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Former Kuomintang chairman and 2016 presidential candidate [[Eric Chu]] announced that he would run in the 2020 presidential race when he stepped down on 25 December 2018 as [[Mayor of New Taipei City]], becoming the first big-name politician to throw his hat in the ring.<ref>{{cite news|title=KMT veteran Eric Chu announces bid for Taiwan presidency in 2020|work=The Straits Times|date=2018-12-25|url=https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-asia/kuomintang-veteran-eric-chu-is-first-to-announce-bid-for-taiwan-president-in-2020}}</ref> Former [[President of the Legislative Yuan]] [[Wang Jin-pyng]] also announced his presidential bid on 7 March.<ref name="wangruns"/> Other candidates include former Deputy Secretary-General of the Presidential Office and incumbent [[Taipei City Council]]lor [[Lo Chih-chiang]] and [[National Taiwan University]] professor [[Chang Ya-chung]] who have also announced their candidacies.
Former Kuomintang chairman and 2016 presidential candidate [[Eric Chu]] announced that he would run in the 2020 presidential race when he stepped down on 25 December 2018 as [[Mayor of New Taipei City]], becoming the first big-name politician to throw his hat in the ring.<ref>{{cite news|title=KMT veteran Eric Chu announces bid for Taiwan presidency in 2020|work=The Straits Times|date=2018-12-25|url=https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-asia/kuomintang-veteran-eric-chu-is-first-to-announce-bid-for-taiwan-president-in-2020}}</ref> Former [[President of the Legislative Yuan]] [[Wang Jin-pyng]] also announced his presidential bid on 7 March.<ref name="wangruns"/> Other candidates include former Deputy Secretary-General of the Presidential Office and incumbent [[Taipei City Council]]lor [[Lo Chih-chiang]] and [[National Taiwan University]] professor [[Chang Ya-chung]] who have also announced their candidacies.


The party has decided to hold its primary based on a 70-30 weighing of public polls and party member votes, although it has not ruled out the possibility of drafting the strongest candidate in an all-out effort to win back power, which was seen to be reserved for the party's best performing candidate in the polls, [[Mayor of Kaohsiung]] [[Han Kuo-yu]].<ref name="wangruns"/> Several KMT heavyweights such as party chairman [[Wu Den-yih]] and even former President [[Ma Ying-jeou]] are believed to also be interested in running for the party's presidential nomination.<ref>{{cite news|title=Eric Chu announces bid for 2020 presidential election|date=2018-12-25|url=http://focustaiwan.tw/news/aipl/201812250011.aspx|work=Focus Taiwan}}</ref>
The party has decided to hold its primary based on a 70-30 weighing of public polls and party member votes, although it has not ruled out the possibility of drafting the strongest candidate in an all-out effort to win back power, which was seen to be reserved for the party's best performing candidate in the polls, [[Mayor of Kaohsiung]] [[Han Kuo-yu]].<ref name="wangruns"/> Several KMT heavyweights such as party chairman [[Wu Den-yih]] and even former President [[Ma Ying-jeou]] were believed to also be interested in running for the party's presidential nomination.<ref>{{cite news|title=Eric Chu announces bid for 2020 presidential election|date=2018-12-25|url=http://focustaiwan.tw/news/aipl/201812250011.aspx|work=Focus Taiwan}}</ref> Wu Den-yih’s withdrew his proposal to only allow KMT members to decide the party’s presidential candidate which drew criticism, with some questioning whether he aimed to rig the game for himself, before he declined to run on 11 April.<ref>{{cite news|title=Wu Den-yih rules out presidential run|url=http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2019/04/11/2003713199|work=Taipei Times|date=11 April 2019}}</ref>

On 17 April, founder and chairman of [[Foxconn]] [[Terry Gou]] announced his presidential bid by joining the KMT presidential primary.<ref>{{cite news|title=Hon Hai’s Gou officially enters presidential race|work=Liberty Times|date=17 April 2019|url=https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/focus/breakingnews/2762411}}</ref>


====Declared candidates====
====Declared candidates====

Revision as of 02:29, 18 April 2019

2020 Taiwan presidential election
← 2016 11 January 2020 2024 →
 
Party DPP Kuomintang
 
Party NPP People First
Taiwan by administrative divisions
Incumbent President

Tsai Ing-wen
DPP



The 15th President and Vice President election of the Republic of China (Chinese: 中華民國第十五屆總統、副總統選舉) is scheduled to be held in Taiwan on 11 January 2020.[1] Voters will either elect a new President and Vice President or re-elect the incumbents. The process of presidential primary elections and nominations are likely to be held during the last six months of 2019.

Incumbent President Tsai Ing-wen of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), who was elected in 2016, is eligible to seek for a second term. The winner of the 2020 presidential election is scheduled to be inaugurated on 20 May 2020. The 10th Legislative Yuan election will also be held concurrently.

Background

Presidential candidates and Vice Presidential running mates are elected on the same ticket, using first-past-the-post voting. This will be the seventh direct election of the president and vice president, the posts having previously been indirectly elected by the National Assembly until 1996.

Under the Article 22 of the Presidential and Vice Presidential Election and Recall Act, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), Kuomintang (KMT), New Power Party (NPP) and People First Party (PFP), which received more than five per cent of the total vote share in the latest election in any level, are eligible to contest the election, registering with the Central Election Commission as the candidates for President and Vice President is filed by the way of political party recommendation, a letter of recommendation stamped with the political party’s seal issued by the Ministry of the Interior shall be submitted together with the application. Under Article 23, independent candidates and smaller parties are also eligible to contest, registering as the candidates for President and Vice President by the way of joint signature shall, within five days after the public notice for election is issued, apply to the Central Election Commission for being the presenter recommended by way of joint signature, receive a list of joint signers and to receive 1.5 per cent of the total electors in the latest election of the members of the Legislative Yuan, and pay the deposit of NT$1,000,000.[2]

According to the constitution, the incumbent President Tsai Ing-wen and Vice President Chen Chien-jen, who will finish their first full term, are eligible for re-election.

Nominations

Democratic Progressive Party

Main article: 2019 Democratic Progressive Party presidential primary

The chance of incumbent President Tsai Ing-wen seeking for re-election was heavily crippled after the Democratic Progressive Party's devastating defeat in the 2018 local elections, where the DPP lost seven of the 13 cities and counties it previously held. The DPP’s share of the vote also fell from 56 to 39 per cent since the 2016 presidential election.[3] Tsai resigned as the party chairwoman after the defeat. However, Tsai kept trailing behind in the polls as the surveys found most Taiwanese would not support Tsai in the 2020 election but would support Premier William Lai, who also resigned from the premiership for the electoral defeat in January 2019.

On 19 February 2019, Tsai Ing-wen told CNN in an interview she will run for re-election, despite facing calls from senior members of her own party to not seek re-election. Before her announcement, Tsai had received a bump in the polls after she gave a robust speech saying that her people would never relinquish their democratic freedoms, as a response to the General Secretary of the Communist Party of China Xi Jinping's speech in January describing Taiwan's unification with the mainland as "inevitable".[4]

On 18 March, William Lai registered to run in the party's presidential primary, saying that he could shoulder the responsibility of leading Taiwan in defending itself from being annexed by China.[5] This is the first time in history where a serious primary challenge has been mounted against a sitting president.[6]

Declared candidates

Name Born Current or previous positions Announced Ref

Tsai Ing-wen 		August 30, 1956 (age 68)
Taipei City, Taiwan 		President of the Republic of China (2016–present) February 19, 2019 [4]

William Lai 		October 6, 1959 (age 64)
New Taipei City, Taiwan 		President of the Executive Yuan (2017–2019) March 18, 2019 [5]

Kuomintang

Former Kuomintang chairman and 2016 presidential candidate Eric Chu announced that he would run in the 2020 presidential race when he stepped down on 25 December 2018 as Mayor of New Taipei City, becoming the first big-name politician to throw his hat in the ring.[7] Former President of the Legislative Yuan Wang Jin-pyng also announced his presidential bid on 7 March.[8] Other candidates include former Deputy Secretary-General of the Presidential Office and incumbent Taipei City Councillor Lo Chih-chiang and National Taiwan University professor Chang Ya-chung who have also announced their candidacies.

The party has decided to hold its primary based on a 70-30 weighing of public polls and party member votes, although it has not ruled out the possibility of drafting the strongest candidate in an all-out effort to win back power, which was seen to be reserved for the party's best performing candidate in the polls, Mayor of Kaohsiung Han Kuo-yu.[8] Several KMT heavyweights such as party chairman Wu Den-yih and even former President Ma Ying-jeou were believed to also be interested in running for the party's presidential nomination.[9] Wu Den-yih’s withdrew his proposal to only allow KMT members to decide the party’s presidential candidate which drew criticism, with some questioning whether he aimed to rig the game for himself, before he declined to run on 11 April.[10]

On 17 April, founder and chairman of Foxconn Terry Gou announced his presidential bid by joining the KMT presidential primary.[11]

Declared candidates

Name Born Current or previous positions Announced Ref

Chang Ya-chung 		December 1954 (age 69)
Taichung City, Taiwan 		Professor of the National Taiwan University January 7, 2019 [12]

Chou Hsi-wei 		March 11, 1958 (age 66)
Changhua County, Taiwan 		Magistrate of Taipei County (2005–2010) February 26, 2019 [13]

Eric Chu 		June 7, 1961 (age 63)
Taoyuan County, Taiwan 		Mayor of New Taipei (2016–2018) December 25, 2018 [14]

Terry Gou 		October 8, 1950 (age 73)
Taipei County, Taiwan 		Founder and Chairman of Foxconn April 17, 2019 [15]

Lo Chih-chiang 		March 26, 1970 (age 54)
Hualien City, Taiwan 		Taipei City Councillor (2018–present) November 26, 2018 [16]

Wang Jin-pyng 		March 17, 1941 (age 83)
Takao Prefecture, Japanese Taiwan 		President of the Legislative Yuan (1999–2016) March 7, 2019 [8]

Potential candidates

People First Party

Four-time presidential candidate James Soong is speculated to run again in 2020 on a joint ticket with nonpartisan Mayor of Taipei Ko Wen-je.[20]

Potential candidates

Other parties and independents

Declared candidates

Name Born Current or previous positions Announced Ref

Chang San-cheng 		June 24, 1954 (age 70)
Taipei City, Taiwan 		President of the Executive Yuan (2016) February 17, 2019 [21]

Potential candidates

Opinion polling

General election

Two-way contest

Chu–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Eric Chu
KMT 		Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
26 March 2019 Formosa 1,072 40.8 35.8
22 February 2019 TPOF 1,089 46.5 37.9
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 46.0 27.0
16 February 2019 Apple Daily 1,087 50.2 33.6
27 December 2018 UDN 1,186 56.0 22.0
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 53.6 27.8
14 December 2018 TVBS 834 50.0 23.0

Chu–Lai

Date Pollster Sample size Eric Chu
KMT 		William Lai
DPP
26 March 2019 Formosa 1,072 38.2 40.6
19 March 2019 TPOF 1,073 34.1 53.1
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 41.0 33.0
16 February 2019 Apple Daily 1,087 43.8 39.4
27 December 2018 UDN 1,186 47.0 32.0
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 43.8 41.0
14 December 2018 TVBS 834 40.0 39.0

Wu–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Wu Den-yih
KMT 		Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 27.0 32.0
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 29.4 41.4
14 December 2018 TVBS 834 26.0 34.0

Wu–Lai

Date Pollster Sample size Wu Den-yih
KMT 		William Lai
DPP
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 22.0 41.0
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 19.9 60.3
14 December 2018 TVBS 834 18.0 53.0

Wang–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Wang Jin-pyng
KMT 		Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 39.0 26.0
16 February 2019 Apple Daily 1,087 39.6 34.6

Wang–Lai

Date Pollster Sample size Wang Jin-pyng
KMT 		William Lai
DPP
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 31.0 33.0
16 February 2019 Apple Daily 1,087 34.1 44.5

Han–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Han Kuo-yu
KMT 		Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
26 March 2019 Formosa 1,072 49.5 34.5
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 54.0 25.0
16 February 2019 Apple Daily 1,087 52.5 33.4
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 48.7 32.3

Han–Lai

Date Pollster Sample size Han Kuo-yu
KMT 		William Lai
DPP
26 March 2019 Formosa 1,072 45.5 39.8
19 March 2019 TPOF 1,073 41.5 48.7
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 49.0 32.0
16 February 2019 Apple Daily 1,087 49.4 36.9
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 43.5 41.6

Ma–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Ma Ying-jeou
KMT 		Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
14 December 2018 TVBS 834 37.0 29.0

Ma–Lai

Date Pollster Sample size Ma Ying-jeou
KMT 		William Lai
DPP
14 December 2018 TVBS 834 31.0 45.0

Chang–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Chang San-cheng
Ind. 		Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
14 December 2018 TVBS 834 34.0 27.0

Chang–Lai

Date Pollster Sample size Chang San-cheng
Ind. 		William Lai
DPP
14 December 2018 TVBS 834 26.0 47.0

Gou–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Terry Gou
KMT/ Ind. 		Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
2 May 2017 CTW 825 35.7 24.2

Three-way contest

Ko–Chu–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Ko Wen-je
Ind. 		Eric Chu
KMT 		Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
26 March 2019 Formosa 1,072 32.4 24.6 23.2
5 March 2019 China Daily 2,026 25.7 31.0 12.2
22 February 2019 TPOF 1,089 35.1 25.6 24.3
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 41.0 29.0 16.0
18 February 2019 EtToday 1,072 34.7 32.9 19.8
16 February 2019 Apple Daily 1,087 32.4 31.8 23.6
22 January 2019 TVBS 1,398 36.0 30.0 15.0
15 January 2019 NCCU 1,120 38.7 21.5 15.3
27 December 2018 UDN 1,186 45.0 30.0 11.0
24 December 2018 Formosa 1,074 33.3 27.2 22.8
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 34.3 29.5 28.2

Ko–Chu–Lai

Date Pollster Sample size Ko Wen-je
Ind. 		Eric Chu
KMT 		William Lai
DPP
26 March 2019 Formosa 1,072 32.8 24.8 25.1
19 March 2019 TPOF 1,073 30.3 22.0 38.0
5 March 2019 China Daily 2,026 24.8 27.5 13.8
22 February 2019 TPOF 1,089 34.1 23.7 30.4
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 39.0 27.0 19.0
16 February 2019 Apple Daily 1,087 31.2 30.0 25.8
22 January 2019 TVBS 1,398 33.0 29.0 21.0
27 December 2018 UDN 1,186 42.0 28.0 18.0
24 December 2018 Formosa 1,074 33.3 27.2 22.8
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 34.3 29.5 28.2

Ko–Wu–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Ko Wen-je
Ind. 		Wu Den-yih
KMT 		Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 44.0 16.0 20.0
22 January 2019 TVBS 1,398 45.0 13.0 17.0
27 December 2018 UDN 1,186 54.0 12.0 14.0
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 53.3 14.1 19.1

Ko–Wu–Lai

Date Pollster Sample size Ko Wen-je
Ind. 		Wu Den-yih
KMT 		William Lai
DPP
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 39.0 15.0 26.0
22 January 2019 TVBS 1,398 43.0 11.0 21.0
27 December 2018 UDN 1,186 50.0 11.0 23.0
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 43.5 11.9 34.4

Ko–Wang–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Ko Wen-je
Ind. 		Wang Jyng-ping
KMT 		Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 41.0 23.0 17.0
16 February 2019 Apple Daily 1,087 40.1 20.5 21.6
22 January 2019 TVBS 1,398 38.0 22.0 15.0

Ko–Wang–Lai

Date Pollster Sample size Ko Wen-je
Ind. 		Wang Jyng-ping
KMT 		William Lai
DPP
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 38.0 21.0 23.0
16 February 2019 Apple Daily 1,087 38.3 19.0 26.5
22 January 2019 TVBS 1,398 37.0 21.0 21.0

Ko–Han–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Ko Wen-je
Ind. 		Han Kuo-yu
KMT 		Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
26 March 2019 Formosa 1,072 27.8 35.4 22.6
5 March 2019 China Daily 2,026 22.9 31.9 15.6
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 35.0 37.0 16.0
18 February 2019 EtToday 1,072 30.6 38.0 19.7
16 February 2019 Apple Daily 1,087 28.6 35.1 22.0
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 38.2 31.0 19.2

Ko–Han–Lai

Date Pollster Sample size Ko Wen-je
Ind. 		Han Kuo-yu
KMT 		William Lai
DPP
26 March 2019 Formosa 1,072 28.3 32.1 26.8
19 March 2019 TPOF 1,073 26.0 29.9 36.5
5 March 2019 China Daily 2,026 23.2 31.0 16.6
22 February 2019 TPOF 1,089 28.4 34.2 30.0
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 33.0 36.0 19.0
16 February 2019 Apple Daily 1,087 24.3 37.7 25.4
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 31.8 29.2 30.5

Tsai–Gou–Chu

Date Pollster Sample size Tsai Ing-wen
DPP 		Terry Gou
Ind. 		Eric Chu
KMT
17 May 2017 Taiwan Style Foundation 1,271 37.6 30.1 15.3

Democratic Progressive Party primary

Date Pollster Sample size William Lai Tsai Ing-wen
19 March 2019 TPOF 1,073 55.1 26.0
18 December 2018 TPOF 1,082 60.8 19.9

Kuomintang primary

Date Pollster Sample size Eric Chu Wang Jyng-ping Wu Den-yih
18 December 2018 TPOF 1,082 54.3 25.5 6.5

See also

References

  1. ^ Wang, Cheng-chung; Ko, Lin (19 March 2019). "Presidential, legislative elections to be held Jan. 11, 2020". Central News Agency. Retrieved 19 March 2019.
  2. ^ "Presidential and Vice Presidential Election and Recall Act". {{cite web}}: Cite has empty unknown parameter: |dead-url= (help)
  3. ^ "Taiwan's ruling party faces serious challenges in 2020". Asia Times. 11 December 2018.
  4. ^ a b "Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen says she will run for re-election in 2020". The Straits Times. 19 February 2019.
  5. ^ a b Yang, Chun-hui; Hsiao, Sherry (19 March 2019). "Lai seeks DPP's backing for 2020 race". Taipei Times. Retrieved 19 March 2019.
  6. ^ "Tsai Ing-wen, Taiwan's president, is challenged by a former underling". The Economist. 21 March 2019.
  7. ^ "KMT veteran Eric Chu announces bid for Taiwan presidency in 2020". The Straits Times. 25 December 2018.
  8. ^ a b c Liu, Kuan-ting; Wang, Flor (7 March 2019). "Former legislative speaker announces presidential bid". Central News Agency. Retrieved 7 March 2019.
  9. ^ "Eric Chu announces bid for 2020 presidential election". Focus Taiwan. 25 December 2018.
  10. ^ "Wu Den-yih rules out presidential run". Taipei Times. 11 April 2019.
  11. ^ "Hon Hai's Gou officially enters presidential race". Liberty Times. 17 April 2019.
  12. ^ Maxon, Ann (8 January 2019). "Ex-Hung Hsiu-chu aide eyes presidential run". Taipei Times. Retrieved 8 January 2019.
  13. ^ Hsu, Stacy (2 March 2019). "KMT brass might select candidate: Wu". Taipei Times. Retrieved 2 March 2019.
  14. ^ 朱立倫卸新北市長 宣布投入2020總統選舉，中央社，2018-12-25
  15. ^ "快訊／郭台銘宣布：投入2020國民黨總統初選　不接受徵召" (in Chinese). ettoday.net. 17 April 2019. Retrieved 17 April 2019.
  16. ^ 拋震撼彈！羅智強宣布4階段參選總統！ China Times, 26 November 2018
  17. ^ "Most would not support Tsai re-election bid: survey". Taipei Times. 21 December 2018.
  18. ^ a b "2020總統人選誰是A、B、C咖？". 信傳媒. 31 July 2018.
  19. ^ 出新書為了再攻2020？馬英九這句回應超曖昧，ETtoday，2018-12-16
  20. ^ a b c "宋楚瑜自喻與柯文哲「可頌」2020選總統留伏筆". 世界日報. 21 August 2018.
  21. ^ Lee, Hsin-fang (17 February 2019). "Former premier Simon Chang seeks 2020 presidential run as independent". Taipei Times. Retrieved 17 February 2019.
  22. ^ "期中選舉民進黨大崩盤 學者：2020總統將會是三國鼎立？". 今日新聞NOWnews. 26 November 2018.
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