 | 1,608 | – | 18 | 29 | 20 | 5 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 9 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 7–8 Nov 2022 | 1,300 | – | 24.5 | 25.5 | 16 | 8.5 | 14 | 3.5 | − | 8 | 1 |
Kantar | 2–8 Nov 2022 | 1,442 | – | 21 | 26 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 5 | − | 7 | 5 |
Ipsos | 4–7 Nov 2022 | 1,000 | – | 19 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 6 | − | 8 | 7 |
INSA | 4–7 Nov 2022 | 2,007 | – | 21 | 27 | 17.5 | 8 | 14.5 | 4.5 | − | 7.5 | 6 |
Forsa | 1–7 Nov 2022 | 2,502 | 24 | 19 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 5 | − | 9 | 9 |
INSA | 1–4 Nov 2022 | 1,286 | – | 21 | 27 | 17 | 8 | 15 | 5 | − | 7 | 6 |
Infratest dimap | 31 Oct – 2 Nov 2022 | 1,307 | – | 19 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 5 | − | 9 | 9 |
Kantar | 25 Oct – 2 Nov 2022 | 1,516 | – | 21 | 26 | 19 | 8 | 14 | 5 | − | 7 | 5 |
INSA | 28–31 Oct 2022 | 2,009 | – | 20.5 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 4.5 | − | 7 | 5.5 |
Forsa | 25–31 Oct 2022 | 2,503 | 23 | 20 | 27 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 4 | − | 9 | 7 |
INSA | 24–28 Oct 2022 | 1,230 | – | 20 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 5 | − | 7 | 6 |
Kantar | 19–25 Oct 2022 | 1,406 | – | 21 | 25 | 20 | 7 | 15 | 5 | − | 7 | 4 |
GMS | 19–25 Oct 2022 | 1,002 | – | 18 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 15 | 4 | − | 9 | 8 |
INSA | 21–24 Oct 2022 | 2,007 | – | 20.5 | 26.5 | 17.5 | 8.5 | 15 | 4.5 | − | 7.5 | 6 |
Forsa | 18–24 Oct 2022 | 2,502 | 22 | 19 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 4 | − | 9 | 8 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 18–21 Oct 2022 | 1,910 | – | 22 | 25 | 17.5 | 8 | 16 | 3.5 | − | 8 | 3 |
INSA | 17–21 Oct 2022 | 1,503 | – | 20 | 27 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 5 | − | 7 | 7 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 18–20 Oct 2022 | 1,389 | 22 | 19 | 28 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 5 | − | 6 | 7 |
Kantar | 12–18 Oct 2022 | 1,435 | – | 22 | 23 | 20 | 7 | 16 | 4 | − | 8 | 1 |
INSA | 14–17 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | – | 19.5 | 27.5 | 18.5 | 7.5 | 15.5 | 4.5 | − | 7 | 8 |
Forsa | 11–17 Oct 2022 | 2,505 | – | 20 | 27 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 4 | − | 9 | 7 |
INSA | 10–14 Oct 2022 | 1,327 | – | 19 | 28 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 5 | − | 7 | 9 |
Allensbach | 1–13 Oct 2022 | 1,021 | – | 19 | 30.5 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 5 | − | 5.5 | 11.5 |
Infratest dimap | 11–12 Oct 2022 | 1,225 | – | 19 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 15 | 5 | − | 9 | 6 |
YouGov | 7–12 Oct 2022 | 1,617 | – | 16 | 29 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 10 |
Kantar | 5–11 Oct 2022 | 1,433 | – | 20 | 25 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 5 | − | 8 | 4 |
Forsa | 4–10 Oct 2022 | 2,501 | 24 | 18 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 5 | − | 9 | 8 |
INSA | 4–10 Oct 2022 | 2,005 | – | 19.5 | 27.5 | 19 | 7.5 | 15 | 5 | − | 6.5 | 8 |
Ipsos | 7–9 Oct 2022 | 1,000 | – | 18 | 27 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 6 | − | 8 | 6 |
INSA | 4–7 Oct 2022 | 1,315 | – | 19 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 5 | − | 7 | 8 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 3–6 Oct 2022 | 1,923 | – | 21 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 16 | 4.5 | − | 8.5 | 4 |
Infratest dimap | 3–5 Oct 2022 | 1,307 | – | 17 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 5 | − | 9 | 9 |
Kantar | 28 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 | 1,864 | – | 18 | 27 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 6 | − | 7 | 7 |
INSA | 30 Sep – 3 Oct 2022 | 2,008 | – | 19 | 27.5 | 18.5 | 8 | 15 | 5.5 | − | 6.5 | 8.5 |
Forsa | 27–30 Sep 2022 | 2,001 | 25 | 18 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 5 | − | 9 | 8 |
INSA | 26–30 Sep 2022 | 1,210 | – | 19 | 28 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 6 | − | 6 | 9 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 27–29 Sep 2022 | 1,355 | 27 | 18 | 27 | 22 | 7 | 14 | 5 | − | 7 | 5 |
Kantar | 22–27 Sep 2022 | 1,381 | – | 19 | 27 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 5 | − | 7 | 6 |
INSA | 23–26 Sep 2022 | 2,102 | – | 18 | 27.5 | 19.5 | 8 | 15 | 5.5 | − | 6.5 | 8 |
Forsa | 20–26 Sep 2022 | 2,505 | 23 | 18 | 28 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 5 | − | 9 | 8 |
INSA | 19–23 Sep 2022 | 1,255 | – | 19 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 14 | 5 | − | 7 | 9 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 20–22 Sep 2022 | 1,700 | – | 22 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 13.5 | 4 | − | 8.5 | 4 |
Kantar | 14–20 Sep 2022 | 1,444 | – | 19 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 5 | − | 8 | 7 |
GMS | 14–20 Sep 2022 | 1,003 | – | 18 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 4 | − | 9 | 7 |
INSA | 16–19 Sep 2022 | 2,080 | – | 18.5 | 28.5 | 19 | 7.5 | 14 | 5.5 | − | 7 | 9.5 |
Forsa | 13–19 Sep 2022 | 2,506 | 23 | 19 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 5 | − | 9 | 9 |
INSA | 12–16 Sep 2022 | 1,476 | – | 19 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 6 | − | 8 | 9 |
Infratest dimap | 13–14 Sep 2022 | 1,224 | – | 17 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 5 | − | 8 | 7 |
Allensbach | 1–14 Sep 2022 | 1,030 | – | 20 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 5.5 | − | 5.5 | 10 |
YouGov | 9–13 Sep 2022 | 1,635 | – | 16 | 29 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 10 |
Kantar | 7–13 Sep 2022 | 1,443 | – | 20 | 26 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 5 | − | 8 | 5 |
Forsa | 6–13 Sep 2022 | 2,501 | – | 19 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 5 | − | 9 | 8 |
INSA | 9–12 Sep 2022 | 2,039 | – | 18 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 13.5 | 5.5 | − | 7 | 8 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 9–11 Sep 2022 | 1,300 | – | 20 | 25.5 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 5.5 | − | 9 | 5.5 |
INSA | 5–9 Sep 2022 | 1,443 | – | 19 | 27 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 5 | − | 8 | 7 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 6–8 Sep 2022 | 1,299 | 25 | 19 | 28 | 23 | 6 | 13 | 5 | − | 6 | 5 |
Kantar | 31 Aug – 6 Sep 2022 | 1,416 | – | 20 | 25 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 5 | − | 9 | 4 |
INSA | 2–5 Sep 2022 | 2,004 | – | 18 | 28 | 20.5 | 7.5 | 13.5 | 5.5 | − | 7 | 7.5 |
Forsa | 30 Aug – 5 Sep 2022 | 2,500 | 25 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 7 | 11 | 5 | − | 9 | 2 |
Ipsos | 2–4 Sep 2022 | 1,000 | – | 19 | 26 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 6 | − | 8 | 5 |
INSA | 29 Aug – 2 Sep 2022 | 1,203 | – | 19 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 5 | − | 7 | 8 |
Infratest dimap | 29–31 Aug 2022 | 1,324 | – | 17 | 27 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 5 | − | 8 | 5 |
Kantar | 24–30 Aug 2022 | 1,411 | – | 21 | 24 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 5 | − | 8 | 2 |
INSA | 26–29 Aug 2022 | 2,138 | – | 19 | 27.5 | 20.5 | 8 | 13 | 5.5 | − | 6.5 | 7 |
Forsa | 23–29 Aug 2022 | 2,503 | 25 | 17 | 26 | 25 | 7 | 11 | 5 | − | 9 | 1 |
INSA | 22–26 Aug 2022 | 1,204 | – | 20 | 28 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 5 | − | 6 | 7 |
Civey | 18–25 Aug 2022 | 10,014 | – | 19 | 27 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 5 | − | 9 | 5 |
Kantar | 17–23 Aug 2022 | 1,431 | – | 19 | 26 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 5 | − | 8 | 3 |
INSA | 19–22 Aug 2022 | 2,091 | – | 18.5 | 28 | 21 | 7.5 | 13 | 5.5 | − | 6.5 | 7 |
Forsa | 16–22 Aug 2022 | 2,505 | 25 | 18 | 26 | 25 | 7 | 11 | 4 | − | 9 | 1 |
INSA | 15–19 Aug 2022 | 1,427 | – | 19 | 28 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 5 | − | 7 | 7 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 16–18 Aug 2022 | 1,433 | – | 18 | 25 | 26 | 6 | 14 | 3 | − | 8 | 1 |
Allensbach | 5–18 Aug 2022 | 1,038 | – | 19.5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 5 | − | 5.5 | 8 |
Infratest dimap | 16–17 Aug 2022 | 1,273 | – | 18 | 28 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | − | 8 | 5 |
Kantar | 10–16 Aug 2022 | 1,429 | – | 20 | 28 | 23 | 6 | 12 | 4 | − | 7 | 5 |
INSA | 12–15 Aug 2022 | 2,146 | – | 19 | 28 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 5 | − | 6 | 6 |
Forsa | 9–15 Aug 2022 | 2,500 | 28 | 18 | 26 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 4 | − | 10 | 1 |
INSA | 8–12 Aug 2022 | 1,502 | – | 19 | 27 | 22 | 9 | 12 | 5 | − | 6 | 5 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 6–12 Aug 2022 | 2,920 | – | 16 | 24 | 25.5 | 8 | 14.5 | 3.5 | − | 8.5 | 1.5 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Aug 2022 | 1,389 | 25 | 19 | 26 | 26 | 7 | 12 | 4 | − | 6 | Tie |
YouGov | 5–10 Aug 2022 | 1,595 | – | 19 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 6 |
Kantar | 3–9 Aug 2022 | 1,422 | – | 21 | 27 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 5 | − | 7 | 5 |
Ipsos | 5–8 Aug 2022 | 1,000 | – | 19 | 27 | 22 | 8 | 11 | 5 | − | 8 | 5 |
INSA | 5–8 Aug 2022 | 2,099 | – | 18 | 27 | 21.5 | 8 | 12.5 | 5.5 | − | 7.5 | 5.5 |
Forsa | 2–8 Aug 2022 | 2,504 | 26 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 7 | 10 | 5 | − | 10 | 2 |
INSA | 1–5 Aug 2022 | 1,701 | – | 19 | 27 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 5 | − | 7 | 6 |
Infratest dimap | 1–3 Aug 2022 | 1,313 | – | 17 | 28 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 4 | − | 8 | 5 |
Kantar | 26 Jul – 2 Aug 2022 | 1,426 | – | 21 | 25 | 23 | 6 | 11 | 5 | − | 9 | 2 |
INSA | 29 Jul – 1 Aug 2022 | 2,144 | – | 18.5 | 26.5 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 5 | − | 8 | 4.5 |
Forsa | 26 Jul – 1 Aug 2022 | 2,504 | – | 18 | 27 | 24 | 7 | 10 | 5 | − | 9 | 3 |
INSA | 25–29 Jul 2022 | 1,202 | – | 19 | 26 | 22 | 9 | 12 | 5 | − | 7 | 4 |
Kantar | 19–26 Jul 2022 | 1,413 | – | 21 | 26 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 5 | − | 8 | 4 |
INSA | 22–25 Jul 2022 | 2,043 | – | 18.5 | 26.5 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 5 | − | 8 | 4.5 |
GMS | 20–25 Jul 2022 | 1,005 | – | 18 | 27 | 23 | 9 | 10 | 5 | − | 8 | 4 |
Forsa | 19–25 Jul 2022 | 2,510 | 22 | 19 | 26 | 24 | 6 | 10 | 5 | − | 10 | 2 |
INSA | 18–22 Jul 2022 | 1,501 | – | 18 | 27 | 23 | 8 | 12 | 5 | − | 7 | 4 |
Allensbach | 8–21 Jul 2022 | 1,006 | – | 22 | 27.5 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 5 | − | 5.5 | 5.5 |
Infratest dimap | 19–20 Jul 2022 | 1,210 | – | 19 | 27 | 22 | 7 | 12 | 4 | − | 9 | 5 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 19–20 Jul 2022 | 1,400 | − | 22 | 24 | 24 | 8.5 | 10.5 | 3.5 | − | 7.5 | Tie |
Kantar | 13–19 Jul 2022 | 1,392 | – | 19 | 25 | 23 | 8 | 11 | 5 | − | 9 | 2 |
INSA | 15–18 Jul 2022 | 2,062 | – | 18.5 | 26.5 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 4.5 | − | 8.5 | 4.5 |
Forsa | 12–18 Jul 2022 | 2,501 | – | 20 | 26 | 24 | 6 | 9 | 5 | − | 10 | 2 |
Civey | 11–18 Jul 2022 | 10,018 | – | 20 | 27 | 23 | 7 | 10 | 5 | − | 8 | 4 |
INSA | 11–15 Jul 2022 | 1,277 | – | 19 | 26 | 22 | 8 | 11 | 5 | − | 9 | 4 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12–14 Jul 2022 | 1,167 | 25 | 21 | 26 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 5 | − | 6 | 1 |
Kantar | 6–12 Jul 2022 | 1,433 | – | 20 | 25 | 24 | 8 | 11 | 4 | − | 8 | 1 |
INSA | 8–11 Jul 2022 | 2,044 | – | 20 | 27 | 21 | 8.5 | 11 | 4.5 | − | 8 | 6 |
Forsa | 5–11 Jul 2022 | 2,503 | 22 | 19 | 26 | 24 | 7 | 9 | 5 | − | 10 | 2 |
INSA | 4–8 Jul 2022 | 1,202 | – | 19 | 28 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | − | 9 | 6 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 5–6 Jul 2022 | 1,700 | − | 22 | 25 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | − | 9 | 3 |
Infratest dimap | 4–6 Jul 2022 | 1,327 | – | 19 | 27 | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | − | 8 | 4 |
YouGov | 1–5 Jul 2022 | 1,655 | – | 19 | 28 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 8 |
Kantar | 28 Jun – 5 Jul 2022 | 1,426 | – | 20 | 25 | 24 | 7 | 10 | 5 | − | 9 | 1 |
INSA | 1–4 Jul 2022 | 2,066 | – | 19 | 28 | 21 | 9.5 | 11 | 4 | − | 7.5 | 7 |
Forsa | 28 Jun – 4 Jul 2022 | 2,502 | 23 | 20 | 26 | 24 | 8 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | 2 |
Ipsos | 1–2 Jul 2022 | 1,000 | – | 22 | 26 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 5 | − | 8 | 4 |
INSA | 27 Jun – 2 Jul 2022 | 1,253 | – | 20 | 27 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 4 | − | 7 | 5 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 28–30 Jun 2022 | 1,186 | 20 | 21 | 27 | 25 | 6 | 10 | 5 | − | 6 | 2 |
Kantar | 21–28 Jun 2022 | 1,410 | – | 20 | 26 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 4 | − | 7 | 1 |
INSA | 24–27 Jun 2022 | 2,101 | – | 20 | 27 | 21.5 | 9 | 10.5 | 4 | − | 8 | 5.5 |
Forsa | 21–27 Jun 2022 | 2,500 | 22 | 20 | 26 | 24 | 8 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | 2 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 23–26 Jun 2022 | 2,430 | − | 22 | 25 | 21 | 7 | 12 | 4 | − | 9 | 3 |
INSA | 20–24 Jun 2022 | 1,414 | – | 20 | 26 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 4 | − | 8 | 4 |
Infratest dimap | 21–22 Jun 2022 | 1,248 | – | 20 | 26 | 23 | 8 | 12 | 4 | − | 7 | 3 |
Kantar | 14–21 Jun 2022 | 1,769 | – | 20 | 26 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 4 | − | 8 | 2 |
INSA | 17–20 Jun 2022 | 2,063 | – | 19.5 | 28 | 21 | 9.5 | 10 | 4 | − | 8 | 7 |
GMS | 15–20 Jun 2022 | 1,003 | – | 21 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 4 | − | 9 | 8 |
Forsa | 14–20 Jun 2022 | 2,504 | 25 | 19 | 28 | 23 | 8 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | 5 |
INSA | 13–17 Jun 2022 | 1,501 | – | 20 | 27 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 4 | − | 9 | 6 |
Allensbach | 3–17 Jun 2022 | 1,046 | – | 23 | 27 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4.5 | − | 5.5 | 4 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 13–15 Jun 2022 | 1,133 | 22 | 22 | 26 | 25 | 6 | 10 | 5 | − | 6 | 1 |
Kantar | 8–14 Jun 2022 | 1,895 | – | 20 | 28 | 22 | 8 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | 6 |
INSA | 10–13 Jun 2022 | 2,082 | – | 20 | 27.5 | 21 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 3.5 | − | 8 | 6.5 |
Forsa | 7–13 Jun 2022 | 2,511 | 20 | 20 | 27 | 23 | 8 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | 4 |
INSA | 7–10 Jun 2022 | 1,203 | – | 21 | 27 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 4 | − | 8 | 6 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 7–8 Jun 2022 | 1,603 | − | 22 | 24 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 6 | − | 8 | 2 |
Ipsos | 3–7 Jun 2022 | 1,000 | – | 23 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 4 | − | 8 | 4 |
YouGov | 3–7 Jun 2022 | 1,633 | – | 18 | 30 | 21 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 9 |
INSA | 3–7 Jun 2022 | 2,055 | – | 20 | 27 | 21.5 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 3.5 | − | 8 | 5.5 |
Kantar | 1–7 Jun 2022 | 1,428 | – | 22 | 26 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 4 | − | 8 | 3 |
Forsa | 31 May – 3 Jun 2022 | 2,002 | 20 | 19 | 27 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 4 | − | 9 | 4 |
INSA | 30 May – 3 Jun 2022 | 1,501 | – | 22 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | 5 |
Infratest dimap | 30 May – 1 Jun 2022 | 1,226 | – | 21 | 27 | 21 | 8 | 11 | 4 | − | 8 | 6 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 30 May – 1 Jun 2022 | 1,500 | − | 18 | 27 | 25.5 | 8 | 9 | 4 | − | 8.5 | 1.5 |
Kantar | 24–31 May 2022 | 1,428 | – | 20 | 28 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 4 | − | 9 | 5 |
INSA | 27–30 May 2022 | 2,056 | – | 22 | 27 | 20.5 | 8.5 | 10 | 3.5 | − | 8.5 | 5 |
GMS | 25–30 May 2022 | 1,005 | – | 22 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 4 | − | 9 | 8 |
Forsa | 24–30 May 2022 | 2,004 | 21 | 19 | 29 | 24 | 7 | 9 | 4 | − | 8 | 5 |
INSA | 23–27 May 2022 | 1,337 | – | 23 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | 4 |
Kantar | 17–24 May 2022 | 1,422 | – | 21 | 27 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 5 | − | 9 | 6 |
INSA | 20–23 May 2022 | 2,100 | – | 22 | 28.5 | 20 | 8.5 | 10.5 | 3 | − | 7.5 | 6.5 |
Forsa | 17–23 May 2022 | 2,505 | 22 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 7 | 9 | 4 | − | 8 | 5 |
Civey | 16–23 May 2022 | 10,050 | – | 22 | 27 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 5 | − | 7 | 5 |
INSA | 16–20 May 2022 | 1,214 | – | 21 | 28 | 19 | 10 | 10 | 3 | − | 9 | 7 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17–19 May 2022 | 1,162 | 22 | 22 | 26 | 24 | 7 | 10 | 4 | − | 7 | 2 |
Allensbach | 6–18 May 2022 | 1,118 | – | 24 | 29 | 20.5 | 8 | 9 | 4.5 | − | 5 | 5 |
Kantar | 11–17 May 2022 | 1,425 | – | 22 | 26 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 5 | − | 8 | 4 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 15–16 May 2022 | 1,302 | − | 23.5 | 29 | 23 | 5.5 | 7.5 | 2.5 | − | 9 | 5.5 |
INSA | 13–16 May 2022 | 2,147 | – | 21.5 | 28 | 20.5 | 9 | 11 | 3 | − | 7 | 6.5 |
Forsa | 10–16 May 2022 | 2,502 | 23 | 22 | 27 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 4 | − | 9 | 5 |
INSA | 9–13 May 2022 | 1,501 | – | 22 | 27 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 4 | − | 9 | 5 |
Infratest dimap | 10–11 May 2022 | 1,226 | – | 22 | 26 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 4 | − | 9 | 4 |
YouGov | 6–10 May 2022 | 1,659 | – | 20 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 8 |
Kantar | 4–10 May 2022 | 1,426 | – | 22 | 26 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 5 | − | 8 | 4 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 8–9 May 2022 | 1,610 | − | 24 | 23.5 | 22.5 | 10.5 | 9 | 3 | − | 7.5 | 0.5 |
INSA | 6–9 May 2022 | 2,086 | – | 22.5 | 27.5 | 19 | 10 | 10.5 | 3.5 | − | 7 | 5 |
Forsa | 3–9 May 2022 | 2,501 | – | 23 | 26 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 4 | − | 8 | 3 |
Ipsos | 6 May 2022 | 906 | – | 24 | 25 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 5 | − | 8 | 1 |
INSA | 2–6 May 2022 | 1,501 | – | 23 | 27 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 3 | − | 8 | 4 |
pollytix | 29 Apr – 4 May 2022 | 1,303 | – | 22 | 26 | 17 | 12 | 12 | 5 | − | 6 | 4 |
Kantar | 26 Apr – 3 May 2022 | 1,570 | – | 23 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 5 | − | 8 | 4 |
INSA | 29 Apr – 2 May 2022 | 2,146 | – | 23 | 27 | 19 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 4.5 | − | 6.5 | 4 |
Forsa | 26 Apr – 2 May 2022 | 2,508 | – | 23 | 26 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | 3 |
INSA | 25–29 Apr 2022 | 1,202 | – | 23 | 26 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 4 | − | 8 | 3 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 26–28 Apr 2022 | 1,170 | 21 | 25 | 23 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 4 | − | 7 | 2 |
Infratest dimap | 25–27 Apr 2022 | 1,314 | – | 24 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 3 | − | 9 | 2 |
Kantar | 19–26 Apr 2022 | 1,431 | – | 23 | 25 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 5 | − | 9 | 2 |
INSA | 22–25 Apr 2022 | 2,056 | – | 24 | 26.5 | 18 | 9 | 11.5 | 4.5 | − | 6.5 | 2.5 |
GMS | 20–25 Apr 2022 | 1,003 | – | 26 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | Tie |
Forsa | 19–25 Apr 2022 | 2,507 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | 1 |
Civey | 8–25 Apr 2022 | 10,011 | – | 24 | 25 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 4 | − | 7 | 1 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 23 Apr 2022 | 1,007 | − | 24.5 | 22.5 | 22 | 11 | 8.5 | 3 | − | 8.5 | 2 |
INSA | 19–22 Apr 2022 | 1,296 | – | 24 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 5 | − | 7 | 2 |
Kantar | 12–19 Apr 2022 | 1,715 | – | 25 | 25 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | Tie |
INSA | 15–18 Apr 2022 | 2,073 | – | 23.5 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 4.5 | − | 7 | 2.5 |
Forsa | 12–14 Apr 2022 | 1,501 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | Tie |
INSA | 11–14 Apr 2022 | 1,402 | – | 25 | 26 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 5 | − | 7 | 1 |
Infratest dimap | 11–12 Apr 2022 | 1,226 | – | 24 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 4 | − | 9 | 2 |
YouGov | 8–12 Apr 2022 | 1,643 | – | 21 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 5 |
Kantar | 6–12 Apr 2022 | 1,960 | – | 26 | 25 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 4 | − | 8 | 1 |
INSA | 8–11 Apr 2022 | 2,061 | – | 25 | 27 | 17.5 | 9 | 11 | 4.5 | − | 6 | 2 |
Forsa | 5–11 Apr 2022 | 2,500 | 25 | 27 | 24 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | 3 |
INSA | 4–8 Apr 2022 | 1,503 | – | 25 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 4 | − | 8 | 1 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5–7 Apr 2022 | 1,230 | 21 | 27 | 24 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 4 | − | 7 | 3 |
Infratest dimap | 4–6 Apr 2022 | 1,325 | – | 24 | 25 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 4 | − | 8 | 1 |
Allensbach | 25 Mar – 6 Apr 2022 | 1,075 | – | 28 | 24 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 6 | − | 7 | 4 |
Kantar | 30 Mar – 5 Apr 2022 | 1,437 | – | 27 | 25 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 4 | − | 7 | 2 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 3–4 Apr 2022 | 2,450 | − | 27 | 25.5 | 19 | 8.5 | 9 | 3 | − | 8 | 1.5 |
INSA | 1–4 Apr 2022 | 2,063 | – | 25 | 26 | 17.5 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 4.5 | − | 6 | 1 |
Ipsos | 1 Apr 2022 | 912 | – | 25 | 23 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 6 | − | 7 | 2 |
Forsa | 29 Mar – 4 Apr 2022 | 2,508 | 24 | 27 | 24 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | 3 |
INSA | 25 Mar – 1 Apr 2022 | 1,501 | – | 26 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 4 | − | 7 | Tie |
Kantar | 23–29 Mar 2022 | 1,428 | – | 25 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 5 | − | 8 | 1 |
INSA | 25–28 Mar 2022 | 2,070 | – | 25 | 26 | 16.5 | 10 | 10.5 | 5.5 | − | 6.5 | 1 |
Forsa | 22–28 Mar 2022 | 2,507 | 22 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 5 | − | 9 | 2 |
INSA | 21–25 Mar 2022 | 1,205 | – | 26 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 5 | − | 6 | Tie |
Kantar | 16–22 Mar 2022 | 1,429 | – | 26 | 25 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 6 | − | 7 | 1 |
INSA | 18–21 Mar 2022 | 2,122 | – | 24.5 | 26.5 | 16.5 | 11 | 11 | 4.5 | − | 6 | 2 |
Forsa | 15–21 Mar 2022 | 2,501 | 22 | 23 | 27 | 18 | 10 | 9 | 5 | − | 8 | 4 |
Allensbach | 9–21 Mar 2022 | 1,041 | – | 25 | 25 | 17 | 10.5 | 10 | 5 | − | 7.5 | Tie |
Wahlkreisprognose | 18–20 Mar 2022 | 1,923 | − | 26.5 | 25.5 | 18.5 | 10 | 8.5 | 3 | − | 8 | 1 |
INSA | 14–18 Mar 2022 | 1,198 | – | 26 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 5 | − | 7 | Tie |
Infratest dimap | 15–16 Mar 2022 | 1,254 | – | 25 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 4 | − | 8 | 1 |
Kantar | 9–15 Mar 2022 | 1,416 | – | 26 | 26 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 5 | − | 7 | Tie |
INSA | 11–14 Mar 2022 | 2,073 | – | 25 | 25.5 | 15.5 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 5 | − | 8 | 0.5 |
Forsa | 8–14 Mar 2022 | 2,502 | – | 25 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 5 | − | 8 | 1 |
INSA | 7–11 Mar 2022 | 1,201 | – | 26 | 24 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 6 | − | 8 | 2 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 8–10 Mar 2022 | 1,345 | 19 | 27 | 24 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 5 | − | 7 | 3 |
YouGov | 4–8 Mar 2022 | 1,629 | – | 23 | 26 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 3 |
Kantar | 2–8 Mar 2022 | 1,426 | – | 25 | 26 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 5 | − | 7 | 1 |
INSA | 4–7 Mar 2022 | 2,103 | – | 25 | 24.5 | 15.5 | 11 | 10.5 | 6 | − | 7.5 | 0.5 |
Ipsos | 4 Mar 2022 | 935 | – | 25 | 24 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 6 | − | 7 | 1 |
Forsa | 1–7 Mar 2022 | 2,501 | 22 | 26 | 25 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 6 | − | 9 | 1 |
INSA | 28 Feb – 4 Mar 2022 | 1,185 | – | 25 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 6 | − | 7 | Tie |
Infratest dimap | 28 Feb – 2 Mar 2022 | 1,320 | – | 25 | 26 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 5 | − | 8 | 1 |
Kantar | 23 Feb – 1 Mar 2022 | 1,405 | – | 26 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 6 | − | 7 | Tie |
INSA | 25–28 Feb 2022 | 2,067 | – | 23 | 27 | 15.5 | 11 | 10.5 | 6.5 | − | 6.5 | 4 |
Forsa | 24–28 Feb 2022 | 1,500 | – | 25 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 6 | − | 9 | 1 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 24–27 Feb 2022 | 2,030 | − | 26 | 23.5 | 17.5 | 11.5 | 10.5 | 4 | − | 7 | 2.5 |
GMS | 23–26 Feb 2022 | 1,005 | – | 24 | 27 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 6 | − | 9 | 3 |
INSA | 21–25 Feb 2022 | 1,405 | – | 23 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 7 | − | 6 | 3 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21–23 Feb 2022 | 1,103 | 20 | 26 | 24 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 6 | − | 7 | 2 |
Kantar | 16–22 Feb 2022 | 1,432 | – | 26 | 25 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 7 | − | 6 | 1 |
INSA | 18–21 Feb 2022 | 1,539 | – | 23 | 27 | 14.5 | 12.5 | 11 | 6 | − | 6 | 4 |
Forsa | 15–21 Feb 2022 | 2,500 | 23 | 23 | 27 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 6 | − | 9 | 4 |
INSA | 14–18 Feb 2022 | 1,303 | – | 22 | 27 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 7 | − | 6 | 5 |
Infratest dimap | 15–16 Feb 2022 | 1,202 | – | 24 | 26 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 5 | − | 9 | 2 |
Allensbach | 3–16 Feb 2022 | 1,033 | – | 23 | 27 | 15 | 10.5 | 10 | 6 | − | 6.5 | 4 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 13–15 Feb 2022 | 1,200 | − | 25 | 24.5 | 17 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 6 | − | 8.5 | 0.5 |
YouGov | 10–15 Feb 2022 | 1,659 | – | 21 | 27 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
Kantar | 8–15 Feb 2022 | 1,434 | – | 24 | 24 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 6 | − | 8 | Tie |
INSA | 11–14 Feb 2022 | 2,141 | – | 22.5 | 26 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 6 | − | 6.5 | 3.5 |
Forsa | 8–14 Feb 2022 | 2,504 | 22 | 23 | 27 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 6 | − | 10 | 4 |
INSA | 7–11 Feb 2022 | 1,504 | – | 22 | 26 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 6 | − | 7 | 4 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 8–10 Feb 2022 | 1,224 | 18 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 6 | − | 8 | Tie |
pollytix | 4–8 Feb 2022 | 1,547 | – | 23 | 27 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 8 | − | 6 | 4 |
Kantar | 1–8 Feb 2022 | 1,287 | – | 22 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 6 | − | 8 | 4 |
INSA | 4–7 Feb 2022 | 2,067 | – | 23 | 26 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 7 | − | 6 | 3 |
Ipsos | 4 Feb 2022 | 910 | – | 25 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 8 | − | 7 | 1 |
Forsa | 1–7 Feb 2022 | 2,502 | 23 | 22 | 27 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 6 | − | 10 | 5 |
INSA | 1–4 Feb 2022 | 1,202 | – | 22 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 6 | − | 7 | 5 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 1–3 Feb 2022 | 2,330 | − | 21 | 28 | 19 | 8.5 | 10 | 5.5 | − | 8 | 7 |
Civey | 22 Jan – 3 Feb 2022 | 10,070 | – | 25 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 6 | – | 8 | Tie |
Infratest dimap | 31 Jan – 2 Feb 2022 | 1,339 | – | 22 | 27 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 5 | – | 8 | 5 |
Kantar | 26 Jan – 1 Feb 2022 | 1,410 | – | 24 | 24 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 6 | − | 9 | Tie |
INSA | 28–31 Jan 2022 | 2,247 | – | 24 | 25 | 15 | 12.5 | 10 | 6.5 | – | 7 | 1 |
Forsa | 25–31 Jan 2022 | 2,501 | 23 | 23 | 27 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 6 | – | 9 | 4 |
INSA | 24–28 Jan 2022 | 1,383 | – | 26 | 24 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 6 | – | 6 | 2 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 25–27 Jan 2022 | 1,249 | 21 | 24 | 23 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 7 | – | 8 | 1 |
YouGov | 21–25 Jan 2022 | 1,602 | – | 23 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
Kantar | 19–25 Jan 2022 | 1,415 | – | 24 | 24 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 6 | – | 8 | Tie |
INSA | 21–24 Jan 2022 | 2,146 | – | 26 | 24 | 15 | 11.5 | 11 | 6 | – | 6.5 | 2 |
Forsa | 18–24 Jan 2022 | 2,502 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 6 | – | 9 | 1 |
INSA | 17–21 Jan 2022 | 1,204 | – | 26 | 23 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 6 | – | 5 | 3 |
Allensbach | 6–20 Jan 2022 | 1,090 | – | 27.5 | 23 | 14.5 | 12.5 | 10 | 5.5 | – | 7 | 4.5 |
Infratest dimap | 18–19 Jan 2022 | 1,424 | – | 25 | 24 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 5 | – | 8 | 1 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 15–18 Jan 2022 | 1,920 | − | 27.5 | 22.5 | 17 | 10.5 | 10 | 4.5 | – | 8 | 5 |
Kantar | 12–18 Jan 2022 | 1,441 | – | 26 | 22 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 6 | – | 8 | 4 |
INSA | 14–17 Jan 2022 | 2,130 | – | 26 | 22.5 | 15.5 | 12 | 12 | 6 | – | 6 | 3.5 |
Forsa | 11–17 Jan 2022 | 2,504 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 5 | – | 9 | Tie |
INSA | 10–14 Jan 2022 | 1,504 | – | 27 | 23 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 5 | – | 6 | 4 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11–13 Jan 2022 | 1,128 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 6 | – | 8 | 5 |
Kantar | 5–11 Jan 2022 | 1,426 | – | 26 | 23 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 6 | – | 8 | 3 |
INSA | 7–10 Jan 2022 | 2,107 | – | 26.5 | 23 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 5 | – | 6.5 | 3.5 |
Forsa | 3–10 Jan 2022 | 3,003 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 5 | – | 9 | Tie |
Ipsos | 6–9 Jan 2022 | 929 | – | 25 | 21 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 6 | – | 10 | 4 |
INSA | 3–7 Jan 2022 | 1,504 | – | 27 | 23 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 5 | – | 6 | 4 |
Infratest dimap | 3–5 Jan 2022 | 1,325 | – | 26 | 23 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 5 | – | 8 | 3 |
INSA | 30 Dec – 3 Jan 2022 | 2,060 | – | 26.5 | 23 | 15.5 | 11 | 11.5 | 6 | – | 6.5 | 3.5 |
GMS | 29 Dec – 3 Jan 2022 | 1,003 | – | 26 | 24 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 4 | – | 7 | 2 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 23.4 | 25.7 | 24.2 | 14.7 | 11.4 | 10.4 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 6.3 | 1.5 |
2021
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
INSA | 27–30 Dec 2021 | 1,201 | – | 27 | 24 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 5 | – | 7 | 3 |
INSA | 20–23 Dec 2021 | 1,195 | – | 28 | 23 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 5 | – | 7 | 5 |
INSA | 17–20 Dec 2021 | 2,075 | – | 27.5 | 21.5 | 14.5 | 13 | 11.5 | 5.5 | – | 6.5 | 6 |
Forsa | 14–20 Dec 2021 | 2,501 | – | 26 | 24 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 5 | – | 10 | 2 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 18–19 Dec 2021 | 1,120 | − | 30 | 21.5 | 14.5 | 11.5 | 10 | 4 | – | 8.5 | 8.5 |
INSA | 13–18 Dec 2021 | 1,501 | – | 27 | 23 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 5 | – | 7 | 4 |
Kantar | 14–16 Dec 2021 | 1,436 | – | 27 | 22 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 5 | – | 8 | 5 |
Allensbach | 1–15 Dec 2021 | 1,069 | – | 26 | 24 | 15 | 13 | 10.5 | 5 | – | 6.5 | 2 |
YouGov | 10–14 Dec 2021 | 1,715 | – | 27 | 23 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
Kantar | 8–14 Dec 2021 | 1,440 | – | 27 | 22 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 5 | – | 9 | 5 |
INSA | 10–13 Dec 2021 | 2,221 | – | 27 | 22 | 14.5 | 13 | 11.5 | 5.5 | – | 6.5 | 5 |
Forsa | 7–13 Dec 2021 | 2,509 | – | 26 | 23 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 5 | – | 10 | 3 |
INSA | 6–10 Dec 2021 | 1,480 | – | 26 | 22 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 5 | – | 8 | 4 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 7–9 Dec 2021 | 1,303 | 21 | 28 | 21 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 5 | – | 7 | 7 |
Infratest dimap | 7–8 Dec 2021 | 1,266 | – | 26 | 23 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 5 | – | 7 | 3 |
Civey | 1–8 Dec 2021 | 10,043 | – | 27 | 23 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 5 | – | 8 | 4 |
Kantar | 1–7 Dec 2021 | 1,439 | – | 28 | 21 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7 |
INSA | 3–6 Dec 2021 | 2,119 | – | 26 | 22 | 15 | 13.5 | 11.5 | 5.5 | – | 6.5 | 4 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 1–6 Dec 2021 | 1,002 | − | 29 | 18 | 16.5 | 13.5 | 11 | 4 | – | 8 | 11 |
Forsa | 30 Nov – 6 Dec 2021 | 2,503 | – | 25 | 22 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 5 | – | 10 | 3 |
INSA | 29 Nov – 3 Dec 2021 | 1,348 | – | 26 | 21 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 5 | – | 8 | 5 |
Infratest dimap | 29 Nov – 1 Dec 2021 | 1,316 | – | 25 | 23 | 17 | 12 | 11 | 5 | – | 7 | 2 |
Civey | 24 Nov – 1 Dec 2021 | 10,078 | – | 26 | 24 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 5 | – | 8 | 2 |
Kantar | 24–30 Nov 2021 | 1,425 | – | 27 | 20 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 6 | – | 8 | 7 |
INSA | 26–29 Nov 2021 | 2,129 | – | 25 | 21 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 5.5 | – | 7.5 | 4 |
Forsa | 23–29 Nov 2021 | 2,509 | – | 24 | 22 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 5 | – | 10 | 2 |
INSA | 22–26 Nov 2021 | 1,403 | – | 26 | 21 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 6 | – | 7 | 5 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23–25 Nov 2021 | 1,344 | 19 | 28 | 19 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 5 | – | 7 | 9 |
Infratest dimap | 23–24 Nov 2021 | 1,239 | – | 25 | 21 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 5 | – | 8 | 4 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 22–24 Nov 2021 | 1,002 | – | 27 | 22.5 | 15.5 | 11.5 | 10 | 5 | – | 8.5 | 4.5 |
Civey | 17–24 Nov 2021 | 10,064 | – | 25 | 24 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 5 | – | 9 | 1 |
YouGov | 19–23 Nov 2021 | 1,797 | – | 25 | 23 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
Kantar | 17–23 Nov 2021 | 1,424 | – | 24 | 22 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 6 | – | 8 | 2 |
INSA | 19–22 Nov 2021 | 2,096 | – | 26 | 22 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 5.5 | – | 7.5 | 4 |
Forsa | 16–22 Nov 2021 | 2,501 | 21 | 24 | 22 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 5 | – | 10 | 2 |
INSA | 15–19 Nov 2021 | 1,501 | – | 26 | 21 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 5 | – | 8 | 5 |
Civey | 10–17 Nov 2021 | 10,077 | – | 26 | 23 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 5 | – | 8 | 3 |
Kantar | 10–16 Nov 2021 | 1,433 | – | 24 | 21 | 18 | 12 | 11 | 6 | – | 8 | 3 |
INSA | 12–15 Nov 2021 | 2,091 | – | 27 | 21 | 15 | 13 | 11.5 | 5.5 | – | 7 | 6 |
Forsa | 9–15 Nov 2021 | 2,510 | 21 | 24 | 22 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 5 | – | 10 | 2 |
INSA | 8–12 Nov 2021 | 1,202 | – | 26 | 22 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 5 | – | 8 | 4 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Nov 2021 | 1,257 | 16 | 28 | 20 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 5 | – | 7 | 8 |
Allensbach | 29 Oct – 11 Nov 2021 | 1,016 | – | 27 | 23 | 15 | 14 | 9.5 | 5.5 | – | 6 | 4 |
Civey | 3–10 Nov 2021 | 9,999 | – | 26 | 22 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 5 | – | 8 | 4 |
Kantar | 3–9 Nov 2021 | 1,424 | – | 25 | 21 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 6 | – | 8 | 4 |
INSA | 5–8 Nov 2021 | 2,112 | – | 26.5 | 20.5 | 16 | 13.5 | 10.5 | 5.5 | – | 7.7 | 6 |
Forsa | 2–8 Nov 2021 | 2,502 | – | 25 | 22 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 5 | – | 9 | 3 |
INSA | 1–5 Nov 2021 | 1,212 | – | 27 | 21 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 5 | – | 7 | 6 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 31 Oct – 5 Nov 2021 | 1,200 | – | 28 | 20.5 | 15.5 | 14 | 10.5 | 4 | – | 7.5 | 7.5 |
GMS | 1–4 Nov 2021 | 1,005 | – | 26 | 21 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 4 | – | 8 | 5 |
Infratest dimap | 2–3 Nov 2021 | 1,329 | – | 27 | 21 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 5 | – | 8 | 6 |
Civey | 27 Oct – 3 Nov 2021 | 10,069 | – | 26 | 22 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 5 | – | 8 | 4 |
Kantar | 27 Oct – 2 Nov 2021 | 1,417 | – | 25 | 22 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
INSA | 29 Oct – 1 Nov 2021 | 2,140 | – | 27 | 20 | 16 | 13.5 | 11.5 | 5 | – | 7 | 7 |
Forsa | 26 Oct – 1 Nov 2021 | 2,501 | – | 25 | 21 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 5 | – | 9 | 4 |
INSA | 25–29 Oct 2021 | 1,503 | – | 27 | 21 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 5 | – | 7 | 6 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 26–28 Oct 2021 | 1,208 | 15 | 27 | 20 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 5 | – | 7 | 7 |
Infratest dimap | 26–27 Oct 2021 | 1,239 | – | 26 | 22 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 4 | – | 9 | 4 |
Civey | 20–27 Oct 2021 | 10,050 | – | 25 | 21 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 5 | – | 8 | 4 |
Kantar | 19–26 Oct 2021 | 1,422 | – | 25 | 21 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 5 | – | 7 | 4 |
INSA | 22–25 Oct 2021 | 2,105 | – | 28 | 20 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 5 | – | 6 | 8 |
Forsa | 19–25 Oct 2021 | 2,510 | – | 25 | 20 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 5 | – | 8 | 5 |
INSA | 18–22 Oct 2021 | 1,205 | – | 27 | 20 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 4 | – | 7 | 7 |
Civey | 13–20 Oct 2021 | 10,028 | – | 25 | 20 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 6 | – | 8 | 5 |
Kantar | 13–19 Oct 2021 | 1,424 | – | 25 | 21 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 5 | – | 9 | 4 |
INSA | 15–18 Oct 2021 | 2,140 | – | 28 | 18.5 | 16 | 15 | 11.5 | 5 | – | 6 | 9.5 |
Forsa | 12–18 Oct 2021 | 2,502 | – | 26 | 20 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 5 | – | 9 | 6 |
INSA | 11–15 Oct 2021 | 1,195 | – | 28 | 19 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 4 | – | 9 | 9 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12–14 Oct 2021 | 1,329 | 14 | 28 | 19 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 5 | – | 7 | 9 |
Allensbach | 1–14 Oct 2021 | 1,045 | – | 28 | 21 | 15 | 14 | 9.5 | 5 | – | 7.5 | 7 |
Civey | 6–13 Oct 2021 | 9,999 | – | 26 | 20 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 6 | – | 8 | 6 |
Kantar | 6–12 Oct 2021 | 1,410 | – | 26 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 5 | – | 9 | 7 |
INSA | 8–11 Oct 2021 | 2,101 | – | 28.5 | 19.5 | 16 | 14.5 | 11 | 4 | – | 6.5 | 9 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 7–10 Oct 2021 | 1,210 | – | 27 | 19 | 17.5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | – | 8.5 | 8 |
Forsa | 5–11 Oct 2021 | 2,503 | – | 26 | 20 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 5 | – | 10 | 6 |
INSA | 4–8 Oct 2021 | 1,509 | – | 28 | 20 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 5 | – | 8 | 8 |
Civey | 29 Sep – 6 Oct 2021 | 10,009 | – | 28 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 6 | – | 7 | 9 |
Kantar | 28 Sep – 5 Oct 2021 | 1,985 | – | 26 | 20 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
INSA | 1–4 Oct 2021 | 2,000 | – | 28 | 21 | 15.5 | 13.5 | 10 | 4.5 | – | 7.5 | 7 |
Forsa | 27 Sep – 4 Oct 2021 | 3,004 | – | 26 | 20 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 5 | – | 10 | 6 |
INSA | 27 Sep – 1 Oct 2021 | 1,254 | – | 28 | 21 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 28–30 Sep 2021 | 1,249 | 15 | 28 | 20 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 5 | – | 8 | 8 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 23.4 | 25.7 | 24.2 | 14.7 | 11.4 | 10.4 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 6.3 | 1.5 |
CDU and CSU
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | CDU | Grüne | FDP | AfD | CSU | Linke | FW | BSW | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
INSA | 13–16 Sep 2024 | 2,008 | 14 | 26 | 10 | 4.5 | 19.5 | 7 | 2.5 | – | 10 | 6.5 | 6.5 |
INSA | 6–9 Sep 2024 | 2,010 | 14 | 25.5 | 10 | 4 | 19.5 | 7 | 2.5 | – | 10 | 7.5 | 6 |
INSA | 30 Aug – 2 Sep 2024 | 2,002 | 15 | 24.5 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 19 | 7 | 2.5 | – | 9.5 | 7.5 | 5.5 |
INSA | 23–26 Aug 2024 | 2,004 | 15 | 24.5 | 11.5 | 5.5 | 18.5 | 7 | 3 | – | 9 | 6 | 6 |
INSA | 16–19 Aug 2024 | 2,006 | 15.5 | 24 | 10.5 | 5 | 19 | 6.5 | 3 | – | 9.5 | 7 | 5 |
INSA | 9–12 Aug 2024 | 2,008 | 15 | 23.5 | 10.5 | 5 | 18 | 7 | 3 | – | 9.5 | 8.5 | 5.5 |
INSA | 2–5 Aug 2024 | 2,002 | 15 | 24 | 10.5 | 5 | 17 | 6.5 | 3 | – | 9.5 | 9.5 | 7 |
INSA | 26–29 Jul 2024 | 2,006 | 15 | 24.5 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 5.5 | 3.5 | – | 9.5 | 9 | 6.5 |
INSA | 19–22 Jul 2024 | 2,010 | 15 | 24.5 | 10.5 | 5 | 17 | 6.5 | 3.5 | – | 9 | 9 | 7.5 |
INSA | 12–15 Jul 2024 | 2,500 | 15 | 24.5 | 11.5 | 5 | 18 | 6.5 | 3 | – | 8.5 | 8 | 6.5 |
INSA | 5–8 Jul 2024 | 2,007 | 15 | 24 | 11 | 5.5 | 17.5 | 6.5 | 3 | 1.5 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 6.5 |
INSA | 28 Jun – 1 Jul 2024 | 2,006 | 15 | 24 | 12 | 5.5 | 17.5 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 2 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 6.5 |
INSA | 21–24 Jun 2024 | 2,008 | 14.5 | 24.5 | 11.5 | 5 | 17.5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 7 |
INSA | 14–17 Jun 2024 | 2,010 | 15 | 24.5 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 6.5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7.5 |
INSA | 7–10 Jun 2024 | 2,008 | 15.5 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 8.5 | 7 |
INSA | 31 May – 3 Jun 2024 | 2,002 | 16 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 15.5 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 8 |
INSA | 24–27 May 2024 | 2,004 | 15 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 5.5 | 3 | 2.5 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
INSA | 17–21 May 2024 | 2,010 | 16 | 23.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 17 | 6.5 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6.5 | 6.5 |
INSA | 10–13 May 2024 | 2,087 | 15.5 | 24.5 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 6 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 6 | 7.5 |
INSA | 3–6 May 2024 | 2,006 | 15.5 | 23.5 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 7 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
Forsa | 30 Apr – 6 May 2024 | 2,000 | 16 | 24.5 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 6.5 | 3 | – | 4 | 13 | 8.5 |
INSA | 26–29 Apr 2024 | 2,004 | 16.5 | 23.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 18.5 | 6 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
INSA | 19–22 Apr 2024 | 2,008 | 15 | 23.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 18.5 | 7 | 4 | 2.5 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
INSA | 12–15 Apr 2024 | 2,006 | 16 | 23.5 | 13 | 6 | 18.5 | 6 | 3 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5 | 5 |
INSA | 5–8 Apr 2024 | 2,084 | 15 | 23.5 | 13 | 5 | 18.5 | 7 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 5 |
INSA | 28 Mar – 2 Apr 2024 | 2,004 | 15 | 23.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 19.5 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 4 |
INSA | 22–25 Mar 2024 | 2,008 | 15.5 | 23.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 19.5 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5 | 4 |
INSA | 15–18 Mar 2024 | 2,002 | 16 | 23.5 | 12 | 5 | 19.5 | 6 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 4 |
INSA | 8–11 Mar 2024 | 2,079 | 14.5 | 25.5 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 18.5 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 7 |
INSA | 1–4 Mar 2024 | 2,007 | 14.5 | 24.5 | 13 | 5.5 | 19.5 | 6 | 3 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5 | 5 |
INSA | 23–26 Feb 2024 | 2,006 | 15.5 | 24 | 13 | 4.5 | 19 | 6.5 | 3 | 3 | 7.5 | 4 | 5 |
INSA | 16–19 Feb 2024 | 2,007 | 14.5 | 24 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 19.5 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
INSA | 9–12 Feb 2024 | 2,083 | 15 | 23.5 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 20.5 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 3 |
INSA | 2–5 Feb 2024 | 2,004 | 15 | 24 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 20.5 | 6 | 3.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
INSA | 26–29 Jan 2024 | 2,002 | 14.5 | 23.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 21 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 4 | 2.5 |
INSA | 19–22 Jan 2024 | 2,006 | 13.5 | 23.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 21.5 | 7 | 3 | 2.5 | – | 11.5 | 2 |
INSA | 12–15 Jan 2024 | 2,004 | 14 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 3 | – | 8 | 1 |
INSA | 5–8 Jan 2024 | 2,008 | 16 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 3 | – | 5 | 2 |
INSA | 29 Dec – 2 Jan 2024 | 2,002 | 15 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 22.5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | – | 5.5 | 2.5 |
INSA | 22–27 Dec 2023 | 2,000 | 15 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 3 | – | 6 | 2 |
INSA | 15–18 Dec 2023 | 2,002 | 15,5 | 24.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 2.5 | – | 6 | 1.5 |
INSA | 8–11 Dec 2023 | 2,008 | 16 | 23.5 | 12.5 | 6 | 22.5 | 6.5 | 4 | 3 | – | 6 | 1 |
INSA | 1–4 Dec 2023 | 2,006 | 15.5 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 22.5 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 3 | – | 7 | 0.5 |
INSA | 24–27 Nov 2023 | 2,007 | 15.5 | 24.5 | 12.5 | 6 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 3 | – | 6.5 | 2.5 |
INSA | 17–20 Nov 2023 | 2,008 | 16.5 | 25.5 | 13 | 5.5 | 21 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 3 | – | 6.5 | 4.5 |
INSA | 10–13 Nov 2023 | 2,008 | 16.5 | 24.5 | 13.5 | 5 | 21.5 | 6 | 4.5 | 3 | – | 5.5 | 3 |
INSA | 3–6 Nov 2023 | 2,006 | 16.5 | 23 | 13.5 | 5.5 | 22 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 3 | – | 5.5 | 1 |
INSA | 27–30 Oct 2023 | 2,010 | 16.5 | 23.5 | 13 | 5.5 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 3.5 | – | 6 | 2.5 |
INSA | 20–23 Oct 2023 | 2,004 | 16.5 | 22 | 13 | 5.5 | 22 | 6.5 | 5 | 3.5 | – | 6 | Tie |
INSA | 13–16 Oct 2023 | 2,006 | 16.5 | 21.5 | 13 | 6 | 23 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 4 | – | 5 | 1.5 |
INSA | 6–9 Oct 2023 | 2,001 | 17 | 20.5 | 13.5 | 6 | 22.5 | 6.5 | 5 | 3 | – | 6 | 2 |
INSA | 29 Sep – 2 Oct 2023 | 2,010 | 18 | 21 | 13.5 | 7 | 22 | 5.5 | 5 | 2.5 | – | 5.5 | 1 |
INSA | 22–25 Sep 2023 | 2,003 | 17.5 | 20.5 | 13.5 | 6.5 | 21.5 | 6.5 | 5 | 3 | – | 6 | 1 |
INSA | 15–18 Sep 2023 | 2,008 | 17 | 21 | 14.5 | 6 | 21 | 5.5 | 5 | 3.5 | – | 6.5 | Tie |
INSA | 8–11 Sep 2023 | 2,002 | 18 | 19.5 | 14 | 7 | 22 | 7 | 4.5 | – | – | 8 | 2.5 |
INSA | 1–4 Sep 2023 | 2,010 | 17.5 | 20 | 13.5 | 7.5 | 21.5 | 6.5 | 4.5 | – | – | 9 | 1.5 |
INSA | 25–28 Aug 2023 | 2,006 | 18 | 20.5 | 14.5 | 7 | 21 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 8.5 | 0.5 |
INSA | 18–21 Aug 2023 | 2,008 | 18.5 | 19.5 | 14 | 8 | 20.5 | 7 | 5 | – | – | 7.5 | 1 |
INSA | 11–14 Aug 2023 | 2,002 | 19.5 | 19.5 | 13.5 | 7 | 21 | 6.5 | 4.5 | – | – | 8.5 | 1.5 |
INSA | 4–7 Aug 2023 | 2,004 | 19 | 22 | 14.5 | 7.5 | 20.5 | 5 | 4.5 | – | – | 7 | 1.5 |
INSA | 28–31 Jul 2023 | 2,003 | 18.5 | 20 | 14 | 6.5 | 21.5 | 6.5 | 5 | – | – | 8 | 1.5 |
INSA | 21–24 Jul 2023 | 2,006 | 18.5 | 20.5 | 14 | 7.5 | 21.5 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 7.5 | 1 |
INSA | 14–17 Jul 2023 | 2,004 | 18 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 20.5 | 7 | 5 | – | – | 8.5 | 0.5 |
INSA | 7–10 Jul 2023 | 2,008 | 19 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 20.5 | 5 | 5 | – | – | 8.5 | 0.5 |
INSA | 30 Jun – 3 Jul 2023 | 2,897 | 19 | 20.5 | 14.5 | 6.5 | 21 | 5 | 5 | – | – | 8.5 | 0.5 |
INSA | 23–26 Jun 2023 | 2,004 | 19.5 | 20 | 13.5 | 6.5 | 20.5 | 6.5 | 4.5 | – | – | 9 | 0.5 |
INSA | 16–19 Jun 2023 | 2,006 | 20 | 20.5 | 13.5 | 7.5 | 20 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 8 | 0.5 |
INSA | 9–12 Jun 2023 | 2,003 | 20 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19.5 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 8 | 1 |
INSA | 2–5 Jun 2023 | 2,009 | 19 | 20.5 | 13.5 | 9 | 19 | 6 | 5 | – | – | 8 | 1.5 |
INSA | 26–30 May 2023 | 2,004 | 20.5 | 23 | 13 | 8.5 | 18 | 5 | 4.5 | – | – | 7.5 | 2.5 |
INSA | 19–22 May 2023 | 2,004 | 20.5 | 21 | 14 | 8.5 | 17 | 6.5 | 5 | – | – | 7.5 | 0.5 |
INSA | 12–15 May 2023 | 2,010 | 20 | 22 | 14.5 | 8.5 | 16.5 | 6 | 5 | – | – | 7.5 | 2 |
INSA | 5–8 May 2023 | 2,008 | 20 | 22 | 14 | 9 | 16.5 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 8 | 2 |
INSA | 28 Apr – 2 May 2023 | 2,006 | 21 | 21 | 15 | 8 | 16.5 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 8 | Tie |
INSA | 21–24 Apr 2023 | 2,004 | 20 | 21 | 14.5 | 9 | 16 | 6.5 | 4.5 | – | – | 8.5 | 1 |
INSA | 14–17 Apr 2023 | 2,008 | 21 | 20.5 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 7 | 4.5 | – | – | 8 | 0.5 |
INSA | 6–11 Apr 2023 | 2,005 | 20 | 22 | 15.5 | 8 | 16 | 5.5 | 4.5 | – | – | 8.5 | 2 |
INSA | 31 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 | 2,007 | 20 | 22 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 16 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 8.5 | 2 |
INSA | 24–27 Mar 2023 | 2,004 | 20.5 | 23 | 16 | 8 | 15.5 | 5 | 4 | – | – | 8 | 2.5 |
INSA | 17–20 Mar 2023 | 2,006 | 21.5 | 22 | 15 | 7.5 | 16 | 6 | 5 | – | – | 7 | 0.5 |
INSA | 10–13 Mar 2023 | 2,002 | 21.5 | 22 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 16 | 6.5 | 4 | – | – | 7 | 0.5 |
INSA | 3–6 Mar 2023 | 2,007 | 20 | 23.5 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 15.5 | 6 | 5 | – | – | 7 | 3.5 |
INSA | 24–27 Feb 2023 | 2,010 | 20.5 | 23.5 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 15.5 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 7 | 3 |
INSA | 17–20 Feb 2023 | 2,006 | 21.5 | 24 | 15.5 | 7 | 15.5 | 5 | 5 | – | – | 6.5 | 2.5 |
INSA | 10–13 Feb 2023 | 2,005 | 20 | 21 | 16 | 7.5 | 16 | 7 | 5 | – | – | 7.5 | 1 |
INSA | 3–6 Feb 2023 | 2,008 | 21 | 20 | 16 | 8 | 15.5 | 7 | 5 | – | – | 7.5 | 1 |
INSA | 27–30 Jan 2023 | 2,007 | 20.5 | 21 | 16 | 7.5 | 15 | 7.5 | 5 | – | – | 7.5 | 0.5 |
INSA | 20–23 Jan 2023 | 2,009 | 20.5 | 22 | 16.5 | 7.5 | 15 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 8 | 1.5 |
INSA | 13–16 Jan 2023 | 2,006 | 21 | 21 | 16.5 | 7.5 | 15 | 7 | 5 | – | – | 7 | Tie |
INSA | 6–9 Jan 2023 | 2,006 | 20 | 21 | 17.5 | 7.5 | 15 | 6 | 5 | – | – | 8 | 1 |
INSA | 29 Dec – 2 Jan 2023 | 2,010 | 20 | 21 | 17.5 | 7.5 | 15 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 8.5 | 1 |
INSA | 16–19 Dec 2022 | 2,005 | 21 | 22 | 17.5 | 7.5 | 14.5 | 5.5 | 4.5 | – | – | 7.5 | 1 |
INSA | 9–12 Dec 2022 | 2,007 | 20 | 21.5 | 18 | 7 | 15.5 | 7 | 4.5 | – | – | 6.5 | 1.5 |
INSA | 3–5 Dec 2022 | 2,008 | 20.5 | 22 | 17 | 7 | 14.5 | 6 | 5 | – | – | 8 | 1.5 |
INSA | 25–28 Nov 2022 | 2,006 | 21 | 21 | 17.5 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 5 | – | – | 7.5 | Tie |
INSA | 18–21 Nov 2022 | 2,004 | 20 | 22 | 17 | 7.5 | 15 | 6 | 5 | – | – | 7.5 | 2 |
INSA | 11–14 Nov 2022 | 2,010 | 20.5 | 21 | 17.5 | 7 | 15 | 6.5 | 4.5 | – | – | 8 | 0.5 |
INSA | 4–7 Nov 2022 | 2,007 | 21 | 21 | 17.5 | 8 | 14.5 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 7.5 | Tie |
INSA | 28–31 Oct 2022 | 2,009 | 20.5 | 20 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 7 | 0.5 |
INSA | 21–24 Oct 2022 | 2,007 | 20.5 | 20.5 | 17.5 | 8.5 | 15 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 7.5 | Tie |
INSA | 14–17 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 19.5 | 20.5 | 18.5 | 7.5 | 15.5 | 7 | 4.5 | – | – | 7 | 1 |
INSA | 7–10 Oct 2022 | 2,005 | 19.5 | 20.5 | 19 | 7.5 | 15 | 7 | 5 | – | – | 6.5 | 1 |
INSA | 30 Sep – 3 Oct 2022 | 2,008 | 19 | 21.5 | 18.5 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 5.5 | – | – | 6.5 | 2.5 |
INSA | 23–26 Sep 2022 | 2,102 | 18 | 21.5 | 19.5 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 5.5 | – | – | 6.5 | 2 |
INSA | 16–19 Sep 2022 | 2,080 | 18.5 | 22 | 19 | 7.5 | 14 | 6.5 | 5.5 | – | – | 7 | 3 |
INSA | 9–12 Sep 2022 | 2,039 | 18 | 22 | 20 | 8 | 13.5 | 6 | 5.5 | – | – | 7 | 2 |
INSA | 2–5 Sep 2022 | 2,004 | 18 | 22 | 20.5 | 7.5 | 13.5 | 6 | 5.5 | – | – | 7 | 1.5 |
INSA | 26–29 Aug 2022 | 2,138 | 19 | 22.5 | 20.5 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 5.5 | – | – | 6.5 | 2 |
INSA | 19–22 Aug 2022 | 2,091 | 18.5 | 22 | 21 | 7.5 | 13 | 6 | 5.5 | – | – | 6.5 | 1 |
INSA | 12–15 Aug 2022 | 2,146 | 19 | 22 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 5 | – | – | 6 | Tie |
INSA | 5–8 Aug 2022 | 2,099 | 18 | 21 | 21.5 | 8 | 12.5 | 6 | 5.5 | – | – | 7.5 | 0.5 |
INSA | 29 Jul – 1 Aug 2022 | 2,144 | 18.5 | 20.5 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 5 | – | – | 8 | 1.5 |
INSA | 22–25 Jul 2022 | 2,043 | 18.5 | 21.5 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5 | – | – | 8 | 0.5 |
INSA | 15–18 Jul 2022 | 2,062 | 18.5 | 21.5 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 4.5 | – | – | 8.5 | 0.5 |
INSA | 8–11 Jul 2022 | 2,044 | 20 | 21.5 | 21 | 8.5 | 11 | 5.5 | 4.5 | – | – | 8 | 0.5 |
INSA | 1–4 Jul 2022 | 2,066 | 19 | 23 | 21 | 9.5 | 11 | 5 | 4 | – | – | 7.5 | 2 |
INSA | 24–27 Jun 2022 | 2,101 | 20 | 22 | 21.5 | 9 | 10.5 | 5 | 4 | – | – | 8 | 0.5 |
INSA | 17–20 Jun 2022 | 2,063 | 19.5 | 21 | 21 | 9.5 | 10 | 7 | 4 | – | – | 8 | Tie |
INSA | 10–13 Jun 2022 | 2,082 | 20 | 21.5 | 21 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 6 | 3.5 | – | – | 8 | 0.5 |
INSA | 3–7 Jun 2022 | 2,055 | 20 | 21.5 | 21.5 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 5.5 | 3.5 | – | – | 8 | Tie |
INSA | 27–30 May 2022 | 2,056 | 22 | 20.5 | 20.5 | 8.5 | 10 | 6.5 | 3.5 | – | – | 8.5 | 1.5 |
INSA | 20–23 May 2022 | 2,100 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 8.5 | 10.5 | 6.5 | 3 | – | – | 7.5 | Tie |
INSA | 13–16 May 2022 | 2,147 | 21.5 | 23 | 20.5 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 3 | – | – | 7 | 1.5 |
INSA | 6–9 May 2022 | 2,086 | 22.5 | 21 | 19 | 10 | 10.5 | 6.5 | 3.5 | – | – | 7 | 1.5 |
INSA | 29 Apr – 2 May 2022 | 2,146 | 23 | 21 | 19 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 6.5 | 2 |
INSA | 22–25 Apr 2022 | 2,056 | 24 | 20 | 18 | 9 | 11.5 | 6.5 | 4.5 | – | – | 6.5 | 4 |
INSA | 15–18 Apr 2022 | 2,073 | 23.5 | 20 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 7 | 3.5 |
INSA | 8–11 Apr 2022 | 2,061 | 25 | 20 | 17.5 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 4.5 | – | – | 6 | 5 |
INSA | 1–4 Apr 2022 | 2,063 | 25 | 21 | 17.5 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 5 | 4.5 | – | – | 6 | 4 |
INSA | 25–28 Mar 2022 | 2,070 | 25 | 21 | 16.5 | 10 | 10.5 | 5 | 5.5 | – | – | 6.5 | 4 |
INSA | 18–21 Mar 2022 | 2,122 | 24.5 | 20.5 | 16.5 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 6 | 4 |
INSA | 11–14 Mar 2022 | 2,073 | 25 | 19.5 | 15.5 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 6 | 5 | – | – | 8 | 5.5 |
INSA | 4–7 Mar 2022 | 2,103 | 25 | 19 | 15.5 | 11 | 10.5 | 5.5 | 6 | – | – | 7.5 | 6 |
INSA | 18–21 Feb 2022 | 1,539 | 23 | 22 | 14.5 | 12.5 | 11 | 5 | 6 | – | – | 6 | 1 |
INSA | 11–14 Feb 2022 | 2,141 | 22.5 | 21 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 6 | – | – | 6.5 | 1.5 |
INSA | 4–7 Feb 2022 | 2,067 | 23 | 20 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 7 | – | – | 6 | 3 |
INSA | 28–31 Jan 2022 | 2,147 | 24 | 20 | 15 | 12.5 | 10 | 5 | 6.5 | – | – | 7 | 4 |
INSA | 21–24 Jan 2022 | 2,146 | 26 | 19 | 15 | 11.5 | 11 | 5 | 6 | – | – | 6.5 | 7 |
INSA | 14–17 Jan 2022 | 2,130 | 26 | 17 | 15.5 | 12 | 12 | 5.5 | 6 | – | – | 6.5 | 9 |
INSA | 7–10 Jan 2022 | 2,107 | 26.5 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 5 | – | – | 6.5 | 8.5 |
INSA | 31 Dec – 3 Jan 2022 | 2,060 | 26.5 | 17 | 15.5 | 11 | 11.5 | 6 | 6 | – | – | 6.5 | 9.5 |
INSA | 17–20 Dec 2021 | 2,075 | 27.5 | 17 | 14.5 | 13 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 | – | – | 6.5 | 10.5 |
INSA | 10–13 Dec 2021 | 2,221 | 27 | 17 | 14.5 | 13 | 11.5 | 5 | 5.5 | – | – | 6.5 | 10 |
INSA | 3–6 Dec 2021 | 2,119 | 26 | 17 | 15 | 13.5 | 11.5 | 5 | 5.5 | – | – | 6.5 | 9 |
INSA | 26–29 Nov 2021 | 2,129 | 25 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 5.5 | – | – | 7.5 | 8 |
INSA | 19–22 Nov 2021 | 2,096 | 26 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 5.5 | – | – | 7.5 | 8 |
INSA | 12–15 Nov 2021 | 2,091 | 27 | 16.5 | 15 | 13 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 | – | – | 7 | 10.5 |
INSA | 5–8 Nov 2021 | 2,112 | 26.5 | 16.5 | 16 | 13.5 | 10.5 | 4 | 5.5 | – | – | 7.5 | 10 |
INSA | 22–25 Oct 2021 | 2,105 | 28 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 5 | – | – | 6 | 12 |
INSA | 15–18 Oct 2021 | 2,140 | 28 | 13.5 | 16 | 15 | 11.5 | 5 | 5 | – | – | 6 | 12 |
INSA | 8–11 Oct 2021 | 2,101 | 28.5 | 14 | 16 | 14.5 | 11 | 5.5 | 4 | – | – | 6.5 | 12.5 |
INSA | 1–4 Oct 2021 | 2,000 | 28 | 15 | 15.5 | 13.5 | 10 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 7.5 | 12.5 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 25.7 | 19.0 | 14.7 | 11.4 | 10.4 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 2.4 | – | 6.3 | 6.8 |
Scenario polls
[edit]New party scenarios
[edit]- Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht[a]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | BSW | Others | Don't Know | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wahlkreisprognose | 2–4 Jan 2024 | 1,500 | 24 | 13 | 28.5 | 11.5 | 6 | 23.5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6.5 | – | 5 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 25–27 Nov 2023 | 1,200 | 25 | 14.5 | 28 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 23.5 | 3 | – | 6 | 7 | – | 4.5 |
INSA | 9–10 Nov 2023 | 1,004 | – | 17 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 5 | – | 7 |
INSA | 26–27 Oct 2023 | 1,005 | – | 15 | 29 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 4 | – | 14 | 2 | – | 12 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 23–25 Oct 2023 | 1,300 | 24 | 15.5 | 26.5 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 18 | 3 | – | 13 | 6 | – | 8.5 |
INSA | 20–23 Oct 2023 | 2,004 | – | 15.5 | 26.5 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 18 | 4 | – | 12 | 6 | – | 8.5 |
INSA | 28–31 Jul 2023 | 2,003 | – | 17 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 3 | – | 15 | 6 | – | 6 |
YouGov | 14–19 Jul 2023 | 2,317 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 5 | – | 2 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023 | 1,419 | 25 | 22 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 2 | – | 14 | 5 | – | 4 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 20–22 Sep 2022 | 1,700 | – | 20 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 3 | – | 10 | 8 | – | 4 |
- Boris Palmer list
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | Liste Palmer | Others | Don't Know | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
INSA | 28–31 Jul 2023 | 2,003 | – | 19 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 6 | – | 2 |
Leadership scenarios
[edit]- Friedrich Merz as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | BSW | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wahlkreisprognose | 25–27 Nov 2023 | 1,200 | 15.5 | 26.5 | 10 | 5 | 24.5 | 3 | – | 6.5 | 9 | 2 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jul 2023 | 1,525 | 22.5 | 20 | 14 | 6.5 | 20 | 4 | 5 | – | 8 | 2.5 |
- Boris Pistorius as SPD chancellor candidate
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | BSW | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wahlkreisprognose | 25–27 Nov 2023 | 1,200 | 24 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 2 | – | 7 | 8 | 1 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jul 2023 | 1,525 | 27.5 | 17 | 13.5 | 6 | 20 | 3.5 | 3 | – | 9.5 | 7.5 |
- Hendrik Wüst as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jul 2023 | 1,525 | 21.5 | 23 | 13.5 | 5 | 22 | 4.5 | 2 | 8.5 | 1.5 |
- Markus Söder as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jul 2023 | 1,525 | 21 | 28 | 15 | 6.5 | 19.5 | 3.5 | 1 | 5.5 | 7 |
- Sahra Wagenknecht as Linke lead candidate
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jul 2023 | 1,525 | 21 | 21 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 6 | Tie |
Other scenarios
[edit]- National-wide CSU
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | CDU | Grüne | FDP | AfD | CSU | Linke | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
INSA | 28–31 Jul 2023 | 2,003 | 17 | 20 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 8 | Tie |
- CDU/CSU open for cooperation with AfD
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jul 2023 | 1,525 | 25 | 16.5 | 14.5 | 9 | 19 | 3.5 | 6 | 6.5 | 6 |
By state
[edit]Bavaria
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
CSU | SPD | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Free Voters | Linke | BSW | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GMS | 11–16 Sep 2024 | 1,048 | 42 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 27 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 2–5 Dec 2022 | 1,944 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 2 | – | 6 | 15 |
Forsa | 23 May – 3 Jun 2022 | 1,049 | 36 | 12 | 22 | 8 | 8 | – | 2 | – | 12 | 14 |
Forsa | 27 Apr – 13 May 2022 | 1,235 | 34 | 14 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 2 | – | 6 | 13 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 31.7 | 18.0 | 14.1 | 10.5 | 9.0 | 7.5 | 2.8 | – | 6.4 | 13.7 |
Brandenburg
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | AfD | CDU | FDP | Grüne | Linke | BSW | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forsa | 6–10 Jan 2024 | 1,007 | 17 | 33 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 13 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 4–11 Sep 2022 | 1,100 | 25 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 12.5 | 9 | – | 9.5 | Tie |
Wahlkreisprognose | 9–17 May 2022 | 1,001 | 35.5 | 16.5 | 15.5 | 4 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 9 | 19 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 29.5 | 18.1 | 15.3 | 9.3 | 9.0 | 8.5 | – | 10.3 | 11.4 |
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | AfD | CDU | Linke | FDP | Grüne | BSW | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Infratest dimap | 2–7 May 2024 | 1,177 | 19 | 23 | 23 | 6 | – | 8 | 12 | 9 | Tie |
Forsa | 25 Apr – 3 May 2024 | 1,005 | 15 | 27 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 4 |
Forsa | 10–16 Jan 2024 | 1,002 | 15 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
Infratest dimap | 13–16 Sep 2023 | 1,182 | 21 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 8 | – | 7 | 11 |
Forsa | 18–23 Jan 2023 | 1,004 | 20 | 23 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 10 | – | 10 | 1 |
Infratest dimap | 13–18 Oct 2022 | 1,168 | 25 | 24 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 9 | – | 8 | 1 |
Infratest dimap | 1–4 Jun 2022 | 1,183 | 25 | 18 | 23 | 9 | 5 | 12 | – | 8 | 2 |
Forsa | 14–18 Mar 2022 | 1,001 | 29 | 16 | 21 | 10 | 6 | 9 | – | 9 | 8 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 29.1 | 18.0 | 17.4 | 11.1 | 8.2 | 7.8 | – | 8.4 | 11.1 |
North Rhine-Westphalia
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | CDU | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | BSW | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forsa | 23 Jul – 1 Aug 2024 | 1,060 | 18 | 34 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 |
Forsa | 5–14 Mar 2024 | 1,502 | 18 | 32 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
Forsa | 29 May – 7 Jun 2023 | 1,506 | 23 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 3 | – | 7 | 7 |
Forsa | 27–28 Mar 2023 | 1,005 | 22 | 32 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 4 | – | 8 | 10 |
Forsa | 21–26 Sep 2022 | 1,511 | 21 | 30 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 4 | – | 7 | 9 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 27–30 Jun 2022 | 1,040 | 25.5 | 25 | 22 | 8 | 8.5 | 3 | – | 8 | 0.5 |
Forsa | 16 Feb 2022 | 1,008 | 25 | 30 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 2 | – | 6 | 5 |
Forsa | 26 Jan – 2 Feb 2022 | 2,006 | 28 | 25 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 4 | – | 7 | 3 |
Forsa | 26 Nov – 7 Dec 2021 | 2,009 | 29 | 23 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 4 | – | 7 | 6 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 29.1 | 26.0 | 16.1 | 11.4 | 7.3 | 3.7 | – | 6.5 | 3.1 |
Rhineland-Palatinate
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | CDU | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wahlkreisprognose | 11–18 May 2022 | 1,042 | 30 | 30.5 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 1.5 | 9 | 0.5 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 29.4 | 24.7 | 12.6 | 11.7 | 9.2 | 3.3 | 9.2 | 4.7 |
Saxony
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
AfD | SPD | CDU | Linke | FDP | Grüne | BSW | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forsa | 7–10 Jan 2024 | 1,507 | 36 | 9 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 24.6 | 19.3 | 17.2 | 9.3 | 11.0 | 8.6 | – | 9.9 | 5.3 |
Saxony-Anhalt
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | CDU | AfD | Linke | FDP | Grüne | BSW | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wahlkreisprognose | 21–29 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 12 | 20 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 8 | 8 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 13–21 Feb 2022 | 1,005 | 21.5 | 21.5 | 19.5 | 13 | 7.5 | 7.5 | – | 9.5 | Tie |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 25.4 | 21.0 | 19.6 | 9.6 | 9.5 | 6.5 | – | 8.4 | 4.4 |
Schleswig-Holstein
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | CDU | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wahlkreisprognose | 10–19 Feb 2022 | 2,000 | 28 | 22.5 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 4.5 | 7 | 5.5 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 28.0 | 22.0 | 18.3 | 12.5 | 6.8 | 3.6 | 8.7 | 6.0 |
Thuringia
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
AfD | SPD | CDU | Linke | FDP | Grüne | BSW | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forsa | 6–10 Jan 2024 | 1,253 | 36 | 12 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 13 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 5–11 Dec 2022 | 1,016 | 32 | 19.5 | 18.5 | 8.5 | 5 | 7.5 | – | 9 | 12.5 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 3–4 Apr 2022 | 994 | 22.5 | 27 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 8.5 | – | 10 | 4.5 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 24.0 | 23.4 | 16.9 | 11.4 | 9.0 | 6.5 | – | 8.7 | 0.6 |
By West and East Germany
[edit]West Germany
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | BSW | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
INSA | 9–12 Aug 2024 | 2,008 in all of Germany | 16 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 2 | – | 8 | 9 | 16 |
YouGov | 31 May – 5 Jun 2024 | 2,295 in all of Germany | 15 | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 |
INSA | 22–27 Dec 2023 | 2,000 in all of Germany | 16 | 34 | 13 | 5 | 20 | 3 | – | – | 9 | 14 |
Forsa | 30 May – 5 Jun 2023 | 2,505 in all of Germany | 19 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 5 | – | – | 10 | 11 |
INSA | 23–26 Sep 2022 | 2,102 in all of Germany | 19 | 28 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 5 | – | – | 7 | 9 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 26.1 | 25.6 | 15.9 | 11.9 | 8.2 | 3.7 | – | – | 8.6 | 0.5 |
East Germany
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | AfD | CDU | Linke | FDP | Grüne | BSW | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
INSA | 9–12 Aug 2024 | 2,008 in all of Germany | 11 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 8 | 6 |
YouGov | 31 May – 5 Jun 2024 | 2,295 in all of Germany | 10 | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 19 | 8 | 7 |
INSA | 22–27 Dec 2023 | 2,000 in all of Germany | 12 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 8 | – | 9 | 12 |
Verian | 24 Oct – 15 Nov 2023 | 830 in East Germany | 12 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 9 | – | 10 | 8 |
Forsa | 30 May – 5 Jun 2023 | 2,505 in all of Germany | 16 | 32 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 6 | – | 9 | 9 |
INSA | 17 Apr – 5 May 2023 | 7,618 in all of Germany | 20 | 26 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 10 | – | 4 | 3 |
INSA | 23–26 Sep 2022 | 2,102 in all of Germany | 15 | 27 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 14 | – | 3 | 1 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 24.1 | 20.5 | 16.8 | 10.4 | 9.5 | 9.2 | – | 9.5 | 3.6 |
Chancellor polling
[edit]These polls were conducted before the announcement of each party's candidate for Chancellor; they gauged opinion on various politicians who were considered to be plausible candidates for their respective parties.
Scholz vs. Merz
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Scholz SPD |
Merz Union |
Neither |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forsa | 10–16 Sep 2024 | 2,501 | 26 | 26 | 48 |
INSA | 12–13 Sep 2024 | 1,004 | 21 | 25 | 54 |
Forsa | 3–9 Sep 2024 | 2,500 | 24 | 28 | 48 |
Forsa | 27 Aug – 2 Sep 2024 | 2,508 | 23 | 27 | 50 |
Forsa | 20–26 Aug 2024 | 2,501 | 25 | 25 | 50 |
Forsa | 13–19 Aug 2024 | 2,503 | 26 | 26 | 48 |
Forsa | 6–12 Aug 2024 | 2,502 | 27 | 27 | 46 |
INSA | 8–9 Aug 2024 | 1,004 | 23 | 35 | 42 |
Forsa | 30 Jul – 5 Aug 2024 | 2,500 | 28 | 28 | 44 |
Forsa | 23–29 Jul 2024 | 2,501 | 27 | 27 | 46 |
Forsa | 16–22 Jul 2024 | 2,504 | 26 | 29 | 45 |
Forsa | 9–15 Jul 2024 | 2,503 | 26 | 29 | 45 |
Forsa | 2–8 Jul 2024 | 2,504 | 25 | 28 | 47 |
Forsa | 25 Jun – 1 Jul 2024 | 2,506 | 27 | 28 | 45 |
Forsa | 18–24 Jun 2024 | 2,505 | 27 | 29 | 44 |
Forsa | 11–17 Jun 2024 | 2,504 | 28 | 30 | 42 |
Forsa | 4–10 Jun 2024 | 2,505 | 30 | 28 | 42 |
Forsa | 28 May – 3 Jun 2024 | 2,506 | 31 | 28 | 41 |
Forsa | 21–27 May 2024 | 2,503 | 33 | 31 | 36 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 13–19 May 2024 | 2,500 | 26 | 31 | 43 |
Forsa | 8–13 May 2024 | 1,503 | 32 | 29 | 39 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 18–20 Mar 2024 | 1,300 | 26 | 26 | 48 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 21–22 Feb 2024 | 1,300 | 23 | 25 | 52 |
INSA | 25–26 Jan 2024 | 1,001 | 21 | 28 | 51 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 22–24 Jan 2024 | 1,366 | 21 | 32 | 47 |
Forsa | 9–15 Jan 2024 | 1,502 | 27 | 28 | 45 |
INSA | 4–5 Jan 2024 | 1,004 | 23 | 26 | 51 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 2–4 Jan 2024 | 1,500 | 17 | 34 | 49 |
INSA | 14–15 Dec 2023 | 1,001 | 17 | 18 | 65 |
Forsa | 28 Nov – 4 Dec 2023 | 2,501 | 36 | 32 | 32 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 25–27 Nov 2023 | 1,200 | 19 | 29 | 52 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 23–25 Oct 2023 | 1,300 | 25 | 24 | 51 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 24–25 Sep 2023 | 1,200 | 27 | 24 | 49 |
INSA | 7–8 Sep 2023 | 1,001 | 23 | 15 | 62 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 22–27 Aug 2023 | 1,200 | 23 | 20 | 57 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jul 2023 | 1,525 | 26 | 24 | 50 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 22–25 Jun 2023 | 1,399 | 31 | 21 | 48 |
INSA | 15–16 Jun 2023 | 1,003 | 25 | 16 | 59 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 1–2 Jun 2023 | 1,100 | 28 | 27 | 45 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 26–30 Apr 2023 | 1,400 | 36 | 30 | 34 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 23–26 Mar 2023 | 1,200 | 33 | 21 | 46 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023 | 1,419 | 33 | 20 | 47 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jan 2023 | 1,421 | 33 | 19 | 48 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 15–16 Jan 2023 | 1,500 | 29 | 25 | 46 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 7–9 Dec 2022 | 1,500 | 38 | 21 | 41 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 7–8 Nov 2022 | 1,300 | 37 | 21 | 42 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 18–21 Oct 2022 | 1,910 | 36 | 24 | 40 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 3–6 Oct 2022 | 1,923 | 36 | 29 | 35 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 20–22 Sep 2022 | 1,700 | 36 | 24 | 40 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 16–18 Aug 2022 | 1,433 | 40 | 13 | 47 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 6–12 Aug 2022 | 2,920 | 42 | 13 | 45 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 19–20 Jul 2022 | 1,400 | 46 | 16 | 38 |
Forsa | 12–18 Jul 2022 | 2,501 | 40 | 18 | 42 |
Forsa | 5–11 Jul 2022 | 2,503 | 43 | 17 | 40 |
Forsa | 28 Jun – 4 Jul 2022 | 2,502 | 43 | 17 | 40 |
Forsa | 21–27 Jun 2022 | 2,500 | 42 | 19 | 39 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 23–26 Jun 2022 | 2,430 | 46 | 15 | 39 |
Forsa | 14–20 Jun 2022 | 2,504 | 39 | 20 | 41 |
Forsa | 7–13 Jun 2022 | 2,511 | 38 | 21 | 41 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 7–8 Jun 2022 | 1,603 | 46 | 16 | 38 |
Forsa | 31 May – 3 Jun 2022 | 2,002 | 41 | 20 | 39 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 30 May – 1 Jun 2022 | 1,500 | 45 | 18 | 37 |
Forsa | 24–30 May 2022 | 2,004 | 39 | 20 | 41 |
Forsa | 17–23 May 2022 | 2,505 | 41 | 19 | 40 |
INSA | 20 May 2022 | 1,003 | 26 | 15 | 59 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 15–16 May 2022 | 1,302 | 42 | 26 | 32 |
Forsa | 10–16 May 2022 | 2,502 | 42 | 19 | 39 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 8–9 May 2022 | 1,610 | 46 | 26 | 28 |
Forsa | 3–9 May 2022 | 2,501 | 42 | 18 | 40 |
Forsa | 26 Apr – 2 May 2022 | 2,508 | 43 | 19 | 38 |
Forsa | 19–25 Apr 2022 | 2,507 | 42 | 18 | 40 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 23 Apr 2022 | 1,007 | 45 | 16 | 39 |
Forsa | 12–14 Apr 2022 | 1,501 | 43 | 18 | 39 |
Forsa | 5–11 Apr 2022 | 2,500 | 42 | 18 | 40 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 3–4 Apr 2022 | 2,450 | 51 | 17 | 32 |
Forsa | 29 Mar – 4 Apr 2022 | 2,508 | 43 | 18 | 39 |
Forsa | 22–28 Mar 2022 | 2,507 | 42 | 20 | 38 |
Forsa | 15–21 Mar 2022 | 2,501 | 44 | 20 | 36 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 18–20 Mar 2022 | 3,923 | 51.5 | 21.5 | 27 |
Forsa | 8–14 Mar 2022 | 2,502 | 46 | 19 | 35 |
Forsa | 1–7 Mar 2022 | 2,501 | 48 | 19 | 33 |
Forsa | 24–28 Feb 2022 | 1,500 | 45 | 20 | 35 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 24–27 Feb 2022 | 2,030 | 49 | 19 | 32 |
Forsa | 15–21 Feb 2022 | 2,500 | 42 | 20 | 38 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 13–15 Feb 2022 | 1,220 | 43 | 25 | 32 |
Forsa | 8–14 Feb 2022 | 2,504 | 40 | 21 | 39 |
Forsa | 1–7 Feb 2022 | 2,502 | 40 | 22 | 38 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 2–3 Feb 2022 | 2,330 | 42 | 31 | 27 |
Forsa | 25–31 Jan 2022 | 2,501 | 43 | 21 | 36 |
Forsa | 18–24 Jan 2022 | 2,502 | 48 | 19 | 33 |
Forsa | 11–17 Jan 2022 | 2,504 | 48 | 17 | 35 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 11–12 Jan 2022 | 1,030 | 54 | 19 | 27 |
Forsa | 3–10 Jan 2022 | 3,003 | 49 | 18 | 33 |
Forsa | 14–20 Dec 2021 | 2,501 | 50 | 18 | 32 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 18–19 Dec 2021 | 1,120 | 55 | 20 | 25 |
Forsa | 23–29 Nov 2021 | 2,509 | 45 | 18 | 37 |
Forsa | 16–22 Nov 2021 | 2,501 | 45 | 19 | 36 |
Forsa | 9–15 Nov 2021 | 2,510 | 46 | 19 | 35 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 11–12 Nov 2021 | 1,004 | 44 | 21 | 35 |
Forsa | 2–8 Nov 2021 | 2,502 | 52 | 17 | 31 |
Scholz vs. Söder
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Scholz SPD |
Söder Union |
Neither |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
INSA | 8–9 Aug 2024 | 1,004 | 23 | 41 | 36 |
Forsa | 8–13 May 2024 | 1,503 | 30 | 36 | 34 |
Forsa | 9–15 Jan 2024 | 1,502 | 27 | 40 | 33 |
INSA | 4–5 Jan 2024 | 1,004 | 20 | 36 | 44 |
INSA | 7–8 Sep 2023 | 1,001 | 26 | 32 | 42 |
INSA | 15–16 Jun 2023 | 1,003 | 30 | 31 | 39 |
INSA | 20 May 2022 | 1,003 | 32 | 29 | 39 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 18–19 Dec 2021 | 1,120 | 49 | 28 | 23 |
Forsa | 2–8 Nov 2021 | 2,502 | 39 | 33 | 28 |
Forsa | 5–11 Oct 2021 | 2,503 | 37 | 33 | 30 |
Scholz vs. Wüst
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Scholz SPD |
Wüst Union |
Neither |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
INSA | 8–9 Aug 2024 | 1,004 | 23 | 26 | 51 |
Forsa | 8–13 May 2024 | 1,503 | 28 | 28 | 44 |
Forsa | 9–15 Jan 2024 | 1,502 | 25 | 36 | 39 |
INSA | 15–16 Jun 2023 | 1,003 | 29 | 18 | 53 |
INSA | 20 May 2022 | 1,003 | 32 | 14 | 54 |
Scholz vs. Merz vs. Habeck
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Scholz SPD |
Merz Union |
Habeck Grüne |
Neither |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
INSA | 11–12 Jul 2024 | 1,250 | 17 | 31 | 16 | 36 |
Forsa | 14–17 May 2024 | 2,001 | 17 | 26 | 18 | 39 |
Forsa | 7–13 May 2024 | 2,006 | 17 | 25 | 17 | 41 |
Forsa | 30 Apr – 6 May 2024 | 2,000 | 18 | 23 | 17 | 42 |
Forsa | 23–29 Apr 2024 | 2,505 | 17 | 23 | 17 | 43 |
Forsa | 16–22 Apr 2024 | 2,501 | 17 | 22 | 16 | 45 |
Forsa | 9–15 Apr 2024 | 2,505 | 17 | 22 | 16 | 45 |
INSA | 11–12 Apr 2024 | 1,003 | 20 | 30 | 14 | 36 |
Forsa | 2–8 Apr 2024 | 2,506 | 18 | 21 | 17 | 44 |
Forsa | 26–28 Mar 2024 | 1,508 | 19 | 22 | 17 | 42 |
Forsa | 19–25 Mar 2024 | 2,503 | 18 | 22 | 17 | 43 |
Forsa | 12–18 Mar 2024 | 2,500 | 16 | 21 | 18 | 45 |
Forsa | 5–11 Mar 2024 | 2,502 | 15 | 21 | 19 | 45 |
Forsa | 27 Feb – 4 Mar 2024 | 2,506 | 15 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
Forsa | 20–26 Feb 2024 | 2,503 | 15 | 25 | 18 | 42 |
Forsa | 13–19 Feb 2024 | 2,504 | 14 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
Forsa | 6–12 Feb 2024 | 2,502 | 15 | 23 | 19 | 43 |
Forsa | 30 Jan – 5 Feb 2024 | 2,503 | 12 | 25 | 19 | 44 |
Forsa | 23–29 Jan 2024 | 2,506 | 12 | 24 | 19 | 45 |
Forsa | 16–22 Jan 2024 | 2,503 | 13 | 25 | 17 | 45 |
Forsa | 9–15 Jan 2024 | 2,504 | 15 | 24 | 15 | 46 |
Forsa | 2–8 Jan 2024 | 2,502 | 15 | 24 | 15 | 46 |
Forsa | 19–22 Dec 2023 | – | 15 | 25 | 17 | 43 |
Forsa | 12–18 Dec 2023 | 2,501 | 15 | 24 | 18 | 43 |
Forsa | 5–11 Dec 2023 | 2,501 | 15 | 24 | 18 | 43 |
Forsa | 28 Nov – 4 Dec 2023 | 2,501 | 16 | 24 | 18 | 42 |
Forsa | 21–27 Nov 2023 | 2,500 | 17 | 22 | 19 | 42 |
Forsa | 14–20 Nov 2023 | 2,501 | 19 | 21 | 18 | 42 |
Forsa | 7–13 Nov 2023 | 2,504 | 19 | 22 | 18 | 41 |
Forsa | 31 Oct – 6 Nov 2023 | 2,502 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
Forsa | 24–30 Sep 2023 | 2,501 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 44 |
Forsa | 17–23 Sep 2023 | 2,504 | 20 | 21 | 15 | 44 |
Forsa | 10–16 Sep 2023 | 2,501 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 44 |
Forsa | 4–9 Sep 2023 | 2,003 | 22 | 20 | 16 | 42 |
Forsa | 26–29 Sep 2023 | 2,004 | 22 | 20 | 16 | 42 |
Forsa | 19–25 Sep 2023 | 2,503 | 22 | 20 | 16 | 42 |
Forsa | 12–18 Sep 2023 | 2,504 | 21 | 19 | 16 | 44 |
Forsa | 4–11 Sep 2023 | 2,505 | 21 | 19 | 16 | 44 |
Forsa | 29 Aug – 4 Sep 2023 | 2,506 | 21 | 20 | 16 | 43 |
Forsa | 22–28 Aug 2023 | 2,504 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 45 |
Forsa | 15–21 Aug 2023 | 2,506 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 45 |
Forsa | 8–14 Aug 2023 | 2,501 | 21 | 18 | 15 | 46 |
Forsa | 1–7 Aug 2023 | 2,502 | 21 | 17 | 16 | 46 |
Forsa | 25–31 Jul 2023 | 2,500 | 22 | 18 | 17 | 43 |
Forsa | 18–24 Jul 2023 | 2,504 | 23 | 20 | 16 | 41 |
Forsa | 11–17 Jul 2023 | 2,502 | 23 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
Forsa | 4–7 Jul 2023 | 2,003 | 22 | 20 | 16 | 42 |
Forsa | 27 Jun – 3 Jul 2023 | 2,501 | 21 | 20 | 16 | 43 |
Forsa | 20–26 Jun 2023 | 2,506 | 23 | 20 | 16 | 41 |
Forsa | 13–19 Jun 2023 | 2,503 | 25 | 20 | 15 | 40 |
Forsa | 6–12 Jun 2023 | 2,504 | 25 | 21 | 15 | 39 |
Forsa | 30 May – 5 Jun 2023 | 2,505 | 25 | 23 | 14 | 38 |
Forsa | 23–26 May 2023 | 2,001 | 25 | 23 | 14 | 38 |
Forsa | 16–22 May 2023 | 2,003 | 26 | 22 | 13 | 39 |
Forsa | 9–15 May 2023 | 2,503 | 24 | 23 | 14 | 39 |
Forsa | 2–8 May 2023 | 2,505 | 24 | 22 | 15 | 39 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 26–30 Apr 2023 | 1,400 | 31 | 26 | 8 | 35 |
Forsa | 25–28 Apr 2023 | 2,007 | 23 | 22 | 16 | 39 |
Forsa | 18–24 Apr 2023 | 2,506 | 22 | 24 | 16 | 38 |
Forsa | 11–17 Apr 2023 | 2,508 | 23 | 25 | 17 | 35 |
Forsa | 4–6 Apr 2023 | 1,501 | 21 | 23 | 18 | 38 |
Forsa | 28 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 | 2,502 | 23 | 21 | 17 | 39 |
Forsa | 21–27 Mar 2023 | 2,506 | 24 | 22 | 18 | 36 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 23–26 Mar 2023 | 1,200 | 29 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
Forsa | 14–20 Mar 2023 | 2,503 | 26 | 21 | 17 | 36 |
Forsa | 7–13 Mar 2023 | 2,505 | 27 | 21 | 17 | 35 |
Forsa | 28 Feb – 6 Mar 2023 | 2,504 | 25 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023 | 1,419 | 27 | 17 | 11 | 45 |
Forsa | 21–27 Feb 2023 | 2,501 | 27 | 19 | 19 | 35 |
Forsa | 14–20 Feb 2023 | 2,510 | 25 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
Forsa | 7–13 Feb 2023 | 2,505 | 27 | 20 | 20 | 33 |
Forsa | 31 Jan – 6 Feb 2023 | 2,502 | 26 | 20 | 20 | 34 |
Forsa | 24–30 Jan 2023 | 2,503 | 25 | 21 | 20 | 34 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jan 2023 | 1,421 | 26 | 16 | 12 | 46 |
Forsa | 17–23 Jan 2023 | 2,502 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 35 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 15–16 Jan 2023 | 1,500 | 22 | 21 | 15 | 42 |
Forsa | 10–16 Jan 2023 | 2,500 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 38 |
Forsa | 3–9 Jan 2023 | 2,502 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 39 |
Forsa | 13–19 Dec 2022 | 2,503 | 23 | 19 | 20 | 38 |
Forsa | 6–12 Dec 2022 | 2,506 | 24 | 19 | 19 | 38 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 7–9 Dec 2022 | 1,500 | 24 | 22 | 13 | 41 |
Forsa | 29 Nov – 5 Dec 2022 | 2,500 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 38 |
Forsa | 22–28 Nov 2022 | 2,505 | 23 | 20 | 20 | 37 |
Forsa | 15–21 Nov 2022 | 2,502 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 38 |
Forsa | 8–14 Nov 2022 | 2,503 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 39 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 7–8 Nov 2022 | 1,300 | 25 | 22 | 13 | 40 |
Forsa | 1–7 Nov 2022 | 2,502 | 22 | 19 | 19 | 40 |
Forsa | 25–31 Oct 2022 | 2,503 | 23 | 19 | 19 | 39 |
Forsa | 18–24 Oct 2022 | 2,502 | 24 | 19 | 18 | 39 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 18–21 Oct 2022 | 1,910 | 28 | 19 | 15 | 38 |
Forsa | 11–17 Oct 2022 | 2,505 | 23 | 19 | 19 | 39 |
Forsa | 4–10 Oct 2022 | 2,501 | 24 | 18 | 17 | 41 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 3–6 Oct 2022 | 1,923 | 28 | 25 | 14 | 33 |
Forsa | 27–30 Sep 2022 | 2,001 | 22 | 20 | 17 | 41 |
Forsa | 20–26 Sep 2022 | 2,505 | 22 | 22 | 17 | 39 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 20–22 Sep 2022 | 1,700 | 29 | 25 | 15 | 31 |
Forsa | 13–19 Sep 2022 | 2,506 | 23 | 22 | 18 | 37 |
Forsa | 6–13 Sep 2022 | 2,501 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 38 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 9–11 Sep 2022 | 1,300 | 30 | 24 | 15 | 31 |
INSA | 9 Sep 2022 | 1,000 | 24 | 23 | 19 | 34 |
Forsa | 30 Aug – 5 Sep 2022 | 2,500 | 21 | 18 | 25 | 36 |
Forsa | 23–29 Aug 2022 | 2,503 | 20 | 16 | 27 | 37 |
Forsa | 16–22 Aug 2022 | 2,505 | 20 | 16 | 25 | 39 |
INSA | 19 Aug 2022 | 1,002 | 18 | 19 | 25 | 38 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 16–18 Aug 2022 | 1,433 | 36 | 13 | 30 | 21 |
Forsa | 9–15 Aug 2022 | 2,500 | 22 | 16 | 26 | 36 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 6–12 Aug 2022 | 2,920 | 32 | 15 | 28 | 25 |
Forsa | 2–8 Aug 2022 | 2,504 | 24 | 16 | 27 | 33 |
Forsa | 26 Jul – 1 Aug 2022 | 2,504 | 23 | 18 | 28 | 31 |
INSA | 29 Jul 2022 | 1,002 | 24 | 18 | 21 | 37 |
Forsa | 19–25 Jul 2022 | 2,510 | 25 | 17 | 30 | 28 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 19–20 Jul 2022 | 1,400 | 39 | 11 | 32 | 18 |
Forsa | 15–18 Jul 2022 | 2,002 | 26 | 17 | 31 | 26 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 23–26 Jun 2022 | 2,430 | 40 | 13 | 31 | 16 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 7–8 Jun 2022 | 1,603 | 38 | 13 | 27 | 22 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 30 May – 1 Jun 2022 | 1,500 | 35 | 14 | 29 | 21 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 15–16 May 2022 | 1,302 | 37 | 21 | 25 | 17 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 8–9 May 2022 | 1,610 | 38 | 21 | 24 | 17 |
Scholz vs. Söder vs. Habeck
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Scholz SPD |
Söder Union |
Habeck Grüne |
Neither |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
INSA | 11–12 Jul 2024 | 1,250 | 17 | 37 | 16 | 30 |
Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel vs. Wagenknecht
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Scholz SPD |
Merz Union |
Baerbock Grüne |
Weidel AfD |
Wagenknecht BSW |
Neither |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wahlkreisprognose | 13–19 May 2024 | 2,500 | 14 | 18 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 37 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 18–20 Mar 2024 | 1,300 | 15 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 34 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 21–22 Feb 2024 | 1,300 | 13 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 37 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 22–24 Jan 2024 | 1,366 | 11 | 19 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 36 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 2–4 Jan 2024 | 1,500 | 10 | 22 | 11 | 18 | 8 | 31 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 25–27 Nov 2023 | 1,200 | 16 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 31 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 23–25 Oct 2023 | 1,300 | 18 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 30 |
Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Scholz SPD |
Merz Union |
Baerbock Grüne |
Neither |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forsa | 14–17 May 2024 | 2,001 | 20 | 29 | 17 | 34 |
Forsa | 7–13 May 2024 | 2,006 | 20 | 28 | 15 | 37 |
Forsa | 30 Apr – 6 May 2024 | 2,000 | 21 | 26 | 16 | 37 |
Forsa | 23–29 Apr 2024 | 2,505 | 21 | 26 | 16 | 37 |
Forsa | 16–22 Apr 2024 | 2,501 | 20 | 25 | 16 | 39 |
Forsa | 9–15 Apr 2024 | 2,505 | 20 | 25 | 17 | 38 |
INSA | 11–12 Apr 2024 | 1,003 | 18 | 32 | 17 | 33 |
Forsa | 2–8 Apr 2024 | 1,506 | 21 | 24 | 16 | 39 |
Forsa | 26–28 Mar 2024 | 1,508 | 22 | 25 | 16 | 37 |
Forsa | 19–25 Mar 2024 | 2,503 | 21 | 25 | 16 | 38 |
Forsa | 12–18 Mar 2024 | 2,500 | 19 | 24 | 17 | 40 |
Forsa | 5–11 Mar 2024 | 2,502 | 18 | 24 | 19 | 39 |
Forsa | 27 Feb – 4 Mar 2024 | 2,506 | 18 | 26 | 17 | 39 |
Forsa | 20–26 Feb 2024 | 2,503 | 18 | 27 | 18 | 37 |
Forsa | 13–19 Feb 2024 | 2,504 | 17 | 27 | 18 | 38 |
Forsa | 6–12 Feb 2024 | 2,502 | 18 | 26 | 18 | 38 |
Forsa | 30 Jan – 5 Feb 2024 | 2,503 | 16 | 28 | 18 | 38 |
Forsa | 23–29 Jan 2024 | 2,506 | 15 | 28 | 17 | 40 |
Forsa | 16–22 Jan 2024 | 2,503 | 16 | 28 | 16 | 40 |
Forsa | 9–15 Jan 2024 | 2,504 | 17 | 27 | 15 | 41 |
Forsa | 2–8 Jan 2024 | 2,502 | 17 | 27 | 15 | 41 |
Forsa | 19–22 Dec 2023 | – | 18 | 28 | 17 | 37 |
Forsa | 12–18 Dec 2023 | 2,501 | 19 | 27 | 17 | 37 |
Forsa | 5–11 Dec 2023 | 2,501 | 18 | 28 | 17 | 37 |
Forsa | 28 Nov – 4 Dec 2023 | 2,501 | 19 | 27 | 17 | 37 |
Forsa | 21–27 Nov 2023 | 2,500 | 19 | 25 | 17 | 39 |
Forsa | 14–20 Nov 2023 | 2,501 | 22 | 24 | 16 | 38 |
Forsa | 7–13 Nov 2023 | 2,504 | 22 | 25 | 16 | 37 |
Forsa | 31 Oct – 6 Nov 2023 | 2,502 | 23 | 24 | 16 | 37 |
Forsa | 24–30 Sep 2023 | 2,501 | 22 | 23 | 17 | 38 |
Forsa | 17–23 Sep 2023 | 2,504 | 23 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
Forsa | 10–16 Sep 2023 | 2,501 | 22 | 22 | 18 | 38 |
Forsa | 4–9 Sep 2023 | 2,003 | 23 | 22 | 18 | 37 |
Forsa | 26–29 Sep 2023 | 2,004 | 24 | 22 | 17 | 37 |
Forsa | 19–25 Sep 2023 | 2,503 | 24 | 22 | 18 | 36 |
Forsa | 12–18 Sep 2023 | 2,504 | 23 | 21 | 17 | 39 |
Forsa | 4–11 Sep 2023 | 2,505 | 23 | 22 | 17 | 38 |
Forsa | 29 Aug – 4 Sep 2023 | 2,506 | 22 | 22 | 17 | 39 |
Forsa | 22–28 Aug 2023 | 2,504 | 22 | 21 | 17 | 40 |
Forsa | 15–21 Aug 2023 | 2,506 | 22 | 21 | 16 | 41 |
Forsa | 8–14 Aug 2023 | 2,501 | 22 | 20 | 16 | 42 |
Forsa | 1–7 Aug 2023 | 2,502 | 22 | 19 | 18 | 41 |
Forsa | 25–31 Jul 2023 | 2,500 | 24 | 21 | 18 | 37 |
Forsa | 18–24 Jul 2023 | 2,504 | 25 | 23 | 17 | 35 |
Forsa | 11–17 Jul 2023 | 2,502 | 25 | 22 | 18 | 35 |
Forsa | 4–7 Jul 2023 | 2,003 | 24 | 22 | 18 | 36 |
Forsa | 27 Jun – 3 Jul 2023 | 2,501 | 23 | 23 | 19 | 35 |
Forsa | 20–26 Jun 2023 | 2,506 | 24 | 23 | 19 | 34 |
Forsa | 13–19 Jun 2023 | 2,503 | 26 | 23 | 19 | 32 |
Forsa | 6–12 Jun 2023 | 2,504 | 26 | 23 | 19 | 32 |
Forsa | 30 May – 5 Jun 2023 | 2,505 | 26 | 25 | 19 | 30 |
Forsa | 23–26 May 2023 | 2,001 | 27 | 25 | 19 | 29 |
Forsa | 16–22 May 2023 | 2,003 | 27 | 24 | 18 | 31 |
Forsa | 9–15 May 2023 | 2,503 | 25 | 25 | 18 | 32 |
Forsa | 2–8 May 2023 | 2,505 | 26 | 24 | 18 | 32 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 26–30 Apr 2023 | 1,400 | 30 | 25 | 13 | 32 |
Forsa | 25–28 Apr 2023 | 2,007 | 25 | 25 | 19 | 31 |
Forsa | 18–24 Apr 2023 | 2,506 | 24 | 26 | 19 | 31 |
Forsa | 11–17 Apr 2023 | 2,508 | 25 | 27 | 18 | 30 |
Forsa | 4–6 Apr 2023 | 1,501 | 24 | 25 | 19 | 32 |
Forsa | 28 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 | 2,502 | 24 | 23 | 20 | 33 |
Forsa | 21–27 Mar 2023 | 2,506 | 26 | 24 | 20 | 30 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 23–26 Mar 2023 | 1,200 | 28 | 18 | 14 | 40 |
Forsa | 14–20 Mar 2023 | 2,503 | 28 | 24 | 19 | 29 |
Forsa | 7–13 Mar 2023 | 2,505 | 28 | 23 | 18 | 31 |
Forsa | 28 Feb – 6 Mar 2023 | 2,504 | 28 | 23 | 19 | 30 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023 | 1,419 | 26 | 17 | 14 | 43 |
Forsa | 21–27 Feb 2023 | 2,501 | 30 | 22 | 18 | 30 |
Forsa | 14–20 Feb 2023 | 2,510 | 28 | 22 | 19 | 31 |
Forsa | 7–13 Feb 2023 | 2,505 | 30 | 22 | 19 | 29 |
Forsa | 31 Jan – 6 Feb 2023 | 2,502 | 30 | 22 | 18 | 30 |
Forsa | 24–30 Jan 2023 | 2,503 | 27 | 23 | 19 | 31 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jan 2023 | 1,421 | 26 | 15 | 15 | 44 |
Forsa | 17–23 Jan 2023 | 2,502 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 29 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 15–16 Jan 2023 | 1,500 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 34 |
Forsa | 10–16 Jan 2023 | 2,500 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 30 |
Forsa | 3–9 Jan 2023 | 2,502 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 31 |
Forsa | 13–19 Dec 2022 | 2,503 | 24 | 22 | 21 | 33 |
Forsa | 6–12 Dec 2022 | 2,506 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 32 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 7–9 Dec 2022 | 1,500 | 26 | 18 | 15 | 41 |
Forsa | 29 Nov – 5 Dec 2022 | 2,500 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 32 |
Forsa | 22–28 Nov 2022 | 2,505 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 32 |
Forsa | 15–21 Nov 2022 | 2,502 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 31 |
Forsa | 8–14 Nov 2022 | 2,503 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 32 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 7–8 Nov 2022 | 1,300 | 27 | 17 | 14 | 42 |
Forsa | 1–7 Nov 2022 | 2,502 | 24 | 21 | 20 | 35 |
Forsa | 25–31 Oct 2022 | 2,503 | 25 | 20 | 20 | 35 |
Forsa | 18–24 Oct 2022 | 2,502 | 25 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 18–21 Oct 2022 | 1,910 | 29 | 21 | 16 | 34 |
Forsa | 11–17 Oct 2022 | 2,505 | 24 | 21 | 21 | 34 |
Forsa | 4–10 Oct 2022 | 2,501 | 25 | 20 | 20 | 35 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 3–6 Oct 2022 | 1,923 | 28 | 24 | 16 | 32 |
Forsa | 27–30 Sep 2022 | 2,001 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 36 |
Forsa | 20–26 Sep 2022 | 2,505 | 23 | 23 | 19 | 35 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 20–22 Sep 2022 | 1,700 | 28 | 24 | 17 | 31 |
Forsa | 13–19 Sep 2022 | 2,506 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 34 |
Forsa | 6–13 Sep 2022 | 2,501 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 34 |
Forsa | 30 Aug – 5 Sep 2022 | 2,500 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 33 |
Forsa | 23–29 Aug 2022 | 2,503 | 23 | 19 | 24 | 34 |
Forsa | 16–22 Aug 2022 | 2,505 | 26 | 17 | 23 | 34 |
Forsa | 9–15 Aug 2022 | 2,500 | 29 | 17 | 22 | 32 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 8–9 May 2022 | 1,610 | 38 | 20 | 23 | 19 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 23 Apr 2022 | 1,007 | 37 | 13 | 24 | 26 |
Pistorius vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel vs. Wagenknecht
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Pistorius SPD |
Merz Union |
Baerbock Grüne |
Weidel AfD |
Wagenknecht BSW |
Neither |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wahlkreisprognose | 18–20 Mar 2024 | 1,300 | 27 | 18 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 21 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 25–27 Nov 2023 | 1,200 | 31 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
Pistorius vs. Merz
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Pistorius SPD |
Merz Union |
Neither |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
INSA | 4–5 Jan 2024 | 1,004 | 25 | 23 | 52 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 2–4 Jan 2024 | 1,500 | 32 | 28 | 40 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 25–27 Nov 2023 | 1,200 | 30 | 29 | 41 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 22–27 Aug 2023 | 1,200 | 41 | 18 | 41 |
Pistorius vs. Söder
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Pistorius SPD |
Söder Union |
Neither |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
INSA | 4–5 Jan 2024 | 1,004 | 25 | 34 | 41 |
Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Scholz SPD |
Merz Union |
Baerbock Grüne |
Weidel AfD |
Neither |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wahlkreisprognose | 24–25 Sep 2023 | 1.200 | 20 | 16 | 15 | 18 | 31 |
Forsa | 20–26 Jun 2023 | 2.506 | 25 | 23 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
Scholz vs. Merz vs. Weidel
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Scholz SPD |
Merz Union |
Weidel AfD |
Neither |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wahlkreisprognose | 22–27 Aug 2023 | 1,200 | 21 | 15 | 17 | 47 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jul 2023 | 1,525 | 24 | 18 | 16 | 42 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 22–25 Jun 2023 | 1,399 | 27 | 15 | 15 | 43 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 1–2 Jun 2023 | 1,100 | 25 | 22 | 16 | 37 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 26–30 Apr 2023 | 1,400 | 34 | 22 | 11 | 33 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 23–26 Mar 2023 | 1,200 | 33 | 18 | 13 | 36 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023 | 1,419 | 31 | 15 | 13 | 41 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jan 2023 | 1,421 | 30 | 14 | 14 | 42 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 15–16 Jan 2023 | 1,500 | 24 | 17 | 16 | 43 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 7–9 Dec 2022 | 1,500 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 38 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 7–8 Nov 2022 | 1,300 | 26 | 18 | 17 | 39 |
Scholz vs. Merz vs. Habeck vs. Weidel
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Scholz SPD |
Merz Union |
Habeck Grüne |
Weidel AfD |
Neither |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forsa | 20–26 Jun 2023 | 2.506 | 27 | 24 | 17 | 10 | 22 |
Scholz vs. Habeck
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Scholz SPD |
Habeck Grüne |
Neither |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wahlkreisprognose | 16–18 Aug 2022 | 1,433 | 36 | 32 | 32 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 6–12 Aug 2022 | 2,920 | 38 | 33 | 29 |
Merz vs. Habeck
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Merz Union |
Habeck Grüne |
Neither |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wahlkreisprognose | 16–18 Aug 2022 | 1,433 | 19 | 30 | 51 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 6–12 Aug 2022 | 2,920 | 18 | 32 | 50 |
Scholz vs. Günther
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Scholz SPD |
Günther Union |
Neither |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
INSA | 20 May 2022 | 1,003 | 32 | 12 | 56 |
Scholz vs. Röttgen
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Scholz SPD |
Röttgen Union |
Neither |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forsa | 23–29 Nov 2021 | 2,509 | 45 | 19 | 36 |
Forsa | 16–22 Nov 2021 | 2,501 | 45 | 20 | 35 |
Forsa | 9–15 Nov 2021 | 2,510 | 45 | 21 | 34 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 11–12 Nov 2021 | 1,004 | 41 | 20 | 39 |
Forsa | 2–8 Nov 2021 | 2,502 | 51 | 20 | 29 |
Scholz vs. Braun
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Scholz SPD |
Braun Union |
Neither |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forsa | 23–29 Nov 2021 | 2,509 | 50 | 11 | 39 |
Forsa | 16–22 Nov 2021 | 2,501 | 50 | 12 | 38 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 11–12 Nov 2021 | 1,004 | 42 | 22 | 36 |
Scholz vs. Laschet
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Scholz SPD |
Laschet Union |
Neither |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov | 19–23 Nov 2021 | 2,167 | 46 | 6 | 48 |
Forsa | 26 Oct – 1 Nov 2021 | 2,501 | 50 | 8 | 42 |
Forsa | 19–25 Oct 2021 | 2,510 | 52 | 8 | 40 |
Forsa | 12–18 Oct 2021 | 2,502 | 53 | 8 | 39 |
Forsa | 5–11 Oct 2021 | 2,503 | 52 | 8 | 40 |
Forsa | 27 Sep – 4 Oct 2021 | 3,004 | 52 | 9 | 39 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 28–30 Sep 2021 | 1,249 | 76 | 13 | 11 |
Infratest dimap | 27 Sep 2021 | 1,084 | 62 | 16 | 22 |
Forsa | 27 Sep 2021 | 1,006 | 56 | 11 | 33 |
YouGov | 26 Sep 2021 | 1,596 | 43 | 13 | 43 |
Scholz vs. Kretschmer
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Scholz SPD |
Kretschmer Union |
Neither |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wahlkreisprognose | 11–12 Nov 2021 | 1,004 | 41 | 19.5 | 39.5 |
Preferred coalition
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD Grüne |
Union FDP |
SPD Grüne FDP |
Union SPD |
Union Grüne |
Union Grüne FDP |
Union SPD FDP |
SPD Grüne Linke |
SPD FDP | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 3–5 Sep 2024 | 1,328 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 23 | 6 | – | – | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12–14 Aug 2024 | 1,334 | 15 | 10 | 1 | 17 | 7 | – | – | 2 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Jul 2024 | 1,341 | 12 | 13 | 1 | 18 | 8 | – | – | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 25–27 May 2024 | 1,186 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 9 | – | – | 2 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 10–12 May 2024 | 1,334 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 8 | – | – | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14–16 May 2024 | 1,247 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 23 | 7 | – | – | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||
Forsa | 26–29 Apr 2024 | 1,007 | – | – | 10 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 11 | – | – | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23–25 Apr 2024 | 1,228 | 17 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 7 | – | – | 2 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Apr 2024 | 1,254 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 20 | 8 | – | – | 2 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 19–21 Mar 2024 | 1,296 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 20 | 8 | – | – | 2 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5–7 Mar 2024 | 1,260 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 20 | 7 | – | – | 2 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 20–22 Feb 2024 | 1,294 | 12 | 13 | 2 | 18 | 9 | – | – | 2 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 30 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 | 1,217 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 23 | 8 | – | – | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Jan 2024 | 1,337 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 19 | 7 | – | – | 2 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12–14 Dec 2023 | 1,146 | 13 | 14 | 2 | 16 | 6 | – | – | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21–23 Nov 2023 | 1,242 | 15 | 10 | 1 | 19 | 8 | – | – | 2 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 7–9 Nov 2023 | 1,234 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 17 | 10 | – | – | 2 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17–19 Oct 2023 | 1,252 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 18 | 8 | – | – | 2 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12–14 Sep 2023 | 1,201 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 7 | – | – | 3 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15–17 Aug 2023 | 1,288 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 15 | 6 | – | – | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11–13 Jul 2023 | 1,346 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 | 8 | – | – | 4 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 27–29 Jun 2023 | 1,379 | 17 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 6 | – | – | 3 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 13–15 Jun 2023 | 1,224 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 19 | 6 | – | – | 2 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23–25 May 2023 | 1,257 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 7 | – | – | 4 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 2–4 May 2023 | 1,225 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 15 | 7 | – | – | 3 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 18–20 Apr 2023 | 1,266 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 9 | – | – | 2 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 28–30 Mar 2023 | 1,379 | 18 | 12 | 3 | 15 | 7 | – | – | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14–16 Mar 2023 | 1,146 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 9 | – | – | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 28 Feb – 2 Mar 2023 | 1,165 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 17 | 10 | – | – | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14–16 Feb 2023 | 1,361 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 12 | – | – | 3 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 24–26 Jan 2023 | 1,345 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 11 | – | – | 2 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 10–12 Jan 2023 | 1,259 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 9 | – | – | 3 | 2 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12–15 Dec 2022 | 1,365 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 11 | – | – | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 22–24 Nov 2022 | 1,273 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 9 | – | – | 2 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 8–10 Nov 2022 | 1,310 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 11 | – | – | 3 | 2 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 18–20 Oct 2022 | 1,389 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 9 | – | – | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 27–29 Sep 2022 | 1,355 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 9 | – | – | 3 | 2 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 6–8 Sep 2022 | 1,299 | 18 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 9 | – | – | 3 | 3 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Aug 2022 | 1,389 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 13 | – | – | 4 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12–14 Jul 2022 | 1,167 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 14 | – | – | 2 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 28–30 Jun 2022 | 1,186 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 15 | – | – | 2 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 13–15 Jun 2022 | 1,133 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | – | – | 3 | 3 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17–19 May 2022 | 1,162 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 16 | – | – | 2 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 26–28 Apr 2022 | 1,170 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 7 | – | – | 4 | 2 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5–7 Apr 2022 | 1,230 | 23 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 7 | – | – | 4 | 2 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 8–10 Mar 2022 | 1,345 | 18 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 5 | – | – | 3 | 4 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21–23 Feb 2022 | 1,103 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 5 | – | – | 5 | 3 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 8–10 Feb 2022 | 1,224 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 5 | – | – | 4 | 2 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 25–27 Jan 2022 | 1,249 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 6 | – | – | 4 | 3 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11–13 Jan 2022 | 1,128 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 4 | – | – | 5 | 5 | |||||||||||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 7–9 Dec 2021 | 1,303 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 6 | – | – | 4 | 4 |
Constituency projections
[edit]Direct mandates
[edit]Polling firm | Release date | Union | SPD | Grüne | AfD | Linke | FDP | BSW |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
INSA | 16 Sep 2024 | 274 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Sep 2024 | 236 | 17 | 7 | 37 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 9 Sep 2024 | 241 | 2 | 7 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 2 Sep 2024 | 247 | 5 | 2 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 26 Aug 2024 | 265 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 19 Aug 2024 | 257 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Aug 2024 | 227 | 22 | 10 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 12 Aug 2024 | 250 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 5 Aug 2024 | 254 | 8 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 29 Jul 2024 | 271 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 22 Jul 2024 | 256 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Jul 2024 | 222 | 21 | 13 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 15 Jul 2024 | 258 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 8 Jul 2024 | 255 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 1 Jul 2024 | 258 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 24 Jun 2024 | 278 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 17 Jun 2024 | 258 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Jun 2024 | 218 | 30 | 12 | 37 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 10 Jun 2024 | 267 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 3 Jun 2024 | 261 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 27 May 2024 | 271 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 21 May 2024 | 261 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 20 May 2024 | 246 | 23 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 May 2024 | 217 | 28 | 14 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 13 May 2024 | 258 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 6 May 2024 | 250 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 29 Apr 2024 | 231 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 22 Apr 2024 | 243 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Apr 2024 | 213 | 30 | 12 | 42 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 15 Apr 2024 | 255 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 8 Apr 2024 | 259 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 2 Apr 2024 | 260 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 25 Mar 2024 | 240 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 21 Mar 2024 | 212 | 43 | 7 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 18 Mar 2024 | 257 | 10 | 9 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Mar 2024 | 210 | 29 | 14 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 11 Mar 2024 | 250 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 4 Mar 2024 | 262 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 26 Feb 2024 | 261 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 22 Feb 2024 | 235 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
INSA | 19 Feb 2024 | 245 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Feb 2024 | 214 | 27 | 12 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 12 Feb 2024 | 242 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 5 Feb 2024 | 240 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 29 Jan 2024 | 243 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 26 Jan 2024 | 219 | 23 | 6 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
INSA | 22 Jan 2024 | 252 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Jan 2024 | 217 | 20 | 13 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 15 Jan 2024 | 243 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 8 Jan 2024 | 253 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 4 Jan 2024 | 230 | 4 | 4 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 2 Jan 2024 | 244 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 27 Dec 2023 | 242 | 3 | 7 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 18 Dec 2023 | 244 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Dec 2023 | 217 | 20 | 13 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 11 Dec 2023 | 230 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 4 Dec 2023 | 225 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Nov 2023 | 221 | 14 | 4 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 27 Nov 2023 | 243 | 6 | 10 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 20 Nov 2023 | 237 | 12 | 13 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Nov 2023 | 203 | 31 | 16 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 13 Nov 2023 | 233 | 12 | 13 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 6 Nov 2023 | 231 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 30 Oct 2023 | 242 | 10 | 10 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 25 Oct 2023 | 220 | 23 | 7 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
INSA | 23 Oct 2023 | 230 | 15 | 13 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 16 Oct 2023 | 210 | 24 | 11 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Oct 2023 | 190 | 43 | 17 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 9 Oct 2023 | 202 | 23 | 17 | 56 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 2 Oct 2023 | 200 | 40 | 16 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 25 Sep 2023 | 153 | 62 | 21 | 62 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 25 Sep 2023 | 199 | 32 | 15 | 51 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 18 Sep 2023 | 198 | 31 | 20 | 48 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 11 Sep 2023 | 194 | 30 | 18 | 56 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 4 Sep 2023 | 198 | 33 | 17 | 49 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 1 Sep 2023 | 185 | 49 | 16 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 28 Aug 2023 | 194 | 30 | 23 | 50 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 28 Aug 2023 | 151 | 78 | 12 | 57 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 21 Aug 2023 | 194 | 35 | 19 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 18 Aug 2023 | 181 | 51 | 18 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 14 Aug 2023 | 189 | 49 | 16 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 7 Aug 2023 | 200 | 53 | 17 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 4 Aug 2023 | 183 | 48 | 19 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 31 Jul 2023 | 198 | 41 | 17 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Jul 2023 | 154 | 79 | 13 | 51 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 24 Jul 2023 | 201 | 44 | 18 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 21 Jul 2023 | 188 | 46 | 16 | 46 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 17 Jul 2023 | 208 | 30 | 19 | 40 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 10 Jul 2023 | 210 | 41 | 19 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 7 Jul 2023 | 184 | 49 | 17 | 46 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 3 Jul 2023 | 190 | 46 | 23 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 26 Jun 2023 | 197 | 43 | 16 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 26 Jun 2023 | 139 | 82 | 19 | 57 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 23 Jun 2023 | 189 | 48 | 16 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 19 Jun 2023 | 194 | 47 | 15 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 12 Jun 2023 | 215 | 47 | 15 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 9 Jun 2023 | 190 | 48 | 16 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 5 Jun 2023 | 214 | 47 | 17 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 2 Jun 2023 | 168 | 85 | 12 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 30 May 2023 | 227 | 48 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 26 May 2023 | 196 | 49 | 16 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 22 May 2023 | 217 | 51 | 18 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 15 May 2023 | 229 | 41 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 12 May 2023 | 196 | 49 | 16 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 8 May 2023 | 225 | 42 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 2 May 2023 | 207 | 51 | 22 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 30 Apr 2023 | 182 | 75 | 10 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 28 Apr 2023 | 196 | 49 | 18 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 24 Apr 2023 | 218 | 44 | 19 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 17 Apr 2023 | 216 | 48 | 19 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 16 Apr 2023 | 191 | 54 | 19 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 11 Apr 2023 | 212 | 46 | 23 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 3 Apr 2023 | 221 | 48 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 2 Apr 2023 | 191 | 54 | 19 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 27 Mar 2023 | 214 | 49 | 25 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Mar 2023 | 159 | 99 | 14 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 20 Mar 2023 | 224 | 54 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 19 Mar 2023 | 185 | 60 | 19 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 13 Mar 2023 | 217 | 51 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 10 Mar 2023 | 193 | 56 | 18 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 6 Mar 2023 | 233 | 37 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 1 Mar 2023 | 192 | 73 | 11 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 27 Feb 2023 | 243 | 36 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 24 Feb 2023 | 191 | 57 | 19 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 20 Feb 2023 | 223 | 51 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 13 Feb 2023 | 228 | 45 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 10 Feb 2023 | 178 | 61 | 25 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 6 Feb 2023 | 203 | 50 | 27 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 30 Jan 2023 | 216 | 39 | 23 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 27 Jan 2023 | 181 | 59 | 27 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Jan 2023 | 134 | 109 | 23 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 23 Jan 2023 | 211 | 49 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 16 Jan 2023 | 149 | 93 | 22 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 16 Jan 2023 | 223 | 46 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 13 Jan 2023 | 181 | 57 | 29 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 9 Jan 2023 | 212 | 45 | 31 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 2 Jan 2023 | 216 | 48 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 30 Dec 2022 | 179 | 61 | 29 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 19 Dec 2022 | 214 | 50 | 30 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 16 Dec 2022 | 182 | 54 | 31 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 12 Dec 2022 | 214 | 45 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 9 Dec 2022 | 146 | 100 | 20 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 5 Dec 2022 | 219 | 50 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 2 Dec 2022 | 180 | 55 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 28 Nov 2022 | 212 | 52 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 21 Nov 2022 | 210 | 44 | 28 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 18 Nov 2022 | 177 | 55 | 32 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 14 Nov 2022 | 215 | 49 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 8 Nov 2022 | 141 | 113 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 7 Nov 2022 | 205 | 50 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 4 Nov 2022 | 174 | 57 | 33 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 31 Oct 2022 | 203 | 51 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 21 Oct 2022 | 174 | 57 | 33 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 21 Oct 2022 | 145 | 96 | 24 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 17 Oct 2022 | 219 | 40 | 36 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 10 Oct 2022 | 212 | 38 | 38 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 7 Oct 2022 | 177 | 54 | 33 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 6 Oct 2022 | 149 | 99 | 17 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 4 Oct 2022 | 219 | 35 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 26 Sep 2022 | 209 | 30 | 39 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 23 Sep 2022 | 180 | 55 | 33 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 22 Sep 2022 | 150 | 102 | 19 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 19 Sep 2022 | 211 | 28 | 37 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 12 Sep 2022 | 218 | 35 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 11 Sep 2022 | 154 | 90 | 22 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 9 Sep 2022 | 177 | 59 | 38 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 5 Sep 2022 | 209 | 24 | 44 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 29 Aug 2022 | 206 | 37 | 42 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 26 Aug 2022 | 177 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 22 Aug 2022 | 214 | 28 | 45 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 19 Aug 2022 | 140 | 73 | 55 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 15 Aug 2022 | 203 | 33 | 48 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 12 Aug 2022 | 174 | 61 | 43 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 12 Aug 2022 | 146 | 49 | 69 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 8 Aug 2022 | 215 | 29 | 50 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 1 Aug 2022 | 196 | 32 | 51 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 29 Jul 2022 | 171 | 66 | 42 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 25 Jul 2022 | 196 | 32 | 51 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 20 Jul 2022 | 136 | 89 | 52 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 18 Jul 2022 | 197 | 34 | 51 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Jul 2022 | 174 | 69 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 11 Jul 2022 | 205 | 43 | 46 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 6 Jul 2022 | 145 | 94 | 45 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 4 Jul 2022 | 216 | 37 | 43 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 1 Jul 2022 | 175 | 70 | 38 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 27 Jun 2022 | 212 | 42 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 26 Jun 2022 | 144 | 98 | 37 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 20 Jun 2022 | 216 | 32 | 46 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 17 Jun 2022 | 177 | 70 | 37 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 13 Jun 2022 | 194 | 44 | 45 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 8 Jun 2022 | 144 | 94 | 33 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 7 Jun 2022 | 203 | 43 | 47 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 3 Jun 2022 | 178 | 71 | 36 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 1 Jun 2022 | 168 | 62 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 30 May 2022 | 204 | 49 | 44 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 23 May 2022 | 213 | 48 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 20 May 2022 | 157 | 97 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 16 May 2022 | 162 | 89 | 34 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 16 May 2022 | 202 | 46 | 40 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 9 May 2022 | 138 | 100 | 45 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 9 May 2022 | 209 | 52 | 33 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 6 May 2022 | 145 | 110 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 2 May 2022 | 199 | 62 | 35 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 25 Apr 2022 | 182 | 77 | 30 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 24 Apr 2022 | 121 | 128 | 36 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 22 Apr 2022 | 144 | 115 | 24 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 19 Apr 2022 | 182 | 74 | 37 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 11 Apr 2022 | 179 | 83 | 27 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 8 Apr 2022 | 144 | 116 | 23 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 5 Apr 2022 | 128 | 134 | 25 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 4 Apr 2022 | 184 | 86 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 28 Mar 2022 | 165 | 93 | 22 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 25 Mar 2022 | 161 | 104 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 21 Mar 2022 | 192 | 74 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 21 Mar 2022 | 132 | 133 | 23 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 11 Mar 2022 | 150 | 115 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Feb 2022 | 128 | 131 | 22 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 25 Feb 2022 | 159 | 103 | 18 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 21 Feb 2022 | 213 | 66 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 15 Feb 2022 | 143 | 117 | 20 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 14 Feb 2022 | 203 | 71 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 11 Feb 2022 | 158 | 103 | 18 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 7 Feb 2022 | 196 | 81 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 3 Feb 2022 | 195 | 63 | 28 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 31 Jan 2022 | 178 | 100 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 28 Jan 2022 | 133 | 121 | 20 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 24 Jan 2022 | 146 | 129 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 18 Jan 2022 | 124 | 139 | 17 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 17 Jan 2022 | 125 | 140 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 14 Jan 2022 | 129 | 129 | 19 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 10 Jan 2022 | 128 | 142 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 3 Jan 2022 | 118 | 137 | 19 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 31 Dec 2021 | 111 | 148 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 20 Dec 2021 | 108 | 160 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 19 Dec 2021 | 102 | 167 | 12 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 17 Dec 2021 | 109 | 149 | 20 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 13 Dec 2021 | 114 | 153 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 6 Dec 2021 | 75 | 176 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 6 Dec 2021 | 118 | 145 | 20 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 3 Dec 2021 | 111 | 143 | 22 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 29 Nov 2021 | 112 | 140 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 24 Nov 2021 | 123 | 140 | 16 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 22 Nov 2021 | 122 | 147 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 19 Nov 2021 | 103 | 153 | 20 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 15 Nov 2021 | 99 | 160 | 20 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 8 Nov 2021 | 110 | 158 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 7 Nov 2021 | 125 | 137 | 16 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 5 Nov 2021 | 101 | 156 | 20 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 25 Oct 2021 | 84 | 176 | 21 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
election.de | 22 Oct 2021 | 101 | 154 | 20 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 10 Oct 2021 | 113 | 145 | 20 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 8 Oct 2021 | 108 | 148 | 20 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
INSA | 4 Oct 2021 | 94 | 163 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | 143 | 121 | 16 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
By probability
[edit]Polling firm | Release date | Union | SPD | Grüne | AfD | Linke | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Safe | Likely | Lean | Safe | Likely | Lean | Safe | Likely | Lean | Safe | Likely | Lean | Safe | Likely | Lean | ||
election.de | 15 Sep 2024 | 137 | 56 | 43 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 15 Aug 2024 | 125 | 58 | 44 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 19 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 15 Jul 2024 | 122 | 58 | 42 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 15 Jun 2024 | 113 | 61 | 44 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 19 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 15 May 2024 | 118 | 55 | 44 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 19 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 15 Apr 2024 | 114 | 62 | 37 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 15 Mar 2024 | 111 | 61 | 38 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 15 Feb 2024 | 113 | 62 | 39 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 15 Jan 2024 | 106 | 71 | 40 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Dec 2023 | 107 | 68 | 42 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Nov 2023 | 94 | 72 | 37 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 25 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 15 Oct 2023 | 69 | 83 | 38 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 1 Sep 2023 | 65 | 78 | 42 | 2 | 16 | 31 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 18 Aug 2023 | 63 | 74 | 44 | 2 | 23 | 26 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 4 Aug 2023 | 66 | 74 | 43 | 2 | 17 | 29 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 21 Jul 2023 | 73 | 74 | 41 | 1 | 18 | 27 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
election.de | 7 Jul 2023 | 71 | 73 | 40 | 2 | 18 | 29 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 25 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
election.de | 23 Jun 2023 | 78 | 71 | 40 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 22 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
election.de | 9 Jun 2023 | 85 | 70 | 35 | 1 | 16 | 31 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 24 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
election.de | 26 May 2023 | 88 | 63 | 45 | 2 | 18 | 29 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 17 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 12 May 2023 | 89 | 62 | 45 | 2 | 18 | 29 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 16 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 28 Apr 2023 | 91 | 62 | 43 | 1 | 17 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 15 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 16 Apr 2023 | 85 | 64 | 42 | 2 | 18 | 34 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 2 Apr 2023 | 82 | 63 | 46 | 2 | 20 | 32 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 15 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 19 Mar 2023 | 77 | 65 | 43 | 2 | 26 | 32 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 10 Mar 2023 | 83 | 62 | 48 | 2 | 23 | 31 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 13 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 24 Feb 2023 | 80 | 63 | 48 | 2 | 25 | 30 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 13 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 10 Feb 2023 | 66 | 66 | 46 | 5 | 26 | 30 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 27 Jan 2023 | 69 | 70 | 42 | 3 | 25 | 31 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 1 | 13 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 13 Jan 2023 | 67 | 70 | 44 | 3 | 25 | 29 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 1 | 13 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 30 Dec 2022 | 67 | 68 | 44 | 4 | 24 | 33 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 1 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 16 Dec 2022 | 71 | 67 | 44 | 2 | 26 | 26 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 1 | 13 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 2 Dec 2022 | 66 | 71 | 43 | 3 | 24 | 28 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 1 | 13 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 18 Nov 2022 | 67 | 70 | 40 | 2 | 25 | 28 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 4 Nov 2022 | 61 | 71 | 42 | 4 | 24 | 29 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 21 Oct 2022 | 61 | 70 | 43 | 3 | 24 | 30 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 7 Oct 2022 | 67 | 69 | 41 | 2 | 25 | 27 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 23 Sep 2022 | 66 | 70 | 44 | 2 | 25 | 28 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 9 Sep 2022 | 58 | 71 | 48 | 4 | 21 | 34 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 0 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
election.de | 26 Aug 2022 | 57 | 67 | 53 | 4 | 21 | 35 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
election.de | 12 Aug 2022 | 53 | 69 | 52 | 4 | 22 | 35 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
election.de | 29 Jul 2022 | 52 | 64 | 55 | 4 | 28 | 34 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Jul 2022 | 52 | 64 | 58 | 4 | 33 | 32 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
election.de | 1 Jul 2022 | 51 | 66 | 58 | 5 | 33 | 32 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
election.de | 17 Jun 2022 | 54 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 35 | 30 | 3 | 13 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
election.de | 3 Jun 2022 | 53 | 67 | 58 | 5 | 36 | 30 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
election.de | 20 May 2022 | 47 | 51 | 59 | 12 | 44 | 41 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
election.de | 6 May 2022 | 44 | 52 | 49 | 15 | 44 | 51 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
election.de | 22 Apr 2022 | 46 | 51 | 47 | 15 | 46 | 54 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 8 Apr 2022 | 46 | 51 | 47 | 16 | 43 | 57 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
election.de | 25 Mar 2022 | 51 | 51 | 59 | 12 | 46 | 46 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 11 Mar 2022 | 48 | 51 | 51 | 15 | 44 | 56 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 25 Feb 2022 | 53 | 50 | 56 | 12 | 42 | 49 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 11 Feb 2022 | 49 | 51 | 58 | 12 | 44 | 47 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 28 Jan 2022 | 41 | 50 | 42 | 22 | 42 | 57 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
election.de | 14 Jan 2022 | 37 | 50 | 42 | 27 | 44 | 58 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 31 Dec 2021 | 30 | 41 | 40 | 31 | 57 | 60 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
election.de | 17 Dec 2021 | 30 | 41 | 38 | 33 | 58 | 58 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
election.de | 3 Dec 2021 | 27 | 42 | 42 | 28 | 55 | 60 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
election.de | 19 Nov 2021 | 26 | 39 | 38 | 35 | 55 | 63 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
election.de | 5 Nov 2021 | 25 | 35 | 41 | 40 | 57 | 59 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
election.de | 22 Oct 2021 | 26 | 35 | 40 | 39 | 54 | 61 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
election.de | 8 Oct 2021 | 28 | 42 | 38 | 30 | 59 | 59 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | 143 | 121 | 16 | 16 | 3 |
Second place
[edit]Polling firm | Release date | SPD | Union | Grüne | AfD | Linke | FDP | FW |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
election.de | 15 Sep 2024 | 127 | 58 | 37 | 75 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Aug 2024 | 126 | 67 | 38 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Jul 2024 | 122 | 71 | 38 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Jun 2024 | 123 | 74 | 41 | 59 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 May 2024 | 117 | 74 | 48 | 58 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Apr 2024 | 118 | 79 | 39 | 62 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Mar 2024 | 113 | 80 | 39 | 66 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Feb 2024 | 111 | 75 | 36 | 76 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Jan 2024 | 102 | 72 | 34 | 88 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Dec 2023 | 105 | 72 | 37 | 83 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Nov 2023 | 105 | 81 | 32 | 79 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Oct 2023 | 106 | 84 | 29 | 78 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 1 Sep 2023 | 108 | 89 | 30 | 70 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 18 Aug 2023 | 112 | 91 | 30 | 64 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 4 Aug 2023 | 111 | 90 | 32 | 64 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 21 Jul 2023 | 116 | 86 | 34 | 62 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 7 Jul 2023 | 118 | 89 | 34 | 57 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 23 Jun 2023 | 120 | 85 | 37 | 56 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 9 Jun 2023 | 123 | 87 | 38 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 26 May 2023 | 130 | 82 | 44 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 12 May 2023 | 132 | 82 | 45 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 28 Apr 2023 | 135 | 83 | 43 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 16 Apr 2023 | 132 | 87 | 44 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 2 Apr 2023 | 132 | 87 | 44 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 19 Mar 2023 | 133 | 92 | 45 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 10 Mar 2023 | 136 | 86 | 47 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 24 Feb 2023 | 137 | 87 | 45 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 10 Feb 2023 | 137 | 92 | 44 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 27 Jan 2023 | 128 | 92 | 52 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 13 Jan 2023 | 127 | 91 | 55 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 30 Dec 2022 | 126 | 92 | 54 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 16 Dec 2022 | 125 | 91 | 57 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 2 Dec 2022 | 123 | 92 | 58 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 18 Nov 2022 | 121 | 95 | 59 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 4 Nov 2022 | 123 | 95 | 57 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 21 Oct 2022 | 122 | 94 | 59 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 7 Oct 2022 | 119 | 95 | 62 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 23 Sep 2022 | 118 | 92 | 64 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 9 Sep 2022 | 117 | 90 | 72 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 26 Aug 2022 | 116 | 88 | 74 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 12 Aug 2022 | 117 | 90 | 73 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 29 Jul 2022 | 122 | 89 | 71 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 15 Jul 2022 | 124 | 87 | 70 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 1 Jul 2022 | 124 | 88 | 69 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 17 Jun 2022 | 129 | 88 | 65 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 3 Jun 2022 | 132 | 87 | 65 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 20 May 2022 | 128 | 99 | 55 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 6 May 2022 | 127 | 114 | 43 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 22 Apr 2022 | 127 | 113 | 42 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 8 Apr 2022 | 127 | 114 | 42 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 25 Mar 2022 | 135 | 102 | 42 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
election.de | 11 Mar 2022 | 130 | 112 | 41 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 25 Feb 2022 | 135 | 109 | 35 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 11 Feb 2022 | 137 | 103 | 38 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 28 Jan 2022 | 122 | 120 | 40 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
election.de | 14 Jan 2022 | 120 | 125 | 36 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
election.de | 31 Dec 2021 | 111 | 135 | 35 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
election.de | 17 Dec 2021 | 110 | 135 | 34 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
election.de | 3 Dec 2021 | 104 | 126 | 46 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
election.de | 19 Nov 2021 | 104 | 133 | 41 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
election.de | 5 Nov 2021 | 108 | 128 | 41 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
election.de | 22 Oct 2021 | 103 | 130 | 40 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
election.de | 8 Oct 2021 | 107 | 129 | 39 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | 129 | 115 | 33 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Notes
[edit]- ^ BSW was established as an official political party on 8 January 2024.
External links
[edit]- Wahlrecht.de (in German)
- pollytix-Wahltrend (in German)
- DAWUM Wahltrend (in German)
- X: @Wahlen_DE (in German)