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The '''2019 Kuomintang presidential primary''' will be held after 22 May 2019 through a series of nationwide opinion polls in order to determine its nominee for the [[President of the Republic of China]] in the [[2020 Taiwan presidential election|2020 presidential election]].<ref>{{cite news|url=https://tw.appledaily.com/new/realtime/20190424/1555957/?utm_campaign=twad_social_appledaily.tw&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook&utm_content=link_post&fbclid=IwAR2oUaG7dHvzWjAwRRZYx4ykkp4CNgO05djdHxAVE15R60ASQJzCxfU8cvE|title=為韓國瑜解套　國民黨確定「納所有可能人選」6月全民調|date=2019-04-24|work=蘋果新聞網}}</ref>
The '''2019 Kuomintang presidential primary''' will be held after 22 May 2019 through a series of nationwide opinion polls in order to determine its nominee for the [[President of the Republic of China]] in the [[2020 Taiwan presidential election|2020 presidential election]].<ref>{{cite news|url=https://tw.appledaily.com/new/realtime/20190424/1555957/?utm_campaign=twad_social_appledaily.tw&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook&utm_content=link_post&fbclid=IwAR2oUaG7dHvzWjAwRRZYx4ykkp4CNgO05djdHxAVE15R60ASQJzCxfU8cvE|title=為韓國瑜解套　國民黨確定「納所有可能人選」6月全民調|date=2019-04-24|work=蘋果新聞網}}</ref>

==Background==
===Late 2018 to early 2019===
In late 2018, the four heavyweights in the Kuomintang, incumbent party chairman and former Vice President [[Wu Den-yih]], former party chairman and 2016 presidential candidate [[Eric Chu]], former [[President of the Legislative Yuan]] [[Wang Jin-pyng]] and former President [[Ma Ying-jeou]] emerged as the potential candidates for the 2020 presidential election. On 26 November 2018, former Deputy Secretary-General of the Presidential Office and incumbent [[Taipei City Council]]lor [[Lo Chih-chiang]] became the first candidate who announced his candidacy on facebook.<ref>{{cite news|url=https://news.tvbs.com.tw/politics/1036158|title=國民黨首發！羅智強宣布：「四階段」選2020總統|work=TVBS NEWS|last=林瑩真|date=2018-11-26}}</ref><ref>{{cite news|url=https://udn.com/news/story/6656/3502143|title=要當國民黨的鯰魚 羅智強宣布參選總統|work=聯合新聞網|last=陳洛薇|date=2018-11-26}}</ref> He later withdrew his candidacy on 7 April 2019.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://udn.com/news/story/6656/3741635| title=吳朱會破局 羅智強：吳敦義應說自己選不選2020|date=2019-04-07 |accessdate=2019-04-07}}</ref>

On 25 December 2018, former Kuomintang chairman and 2016 presidential candidate [[Eric Chu]] announced that he would run in the 2020 presidential race when he stepped down on 25 December 2018 as [[Mayor of New Taipei City]], becoming the first big-name politician to throw his hat in the ring.<ref>{{cite news|title=KMT veteran Eric Chu announces bid for Taiwan presidency in 2020|work=The Straits Times|date=2018-12-25|url=https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-asia/kuomintang-veteran-eric-chu-is-first-to-announce-bid-for-taiwan-president-in-2020}}</ref> It was followed by [[National Taiwan University]] professor [[Chang Ya-chung]] who announced his candidacy on 7 January 2019.<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.ettoday.net/news/20190107/1349835.htm|title=張亞中宣布參選2020總統　轉型內閣制、立委增至200名|work=ETtoday|date=2019-01-07}}</ref>

In the [[2018 Taiwanese local elections|December 2018 mayoral elections]], the KMT received a massive victory by capturing 15 of 22 municipalities and counties, with former legislator [[Han Kuo-yu]] elected as the [[Mayor of Kaohsiung]], the deep-green DDP-held city for the past two decades. The sensations created by Han during the campaign sparked speculations whether he would become the presidential candidate for KMT in 2020.<ref name="wangruns"/> The richest man in Taiwan and the founder and chairman of electronic company [[Foxconn]] [[Terry Gou]] was also reported to be interested in running in the election as a [[pan-Blue Coalition|pan-Blue]] candidate.

On 27 February, the party passed a resolution decided its primary to be based on a 70-30 weighing of public polls and party member votes, although it has not ruled out the possibility of drafting the strongest candidate in an all-out effort to win back power, which was seen to be reserved Han Kuo-yu, the party's best performing candidate in the polls.<ref name="wangruns"/> On 7 March, Wan Jyng-ping announced his candidacy.<ref name="wangruns">{{cite news |last1=Liu |first1=Kuan-ting |last2=Wang |first2=Flor |title=Former legislative speaker announces presidential bid |url=http://focustaiwan.tw/news/aipl/201903070009.aspx |accessdate=7 March 2019 |agency=Central News Agency |date=7 March 2019}}</ref>

Controversies over the primary method continued, as party chairman Wu Den-yih proposed to only allow KMT members to decide the party’s presidential candidate which drew criticism, with some questioning whether he aimed to rig the game for himself. Wu later declined to run on 11 April.<ref>{{cite news|title=Wu Den-yih rules out presidential run|url=http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2019/04/11/2003713199|work=Taipei Times|date=11 April 2019}}</ref>

===Gou runs===
Terry Gou announced his presidential bid by joining the KMT presidential primary on 17 April.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Everington |first1=Keoni |title=Breaking News: Foxconn tycoon Terry Gou announces bid for Taiwan presidency |url=https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3682225 |accessdate=18 April 2019 |work=Taiwan News |date=17 April 2019}}</ref> As his party membership was frozen after he had not paid the annual fee so a long time, Wu restored Guo's KMT membership by awarding him a honorary member certificate in order to enable him to run in the primary. Guo also stated that he would not accept to be drafted to run. Han, Gou's potential rival, announced on 23 April that he was "willing to take responsibility" for the development of Taiwan but was "unable" to participate in the party's primary in its current form. He expressed his disapproval of the "closed-door negotiations" within the party and called for reform.<ref>{{cite news|title=Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu passes on KMT primary, hints at presidential bid|url=https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3686179|date=23 April 2019|newspaper=Taiwan News}}</ref> Han's announcement sparked internal strife between Han supporters and the party authorities. In order to settle the differences, the party adopted a resolution to put in place special guidelines to include all its presidential hopefuls, including Han, in its primary on the next day.<ref>{{cite news|title=KMT decides to include Han Kuo-yu in presidential primary|date=2019-04-24|work=Focus Taiwan|url=http://focustaiwan.tw/news/aipl/201904240018.aspx}}</ref>


==Opinion polling==
==Opinion polling==

Revision as of 03:02, 25 April 2019

2019 Kuomintang presidential primary
← 2015 After 22 May 2019 2023 →
  File:Han Kuo-yu(cropped).jpg
Candidate Han Kuo-yu Terry Gou Wang Jyng-ping
 
Candidate Terry Gou Chou Hsi-wei Chang Ya-chung


The 2019 Kuomintang presidential primary will be held after 22 May 2019 through a series of nationwide opinion polls in order to determine its nominee for the President of the Republic of China in the 2020 presidential election.[1]

Background

Late 2018 to early 2019

In late 2018, the four heavyweights in the Kuomintang, incumbent party chairman and former Vice President Wu Den-yih, former party chairman and 2016 presidential candidate Eric Chu, former President of the Legislative Yuan Wang Jin-pyng and former President Ma Ying-jeou emerged as the potential candidates for the 2020 presidential election. On 26 November 2018, former Deputy Secretary-General of the Presidential Office and incumbent Taipei City Councillor Lo Chih-chiang became the first candidate who announced his candidacy on facebook.[2][3] He later withdrew his candidacy on 7 April 2019.[4]

On 25 December 2018, former Kuomintang chairman and 2016 presidential candidate Eric Chu announced that he would run in the 2020 presidential race when he stepped down on 25 December 2018 as Mayor of New Taipei City, becoming the first big-name politician to throw his hat in the ring.[5] It was followed by National Taiwan University professor Chang Ya-chung who announced his candidacy on 7 January 2019.[6]

In the December 2018 mayoral elections, the KMT received a massive victory by capturing 15 of 22 municipalities and counties, with former legislator Han Kuo-yu elected as the Mayor of Kaohsiung, the deep-green DDP-held city for the past two decades. The sensations created by Han during the campaign sparked speculations whether he would become the presidential candidate for KMT in 2020.[7] The richest man in Taiwan and the founder and chairman of electronic company Foxconn Terry Gou was also reported to be interested in running in the election as a pan-Blue candidate.

On 27 February, the party passed a resolution decided its primary to be based on a 70-30 weighing of public polls and party member votes, although it has not ruled out the possibility of drafting the strongest candidate in an all-out effort to win back power, which was seen to be reserved Han Kuo-yu, the party's best performing candidate in the polls.[7] On 7 March, Wan Jyng-ping announced his candidacy.[7]

Controversies over the primary method continued, as party chairman Wu Den-yih proposed to only allow KMT members to decide the party’s presidential candidate which drew criticism, with some questioning whether he aimed to rig the game for himself. Wu later declined to run on 11 April.[8]

Gou runs

Terry Gou announced his presidential bid by joining the KMT presidential primary on 17 April.[9] As his party membership was frozen after he had not paid the annual fee so a long time, Wu restored Guo's KMT membership by awarding him a honorary member certificate in order to enable him to run in the primary. Guo also stated that he would not accept to be drafted to run. Han, Gou's potential rival, announced on 23 April that he was "willing to take responsibility" for the development of Taiwan but was "unable" to participate in the party's primary in its current form. He expressed his disapproval of the "closed-door negotiations" within the party and called for reform.[10] Han's announcement sparked internal strife between Han supporters and the party authorities. In order to settle the differences, the party adopted a resolution to put in place special guidelines to include all its presidential hopefuls, including Han, in its primary on the next day.[11]

Opinion polling

Date Pollster Sample size Eric Chu Wang Jyng-ping Wu Den-yih Han Kuo-yu Terry Gou
21 April 2019 ETtoday 7,868 6.5 7.7 — 26.2 24.0
21 April 2019 UDN 1,178 13.0 11.0 — 26.0 19.0
2 April 2019 Fount Media 1,079 18.6 19.1 — 25.4 22.9
23.6 22.0 — 32.2 —
18 December 2018 TPOF 1,082 54.3 25.5 6.5 — —

References

  1. ^ "為韓國瑜解套　國民黨確定「納所有可能人選」6月全民調". 蘋果新聞網. 2019-04-24.
  2. ^ 林瑩真 (2018-11-26). "國民黨首發！羅智強宣布：「四階段」選2020總統". TVBS NEWS.
  3. ^ 陳洛薇 (2018-11-26). "要當國民黨的鯰魚 羅智強宣布參選總統". 聯合新聞網.
  4. ^ "吳朱會破局 羅智強：吳敦義應說自己選不選2020". 2019-04-07. Retrieved 2019-04-07.
  5. ^ "KMT veteran Eric Chu announces bid for Taiwan presidency in 2020". The Straits Times. 2018-12-25.
  6. ^ "張亞中宣布參選2020總統　轉型內閣制、立委增至200名". ETtoday. 2019-01-07.
  7. ^ a b c Liu, Kuan-ting; Wang, Flor (7 March 2019). "Former legislative speaker announces presidential bid". Central News Agency. Retrieved 7 March 2019.
  8. ^ "Wu Den-yih rules out presidential run". Taipei Times. 11 April 2019.
  9. ^ Everington, Keoni (17 April 2019). "Breaking News: Foxconn tycoon Terry Gou announces bid for Taiwan presidency". Taiwan News. Retrieved 18 April 2019.
  10. ^ "Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu passes on KMT primary, hints at presidential bid". Taiwan News. 23 April 2019.
  11. ^ "KMT decides to include Han Kuo-yu in presidential primary". Focus Taiwan. 2019-04-24.
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