User:Quinnnnnby/sandbox/draft2
Appearance
< User:Quinnnnnby | sandbox
This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2027 French presidential election. The first round is expected to be in April of 2027.
First round
[edit]Polling firm |
Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ifop | 24–25 Oct 2023 | 1,179 | 1% | 1% | 6% | 14% | – | 5% | – | – | – | 2% | – | – | – | – | – | 19% | – | – | – | 4% | 6% | 3% | 33% | – | 6% |
1.5% | 1.5% | 6% | 15% | – | 6% | – | – | – | 2% | – | – | 16% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.5% | 6% | 2.5% | 33% | – | 7% | |||
1.5% | 1% | 7% | 15% | – | 5.5% | – | – | – | 2% | – | 18% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3% | 6% | 2.5% | 32% | – | 6.5% | |||
1.5% | 2% | 7.5% | – | 7% | 4% | – | – | – | 2% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 26% | 2.5% | 6% | 3% | 32% | – | 6.5% | |||
1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | – | 4% | – | – | – | 1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 25% | 2.5% | 5% | 2% | 31% | – | 6.5% | |||
Harris Interactive | 1–4 Sep 2023 | 2,525 | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | – | – | – | 7% | 5% | – | – | 16% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 2% | 32% | – | 6% |
1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | – | – | – | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | 14% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 2% | 32% | – | 6% | |||
1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | – | – | – | 9% | 5% | – | – | – | – | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 2% | 33% | – | 6% | |||
1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | – | – | – | 10% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 3% | 33% | – | 6% | |||
1% | 2% | 5% | 16% | – | – | – | 8% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12% | – | – | – | – | 8% | 2% | 32% | – | 7% | |||
1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | – | – | – | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | – | – | – | 9% | 2% | 33% | – | 6% | |||
1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | – | – | – | 10% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | – | – | 9% | 3% | 33% | – | 6% | |||
1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | – | – | – | 5% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22% | – | 5% | 2% | 30% | – | 6% | |||
OpinionWay | 12–13 Apr 2023 | 1,038 | 1% | 3% | – | 17% | – | 6% | – | – | – | – | 2% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 32% | – | 7% | – | – | 23% | 9% |
Harris Interactive | 6–7 Apr 2023 | 1,320 | 1% | 1% | 4% | 16% | – | – | – | 5% | 4% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | 5% | 2% | 30% | – | 7% |
1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | – | – | – | 7% | 5% | – | – | 16% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 2% | 32% | – | 7% | |||
1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | – | – | – | 8% | 5% | – | – | – | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 2% | 33% | – | 8% | |||
1% | 1% | 4% | 17% | – | – | 3% | – | 4% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | 5% | 2% | 31% | – | 7% | |||
Ifop | 30–31 Mar 2023 | 1,105 | 1% | 2.5% | 5% | 17% | – | 3% | – | – | – | 1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 26% | 2% | 5% | 2.5% | 29% | – | 6% |
1% | 2.5% | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 28% | 2.5% | 4% | 3% | 31% | – | 6% | |||
1% | 2.5% | 6% | 20% | – | 2% | – | – | – | 1% | – | 18% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.5% | 6% | 3% | 32% | – | 6% | |||
0.5% | 2.5% | 5% | 20% | – | 3% | – | – | – | 2% | – | – | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2% | 8% | 4% | 35% | – | 7% | |||
1% | 1.5% | 6.5% | 20% | – | 2% | – | – | – | 1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | – | 3% | 10% | 3% | 36% | – | 7% | |||
2022 election | 10 Apr 2022 | – | 0.56% | 0.76% | 2.28% | 21.95% | – | – | – | 4.63% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.13% | – | 2.06% | 23.15% | – | 7.07% |
Scenario polling
[edit]Re-run of the 2022 election
[edit]Macron is not eligible to run for a third consecutive term.
First round
[edit]Polling firm |
Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cluster17 | 18–20 Oct 2023 | 1,580 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 5% | 17.5% | 2% | 5% | 24.5% | 3% | 3.5% | 3% | 29.5% | 6.5% |
Odoxa | 5–6 Apr 2023 | 1,005 | 1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 2% | 4% | 23% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 32% | 5% |
Elabe | 3–5 Apr 2023 | 1,808 | 0.5% | 1% | 4% | 18.5% | 1.5% | 5% | 23% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 31% | 7% |
Ifop | 30–31 Mar 2023 | 1,105 | 0.5% | 1% | 5% | 17% | 2% | 5% | 25% | 1.5% | 4% | 2% | 31% | 6% |
Cluster17 | 4–6 Nov 2022 | 2,151 | 0.5% | 1% | 3% | 20% | 1% | 5% | 30% | 2.5% | 3% | 2.5% | 25.5% | 6% |
Ifop | 25–26 Oct 2022 | 1,125 | 0.5% | 1% | 3% | 17% | 2% | 6% | 29% | 1.5% | 3% | 2% | 30% | 5% |
2022 election | 10 Apr 2022 | – | 0.56% | 0.76% | 2.28% | 21.95% | 1.74% | 4.63% | 27.85% | 3.13% | 4.78% | 2.06% | 23.15% | 7.07% |
Second round
[edit]Polling
firm |
Fieldwork
date |
Sample
size |
Abstention | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Macron[a] RE |
Le Pen RN | ||||
Odoxa | 5–6 Apr 2023 | 1,005 | – | 46% | 54% |
Elabe | 3–5 Apr 2023 | 1,808 | – | 45% | 55% |
Cluster17 | 4–6 Nov 2022 | 2,151 | – | 51.5% | 48.5% |
Ifop | 25–26 Oct 2022 | 1,125 | – | 53% | 47% |
2022 election | 24 Apr 2022 | – | 28.01% | 58.55% | 41.45% |