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The stunning results greatly boosted the morale of the pro-democrats to eye the majority of the Legislative Council in the coming election. [[Benny Tai]], initiator of the [[2014 Hong Kong protests|2014 Occupy protests]], suggested the chance of the pro-democrats winning more than half of the seats to block the government's bills. He also came up the thought of the "ThunderGo plan 2.0", which mirrored his coordinating mechanism of "smart voters" in the [[2016 Hong Kong legislative election|2016 election]] to strategic voting in order to increase the chance of the pro-democrat candidates.<ref>{{cite news|title=戴耀廷倡「去中心化」雷動2.0 搶攻功能界別 冀泛民佔立會過半|work=信報財經新聞|date=2019-12-02|url=https://www1.hkej.com/features/article?q=%23%E5%8F%8D%E4%BF%AE%E4%BE%8B%E5%B0%88%E8%A8%AA%E5%85%A7%E5%AE%B9%23&suid=1891892600}}</ref>
The stunning results greatly boosted the morale of the pro-democrats to eye the majority of the Legislative Council in the coming election. [[Benny Tai]], initiator of the [[2014 Hong Kong protests|2014 Occupy protests]], suggested the chance of the pro-democrats winning more than half of the seats to block the government's bills. He also came up the thought of the "ThunderGo plan 2.0", which mirrored his coordinating mechanism of "smart voters" in the [[2016 Hong Kong legislative election|2016 election]] to strategic voting in order to increase the chance of the pro-democrat candidates.<ref>{{cite news|title=戴耀廷倡「去中心化」雷動2.0 搶攻功能界別 冀泛民佔立會過半|work=信報財經新聞|date=2019-12-02|url=https://www1.hkej.com/features/article?q=%23%E5%8F%8D%E4%BF%AE%E4%BE%8B%E5%B0%88%E8%A8%AA%E5%85%A7%E5%AE%B9%23&suid=1891892600}}</ref>

===Coronavirus outbreak===
{{main|2020 coronavirus outbreak in Hong Kong}}
In February 2020, a confidential report by Chief Executive Carrie Lam to the central government was obtained by ''[[Apple Daily]]''. In the report, Lam stated her attempt to win back the public trust and support by effectively handling the epidemic which would serve as a political turnaround for the coming election from the deep dissatisfaction towards the government. She also blamed the sharp decline of the public trust in government and the its difficulties on handling the crisis on the smears, rumours, divisions and radicalisation by the opposition and radical netizens. Nevertheless, she also slammed the pro-government parties for not supporting her wholeheartedly, claiming being personal attacked by the pro-government figures for their own electoral purpose and criticising Executive Councillors for their performance.<ref>{{cite news|title=林鄭呈中央報告曝光　藉抗疫圖翻盤　篤背脊　泛民：令人作嘔　建制：佢冇得救|newspaper=蘋果日報|date=2020-02-23|url=https://hk.news.appledaily.com/local/20200223/3FYZEKJDUNKRYC5PRDKHMOABIQ/}}</ref> A Hong Kong Public Opinion Research Institute survey in late January found 75 per cent of respondents dissatisfied with the government’s response to the outbreak, while Lam’s support rating has sunk to 21 per cent, the lowest on record for any leader.<ref>{{cite news|title=2019 Movement, Winter Coronavirus — Is Hong Kong’s springtime coming?|url=http://www.europe-solidaire.org/spip.php?article52124|date=20 February 2020|work=Europe Solidaire Sans Frontières|first=Ben|last=Hillier}}</ref>


==Retiring incumbents==
==Retiring incumbents==

Revision as of 11:58, 23 February 2020

2020 Hong Kong legislative election
← 2016 September 2020
(Date TBC)		 2024 →
All 70 seats to the Legislative Council
36 seats needed for a majority
  Starry Lee Lo Wai-kwok Wu Chi-wai
Leader Starry Lee Lo Wai-kwok Wu Chi-wai
Party DAB BPA Democratic
Alliance Pro-Beijing Pro-Beijing Pro-democracy
Leader's seat District Council (Second) Engineering Kowloon East
Last election 12 seats, 16.68% 7 seats, 2.29% 7 seats, 9.22%
Current seats 13 8 7
  Alvin Yeung Ng Chau-pei Felix Chung
Leader Alvin Yeung Ng Chau-pei Felix Chung
Party Civic FTU Liberal
Alliance Pro-democracy Pro-Beijing Pro-Beijing
Leader's seat New Territories East No seat Textiles & Garment
Last election 6 seats, 9.59% 5 seats, 7.83% 4 seats, 0.99%
Current seats 5 5 4
  Regina Ip Paul Zimmerman Cheng Chung-tai
Leader Regina Ip Paul Zimmerman Cheng Chung-tai
Party NPP Prof Commons Civic Passion
Alliance Pro-Beijing Pro-democracy Localist
Leader's seat Hong Kong Island No seat New Territories West
Last election 3 seats, 7.73% 2 seats 1 seat, 5.63%
Current seats 2 2 1
Incumbent President

Andrew Leung
BPA



The 2020 Hong Kong Legislative Council election is scheduled in September 2020 for the 7th Legislative Council of Hong Kong (LegCo). A total of 70 members, 35 from geographical constituencies (GCs) and 35 from functional constituencies (FCs), will be returned.

Background

Anti-extradition protests and District Council landslide

Main articles: 2019–20 Hong Kong protests and 2019 Hong Kong local elections

In mid 2019, the push for an amendment of the extradition law by the Carrie Lam administration which allowed transfers of fugitives between mainland China and Hong Kong triggered an unprecedented crisis in Hong Kong.[1] More than a million people marched against the bill in the mid summer of June which turned into violent clashes between the police and the protesters outside the Central Government Complex on 12 June.[2]

As Carrie Lam refused to back down on the protesters' demand on fully withdrawal the bill, the protests persisted and spread across the territory. Alleged police brutality and collusion with triad groups to assault civilians also led to the demand of an independent inquiry into the matters.[3] Carrie Lam eventually conceded by officially withdrawing the bill on 23 October, but stood firmly against the other demands of the protesters.[4]

In the 2019 District Council election which was widely viewed as a de facto referendum on the protests, the pro-democrats scored a historic landslide victory over the pro-Beijing camp, by gaining control of 17 of the 18 District Councils and tripling their seats from around 124 to about 388.[5] The pro-Beijing parties suffered devastating loss, with the flagship pro-Beijing party Democratic Alliance for the Betterment and Progress of Hong Kong (DAB) lost nearly hundred seats, while the New People's Party was completely wiped out from the district levels.[6]

Many of the incumbent Legislative Council members lost their District Council seats, including Junius Ho, Alice Mak, Luk Chung-hung, Ho Kai-ming, Michael Tien, Cheung Kwok-kwan and Vincent Cheng. DAB's Holden Chow and Lau Kwok-fan also lost their seats which meant that they lost their eligibilities to run in their respective constituencies of District Council (Second) and District Council (First) in the coming Legislative Council election.[7]

The stunning results greatly boosted the morale of the pro-democrats to eye the majority of the Legislative Council in the coming election. Benny Tai, initiator of the 2014 Occupy protests, suggested the chance of the pro-democrats winning more than half of the seats to block the government's bills. He also came up the thought of the "ThunderGo plan 2.0", which mirrored his coordinating mechanism of "smart voters" in the 2016 election to strategic voting in order to increase the chance of the pro-democrat candidates.[8]

Coronavirus outbreak

Main article: 2020 coronavirus outbreak in Hong Kong

In February 2020, a confidential report by Chief Executive Carrie Lam to the central government was obtained by Apple Daily. In the report, Lam stated her attempt to win back the public trust and support by effectively handling the epidemic which would serve as a political turnaround for the coming election from the deep dissatisfaction towards the government. She also blamed the sharp decline of the public trust in government and the its difficulties on handling the crisis on the smears, rumours, divisions and radicalisation by the opposition and radical netizens. Nevertheless, she also slammed the pro-government parties for not supporting her wholeheartedly, claiming being personal attacked by the pro-government figures for their own electoral purpose and criticising Executive Councillors for their performance.[9] A Hong Kong Public Opinion Research Institute survey in late January found 75 per cent of respondents dissatisfied with the government’s response to the outbreak, while Lam’s support rating has sunk to 21 per cent, the lowest on record for any leader.[10]

Retiring incumbents

Constituency Departing incumbents Party First elected
Hong Kong Island Tanya Chan[11] Civic 2008
Kowloon West Chiang Lai-wan[12] DAB 2012
Kowloon East Wong Kwok-kin[13] FTU 2008
New Territories East Fernando Cheung[14] Labour 2004 (Social Welfare)
Labour Poon Siu-ping[15] FLU 2012
Luk Chung-hung[16] FTU 2016
Social Welfare Shiu Ka-chun[11] Independent 2016
Real Estate and Construction Abraham Shek[17] BPA 2000
Industrial (First) Andrew Leung[18] BPA 2004
Import and Export Wong Ting-kwong[19][20] DAB 2004

Incumbents who lose eligibility to run in their current constituencies

Current constituency Incumbents Party Reason
Hong Kong Island Tanya Chan[11] Civic Sentenced to imprisonment exceeding three months
Social Welfare Shiu Ka-chun[11] Independent Sentenced to imprisonment exceeding three months
District Council (First) Lau Kwok-fan DAB Lost his seat in the North District Council in 2019 re-election
District Council (Second) Holden Chow DAB Lost his seat in the Islands District Council in 2019 re-election

Potential candidates

Potential individuals with at least one reliable source:

Geographical Constituencies

Hong Kong Island (6 seats)

Kowloon West (6 seats)

Kowloon East (5 seats)

New Territories West (9 seats)

New Territories East (9 seats)

District Council (Second)

Traditional Functional Constituencies

Labour (3 seats)

Real Estate and Construction

  • Clarence Leung (BPA), spokesman of the BPA Youth Committee[17]
  • Howard Chao (Liberal), chairman of the Liberal Party Youth Committee and convenor of the Development and Construction Industry Concern Group[17]

Import and Export

Catering

  • Tommy Cheung (Liberal), incumbent Legislative Council member for Catering and Executive Council member[30]
  • Gordon Lam (Civic), chairman of the Hong Kong Food Truck Federation[30]

District Council (First)

References

  1. ^ "The Hong Kong protests explained in 100 and 500 words". BBC News. 27 August 2019. Archived from the original on 28 August 2019. Retrieved 30 August 2019.
  2. ^ "As it happened: Hong Kong police and extradition protesters renew clashes as tear gas flies". South China Morning Post. 12 June 2019. Retrieved 18 August 2019.
  3. ^ Chan, Holmes (22 July 2019). "'Servants of triads': Hong Kong democrats claim police condoned mob attacks in Yuen Long". Hong Kong Free Press. Archived from the original on 22 July 2019.
  4. ^ "Hong Kong's 'dead' extradition bill finally buried as government formally withdraws it". South China Morning Post. 23 September 2019. Retrieved 23 September 2019.
  5. ^ Shibani Mahtani; Tiffany Liang; Anna Kam; Simon Denyer (24 November 2019). "Hong Kong's pro-democracy parties sweeping aside pro-Beijing establishment in local elections, early results show". The Washington Post. Retrieved 24 November 2019.
  6. ^ Bradsher, Keith; Ramzy, Austin; May, Tiffany (24 November 2019). "Hong Kong Election Results Give Democracy Backers Big Win". The New York Times. Archived from the original on 25 November 2019. Retrieved 25 November 2019.
  7. ^ "民建聯多名雙料議員僅二人保住區選議席". now TV. 2019-11-25.
  8. ^ "戴耀廷倡「去中心化」雷動2.0 搶攻功能界別 冀泛民佔立會過半". 信報財經新聞. 2019-12-02.
  9. ^ "林鄭呈中央報告曝光　藉抗疫圖翻盤　篤背脊　泛民：令人作嘔　建制：佢冇得救". 蘋果日報. 2020-02-23.
  10. ^ Hillier, Ben (20 February 2020). "2019 Movement, Winter Coronavirus — Is Hong Kong's springtime coming?". Europe Solidaire Sans Frontières.
  11. ^ a b c d "【佔中判刑】判監8月緩刑2年　陳淑莊無緣競逐連任". 香港01. 2019-06-10.
  12. ^ "立法會9月換屆　蔣麗芸不參加黨內初選 (19:58)". 明報. 2020-02-10.
  13. ^ "何啟明勢當黃國健接班人". 信報. 2018-11-03.
  14. ^ "張超雄擬交棒 下屆淡出立會". 香港經濟日報. 2018-07-09.
  15. ^ a b c "【立會選舉】勞工界潘兆平棄連任　被稱「隱形人」：只向工友交代". 香港01. 2020-01-08.
  16. ^ "【立會選舉】工聯會小花爭勞工界議席　陸頌雄棄連任成「雙失」". 香港01. 2020-02-11.
  17. ^ a b c "【李八方online】富二代地產界跑馬仔 趙式浩惡鬥梁宏正！". 蘋果日報. 2019-01-10.
  18. ^ "政情：立會主席唔好坐 下屆人選漸曝光". 東網. 2019-10-06.
  19. ^ "民建聯「登六」議員被點名交棒". 信報. 2018-07-21.
  20. ^ a b "【立會選舉】黃定光擬退下火線　政協黃英豪獲「加持」選進出口界". 香港01. 2020-01-20.
  21. ^ a b c d e "【立會選舉】周浩鼎擬報名參加黨內初選　民建聯新西四人大混戰". 香港01. 2020-02-10.
  22. ^ a b c d e f g h "【Emily】民主黨立選黨內初選 袁海文挑戰黃碧雲". 明報. 2020-01-16.
  23. ^ a b c d e "【政圈風聲】公民黨新生代抬頭　余德寶、鄭達鴻擬戰立法會". 香港01. 2020-01-15.
  24. ^ a b c d e f g h "【立會選舉】工聯會小花爭勞工界議席　陸頌雄棄連任成「雙失」". 香港01. 2020-01-11.
  25. ^ a b "【政圈風聲】大專學界擬組名單出選　傳推舉方仲賢、梁晃維戰立會". 香港01. 2020-01-31.
  26. ^ "【政情】民建聯調整初選機制　蔣麗芸爭連任添尷尬". now TV. 2020-01-22.
  27. ^ a b c d e f g h "【立會選舉】頂替周浩鼎　顏汶羽初選報名戰超區　劉國勳擬選新東". 香港01. 2020-02-16.
  28. ^ a b c "【政圈風聲】梁志祥一度棄民建聯初選　獲地區挽留最後關頭報名". 香港01. 2020-02-18.
  29. ^ "【立法會選舉】新民黨辦初選定新東名單　容海恩：有競爭係好事". 香港01. 2020-01-22.
  30. ^ a b "【立會選舉】火鍋店東主林瑞華加入公民黨　料戰立會對撼張宇人". 香港01. 2020-01-21.
  31. ^ "立法會選戰　趙家賢擬戰區會（一）". 蘋果日報. 2020-01-16.
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