2024 United States presidential election: Difference between revisions

2024 United States presidential election
538 members of the Electoral College; 270 electoral votes needed to win
	The electoral map for the 2024 election, based on populations from the 2020 census
Incumbent President; Joe Biden; Democratic	; ;

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The 2024 United States presidential election will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, scheduled for Tuesday, November 5, 2024.^[1] It will be the first presidential election after electoral votes are redistributed according to the post–2020 census reapportionment. Incumbent president Joe Biden has stated that he intends to run for reelection to a second term, although he hasn't made it official yet if he will run.^[2]

In the United States, general elections follow caucuses and primary elections held by the major parties to determine their nominees. The winner of the 2024 presidential election is scheduled to be inaugurated on January 20, 2025.

Background

Procedure

Article Two of the United States Constitution states that for a person to serve as president, the individual must be a natural-born citizen of the United States, be at least 35 years old, and have been a United States resident for at least 14 years. Candidates for the presidency typically seek the nomination of one of the various political parties of the United States, which is awarded through a process such as a primary election. The primary elections are usually indirect elections where voters cast ballots for a slate of party delegates pledged to a particular candidate. The party's delegates then officially nominate a candidate to run on the party's behalf. The presidential nominee typically chooses a vice presidential running mate to form that party's ticket, which is then ratified by the delegates at the party's convention.

Similarly, the general election in November is also an indirect election, in which voters cast ballots for a slate of members of the Electoral College; these electors then directly elect the president and vice president.^[3] If no candidate receives the minimum 270 electoral votes needed to win the election, a contingent election will be held in which the House of Representatives will select the president from the three candidates who received the most electoral votes, and the Senate will select the vice president from the candidates who received the two highest totals. The presidential election will occur simultaneously with House of Representatives elections, Senate elections, and various state and local-level elections.

Effects of the 2020 census

The election has been the early subject of attention by analysts and commentators, as it will be the first U.S. presidential election to occur after the reapportionment of votes in the United States Electoral College, which will follow the 2020 United States census.^[4]^[5] This realignment of electoral college votes will remain consistent through the 2028 election. Reapportionment will be conducted again after the 2030 United States Census.^[6]

The House of Representatives will have redistributed the seats among the 50 states based on the results of the 2020 census, and the states will conduct a redistricting cycle in 2021 and 2022, where Congressional and state legislative districts will be redrawn. In most states, the governor and the state legislature conduct the redistricting (although some states have bipartisan or nonpartisan redistricting commissions). The party that wins a presidential election often experiences a coattail effect, which helps other candidates of that party win elections.^[7] In 2020, although its nominee Joe Biden won the presidential election, the Democratic Party did not flip any state legislature chambers and in fact lost both New Hampshire legislative chambers and the Montana governorship. This will allow the Republican Party to have redistricting control of seats in New Hampshire,^[8]^[9] potentially leading to gerrymandering that will stay in effect until the 2030 census, similar to the REDMAP project after the 2010 Census.^[9]^[10]^[11]

Campaign issues

COVID-19 pandemic

The COVID-19 pandemic, which, as of October 2021^[update], has killed over 720,000 people in the United States (more than 1 in 450 Americans),^[12] has had significant economic and societal effects which could pass on to the 2024 presidential election. The high visibility of governors in fighting the pandemic has been viewed as having given them a boost in possible 2024 contention, in contrast to the significant advantage senators have had in recent cycles.^[13]

Candidates

Democratic Party

Democrat Joe Biden is the incumbent president, elected for his first term in office in the 2020 election, and has stated he intends to run for reelection for a second term in 2024, although he hasn't made it official yet if he will run. He is the oldest person to assume the office, at age 78, and would be 82 at the end of his first term and 86 at the end of his second term, if reelected.

Potential candidates

As of October 2021^[update], the following people have been subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous six months. Speculation about Vice President Kamala Harris has been discussed in the context of President Biden not seeking re-election.^[14]

Joe Biden, 46th President of the United States (2021–present); 47th Vice President of the United States (2009–2017); United States Senator from Delaware (1973–2009), New Castle County Councillor for District 4 (1971–1973); Democratic Party candidate for president in 1988 and 2008^[15]^[16]
Pete Buttigieg, 19th United States Secretary of Transportation (2021–present); 32nd Mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020); candidate for president in 2020^[17]^[18]
Kamala Harris, 49th Vice President of the United States (2021–present); United States Senator from California (2017–2021), 32nd Attorney General of California (2011–2017); 27th District Attorney of San Francisco (2004–2011); candidate for president in 2020^[14]^[18]

President
Joe Biden
from Delaware
Secretary of Transportation
Pete Buttigieg
from Indiana
Vice President
Kamala Harris
from California

Declined to be candidates

The individuals in this section have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but have publicly denied interest in running.

Andrew Cuomo, 56th Governor of New York (2011–2021); 64th Attorney General of New York (2007–2010), 11th United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development (1997–2001), Assistant Secretary of Housing and Urban Development for Community Planning and Development (1993–1997)^[19]^[20]
Gavin Newsom, 40th Governor of California (2019–present); 49th Lieutenant Governor of California (2011–2019); 42nd Mayor of San Francisco (2004–2011)^[21]^[22]
Michelle Obama, First Lady of the United States (2009–2017)^[23]^[24]
Bernie Sanders, United States Senator from Vermont (2007–present); United States Representative from Vermont-AL (1991–2007), 37th Mayor of Burlington, Vermont (1981–1989), candidate for president in 2020 and 2016^[25]^[26]
Elizabeth Warren, United States Senator from Massachusetts (2013–present); candidate for president in 2020^[27]^[28]

Republican Party

Donald Trump was defeated by Joe Biden in 2020 and was impeached by the House of Representatives for the second time. He was acquitted in his second impeachment trial in 2021 by the Senate, and is currently eligible to run again in the 2024 presidential election. If he decides to run, he would be seeking to become the second president, after Grover Cleveland, to serve two non-consecutive terms.^[29]^[30] The last president to run after leaving office was Theodore Roosevelt, who came in second in the 1912 election as the candidate of the Progressive Party, although Herbert Hoover did briefly seek the Republican presidential nomination at national conventions subsequent to his leaving office in 1933.

Publicly expressed interest

As of October 2021^[update], individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for president within the previous six months.

Ted Cruz, United States Senator from Texas (2013–present); candidate for president in 2016^[31]
Matt Gaetz, United States Representative from FL-01 (2017–present)^[32]
Larry Hogan, 62nd Governor of Maryland (2015–present)^[33]
Mike Pence, 48th Vice President of the United States (2017–2021); 50th Governor of Indiana (2013–2017); United States Representative from IN-02 (2001–2003) and IN-06 (2003–2013)^[34]
Francis X. Suarez, 43rd Mayor of Miami (2017–present)^[35]
Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021); Republican presidential nominee in 2020 and 2016 and Reform Party candidate in 2000^[36]

U.S. Senator
Ted Cruz
from Texas
U.S. Representative
Matt Gaetz
from Florida
Governor
Larry Hogan
of Maryland
Former Vice President
Mike Pence
from Indiana
Mayor of Miami
Francis X. Suarez
from Florida
Former President
Donald Trump
from Florida

Potential candidates

As of October 2021^[update], the following people have been subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous six months.

Chris Christie, 55th Governor of New Jersey (2010–2018); candidate for president in 2016^[37]^[38]
Ron DeSantis, Governor of Florida (2019–present); United States Representative from Florida's 6th District (2013–2018)^[39]^[40]
Marjorie Taylor Greene, United States Representative from GA-14 (2021–present)^[41]^[42]
Nikki Haley, 29th United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018); 116th Governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)^[43]^[44]
Marco Rubio, United States Senator from Florida (2011–present); candidate for president in 2016^[45]^[46]
Donald Trump Jr., businessman and eldest son of former president Donald Trump^[47]^[48]

Former Governor
Chris Christie
of New Jersey
Governor
Ron DeSantis
of Florida
U.S. Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene from Georgia

U.S. Representative
Marjorie Taylor Greene
from Georgia
Former Ambassador to the U.N.
Nikki Haley
from South Carolina
U.S. Senator
Marco Rubio
from Florida
Businessman
Donald Trump Jr.
from New York

Declined to be candidates

The individuals in this section have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but have publicly denied interest in running.

Tucker Carlson, host of Tucker Carlson Tonight (2016–present) and co-founder of The Daily Caller^[49]^[50]
Liz Cheney, United States Representative from WY-AL (2017–present) and daughter of the 46th Vice President of the United States, Dick Cheney^[51]^[52]
Dan Crenshaw, United States Representative from TX-2 (2019–present)^[53]^[54]
Joni Ernst, United States Senator from Iowa (2015–present)^[55]^[56]
Josh Hawley, United States Senator from Missouri (2019–present)^[57]^[58]
Kristi Noem, 33rd Governor of South Dakota (2019–present); United States Representative from SD-AL (2011–2019)^[59]^[60]
Dan Patrick, 42nd Lieutenant Governor of Texas (2015–present)^[61]^[62]
Mike Pompeo, 70th United States Secretary of State (2018–2021); 6th Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (2017–2018), United States Representative from KS-4 (2011–2017)^[63]^[64]
Paul Ryan, 54th Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (2015–2019); United States Representative from WI-01 (1999–2019) and 2012 Republican vice-presidential nominee^[65]^[66]
Tim Scott, United States Senator from South Carolina (2013–present); United States Representative from SC-01 (2011–2013), Member of the South Carolina House of Representatives from the 117th district (2009–2011), Member of the Charleston County Council from the 3rd district (1995–2009)^[67]^[68]
Ivanka Trump Kushner, Advisor to the President of the United States (2017–2021); eldest daughter of former president Donald Trump^[69]^[70]
Scott Walker, 45th Governor of Wisconsin (2011–2019); 5th Executive of Milwaukee County (2002–2010), member of the Wisconsin State Assembly from the 14th district (1993–2002), candidate for president in 2016^[71]^[72]

Libertarian Party

Publicly expressed interest

As of October 2021^[update], individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for president within the previous six months.

Dave Smith, comedian and podcaster from New York^[73]

Independents, other third parties, or party unknown

Publicly expressed interest

As of October 2021^[update], individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for president within the previous six months.

Kanye West, recording artist, businessman, and fashion designer; independent candidate for president in 2020^[74]^[75]

Rapper
Kanye West
from Wyoming

Primary election polling

Democratic Party

Template:Import-blanktable

Polls with Joe Biden

Nationwide polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Joe Biden	Other	Undecided
Morning Consult	October 8–11, 2021	886 (RV)	–	83%	13%	4%
Emerson College	August 30 – September 1, 2021	450 (RV)	± 4.6%	60%	39%	1%
Trafalgar Group	Apr 30 – May 6, 2021	– (LV)^[b]	–	57%	22%^[c]	15%^[d]

Statewide polling
Iowa caucuses

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Joe Biden	Other	Undecided
Victory Insights	April 8, 2021	600 (V)	–	63%	11%^[e]	26%

Polls without Joe Biden

Nationwide polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Stacey Abrams	Cory Booker	Pete Buttigieg	Andrew Cuomo	Kamala Harris	Amy Klobuchar	Michelle Obama	Beto O'Rourke	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez	Andrew Yang	Other	Undecided
Echelon Insights	October 15–19 2021	533 (LV)	–	5%	4%	9%	–	23%	4%	–	–	5%	–	28%^[f]	20%
McLaughlin & Associates	October 14–18 2021	473 (LV)	–	5%	3%	9%	2%	29%	3%	18%	3%	7%	–	7%^[g]	14%
McLaughlin & Associates	September 9–14 2021	476 (LV)	–	5%	4%	7%	2%	29%	3%	17%	3%	7%	–	5%^[h]	17%
McLaughlin & Associates	July 29 – August 3, 2021	467 (LV)	–	4%	5%	8%	4%	28%	2%	16%	2%	7%	4%	6%^[i]	14%
YouGov/Yahoo News	July 30 – August 2, 2021	697 (A)	–	4%	–	6%	–	44%	–	–	–	4%	–	18%^[j]	24%
McLaughlin & Associates	June 16–20, 2021	463 (LV)	–	5%	3%	4%	2%	31%	3%	19%	3%	5%	3%	6%^[k]	16%
McLaughlin & Associates	May 12–18, 2021	459 (LV)	–	4%	4%	6%	1%	35%	3%	16%	2%	7%	2%	9%^[l]	13%
Trafalgar Group	Apr 30 – May 6, 2021	– (LV)^[m]	–	–	–	9%	–	41%	5%	–	4%	8%	3%	29%^[n]	–
McLaughlin & Associates	Apr 8–13, 2021	458 (LV)	–	–	4%	5%	2%	34%	4%	20%	2%	3%	4%	6%^[o]	12%
McLaughlin & Associates	Feb 24–28, 2021	443 (LV)	–	–	4%	7%	1%	28%	3%	23%	2%	8%	4%	6%^[p]	14%
	January 20, 2021	Inauguration of Joe Biden
McLaughlin & Associates	Dec 9–13, 2020	445 (LV)	–	–	3%	5%	5%	25%	2%	29%	–	7%	–	8%^[q]	18%
McLaughlin & Associates/Newsmax	Nov 21–23, 2020	445 (LV)	± 3.1%	–	2%	6%	5%	29%	2%	23%	–	6%	–	5%^[r]	23%
	November 3, 2020	2020 presidential election
McLaughlin & Associates	Nov 2–3, 2020	461 (LV)	–	–	2%	8%	8%	18%	–	25%	–	6%	–	6%^[s]	28%
Léger	Aug 4–7, 2020	390 (LV)	± 2.8%	6%	6%	16%	21%	19%	6%	–	6%	9%	8%	3%^[t]	–

Statewide polling
Iowa caucuses

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Pete Buttigieg	Kamala Harris	John Kerry	Amy Klobuchar	Michelle Obama	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez	Bernie Sanders	Elizabeth Warren	Other	Undecided
Victory Insights	April 8, 2021	600 (V)	–	15%	28%	7%	9%	12%	2%	2%	3%	5%	16%

Republican Party

Nationwide polling

Polls with Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Tucker Carlson	Ted Cruz	Ron DeSantis	Nikki Haley	Josh Hawley	Larry Hogan	Mike Pence	Mike Pompeo	Mitt Romney	Marco Rubio	Tim Scott	Donald Trump	Donald Trump Jr.	Other	Undecided
Echelon Insights [1]	October 15–19, 2021	476 (RV)	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	66%^[u]	–	31%	4%
Echelon Insights [1]	October 15–19, 2021	476 (RV)	–	–	–	22%	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	62%^[u]	–	–	16%
McLaughlin & Associates	October 14–18, 2021	463 (LV)	–	–	3%	10%	4%	–	–	9%	1%	4%	2%	1%	53%^[u]	–	10%^[v]	3%
Morning Consult	October 8–11, 2021	803 (RV)	–	–	3%	12%	3%	0%	0%	12%	0%	3%	3%	1%	47%	6%	6%^[w]	4%
Echelon Insights [2]	September 17–23, 2021	479 (RV)	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	59%^[u]	–	32%	9%
John Bolton Super PAC	September 16–18, 2021	1,000 (LV)	± 3.1%	–	5%	25%	6%	1%	–	3%	–	–	2%	2%	26%	–	10%^[x]	20%
Harvard/Harris	September 15–16, 2021	490 (LV)	±4.0%	–	–	9%	3%	–	–	13%	–	–	3%	–	58%	–	0%	14%
McLaughlin & Associates	September 9–14, 2021	456 (LV)	–	–	3%	8%	2%	–	–	10%	1%	3%	2%	1%	59%^[u]	–	7%^[y]	4%
Emerson College	August 30 – September 1, 2021	395 (RV)	± 4.9%	–	2%	10%	7%	1%	–	6%	–	3%	–	–	67%	–	5%^[z]	1%
McLaughlin & Associates	July 29 – August 3, 2021	467 (LV)	–	–	3%	11%	4%	–	–	8%	1%	3%	3%	0%	54%^[u]	–	7%^[aa]	6%
YouGov/Yahoo News	July 30 – August 2, 2021	518 (A)	–	2%	–	13%	4%	0%	–	3%	–	–	1%	1%	58%	–	1%^[ab]	17%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates	July 6–8, 2021	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	–	2%	19%	3%	0%	1%	8%	0%	3%	1%	1%	47%^[u]	-	2%^[ac]	13%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates	July 6–8, 2021	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	–	–	31%	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	58%^[u]	–	–	11%
John Bolton Super PAC	July 8, 2021	1,000 (LV)	–	–	5%	13%	5%	0%	–	6%	–	–	3%	0%	46%	–	22%	–
Echelon Insights [3]	June 18–22, 2021	386 (RV)	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	59%^[u]	–	35%	6%
McLaughlin & Associates	June 16–20, 2021	444 (LV)	–	–	4%	9%	3%	–	–	8%	1%	3%	1%	1%	55%^[u]	–	8%^[ad]	7%
YouGov/Yahoo News	May 24–26, 2021	378 (A)	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	65%	–	19%^[ae]	16%
Quinnipiac	May 18–24, 2021	~290 (A)^[af]	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	66%	–	30%^[ag]	4%
McLaughlin & Associates	May 12–18, 2021	444 (LV)	–	1%	3%	8%	5%	–	–	10%	1%	2%	0%	1%	57%^[u]	–	7%^[ah]	7%
Echelon Insights [4]	May 14–17, 2021	479 (RV)	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	63%^[u]	–	31%	6%
Morning Consult/Politico	May 14–17, 2021	782 (RV)	± 2%	–	4%	8%	4%	0%	0%	13%	1%	4%	1%	2%	48%	7%	9%^[ai]	–
YouGov/Yahoo News	May 11–13, 2021	348 (A)	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	68%	–	22%^[aj]	10%
Trafalgar Group	Apr 30 – May 6, 2021	– (LV)^[ak]	–	–^[u]	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	62%	–	27%^[al]	11%^[am]
Echelon Insights [5]	Apr 16–23, 2021	440 (RV)	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	59%^[u]	–	35%	6%
McLaughlin & Associates	Apr 8–13, 2021	441 (LV)	–	1%	3%	7%	2%	–	–	10%	1%	3%	1%	1%	55%^[u]	–	8%^[an]	9%
PEM Management Corporation	Apr 3–7, 2021	494 (LV)	–	–	7%	9%	9%	–	–	6%	–	–	3%	–	44%	–	1%^[ao]	–
Echelon Insights	March 15–21, 2021	1,008 (RV)	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	60%^[u]	–	30%	10%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/The Hill [6]	Feb 20 – March 2, 2021	1,264 (LV)	± 2.7%	–	3%	7%	6%	1%	1%	9%	1%	5%	2%	0%	51%^[u]	-	3%^[ap]	12%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/The Hill [6]	Feb 20 – March 2, 2021	1,264 (LV)	± 2.7%	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	57%^[aq]	–	16%^[ar]	27%
McLaughlin & Associates	Feb 24–28, 2021	448 (LV)	–	1%	5%	4%	3%	–	–	8%	–	3%	1%	–	54%^[u]	–	9%^[as]	10%
Harvard-Harris	Feb 23–25, 2021	546 (RV)	–	–	5%	–	7%	2%	–	18%	–	–	–	2%	52%^[u]	–	13%^[at]	–
Echelon Insights	Feb 12–18, 2021	430 (RV)	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	55%^[u]	–	32%	14%
Morning Consult/Politico	Feb 14–15, 2021	645 (RV)	± 4%	–	4%	–	6%	1%	1%	12%	2%	4%	2%	1%	54%	6%	10%^[au]	–
Echelon Insights	Jan 20–26, 2021	– (RV)^[av]	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	48%^[u]	–	40%	11%
Léger	Jan 15–17, 2021	1,007 (A)^[aw]	± 3.09%	–	6%	2%	7%	1%	6%	13%	2%	19%	3%	3%	29%^[u]	2%	6%^[ax]	–
Ipsos/Axios	Jan 11–13, 2021	334 (A)	± 5.8%	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	57%	–	41%	1%^[ay]
Morning Consult/Politico	Jan 8–11, 2021	702 (RV)	–	–	7%	–	6%	1%	0%	18%	1%	5%	2%	1%	40%	6%	15%^[az]	–
McLaughlin & Associates	Dec 9–13, 2020	442 (LV)	–	3%	5%	1%	3%	–	–	11%	1%	4%	1%	1%	56%	–	5%^[ba]	10%
Fox News	Dec 6–9, 2020	~ 413 (RV)	± 4.5%	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	71%	–	21%^[bb]	8%
McLaughlin & Associates/Newsmax	Nov 21–23, 2020	442 (LV)	± 3.1%	1%	4%	2%	4%	–	–	9%	1%	4%	2%	1%	53%^[u]	–	6%^[bc]	15%
Morning Consult/Politico	Nov 21–23, 2020	765 (RV)	± 2%	–	4%	–	4%	1%	0%	12%	–	4%	2%	1%	53%	8%	11%^[bd]	–
HarrisX/The Hill	Nov 17–19, 2020	599 (RV)	± 2.26%	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	75%	–	25%	–
Seven Letter Insight	Nov 10–19, 2020	~555 (V)^[be]	± 2.5%	2%	6%	–	7%	1%	–	19%	–	–	4%	2%	35%	11%	4%^[bf]	–
Léger	Nov 13–15, 2020	304 (A)^[bg]	± 3.09%	4%	7%	–	4%	–	–	22%	2%	8%	5%	–	45%^[u]	–	5%^[bh]	–
YouGov/Washington Examiner	October 30, 2020	– (RV)^[bi]	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	38%	–	43%^[bj]	–

Polls without Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Tucker Carlson	Ted Cruz	Ron DeSantis	Nikki Haley	Josh Hawley	Larry Hogan	Mike Pence	Mike Pompeo	Mitt Romney	Marco Rubio	Tim Scott	Donald Trump Jr.	Other	Undecided
Echelon Insights [7]	October 15–19, 2021	476 (RV)	–	2%	8%	22%	5%	0%	0%	8%	2%	3%	4%	2%	13%	8%^[bk]	22%
McLaughlin & Associates	October 14–18, 2021	463 (LV)	–	–	5%	24%	5%	–	–	14%	1%	5%	2%	2%	18%	11%^[bl]	13%
Echelon Insights [8]	September 17–23, 2021	479 (RV)	–	2%	9%	22%	6%	1%	1%	15%	2%	4%	2%	1%	9%	11%^[bm]	21%
Harvard/Harris	September 15–16, 2021	490 (LV)	±4.0%	–	14%	20%	–	–	–	32%	–	–	–	–	–	0%	38%
McLaughlin & Associates	September 9–14, 2021	456 (LV)	–	–	7%	22%	4%	–	–	15%	2%	4%	2%	2%	19%	12%^[bn]	11%
Emerson College	August 30 – September 1, 2021	395 (RV)	± 4.9%	–	13%	32%	10%	6%	–	24%	–	6%	–	–	–	9%^[bo]	0%
McLaughlin & Associates	July 29 – August 3, 2021	467 (LV)	–	–	9%	23%	4%	–	–	11%	2%	4%	4%	1%	12%	16%^[bp]	14%
Echelon Insights [9]	July 19–23, 2021	421 (RV)	–	1%	9%	32%	4%	1%	0%^[bq]	17%	1%	3%	2%	1%	10%	6%^[br]	13%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates	July 6–8, 2021	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	–	7%	39%	4%	0%	1%	15%	1%	3%	–	2%	–	4%^[bs]	24%
Echelon Insights [10]	June 18–22, 2021	386 (RV)	–	1%	6%	21%	6%	0%^[bt]	0%^[bu]	14%	0%^[bv]	4%	3%	2%	7%	7%^[bw]	26%
McLaughlin & Associates	June 16–20, 2021	444 (LV)	–	–	6%	24%	4%	–	–	19%	1%	5%	2%	1%	15%	13%^[bx]	11%
McLaughlin & Associates	May 12–18, 2021	444 (LV)	–	1%	12%	18%	5%	–	–	19%	2%	3%	1%	2%	13%	13%^[by]	12%
Echelon Insights [11]	May 14–17, 2021	479 (RV)	–	2%	9%	22%	5%	1%	0%^[bz]	14%	1%	4%	1%	3%	6%	9%^[ca]	19%
Trafalgar Group	Apr 30 – May 6, 2021	– (LV)^[cb]	–	–	15%	35%	6%	1%	–	10%	–	10%	–	–	–	21%^[cc]	–
Echelon Insights [12]	Apr 16–23, 2021	440 (RV)	–	2%	8%	20%	6%	1%	0%^[cd]	16%	1%	4%	2%	0%^[ce]	9%	3%^[cf]	28%
McLaughlin & Associates	Apr 8–13, 2021	441 (LV)	–	3%	10%	14%	3%	–	–	19%	2%	3%	3%	1%	15%	13%^[cg]	14%
Echelon Insights	March 15–21, 2021	1,008 (RV)	–	4%	5%	17%	4%	–	–	16%	4%	3%	2%	–	3%	7%^[ch]	35%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/The Hill [13]	Feb 20 – March 2, 2021	1,264 (LV)	± 2.7%	–	13%	17%	8%	2%	1%	19%	4%	5%	4%	1%	–	7%^[ci]	20%
McLaughlin & Associates	Feb 24–28, 2021	448 (LV)	–	1%	9%	9%	5%	–	–	15%	–	6%	2%	–	21%	16%^[cj]	17%
RMG Research/Just the News	Feb 25–27, 2021	363 (RV)	–	8%	18%	21%	10%	2%	–	–	9%	–	–	–	–	33%^[ck]	–
Harvard-Harris	Feb 23–25, 2021	546 (RV)	–	–	16%	–	10%	6%	–	41%	–	–	–	7%	–	19%^[cl]	–
Echelon Insights	Feb 12–18, 2021	430 (RV)	–	1%	10%	8%	6%	≤1%	1%	21%	1%	4%	≤1%	≤1%	8%	12%^[cm]	26%
Echelon Insights	Jan 20–26, 2021	– (RV)^[cn]	–	2%	8%	2%	9%	0%	0%	21%	1%	3%	2%	1%	10%	10%^[co]	30%
	January 20, 2021	Inauguration of Joe Biden
Léger	Jan 15–17, 2021	1,007 (A)^[cp]	± 3.09%	–	9%	3%	8%	2%	7%	22%	3%	20%	4%	3%	11%	8%^[cq]	–
McLaughlin & Associates/Newsmax	Nov 21–23, 2020	442 (LV)	± 3.1%	1%	7%	2%	6%	–	–	20%	1%	5%	3%	2%	20%	13%^[cr]	22%
Léger	Nov 13–15, 2020	304 (A)^[cs]	± 3.1%	6%	14%	–	6%	–	–	44%	3%	11%	6%	–	–	7%^[ct]	–
	November 3, 2020	2020 presidential election
McLaughlin & Associates	Nov 2–3, 2020	449 (LV)	–	2%	5%	2%	8%	–	–	30%	–	5%	2%	1%	20%	5%^[cu]	21%
Echelon Insights	Aug 14–18, 2020	423 (LV)	–	2%	4%	–	7%	0%	1%	26%	–	–	5%	1%	12%	11%^[cv]	29%
Léger	Aug 4–7, 2020	309 (LV)	± 2.8%	7%	8%	–	11%	–	–	31%	3%	9%	5%	–	17%	9%^[cw]	–

Statewide polling

Georgia primary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Chris Christie	Ted Cruz	Nikki Haley	Mike Pence	Mitt Romney	Marco Rubio	Donald Trump	Other	Undecided
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage	March 7–9, 2021	– (LV)^[cx]	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	70%	18%^[cy]	12%
	January 20, 2021	Inauguration of Joe Biden
University of Nevada/BUSR	December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021	209 (LV)	± 7%	1%	5%	3%	–	2%	3%	73%^[u]	2%	–
University of Nevada/BUSR	December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021	209 (LV)	± 7%	1%	15%	8%	36%	6%	3%	–^[cz]	7%	24%

Iowa caucuses

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Ted Cruz	Ron DeSantis	Nikki Haley	Kristi Noem	Mike Pence	Mike Pompeo	Mitt Romney	Donald Trump	Other	Undecided
Victory Insights	Released March 14, 2021	– (LV)^[da]	–	4%	4%	6%	2%	8%	2%	5%	61%^[u]	5%	3%
Victory Insights	Released March 14, 2021	– (LV)^[da]	–	16%	20%	10%	6%	19%	6%	5%	–^[cz]	7%	6%

Maine primary

Maine's 2nd congressional district

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Ted Cruz	Nikki Haley	Mike Pence	Marco Rubio	Ivanka Trump	Donald Trump Jr.	Other	Undecided
	January 3, 2023	Redrawing of congressional districts after the 2020 redistricting cycle
	January 20, 2021	Inauguration of Joe Biden
	November 3, 2020	2020 presidential election
SurveyUSA / FairVote	Jun 30 – July 6, 2020	604 (LV)	± 4.1%	12%	12%	30%	6%	7%	11%	–	21%

North Carolina primary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Ted Cruz	Nikki Haley	Mike Pence	Mitt Romney	Marco Rubio	Donald Trump	Other	Undecided
	January 20, 2021	Inauguration of Joe Biden
University of Nevada/BUSR	Nov 30 – December 2, 2020	221 (RV)	± 7%	3%	6%	–	3%	2%	76%^[u]	5%	6%
University of Nevada/BUSR	Nov 30 – December 2, 2020	221 (RV)	± 7%	9%	9%	48%	9%	3%	–^[cz]	4%	18%

South Carolina primary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Donald Trump	Other	Undecided
Trafalgar (R)	Mar 25–29, 2021	1,014 (LV)	± 2.99%	64%	11%^[db]	25%^[dc]

General election polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other/Undecided
Echelon Insights	Oct 15–19, 2021	1,098 (RV)	–	48%	42%	10%
Selzer and Company/Grinnell College	October 13-17, 2021	745 (LV)	± 3.6%	40%	40%	19%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies	October 4–6, 2021	1,150 (LV)	–	43%	41%	16%
Echelon Insights	Sep 17–23, 2021	1,005 (RV)	–	50%	39%	11%
Rasmussen Reports	September 21–22, 2021	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	41%	51%	8%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies	September 19–20, 2021	1,137 (LV)	–	42%	40%	18%
McLaughlin & Associates	September 9–14, 2021	1,000 (LV)	–	47%	50%	3%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies	September 4–5, 2021	1,148 (LV)	–	45%	42%	13%
Emerson College	August 30 – September 1, 2021	1,200 (RV)	± 2.7%	46%	47%	7%
Rasmussen Reports	August 16–17, 2021	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	37%	43%	20%
YouGov/Yahoo News	July 30 – August 2, 2021	1,552 (A)	–	47%	37%	16%
PEM Management Corporation/John Bolton Super Pac	July 8, 2021	1,000 (LV)	–	46%	43%	11%
YouGov/Yahoo News	June 22–24, 2021	1,592 (A)	–	47%	35%	18%
YouGov/Yahoo News	May 24–26, 2021	1,588 (A)	–	46%	36%	18%
YouGov/Yahoo News	May 11–13, 2021	1,561 (A)	–	48%	36%	16%
Ipsos/Reuters	April 12–16, 2021	1,106 (A)	–	45%	28%	27%
PEM Management Corporation/John Bolton Super Pac	Apr 3–7, 2021	1,000 (LV)	–	46%	42%	12%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other/Undecided
Emerson College	August 30 – September 1, 2021	1,200 (RV)	± 2.7%	48%	36%	16%
Echelon Insights	Apr 16–23, 2021	1,043 (RV)	–	45%	28%	27%
Ipsos/Reuters	April 12–16, 2021	1,105 (A)	–	41%	25%	34%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll source	Date	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Other/Undecided
Ipsos/Reuters	April 12–16, 2021	1,107 (A)	–	44%	19%	37%

Joe Biden vs. Ted Cruz

Poll source	Date	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ted Cruz Republican	Other/Undecided
Ipsos/Reuters	April 12–16, 2021	1,105 (A)	–	46%	24%	30%

Joe Biden vs. Mitt Romney

Poll source	Date	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Mitt Romney Republican	Other/Undecided
Emerson College	August 30 – September 1, 2021	1,200 (RV)	± 2.7%	42%	23%	35%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other/Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates	October 14–18, 2021	1,000 (LV)	–	46%	49%	4%
Rasmussen Reports	September 21–22, 2021	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	39%	52%	9%
McLaughlin & Associates	September 9–14, 2021	1,000 (LV)	–	47%	49%	4%
McLaughlin & Associates	July 29 – August 3, 2021	1,000 (LV)	–	46%	49%	5%
Echelon Insights	June 18–22, 2021	1,001 (RV)	–	47%	40%	13%
McLaughlin & Associates	June 16–20, 2021	1,000 (LV)	–	45%	49%	6%
McLaughlin & Associates	May 12–18, 2021	1,000 (LV)	–	45%	49%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Mike Pence

Poll source	Date	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Mike Pence Republican	Other/Undecided
Echelon Insights	June 18–22, 2021	1,001 (RV)	–	45%	36%	19%

Kamala Harris vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other/Undecided
Echelon Insights	Apr 16–23, 2021	1,043 (RV)	–	43%	31%	26%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Andrew Yang

Poll source	Date	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Andrew Yang Forward	Other/Undecided
Echelon Insights	Oct 15–19, 2021	1,098 (RV)	–	44%	40%	5%	11%

Timeline

Notes

^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o ^p ^q ^r ^s ^t Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
^ Democratic subsample of full sample of 1,574 likely voters
^ "Unlikely or very unlikely to vote for Biden" as opposed to "Absolute will or likely to vote for Biden" with 22%; Would not vote with 6%
^ "Consider voting for Biden" with 8%; Undecided with 7%
^ "Someone else" with 11%
^ Bernie Sanders with 16%; Elizabeth Warren with 6%; Gavin Newsom with 3%; "Someone else", Tulsi Gabbard and Joe Manchin with 1%; Andy Beshear, Kyrsten Sinema and Gretchen Whitmer with 0%
^ Joe Manchin and Gavin Newsom with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper, Tim Kaine, Deval Patrick and Tom Steyer with 1%; Ilhan Omar with 0%
^ Gavin Newsom with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Deval Patrick and Tom Steyer with 1%; John Hickenlooper, Tim Kaine and Ilhan Omar with 0%
^ John Hickenlooper and Gavin Newsom with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand and Tim Kaine with 1%; Ilhan Omar with 0%
^ Bernie Sanders with 10%; Elizabeth Warren and Tim Kaine with 6%; Sherrod Brown with 2%
^ John Hickenlooper with 2%; Tim Kaine, Gavin Newsom, Deval Patrick and Ilhan Omar with 1%
^ Tim Kaine, Gavin Newsom and Deval Patrick with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper and Ilhan Omar with 1%
^ Democratic subsample of full sample of 1,574 likely voters
^ "Someone else" with 26%; Julian Castro with 2%; John Bel Edwards with 1%
^ Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper and Gavin Newsom with 2%; Tim Kaine, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 1%
^ John Hickenlooper with 2%; Tim Kaine, Kirsten Gillibrand, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 1%; Gavin Newsom with 0%
^ John Hickenlooper with 3%; Tim Kaine with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Ilhan Omar and Deval Patrick with 1%
^ Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper, Tim Kaine, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 1%
^ John Hickenlooper with 3%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Tim Kaine and Deval Patrick with 1%
^ Kirsten Gillibrand with 3%
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o ^p ^q ^r ^s ^t ^u ^v ^w ^x ^y ^z ^aa Standard VI response
^ Candace Owens with 3%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem, Candace Owens and Rick Scott with 1%
^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
^ Chris Christie with 7%; Kristi Noem with 3%
^ Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Candace Owens and Rick Scott with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
^ "Someone else" with 5%; Tom Cotton with 0%
^ John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Candace Owens with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 0%
^ Kristi Noem with 1%; Tom Cotton with 0%
^ Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%
^ Candace Owens with 4%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, John Kasich and Rick Scott with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
^ "Trump should not run again in 2024" as opposed to "Trump should run again in 2024" with 19%
^ 22% of a full sample of 1,316 adults
^ "Do not want Trump to run" as opposed to "want Trump to run" with 30%
^ Candace Owens with 3%; John Kasich, Liz Cheney, Rick Scott, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Tom Cotton with 0%
^ Would not vote with 4%; "Someone else" with 2%; Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
^ "Trump should not run again in 2024" as opposed to "Trump should run again in 2024" with 22%
^ Republican subsample of total sample of 1574 likely voters
^ "Unlikely or very unlikely to vote for Trump" as opposed to "Absolute will or likely to vote for Trump" with 24%; Would not vote with 3%
^ "Consider voting for Trump" with 8%; Undecided with 4%
^ John Kasich with 3%; Candace Owens with 2%; Tom Cotton, Rick Scott with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
^ Kristi Noem with 1%
^ Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%
^ On whether voters thought they'd support a Trump primary campaign if he ran
^ "Would definitely not vote for Trump" with 16%
^ Candace Owens with 3%; Tom Cotton and John Kasich with 2%; Kristi Noem and Tim Scott with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
^ "Someone else" with 12%; Tom Cotton with 1%
^ Would not vote with 5%; "Someone else" with 3%; Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
^ GOP and GOP-leaning subsample of a full sample of 1,006 registered voters
^ Among all adults (no Republican crosstab published). The same pollster showed 25% for Trump and 19% for Romney in November, when taking into account all voters and not only Republicans.^[76]
^ Ben Sasse with 3%; Rick Scott with 2%; Ivanka Trump with 1%
^ Listed as "Skipped"
^ Would not vote with 6%; "Someone else" with 5%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%
^ John Kasich and Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
^ "Would not like to see Trump run for president in 2024" with 21%
^ John Kasich with 3%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
^ Would not vote with 5%; "Someone else" with 3%; Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%; Charlie Baker with 0%
^ 37% of the full sample of 1,500 2020 general election voters
^ Ivanka Trump with 2%; Tom Cotton and Ben Sasse with 1%
^ Among 304 republican adults as opposed to all adults
^ John Kasich and Rick Scott with 2%; Rick Santorum with 1%
^ Republican subsample of 1,200 registered voters
^ Respondents who think Trump should do something other than running for president in 2024 with 43%
^ Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 2%; "Someone else", Greg Abbott, Chris Christie and Tom Cotton with 1%; Josh Hawley, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Rick Scott with 0%
^ Candace Owens with 5%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 2%; Tom Cotton with 1%
^ "Someone else" with 3%; Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott, Ben Sasse, Rick Scott and Marjorie Taylor Greene with 0%
^ Candace Owens with 5%; Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
^ "Someone else" with 8%; Tom Cotton with 1%
^ Candace Owens with 6%; Ivanka Trump with 5%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton and John Kasich with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
^ No voters
^ "Someone else" with 1%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Rick Scott with 0%
^ Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%; Chris Christie with 0%
^ No voters
^ No voters
^ No voters
^ "Someone else" with 2%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%; Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Ben Sasse with 0%
^ Ivanka Trump with 4%; Candace Owens with 3%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
^ Candace Owens with 5%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; John Kasich with 2%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
^ No voters
^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse and "Someone else" with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%; Dave Portnoy with no voters
^ Republican subsample of total sample of 1574 likely voters
^ "Someone else" with 19%; Kristi Noem and Ben Sasse with 1%
^ No voters
^ No voters
^ Kristi Noem and "Someone else" with 1%; Greg Abbott, Dave Portnoy and Rick Scott with 0%; Tom Cotton and Ben Sasse with no voters
^ Candace Owens with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich with 2%; Rick Scott and Kristi Noem with 1%
^ Greg Abbott with 2%; “Someone else,” Tom Cotton, Tim Scott, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse, Rick Scott, Josh Hawley, and Dave Portnoy with 1% or less
^ Kristi Noem with 4%; Chris Christie, Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%
^ Candace Owens with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem, and Tim Scott with 2%; Rick Scott with 1%
^ "Other" with 21%; Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 4%; Greg Abbott and Devin Nunes with 2%
^ "Someone else" with 16%; Tom Cotton with 3%
^ Dan Crenshaw, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse and "Someone else" with 2%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Rand Paul with 1%; Greg Abbott, Dave Portnoy, and Elise Stefanik with 1% or less
^ GOP and GOP-leaning subsample of a full sample of 1,006 registered voters
^ Rand Paul with 3%; John Kasich and "Someone else" with 2%; Dan Crenshaw and Tom Cotton with 1%; Greg Abbott, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Elise Stefanik with 0%
^ Among all adults (no Republican crosstab published). The same pollster showed 25% for Trump and 19% for Romney in November, when taking into account all voters and not only Republicans.^[76]
^ Ben Sasse and Ivanka Trump with 3%; Rick Scott with 2%
^ Ivanka Trump with 4%; John Kasich with 3%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem with 2%; Rick Scott with 0%
^ Among 304 republican adults as opposed to all adults
^ Rick Santorum with 3%; John Kasich and Rick Scott with 2%
^ John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
^ "Someone else" with 3%; Tom Cotton, Dan Crenshaw, Lindsay Graham and John Kasich with 2%; Ben Sasse and Elise Stefanik with 0%
^ Paul Ryan with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Kevin McCarthy with 2%
^ Likely Republican primary voter subsample of 1,093 likely general election voters
^ "Would vote for anyone other than Trump" with 14%; would not vote with 4%
^ ^a ^b ^c If Donald Trump did not run
^ Not yet released
^ "Would vote for anyone other than Trump" with 9%; would not vote with 2%
^ "Would consider voting for Trump" with 20%; Undecided with 6%

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^ Mitchell, Tia; Bluestein, Greg (August 6, 2021). "The Jolt: Marjorie Taylor Greene's Iowa trip fuels speculation of presidential hopes". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution.
^ Bade, Rachel; Lizza, Ryan; Palmeri, Tara; Daniels, Eugene (April 20, 2021). "POLITICO Playbook: Nikki Haley scouts a 2024 partner". Politico. Retrieved April 26, 2021.
^ Stableford, Dylan (October 6, 2021). "Nikki Haley, in a shift, says 2024 candidacy not dependent on whether Trump runs". Yahoo News. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
^ Pfannenstiel, Brianne (August 31, 2021). "Sen. Marco Rubio returns to Iowa, but won't say if the 'future holds' a 2024 presidential run". Des Moines Register.
^ Mastrangelo, Dominick (May 3, 2021). "Rubio keeping door open on White House bid". TheHill.
^ Jarvis, Jacob (July 10, 2021). "Donald Trump Jr. Touts Polls in CPAC Interview, But Says He Hasn't Thought About 2024 Run". Newsweek. Retrieved July 12, 2021.
^ Roop, Lee (July 10, 2021). "Donald Trump Jr. at Alabama fishing expo hears his name floated for 2024 GOP ticket". AL.com. Retrieved July 12, 2021.
^ Thompson, Alex (July 2, 2020). "Tucker Carlson 2024? The GOP is buzzing". Politico. Archived from the original on July 3, 2020. Retrieved July 3, 2020.
^ DeSanctis, Alexandra (July 15, 2019). "Tucker Carlson: 'I Would Be Insane to Run for President'". The National Review. Retrieved October 26, 2020.
^ Weissert, Will (January 13, 2021). "Impeachment could become defining moment for Liz Cheney". Associated Press.
^ Leonard, Ben (May 13, 2021). "Liz Cheney says she's not running for president". Politico. Retrieved May 13, 2021.
^ Axelrod, Tal (March 4, 2021). "Crenshaw pours cold water on 2024 White House bid: 'Something will emerge'". The Hill. Retrieved March 19, 2021.
^ Steinhauser, Paul (July 9, 2021). "GOP Rep. Crenshaw pushes back against 2024 speculation during swing through New Hampshire". Fox News. Retrieved September 6, 2021.
^ Douglas Burns (October 29, 2020). "The early lead: Ranking Top 10 possible 2024 Republican White House candidates in Iowa". Carroll Daily Times Herald. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
^ Douglas Burns (February 18, 2021). "Ernst 'totally' rules out presidential run in 2024". Carroll Daily Times Herald. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
^ Caputo, Marc; Everett, Burgess (February 4, 2021). "'He's clearly laying groundwork': Hawley paves 2024 path". Politico. Retrieved February 14, 2021.
^ Nawaguna, Elvina (January 26, 2021). "SCOOP: Josh Hawley says he is not running for president in 2024". Business Insider. Retrieved January 26, 2021.
^ Athey, Amber (August 26, 2020). "Kristi Noem, first female president?". The Spectator. Archived from the original on September 3, 2020. Retrieved September 28, 2020.
^ Kaczke, Lisa (July 8, 2020). "Gov. Kristi Noem: I don't want to be president in 2024". Sioux Falls Argus-Leader. Archived from the original on October 4, 2020. Retrieved July 26, 2020.
^ Wallace, Jeremy (August 26, 2020). "Are these Texans potential 2024 presidential contenders? Hint: One speaks tonight at the RNC". Houston Chronicle. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
^ "Friday letters: Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick says he won't run for president. Whew!". Houston Chronicle. January 11, 2019. Retrieved November 18, 2020.
^ Forgey, Quint (March 4, 2021). "Pompeo teases 2024 run: 'I'm always up for a good fight'". Politico. Retrieved March 4, 2021.
^ "Trump's former Sec. Mike Pompeo on 2024 presidential run thoughts: 'No, not at all'". KSNT News. May 6, 2021. Retrieved May 6, 2021.
^ "Ex-House speaker Paul Ryan could restore Republican Party sanity -opinion". The Jerusalem Post. Retrieved September 1, 2021.
^ "Former Republican House speaker Paul Ryan speaks out on Trump's bogus election claims". The Independent. August 31, 2021. Retrieved September 1, 2021.
^ Goba, Kadia (August 25, 2020). "Tim Scott's RNC Speech Introduced One Possible Post-Trump Republican Future". BuzzFeed News. Archived from the original on August 25, 2020. Retrieved August 25, 2020.
^ Lovegrove, Jamie (August 30, 2020). "Haley, Scott speeches stoke speculation about 2024 and questions about GOP's future". Post and Courier. Archived from the original on August 31, 2020. Retrieved September 4, 2020.
^ Kwong, Jessica (March 28, 2019). "Ivanka Trump Is Battling Donald Trump Jr. to Run for President, 'Has a Hissy Fit' When He Gets Good Press: Kushner Book Author". Newsweek. Archived from the original on September 11, 2020. Retrieved July 14, 2020.
^ Hensch, Mark (April 5, 2017). "Ivanka Trump shoots down 2024 run: 'Politics is a tough business'". The Hill. Retrieved November 21, 2020.
^ Singman, Brooke (February 28, 2020). "Former GOP Gov. Scott Walker floats future presidential bid at CPAC". Fox News. Archived from the original on July 20, 2020. Retrieved July 20, 2020.
^ Sommerhauser, Mark (October 28, 2018). "What would the next four years bring under Scott Walker or Tony Evers?". AP News. Archived from the original on January 14, 2020. Retrieved January 14, 2020 – via Wisconsin State Journal.
^ Gillespie, Nick (July 28, 2021). "Dave Smith: Libertarians vs. Big Tech, Big Government, and…Other Libertarians". Reason. Retrieved July 31, 2021.
^ McCarthy, Tyler (May 19, 2021). "Kanye West 'has not decided' if he'll run for president again in 2024". Fox News.
^ Zarza, Zoe (August 29, 2021). "Kanye [West] Debuts Balenciaga "DONDA" collection, hints at 2024 presidential run". thesource.com. The Source. Retrieved August 30, 2021.
^ ^a ^b "Leger's Weekly Survey" (PDF).

[key-76] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o ^p ^q ^r ^s ^t Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[77] Democratic subsample of full sample of 1,574 likely voters

[78] "Unlikely or very unlikely to vote for Biden" as opposed to "Absolute will or likely to vote for Biden" with 22%; Would not vote with 6%

[79] "Consider voting for Biden" with 8%; Undecided with 7%

[80] "Someone else" with 11%

[81] Bernie Sanders with 16%; Elizabeth Warren with 6%; Gavin Newsom with 3%; "Someone else", Tulsi Gabbard and Joe Manchin with 1%; Andy Beshear, Kyrsten Sinema and Gretchen Whitmer with 0%

[82] Joe Manchin and Gavin Newsom with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper, Tim Kaine, Deval Patrick and Tom Steyer with 1%; Ilhan Omar with 0%

[83] Gavin Newsom with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Deval Patrick and Tom Steyer with 1%; John Hickenlooper, Tim Kaine and Ilhan Omar with 0%

[84] John Hickenlooper and Gavin Newsom with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand and Tim Kaine with 1%; Ilhan Omar with 0%

[85] Bernie Sanders with 10%; Elizabeth Warren and Tim Kaine with 6%; Sherrod Brown with 2%

[86] John Hickenlooper with 2%; Tim Kaine, Gavin Newsom, Deval Patrick and Ilhan Omar with 1%

[87] Tim Kaine, Gavin Newsom and Deval Patrick with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper and Ilhan Omar with 1%

[88] Democratic subsample of full sample of 1,574 likely voters

[89] "Someone else" with 26%; Julian Castro with 2%; John Bel Edwards with 1%

[90] Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper and Gavin Newsom with 2%; Tim Kaine, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 1%

[91] John Hickenlooper with 2%; Tim Kaine, Kirsten Gillibrand, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 1%; Gavin Newsom with 0%

[92] John Hickenlooper with 3%; Tim Kaine with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Ilhan Omar and Deval Patrick with 1%

[93] Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper, Tim Kaine, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 1%

[94] John Hickenlooper with 3%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Tim Kaine and Deval Patrick with 1%

[95] Kirsten Gillibrand with 3%

[standardvi-96] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o ^p ^q ^r ^s ^t ^u ^v ^w ^x ^y ^z ^aa Standard VI response

[97] Candace Owens with 3%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem, Candace Owens and Rick Scott with 1%

[98] Liz Cheney with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%

[99] Chris Christie with 7%; Kristi Noem with 3%

[100] Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Candace Owens and Rick Scott with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%

[101] "Someone else" with 5%; Tom Cotton with 0%

[102] John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Candace Owens with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 0%

[103] Kristi Noem with 1%; Tom Cotton with 0%

[104] Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%

[105] Candace Owens with 4%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, John Kasich and Rick Scott with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%

[106] "Trump should not run again in 2024" as opposed to "Trump should run again in 2024" with 19%

[107] 22% of a full sample of 1,316 adults

[108] "Do not want Trump to run" as opposed to "want Trump to run" with 30%

[109] Candace Owens with 3%; John Kasich, Liz Cheney, Rick Scott, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Tom Cotton with 0%

[110] Would not vote with 4%; "Someone else" with 2%; Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%

[111] "Trump should not run again in 2024" as opposed to "Trump should run again in 2024" with 22%

[112] Republican subsample of total sample of 1574 likely voters

[113] "Unlikely or very unlikely to vote for Trump" as opposed to "Absolute will or likely to vote for Trump" with 24%; Would not vote with 3%

[114] "Consider voting for Trump" with 8%; Undecided with 4%

[115] John Kasich with 3%; Candace Owens with 2%; Tom Cotton, Rick Scott with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%

[116] Kristi Noem with 1%

[117] Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%

[118] On whether voters thought they'd support a Trump primary campaign if he ran

[119] "Would definitely not vote for Trump" with 16%

[120] Candace Owens with 3%; Tom Cotton and John Kasich with 2%; Kristi Noem and Tim Scott with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%

[121] "Someone else" with 12%; Tom Cotton with 1%

[122] Would not vote with 5%; "Someone else" with 3%; Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%

[123] GOP and GOP-leaning subsample of a full sample of 1,006 registered voters

[125] Among all adults (no Republican crosstab published). The same pollster showed 25% for Trump and 19% for Romney in November, when taking into account all voters and not only Republicans.^[76]

[126] Ben Sasse with 3%; Rick Scott with 2%; Ivanka Trump with 1%

[127] Listed as "Skipped"

[128] Would not vote with 6%; "Someone else" with 5%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%

[129] John Kasich and Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%

[130] "Would not like to see Trump run for president in 2024" with 21%

[131] John Kasich with 3%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%

[132] Would not vote with 5%; "Someone else" with 3%; Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%; Charlie Baker with 0%

[133] 37% of the full sample of 1,500 2020 general election voters

[134] Ivanka Trump with 2%; Tom Cotton and Ben Sasse with 1%

[135] Among 304 republican adults as opposed to all adults

[136] John Kasich and Rick Scott with 2%; Rick Santorum with 1%

[137] Republican subsample of 1,200 registered voters

[138] Respondents who think Trump should do something other than running for president in 2024 with 43%

[139] Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 2%; "Someone else", Greg Abbott, Chris Christie and Tom Cotton with 1%; Josh Hawley, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Rick Scott with 0%

[140] Candace Owens with 5%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 2%; Tom Cotton with 1%

[141] "Someone else" with 3%; Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott, Ben Sasse, Rick Scott and Marjorie Taylor Greene with 0%

[142] Candace Owens with 5%; Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%

[143] "Someone else" with 8%; Tom Cotton with 1%

[144] Candace Owens with 6%; Ivanka Trump with 5%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton and John Kasich with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%

[145] No voters

[146] "Someone else" with 1%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Rick Scott with 0%

[147] Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%; Chris Christie with 0%

[148] No voters

[149] No voters

[150] No voters

[151] "Someone else" with 2%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%; Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Ben Sasse with 0%

[152] Ivanka Trump with 4%; Candace Owens with 3%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%

[153] Candace Owens with 5%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; John Kasich with 2%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%

[154] No voters

[155] Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse and "Someone else" with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%; Dave Portnoy with no voters

[156] Republican subsample of total sample of 1574 likely voters

[157] "Someone else" with 19%; Kristi Noem and Ben Sasse with 1%

[158] No voters

[159] No voters

[160] Kristi Noem and "Someone else" with 1%; Greg Abbott, Dave Portnoy and Rick Scott with 0%; Tom Cotton and Ben Sasse with no voters

[161] Candace Owens with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich with 2%; Rick Scott and Kristi Noem with 1%

[162] Greg Abbott with 2%; “Someone else,” Tom Cotton, Tim Scott, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse, Rick Scott, Josh Hawley, and Dave Portnoy with 1% or less

[163] Kristi Noem with 4%; Chris Christie, Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%

[164] Candace Owens with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem, and Tim Scott with 2%; Rick Scott with 1%

[165] "Other" with 21%; Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 4%; Greg Abbott and Devin Nunes with 2%

[166] "Someone else" with 16%; Tom Cotton with 3%

[167] Dan Crenshaw, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse and "Someone else" with 2%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Rand Paul with 1%; Greg Abbott, Dave Portnoy, and Elise Stefanik with 1% or less

[168] GOP and GOP-leaning subsample of a full sample of 1,006 registered voters

[169] Rand Paul with 3%; John Kasich and "Someone else" with 2%; Dan Crenshaw and Tom Cotton with 1%; Greg Abbott, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Elise Stefanik with 0%

[170] Among all adults (no Republican crosstab published). The same pollster showed 25% for Trump and 19% for Romney in November, when taking into account all voters and not only Republicans.^[76]

[171] Ben Sasse and Ivanka Trump with 3%; Rick Scott with 2%

[172] Ivanka Trump with 4%; John Kasich with 3%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem with 2%; Rick Scott with 0%

[173] Among 304 republican adults as opposed to all adults

[174] Rick Santorum with 3%; John Kasich and Rick Scott with 2%

[175] John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%

[176] "Someone else" with 3%; Tom Cotton, Dan Crenshaw, Lindsay Graham and John Kasich with 2%; Ben Sasse and Elise Stefanik with 0%

[177] Paul Ryan with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Kevin McCarthy with 2%

[178] Likely Republican primary voter subsample of 1,093 likely general election voters

[179] "Would vote for anyone other than Trump" with 14%; would not vote with 4%

[iftrumpdeclined-180] If Donald Trump did not run

[181] Not yet released

[182] "Would vote for anyone other than Trump" with 9%; would not vote with 2%

[183] "Would consider voting for Trump" with 20%; Undecided with 6%

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[leger360.com-124] "Leger's Weekly Survey" (PDF).

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@@ Line 132: / Line 132: @@
 {{As of|2021|10}}, the following people have been subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous six months.
 * [[Chris Christie]], 55th [[Governor of New Jersey]] (2010–2018); [[Chris Christie 2016 presidential campaign|candidate]] for president in [[2016 Republican Party presidential primaries|2016]]<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.axios.com/chris-christie-2024-presidential-election-4eac5391-8239-4a92-93e1-4f0fb5b367ab.html|work=Axios|title=Scoop: Chris Christie friends believe he's running in 2024|first=Jonathan|last=Swan|date=April 21, 2021|access-date=April 21, 2021}}</ref><ref>{{cite news|url=https://video.foxnews.com/v/6251345875001|work=Fox News|title=Chris Christie 'certainly not ruling out' run for president|date=May 1, 2021|access-date=May 3, 2021}}</ref>
+* [[Ron DeSantis]], [[Governor of Florida]] (2019–present); [[United States House of Representatives|United States Representative]] from [[Florida's 6th congressional district|Florida's 6th District]] (2013–2018)<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/floridas-desantis-rises-possible-2024-alternative-trump-2021-07-01/|title=Florida's DeSantis rises as possible 2024 alternative to Trump|date=July 1, 2021|website=Reuters}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/575112-trump-says-he-would-beat-desantis-in-potential-2024-primary|title=Trump says he would beat DeSantis in potential 2024 primary|publisher=The Hill|date=October 3, 2021}}</ref>
 * [[Marjorie Taylor Greene]], [[United States House of Representatives|United States Representative]] from [[Georgia's 14th congressional district|GA-14]] (2021–present)<ref>{{cite web |url=https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2021/08/why-is-marjorie-taylor-greene-going-to-iowa.html |title=Why Is Marjorie Taylor Greene Headed to the Cradle of Presidential Campaigns? |date=August 5, 2021 |work=Intelligencer |first=Ed |last=Kilgore}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.ajc.com/politics/politics-blog/the-jolt-marjorie-taylor-greenes-iowa-trip-fuels-speculation-of-presidential-hopes/LRMCSDHDRFBAJE5Q5BNRZ5GOKA/ |title=The Jolt: Marjorie Taylor Greene’s Iowa trip fuels speculation of presidential hopes |date=August 6, 2021 |work=The Atlanta Journal-Constitution |first1=Tia |last1=Mitchell |first2=Greg |last2=Bluestein}}</ref>
 * [[Nikki Haley]], 29th [[United States Ambassador to the United Nations]] (2017–2018); 116th [[Governor of South Carolina]] (2011–2017)<ref>{{cite web |last1=Bade |first1=Rachel |last2=Lizza |first2=Ryan |last3=Palmeri |first3=Tara |last4=Daniels |first4=Eugene |title=POLITICO Playbook: Nikki Haley scouts a 2024 partner |url=https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2021/04/20/nikki-haley-scouts-a-2024-partner-492527 |website=[[Politico]] |access-date=April 26, 2021 |date=April 20, 2021}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last1=Stableford |first1=Dylan |title=Nikki Haley, in a shift, says 2024 candidacy not dependent on whether Trump runs |url=https://news.yahoo.com/nikki-haley-trump-2024-presidential-bid-jan-6-pence-191316800.html|website=[[Yahoo News]] |access-date=October 6, 2021 |date=October 6, 2021}}</ref>
@@ Line 139: / Line 140: @@
 <gallery mode="packed" heights="160">
 File:Chris Christie 2020.jpg|{{center|Former [[Governor of New Jersey|Governor]]<br/>'''[[Chris Christie]]'''<br/>of [[New Jersey]]}}
+File:Ron DeSantis 2020 (cropped).jpg|{{center|[[Governor of Florida|Governor]]<br/>'''[[Ron DeSantis]]'''<br/>of [[Florida]]}}
 File:Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene official photo, 117th Congress (cropped).jpg|{{center|[[United States House of Representatives|U.S. Representative]]<br/>'''[[Marjorie Taylor Greene]]'''<br/>from [[Georgia (U.S. state)|Georgia]]}}
 File:Nikki Haley official photo (cropped).jpg|{{center|Former [[United States Ambassador to the United Nations|Ambassador to the U.N.]]<br/>'''[[Nikki Haley]]'''<br/>from [[South Carolina]]}}

v t e (2023 ←) 2024 United States elections (→ 2025)
U.S. President	Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming Guam (straw poll)
U.S. Senate	Arizona California Connecticut Delaware Florida Hawaii Indiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska (regular) Nebraska (special) Nevada New Jersey New Mexico New York North Dakota Ohio Pennsylvania Rhode Island Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming
U.S. House (election ratings)	Alabama Alaska American Samoa Arizona Arkansas California 16th 20th sp 30th 45th 47th Colorado 4th sp Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Guam Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland 6th Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey 10th sp New Mexico New York 3rd sp 26th sp North Carolina North Dakota Northern Mariana Islands Ohio 6th sp Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Puerto Rico Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia U.S. Virgin Islands Washington West Virginia Wisconsin 8th sp Wyoming
Governors	American Samoa Delaware Lt. Gov Indiana Missouri Lt. Gov Montana New Hampshire North Carolina Lt. Gov North Dakota Puerto Rico Utah Vermont Lt. Gov Washington Lt. Gov West Virginia
Attorneys general	Indiana Missouri Montana North Carolina Oregon Pennsylvania Utah Vermont Washington West Virginia
Secretaries of state	Missouri Montana North Carolina Oregon Vermont Washington West Virginia
State treasurers	Arkansas (special) Missouri North Carolina North Dakota Oregon Pennsylvania Utah Vermont Washington West Virginia
Other statewide elections	Arizona Corporation Commission Georgia Judicial Kentucky Supreme Court Montana State Auditor New Hampshire Executive Council North Carolina Council of State North Dakota State Auditor Pennsylvania Auditor General Utah State Auditor Washington State Auditor Public Lands Commissioner West Virginia State Auditor
State legislative	Alaska House Senate Arizona House Senate Arkansas House Senate California Assembly Senate Colorado House Senate Connecticut House Senate Delaware House Senate Florida House Senate Georgia House Senate Hawaii House Senate Idaho House Senate Illinois House Senate Indiana House Senate Iowa House Senate Kansas House Senate Kentucky House Senate Maine House Senate Massachusetts House Senate Michigan House Minnesota House Missouri House Senate Montana House Senate Nebraska Nevada Assembly Senate New Hampshire House Senate New Mexico House Senate New York Assembly Senate North Carolina House Senate North Dakota House Senate Ohio House Senate Oklahoma House Senate Oregon House Senate Pennsylvania House Senate Puerto Rico House Senate Rhode Island House Senate South Carolina House Senate South Dakota House Senate Tennessee House Senate Texas House Senate Utah House Senate Vermont House Senate Washington House Senate West Virginia House Senate Wisconsin Assembly Senate Wyoming House Senate Special elections
Mayors	Alexandria, VA Anchorage, AK Austin, TX Bakersfield, CA Baltimore, MD Baton Rouge, LA Bridgeport, CT Burlington, VT El Paso, TX Fresno, CA Grand Rapids, MI Honolulu, HI Las Vegas, NV Mesa, AZ Miami-Dade County, FL Milwaukee, WI Phoenix, AZ Portland, OR Pueblo, CO Raleigh, NC Richmond, VA Riverside, CA Sacramento, CA Salt Lake City, UT San Diego, CA San Francisco, CA Stockton, CA Tulsa, OK Virginia Beach, VA Wilmington, DE
Local	Chicago, IL Los Angeles, CA Los Angeles County, CA Maricopa County, AZ Multnomah County, OR Orange County, CA Portland, OR City Auditor City Council San Francisco, CA San Mateo County, CA Washington, D.C.
States and territories	Alabama Alaska American Samoa Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Guam Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Northern Mariana Islands Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Puerto Rico Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas U.S. Virgin Islands Utah Vermont Virginia Washington Washington, D.C. West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming
Ballot measures	California Proposition 1 Florida Amendment 3 Amendment 4 Kentucky Amendment 2 Maryland abortion referendum

v t e United States presidential elections
Elections by year	1788 1792 1796 1800 1804 1808 1812 1816 1820 1824 1828 1832 1836 1840 1844 1848 1852 1856 1860 1864 1868 1872 1876 1880 1884 1888 1892 1896 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
Elections by state	Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming
Primaries and caucuses	Iowa caucuses New Hampshire presidential primary Nevada presidential caucuses South Carolina presidential primary Super Tuesday
Nominating conventions	List of nominating conventions Brokered convention Convention bounce Superdelegate
Electoral College and popular vote	Results summary elections in which the winner lost the popular vote Electoral College margins Electoral College results by state electoral vote changes between elections electoral vote recipients popular votes received popular-vote margins Electoral Count Act Certificate of ascertainment Certificate of vote Contingent election Faithless elector Unpledged elector Voter turnout
Related	Campaign slogans Historical election polling Election Day Major party tickets Major party losers Presidential debates October surprise Red states and blue states Swing state Tipping-point state Election recount (2000) Guam straw poll Vice presidential confirmations: 1973 1974
House elections Senate elections Gubernatorial elections

Revision as of 01:47, 21 October 2021

Background

Procedure

Effects of the 2020 census

Campaign issues

COVID-19 pandemic

Candidates

Democratic Party

Potential candidates

Declined to be candidates

Republican Party

Publicly expressed interest

Potential candidates

Declined to be candidates

Libertarian Party

Publicly expressed interest

Independents, other third parties, or party unknown

Publicly expressed interest

Primary election polling

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Nationwide polling

Statewide polling

Georgia primary

Iowa caucuses

Maine primary

Maine's 2nd congressional district

North Carolina primary

South Carolina primary

General election polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Joe Biden vs. Ted Cruz

Joe Biden vs. Mitt Romney

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Kamala Harris vs. Mike Pence

Kamala Harris vs. Ron DeSantis

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Andrew Yang

Timeline

See also

Notes

References