2020 Taiwanese presidential election: Difference between revisions
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===Kuomintang=== |
===Kuomintang=== |
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Former Kuomintang chairman and 2016 presidential candidate [[Eric Chu]] announced that he would run in the 2020 presidential race when he stepped down on 25 December 2018 as [[Mayor of New Taipei City]], becoming the first big-name politician to throw his hat in the ring.<ref>{{cite news|title=KMT veteran Eric Chu announces bid for Taiwan presidency in 2020|work=The Straits Times|date=2018-12-25|url=https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-asia/kuomintang-veteran-eric-chu-is-first-to-announce-bid-for-taiwan-president-in-2020}}</ref> Other candidates include former Deputy Secretary-General of the Presidential Office and incumbent [[Taipei City Council]]lor [[Lo Chih-chiang]] and [[National Taiwan University]] professor [[Chang Ya-chung]] who have also announced their candidacies. |
Former Kuomintang chairman and 2016 presidential candidate [[Eric Chu]] announced that he would run in the 2020 presidential race when he stepped down on 25 December 2018 as [[Mayor of New Taipei City]], becoming the first big-name politician to throw his hat in the ring.<ref>{{cite news|title=KMT veteran Eric Chu announces bid for Taiwan presidency in 2020|work=The Straits Times|date=2018-12-25|url=https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-asia/kuomintang-veteran-eric-chu-is-first-to-announce-bid-for-taiwan-president-in-2020}}</ref> Former [[President of the Legislative Yuan]] [[Wang Jin-pyng]] also announced his presidential bid on 7 March.<ref name="wangruns"/> Other candidates include former Deputy Secretary-General of the Presidential Office and incumbent [[Taipei City Council]]lor [[Lo Chih-chiang]] and [[National Taiwan University]] professor [[Chang Ya-chung]] who have also announced their candidacies. |
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The party has decided to hold its primary based on a 70-30 weighing of public polls and party member votes, although it has not ruled out the possibility of drafting the strongest candidate in an all-out effort to win back power, which was seen to be reserved for the party's best performing candidate in the polls, [[Mayor of Kaohsiung]] [[Han Kuo-yu]].<ref name="wangruns"/> Several KMT heavyweights such as party chairman [[Wu Den-yih]] and even former President [[Ma Ying-jeou]] are believed to also be interested in running for the party's presidential nomination.<ref>{{cite news|title=Eric Chu announces bid for 2020 presidential election|date=2018-12-25|url=http://focustaiwan.tw/news/aipl/201812250011.aspx|work=Focus Taiwan}}</ref> |
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====Declared candidates==== |
====Declared candidates==== |
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|<ref>{{cite news |last1=Liu |first1=Kuan-ting |last2=Wang |first2=Flor |title=Former legislative speaker announces presidential bid |url=http://focustaiwan.tw/news/aipl/201903070009.aspx |accessdate=7 March 2019 |agency=Central News Agency |date=7 March 2019}}</ref> |
|<ref name="wangruns">{{cite news |last1=Liu |first1=Kuan-ting |last2=Wang |first2=Flor |title=Former legislative speaker announces presidential bid |url=http://focustaiwan.tw/news/aipl/201903070009.aspx |accessdate=7 March 2019 |agency=Central News Agency |date=7 March 2019}}</ref> |
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The 15th President and Vice President election of the Republic of China (Chinese: 中華民國第十五屆總統、副總統選舉) is scheduled to be held in Taiwan on 11 January 2020.[1] Voters will either elect a new President and Vice President or re-elect the incumbents. The process of presidential primary elections and nominations are likely to be held during the last six months of 2019.
Incumbent President Tsai Ing-wen of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), who was elected in 2016, is eligible to seek for a second term. The winner of the 2020 presidential election is scheduled to be inaugurated on 20 May 2020. The 10th Legislative Yuan election will also be held around the same time.
Background
Presidential candidates and Vice Presidential running mates are elected on the same ticket, using first-past-the-post voting. This will be the seventh direct election of the president and vice president, the posts having previously been indirectly elected by the National Assembly until 1996.
Under the Article 22 of the Presidential and Vice Presidential Election and Recall Act, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), Kuomintang (KMT), New Power Party (NPP) and People First Party (PFP), which received more than five per cent of the total vote share in the latest election in any level, are eligible to contest the election, registering with the Central Election Commission as the candidates for President and Vice President is filed by the way of political party recommendation, a letter of recommendation stamped with the political party’s seal issued by the Ministry of the Interior shall be submitted together with the application. Under Article 23, independent candidates and smaller parties are also eligible to contest, registering as the candidates for President and Vice President by the way of joint signature shall, within five days after the public notice for election is issued, apply to the Central Election Commission for being the presenter recommended by way of joint signature, receive a list of joint signers and to receive 1.5 per cent of the total electors in the latest election of the members of the Legislative Yuan, and pay the deposit of NT$1,000,000.[2]
According to the constitution, the incumbent President Tsai Ing-wen and Vice President Chen Chien-jen, who will finish their first full term, are eligible for re-election.
Nominations
Democratic Progressive Party
The chance of incumbent President Tsai Ing-wen seeking for re-election was heavily crippled after the Democratic Progressive Party's devastating defeat in the 2018 local elections, where the DPP lost seven of the 13 cities and counties it previously held. The DPP’s share of the vote also fell from 56 to 39 per cent since the 2016 presidential election.[3] Tsai resigned as the party chairwoman after the defeat. However, Tsai kept trailing behind in the polls as the surveys found most Taiwanese would not support Tsai in the 2020 election but would support Premier William Lai, who also resigned from the premiership for the electoral defeat in January 2019.
On 19 February 2019, Tsai Ing-wen told CNN in an interview she will run for re-election, despite facing calls from senior members of her own party to not seek re-election. Before her announcement, Tsai had received a bump in the polls after she gave a robust speech saying that her people would never relinquish their democratic freedoms, as a response to the General Secretary of the Communist Party of China Xi Jinping's speech in January describing the Taiwan's unification with the mainland as "inevitable".[4]
On 18 March, William Lai registered to run in the party's presidential primary, saying that he could shoulder the responsibility of leading Taiwan in defending itself from being annexed by China.[5]
Declared candidates
Name | Born | Current or previous positions | Announced | Ref |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tsai Ing-wen |
August 30, 1956 (age 68) Taipei City, Taiwan |
President of the Republic of China (2016–present) | February 19, 2019 | [4] |
William Lai |
October 6, 1959 (age 64) New Taipei City, Taiwan |
President of the Executive Yuan (2017–2019) | March 18, 2019 | [5] |
Kuomintang
Former Kuomintang chairman and 2016 presidential candidate Eric Chu announced that he would run in the 2020 presidential race when he stepped down on 25 December 2018 as Mayor of New Taipei City, becoming the first big-name politician to throw his hat in the ring.[6] Former President of the Legislative Yuan Wang Jin-pyng also announced his presidential bid on 7 March.[7] Other candidates include former Deputy Secretary-General of the Presidential Office and incumbent Taipei City Councillor Lo Chih-chiang and National Taiwan University professor Chang Ya-chung who have also announced their candidacies.
The party has decided to hold its primary based on a 70-30 weighing of public polls and party member votes, although it has not ruled out the possibility of drafting the strongest candidate in an all-out effort to win back power, which was seen to be reserved for the party's best performing candidate in the polls, Mayor of Kaohsiung Han Kuo-yu.[7] Several KMT heavyweights such as party chairman Wu Den-yih and even former President Ma Ying-jeou are believed to also be interested in running for the party's presidential nomination.[8]
Declared candidates
Name | Born | Current or previous positions | Announced | Ref |
---|---|---|---|---|
Chang Ya-chung |
December 1954 (age 69) Taichung City, Taiwan |
Professor of the National Taiwan University | January 7, 2019 | [9] |
Chou Hsi-wei |
March 11, 1958 (age 66) Changhua County, Taiwan |
Magistrate of Taipei County (2005–2010) | February 26, 2019 | [10] |
Eric Chu |
June 7, 1961 (age 63) Taoyuan County, Taiwan |
Mayor of New Taipei (2016–2018) | December 25, 2018 | [11] |
Lo Chih-chiang |
March 26, 1970 (age 54) Hualien City, Taiwan |
Taipei City Councillor (2018–present) | November 26, 2018 | [12] |
Wang Jin-pyng |
March 17, 1941 (age 83) Takao Prefecture, Taiwan |
President of the Legislative Yuan (1999–2016) | March 7, 2019 | [7] |
Potential candidates
- Han Kuo-yu, incumbent Mayor of Kaohsiung 2018–present[13]
- Ma Ying-jeou, former President of the Republic of China 2008–2016[14][15]
- Wu Den-yih, former Vice President of the Republic of China 2012–2016[14][16][17]
People First Party
Four-time presidential candidate James Soong is speculated to run again in 2020 on a joint ticket with nonpartisan Mayor of Taipei Ko Wen-je.[18]
Potential candidates
- James Soong, former Governor of Taiwan 1993–1998[18]
Other parties and independents
Declared candiates
Name | Born | Current or previous positions | Announced | Ref |
---|---|---|---|---|
Chang San-cheng |
June 24, 1954 (age 70) Taipei City, Taiwan |
President of the Executive Yuan (2016) | February 17, 2019 | [19] |
Potential candidates
- Terry Gou, founder and chairman of Foxconn[20]
- Ko Wen-je, incumbent Mayor of Taipei 2014–present[14][16][18][20]
-
Businessman
Terry Gou
Opinion polling
General election
Two-way contest
Chu–Tsai
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Eric Chu KMT |
Tsai Ing-wen DPP |
---|---|---|---|---|
20 February 2019 | TVBS | 1,382 | 46.0 | 27.0 |
16 February 2019 | Apple Daily | 1,087 | 50.2 | 33.6 |
27 December 2018 | UDN | 1,186 | 56.0 | 22.0 |
20 December 2018 | Taiwan Brain Trust | 1,072 | 53.6 | 27.8 |
14 December 2018 | TVBS | 834 | 50.0 | 23.0 |
Chu–Lai
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Eric Chu KMT |
William Lai DPP |
---|---|---|---|---|
20 February 2019 | TVBS | 1,382 | 41.0 | 33.0 |
16 February 2019 | Apple Daily | 1,087 | 43.8 | 39.4 |
27 December 2018 | UDN | 1,186 | 47.0 | 32.0 |
20 December 2018 | Taiwan Brain Trust | 1,072 | 43.8 | 41.0 |
14 December 2018 | TVBS | 834 | 40.0 | 39.0 |
Wu–Tsai
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Wu Den-yih KMT |
Tsai Ing-wen DPP |
---|---|---|---|---|
20 February 2019 | TVBS | 1,382 | 27.0 | 32.0 |
20 December 2018 | Taiwan Brain Trust | 1,072 | 29.4 | 41.4 |
14 December 2018 | TVBS | 834 | 26.0 | 34.0 |
Wu–Lai
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Wu Den-yih KMT |
William Lai DPP |
---|---|---|---|---|
20 February 2019 | TVBS | 1,382 | 22.0 | 41.0 |
20 December 2018 | Taiwan Brain Trust | 1,072 | 19.9 | 60.3 |
14 December 2018 | TVBS | 834 | 18.0 | 53.0 |
Wang–Tsai
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Wang Jin-pyng KMT |
Tsai Ing-wen DPP |
---|---|---|---|---|
20 February 2019 | TVBS | 1,382 | 39.0 | 26.0 |
16 February 2019 | Apple Daily | 1,087 | 39.6 | 34.6 |
Wang–Lai
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Wang Jin-pyng KMT |
William Lai DPP |
---|---|---|---|---|
20 February 2019 | TVBS | 1,382 | 31.0 | 33.0 |
16 February 2019 | Apple Daily | 1,087 | 34.1 | 44.5 |
Han–Tsai
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Han Kuo-yu KMT |
Tsai Ing-wen DPP |
---|---|---|---|---|
20 February 2019 | TVBS | 1,382 | 54.0 | 25.0 |
16 February 2019 | Apple Daily | 1,087 | 52.5 | 33.4 |
20 December 2018 | Taiwan Brain Trust | 1,072 | 48.7 | 32.3 |
Han–Lai
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Han Kuo-yu KMT |
William Lai DPP |
---|---|---|---|---|
20 February 2019 | TVBS | 1,382 | 49.0 | 32.0 |
16 February 2019 | Apple Daily | 1,087 | 49.4 | 36.9 |
20 December 2018 | Taiwan Brain Trust | 1,072 | 43.5 | 41.6 |
Ma–Tsai
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Ma Ying-jeou KMT |
Tsai Ing-wen DPP |
---|---|---|---|---|
14 December 2018 | TVBS | 834 | 37.0 | 29.0 |
Ma–Lai
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Ma Ying-jeou KMT |
William Lai DPP |
---|---|---|---|---|
14 December 2018 | TVBS | 834 | 31.0 | 45.0 |
Chang–Tsai
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Chang San-cheng Ind. |
Tsai Ing-wen DPP |
---|---|---|---|---|
14 December 2018 | TVBS | 834 | 34.0 | 27.0 |
Chang–Lai
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Chang San-cheng Ind. |
William Lai DPP |
---|---|---|---|---|
14 December 2018 | TVBS | 834 | 26.0 | 47.0 |
Gou–Tsai
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Terry Gou KMT/ Ind. |
Tsai Ing-wen DPP |
---|---|---|---|---|
2 May 2017 | CTW | 825 | 35.7 | 24.2 |
Three-way contest
Ko–Chu–Tsai
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Ko Wen-je Ind. |
Eric Chu KMT |
Tsai Ing-wen DPP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 March 2019 | China Daily | 2,026 | 25.7 | 31.0 | 12.2 |
20 February 2019 | TVBS | 1,382 | 41.0 | 29.0 | 16.0 |
18 February 2019 | EtToday | 1,072 | 34.7 | 32.9 | 19.8 |
16 February 2019 | Apple Daily | 1,087 | 32.4 | 31.8 | 23.6 |
22 January 2019 | TVBS | 1,398 | 36.0 | 30.0 | 15.0 |
15 January 2019 | NCCU | 1,120 | 38.7 | 21.5 | 15.3 |
27 December 2018 | UDN | 1,186 | 45.0 | 30.0 | 11.0 |
24 December 2018 | Formosa | 1,074 | 33.3 | 27.2 | 22.8 |
20 December 2018 | Taiwan Brain Trust | 1,072 | 34.3 | 29.5 | 28.2 |
Ko–Chu–Lai
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Ko Wen-je Ind. |
Eric Chu KMT |
William Lai DPP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 March 2019 | China Daily | 2,026 | 24.8 | 27.5 | 13.8 |
20 February 2019 | TVBS | 1,382 | 39.0 | 27.0 | 19.0 |
16 February 2019 | Apple Daily | 1,087 | 31.2 | 30.0 | 25.8 |
22 January 2019 | TVBS | 1,398 | 33.0 | 29.0 | 21.0 |
27 December 2018 | UDN | 1,186 | 42.0 | 28.0 | 18.0 |
24 December 2018 | Formosa | 1,074 | 33.3 | 27.2 | 22.8 |
20 December 2018 | Taiwan Brain Trust | 1,072 | 34.3 | 29.5 | 28.2 |
Ko–Wu–Tsai
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Ko Wen-je Ind. |
Wu Den-yih KMT |
Tsai Ing-wen DPP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 February 2019 | TVBS | 1,382 | 44.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 |
22 January 2019 | TVBS | 1,398 | 45.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 |
27 December 2018 | UDN | 1,186 | 54.0 | 12.0 | 14.0 |
20 December 2018 | Taiwan Brain Trust | 1,072 | 53.3 | 14.1 | 19.1 |
Ko–Wu–Lai
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Ko Wen-je Ind. |
Wu Den-yih KMT |
William Lai DPP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 February 2019 | TVBS | 1,382 | 39.0 | 15.0 | 26.0 |
22 January 2019 | TVBS | 1,398 | 43.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 |
27 December 2018 | UDN | 1,186 | 50.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 |
20 December 2018 | Taiwan Brain Trust | 1,072 | 43.5 | 11.9 | 34.4 |
Ko–Wang–Tsai
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Ko Wen-je Ind. |
Wang Jyng-ping KMT |
Tsai Ing-wen DPP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 February 2019 | TVBS | 1,382 | 41.0 | 23.0 | 17.0 |
16 February 2019 | Apple Daily | 1,087 | 40.1 | 20.5 | 21.6 |
22 January 2019 | TVBS | 1,398 | 38.0 | 22.0 | 15.0 |
Ko–Wang–Lai
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Ko Wen-je Ind. |
Wang Jyng-ping KMT |
William Lai DPP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 February 2019 | TVBS | 1,382 | 38.0 | 21.0 | 23.0 |
16 February 2019 | Apple Daily | 1,087 | 38.3 | 19.0 | 26.5 |
22 January 2019 | TVBS | 1,398 | 37.0 | 21.0 | 21.0 |
Ko–Han–Tsai
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Ko Wen-je Ind. |
Han Kuo-yu KMT |
Tsai Ing-wen DPP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 March 2019 | China Daily | 2,026 | 22.9 | 31.9 | 15.6 |
20 February 2019 | TVBS | 1,382 | 35.0 | 37.0 | 16.0 |
18 February 2019 | EtToday | 1,072 | 30.6 | 38.0 | 19.7 |
16 February 2019 | Apple Daily | 1,087 | 28.6 | 35.1 | 22.0 |
20 December 2018 | Taiwan Brain Trust | 1,072 | 38.2 | 31.0 | 19.2 |
Ko–Han–Lai
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Ko Wen-je Ind. |
Han Kuo-yu KMT |
William Lai DPP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 March 2019 | China Daily | 2,026 | 23.2 | 31.0 | 16.6 |
20 February 2019 | TVBS | 1,382 | 33.0 | 36.0 | 19.0 |
16 February 2019 | Apple Daily | 1,087 | 24.3 | 37.7 | 25.4 |
20 December 2018 | Taiwan Brain Trust | 1,072 | 31.8 | 29.2 | 30.5 |
Tsai–Gou–Chu
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Tsai Ing-wen DPP |
Terry Gou Ind. |
Eric Chu KMT |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 May 2017 | Taiwan Style Foundation | 1,271 | 37.6 | 30.1 | 15.3 |
Democratic Progressive Party primary
Date | Pollster | Sample size | William Lai | Tsai Ing-wen |
---|---|---|---|---|
18 December 2018 | TPOF | 1,082 | 60.8 | 19.9 |
Kuomintang primary
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Eric Chu | Wang Jyng-ping | Wu Den-yih |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 December 2018 | TPOF | 1,082 | 54.3 | 25.5 | 6.5 |
See also
References
- ^ Wang, Cheng-chung; Ko, Lin (19 March 2019). "Presidential, legislative elections to be held Jan. 11, 2020". Central News Agency. Retrieved 19 March 2019.
- ^ "Presidential and Vice Presidential Election and Recall Act".
{{cite web}}
: Cite has empty unknown parameter:|dead-url=
(help) - ^ "Taiwan's ruling party faces serious challenges in 2020". Asia Times. 11 December 2018.
- ^ a b "Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen says she will run for re-election in 2020". The Straits Times. 19 February 2019.
- ^ a b Yang, Chun-hui; Hsiao, Sherry (19 March 2019). "Lai seeks DPP's backing for 2020 race". Taipei Times. Retrieved 19 March 2019.
- ^ "KMT veteran Eric Chu announces bid for Taiwan presidency in 2020". The Straits Times. 25 December 2018.
- ^ a b c Liu, Kuan-ting; Wang, Flor (7 March 2019). "Former legislative speaker announces presidential bid". Central News Agency. Retrieved 7 March 2019.
- ^ "Eric Chu announces bid for 2020 presidential election". Focus Taiwan. 25 December 2018.
- ^ Maxon, Ann (8 January 2019). "Ex-Hung Hsiu-chu aide eyes presidential run". Taipei Times. Retrieved 8 January 2019.
- ^ Hsu, Stacy (2 March 2019). "KMT brass might select candidate: Wu". Taipei Times. Retrieved 2 March 2019.
- ^ 朱立倫卸新北市長 宣布投入2020總統選舉,中央社,2018-12-25
- ^ 拋震撼彈!羅智強宣布4階段參選總統! China Times, 26 November 2018
- ^ "Most would not support Tsai re-election bid: survey". Taipei Times. 21 December 2018.
- ^ a b c "2020總統人選誰是A、B、C咖?". 信傳媒. 31 July 2018.
- ^ 出新書為了再攻2020?馬英九這句回應超曖昧,ETtoday,2018-12-16
- ^ a b "期中選舉民進黨大崩盤 學者:2020總統將會是三國鼎立?". 今日新聞NOWnews. 26 November 2018.
- ^ Wu Den-yih wins KMT chair election Taipei Times, 21 May 2017
- ^ a b c "宋楚瑜自喻與柯文哲「可頌」2020選總統留伏筆". 世界日報. 21 August 2018.
- ^ Lee, Hsin-fang (17 February 2019). "Former premier Simon Chang seeks 2020 presidential run as independent". Taipei Times. Retrieved 17 February 2019.
- ^ a b "最新民調》叫我柯總統!2020柯文哲、郭台銘打敗賴清德、蔡英文". 信傳媒. 20 September 2018.