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{{Infobox Election
#REDIRECT [[2020 Taiwan general election]]
|election_name = 2020 Republic of China presidential election
|country = Taiwan
|type = presidential
|ongoing = yes
|turnout =
|previous_election = 2016 Republic of China presidential election
|previous_year = 2016
|next_election = 2024 Republic of China presidential election
|next_year = ''2024''
|election_date = Before 20 May 2020

<!-- Ticket 1 -->
|image1 =
|colour1 =
|nominee1 =
|party1 = Democratic Progressive Party
|alliance1 = [[Pan-Green Coalition|Pan-Green]]
|popular_vote1 =
|percentage1 =
|running_mate1 =

<!-- Ticket 2 -->
|image2 =
|colour2 =
|nominee2 =
|party2 = Kuomintang
|alliance2 = [[Pan-Blue Coalition|Pan-Blue]]
|running_mate2 =
|popular_vote2 =
|percentage2 =

<!-- Ticket 3 -->
|image4 =
|colour4 =
|nominee4 =
|party4 = New Power Party
|alliance4 = N/A
|running_mate4 =
|popular_vote4 =
|percentage4 =

<!-- Ticket 4 -->
|image5 =
|colour5 =
|nominee5 =
|party5 = People First Party (Taiwan)
|alliance5 = N/A
|running_mate5 =
|popular_vote5 =
|percentage5 =

<!-- Results -->
|map_image = File:ROC-county-division-blank.svg
|map_caption = Taiwan by administrative divisions
|title = President
|before_election = [[Tsai Ing-wen]]
|before_party = Democratic Progressive Party
|after_election =
|after_party =
}}

The '''15th Presidential and Vice Presidential election''' is scheduled for 2020 for the [[President of the Republic of China|President]] and [[Vice President of the Republic of China]], commonly known as [[Taiwan]]. Voters will select presidential electors who in turn will either elect a new president and vice president through the electoral college or reelect the incumbents. The series of presidential primary elections and caucuses are likely to be held during the last six months of 2019.

Incumbent President [[Tsai Ing-wen]] of the [[Democratic Progressive Party]] (DPP), who was elected in [[2016 Taiwan presidential election|2016]], is eligible to seek for a second term. The winner of the 2020 presidential election is scheduled to be inaugurated on 20 May 2020. The [[2020 Taiwan legislative election|10th Legislative Yuan election]] will also be held on the same day.

==Background==
Presidential candidates and Vice Presidential [[running mate]]s are elected on the same ticket, using [[first-past-the-post voting]]. This will be the seventh [[direct election]] of the president and vice president, the posts having previously been [[indirectly elected]] by the [[National Assembly (Republic of China)|National Assembly]] until 1996.

Under the Article 22 of the Presidential and Vice Presidential Election and Recall Act, the [[Democratic Progressive Party]] (DPP), [[Kuomintang]] (KMT), [[New Power Party]] (NPP) and [[People First Party (Taiwan)|People First Party]] (PFP), which received more than five per cent of the total vote share in the latest election in any level, are eligible to contest the election, registering with the [[Central Election Commission]] as the candidates for President and Vice President is filed by the way of political party recommendation, a letter of recommendation stamped with the political party’s seal issued by the Ministry of the Interior shall be submitted together with the application. Under Article 23, independent candidates and smaller parties are also eligible to contest, registering as the candidates for President and Vice President by the way of joint signature shall, within five days after the public notice for election is issued, apply to the Central Election Commission for being the presenter recommended by way of joint signature, receive a list of joint signers and to receive 1.5 per cent of the total electors in the latest election of the members of the [[Legislative Yuan]], and pay the deposit of NT$1,000,000.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://law.moj.gov.tw/ENG/LawClass/LawAll.aspx?pcode=D0020053|title=Presidential and Vice Presidential Election and Recall Act|last=|first=|date=|website=|archive-url=|archive-date=|dead-url=|access-date=}}</ref>

According to the [[Additional Articles of the Constitution of the Republic of China|constitution]], the incumbent President [[Tsai Ing-wen]] and Vice President [[Chen Chien-jen]], who will finish their first full term, are eligible for re-election.

==Nominations==
===Democratic Progressive Party===
====Potential candidates====
* [[Tsai Ing-wen]], incumbent [[President of the Republic of China]] since 2016<ref>[http://focustaiwan.tw/news/aipl/201705170018.aspx Tsai Front Runner for 2020 Presidential Race: Survey] Focus Taiwan, 17 May 2017</ref>
* [[William Lai]], former [[Premier of the Republic of China]] 2017–2019<ref>[https://udn.com/news/story/12702/3560152?from=udn_ch2cate6638sub12702_pulldownmenu 總統大選聯合報民調／柯文哲若選2020 藍綠邊緣化] United Daily News, 27 December 2018</ref>

<gallery mode="packed" heights="160px">
File:蔡英文官方元首肖像照 (cropped).png|[[President of the Republic of China|President]]<br/>'''[[Tsai Ing-wen]]'''
File:賴清德市長.jpg|{{nowrap|Former [[Premier of the Republic of China|Premier]]}}<br/>'''[[William Lai]]'''
</gallery>
<section end="interested" />
===Kuomintang===
====Declared candidates====
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center"
!Name
!Born
!Current or previous positions
!Announced
!class="unsortable"|Ref
|-
| [[File:Eric Chu Chopped 2017.png|border|x160px]]<br>'''[[Eric Chu]]'''
| {{dts|1961|6|7|df=yes}} (age {{age nts|1961|6|7}})<br>[[Bade City]], [[Taiwan]]
| [[Mayor of New Taipei]] (2016–2018)
| {{dts|2018|12|25|df=yes}}
|<ref>[https://www.cna.com.tw/news/firstnews/201812255003.aspx 朱立倫卸新北市長 宣布投入2020總統選舉]，中央社，2018-12-25</ref>
|-
| [[File:blanksvg.svg|x160px]]<br>'''[[Lo Chih-chiang]]'''
| {{dts|1970|3|26|df=yes}} (age {{age nts|1970|3|26}})<br>[[Hualien City]], [[Taiwan]]
| [[Taipei City Council]]lor (2018–present)
| {{dts|2018|11|26|df=yes}}
| <ref>[https://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20181126001205-260407 拋震撼彈！羅智強宣布4階段參選總統！] China Times, 26 November 2018</ref>
|-
| [[File:Yia-Chung Chang (cropped).jpg|border|x160px]]<br>'''[[Chang Ya-chung]]'''
| {{dts|1954|12|df=yes}} (age {{age nts|1954|12|1}})<br>[[Taichung City]], [[Taiwan]]
| Professor of the [[National Taiwan University]]
| {{dts|2019|1|7|df=yes}}
| <ref>{{cite news |last1=Maxon |first1=Ann |title=Ex-Hung Hsiu-chu aide eyes presidential run |url=http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2019/01/08/2003707561 |accessdate=8 January 2019 |work=Taipei Times |date=8 January 2019}}</ref>
|}

====Potential candidates====
* [[Ma Ying-jeou]], former [[President of the Republic of China]] 2008–2016<ref>[https://www.ettoday.net/news/20181216/1332157.htm 出新書為了再攻2020？馬英九這句回應超曖昧]，ETtoday，2018-12-16</ref>
*[[Wang Jin-pyng]], former [[President of the Legislative Yuan]] 1999–2016<ref>[https://udn.com/news/story/11311/3549239 選總統隨緣 王金平不留立院了] United Daily News, 21 December 2018</ref>
*[[Wu Den-yih]], former [[Vice President of the Republic of China]] 2012–2016<ref>[http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/archives/2017/05/21/2003670993 Wu Den-yih wins KMT chair election] Taipei Times, 21 May 2017</ref>

<gallery mode="packed" heights="160px">
File:中華民國第12、13任總統馬英九先生官方肖像照.jpg|Former [[President of the Republic of China|President]]<br/>'''[[Ma Ying-jeou]]'''
File:王委員金平 (第九屆).jpg|Former [[President of the Legislative Yuan|Legislative Yuan President]]<br/>'''[[Wang Jin-pyng]]'''
File:Wu Den-yih (Chopped).jpg|Former [[Vice President of the Republic of China|Vice President]]<br/>'''[[Wu Den-yih]]'''
</gallery>
<section end="interested" />

===Third parties and independents===
====Potential candidates====
* [[Terry Gou]], founder and Chairman of [[Foxconn]]<ref name="2018poll">{{cite news|url=https://www.cmmedia.com.tw/home/articles/11886|date=2018-09-20|title=最新民調》叫我柯總統！2020柯文哲、郭台銘打敗賴清德、蔡英文|work=信傳媒}}</ref>
* [[Ko Wen-je]], incumbent [[Mayor of Taipei]] since 2014<ref name="2018poll"/>

<gallery mode="packed" heights="160px">
File:Terry Gou.jpg|Businessman<br/>'''[[Terry Gou]]'''
File:柯文哲 IMG 9322-1 (14300234412) (cropped).jpg|[[Mayor of Taipei]]<br/>'''[[Ko Wen-je]]'''
</gallery>

==Opinion polling==
===Chu–Tsai===
{|class="wikitable sortable collapsible" style="font-size:95%; text-align:center"
!Date
!Pollster
!{{nowrap|Sample size}}
![[Eric Chu]]<br>[[Kuomintang|KMT]]
![[Tsai Ing-wen]]<br>[[Democratic Progressive Party|DPP]]
|-
|14 December 2018||[https://cc.tvbs.com.tw/portal/file/poll_center/2018/20181214/6cd006ffbba1d7ec5c59091252948d16.pdf TVBS]||834||style="background-color:skyblue;"|'''50.0'''||23.0
|-
|20 December 2018||[http://braintrust.tw/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/2020%E5%B9%B4%E7%B8%BD%E7%B5%B1%E5%A4%A7%E9%81%B8%E9%81%B8%E6%83%85%E8%A9%95%E4%BC%B0_%E7%B0%A1%E5%A0%B1V2.pdf Taiwan Brain Trust]||1,072||style="background-color:skyblue;"|'''53.6'''||27.8
|-
|27 December 2018||[https://udn.com/news/story/11311/3560152 UDN]||1,186||style="background-color:skyblue;"|'''56.0'''||22.0
|}

===Chu–Lai===
{|class="wikitable sortable collapsible" style="font-size:95%; text-align:center"
!Date
!Pollster
!{{nowrap|Sample size}}
![[Eric Chu]]<br>[[Kuomintang|KMT]]
![[William Lai]]<br>[[Democratic Progressive Party|DPP]]
|-
|14 December 2018||[https://cc.tvbs.com.tw/portal/file/poll_center/2018/20181214/6cd006ffbba1d7ec5c59091252948d16.pdf TVBS]||834||style="background-color:skyblue;"|'''40.0'''||39.0
|-
|20 December 2018||[http://braintrust.tw/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/2020%E5%B9%B4%E7%B8%BD%E7%B5%B1%E5%A4%A7%E9%81%B8%E9%81%B8%E6%83%85%E8%A9%95%E4%BC%B0_%E7%B0%A1%E5%A0%B1V2.pdf Taiwan Brain Trust]||1,072||style="background-color:skyblue;"|'''43.8'''||41.0
|-
|27 December 2018||[https://udn.com/news/story/11311/3560152 UDN]||1,186||style="background-color:skyblue;"|'''47.0'''||32.0
|}

===Ko–Chu–Tsai===
{|class="wikitable sortable collapsible" style="font-size:95%; text-align:center"
!Date
!Pollster
!{{nowrap|Sample size}}
![[Ko Wen-je]]<br>[[Independent (politician)|Ind.]]
![[Eric Chu]]<br>[[Kuomintang|KMT]]
![[Tsai Ing-wen]]<br>[[Democratic Progressive Party|DPP]]
|-
|20 December 2018||[http://braintrust.tw/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/2020%E5%B9%B4%E7%B8%BD%E7%B5%B1%E5%A4%A7%E9%81%B8%E9%81%B8%E6%83%85%E8%A9%95%E4%BC%B0_%E7%B0%A1%E5%A0%B1V2.pdf Taiwan Brain Trust]||1,072||style="background-color:lightgrey;"|'''41.1'''||32.5||17.2
|-
|24 December 2018||[http://www.my-formosa.com/DOC_141436.htm Formosa]||1,074||style="background-color:lightgrey;"|'''36.4'''||29.0||14.7
|-
|27 December 2018||[https://udn.com/news/story/11311/3560152 UDN]||1,186||style="background-color:lightgrey;"|'''45.0'''||30.0||11.0
|}

===Ko–Chu–Lai===
{|class="wikitable sortable collapsible" style="font-size:95%; text-align:center"
!Date
!Pollster
!{{nowrap|Sample size}}
![[Ko Wen-je]]<br>[[Independent (politician)|Ind.]]
![[Eric Chu]]<br>[[Kuomintang|KMT]]
![[William Lai]]<br>[[Democratic Progressive Party|DPP]]
|-
|20 December 2018||[http://braintrust.tw/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/2020%E5%B9%B4%E7%B8%BD%E7%B5%B1%E5%A4%A7%E9%81%B8%E9%81%B8%E6%83%85%E8%A9%95%E4%BC%B0_%E7%B0%A1%E5%A0%B1V2.pdf Taiwan Brain Trust]||1,072||style="background-color:lightgrey;"|'''34.3'''||29.5||28.2
|-
|24 December 2018||[http://www.my-formosa.com/DOC_141436.htm Formosa]||1,074||style="background-color:lightgrey;"|'''33.3'''||27.2||22.8
|-
|27 December 2018||[https://udn.com/news/story/11311/3560152 UDN]||1,186||style="background-color:lightgrey;"|'''42.0'''||28.0||18.0
|}

===Tsai–Gou–Chu===
{|class="wikitable sortable collapsible" style="font-size:95%; text-align:center"
!Date
!Pollster
!{{nowrap|Sample size}}
![[Tsai Ing-Wen]]<br>[[Democratic Progressive Party|DPP]]
![[Terry Gou]]<br>[[Independent (politician)|Ind.]]
![[Eric Chu]]<br>[[Kuomintang|KMT]]
|-
|17 May 2017||[http://focustaiwan.tw/news/aipl/201705170018.aspx Taiwan Style Foundation]||1,271||style="background-color:lightgreen;"|'''37.6'''||30.1||15.3
|}

==References==
{{reflist|30em}}

Revision as of 07:57, 15 January 2019

2020 Republic of China presidential election
← 2016 Before 20 May 2020 2024 →
 
Party DPP Kuomintang
Alliance Pan-Green Pan-Blue
 
Party NPP People First
Alliance N/A N/A
Taiwan by administrative divisions
Incumbent President

Tsai Ing-wen
DPP



The 15th Presidential and Vice Presidential election is scheduled for 2020 for the President and Vice President of the Republic of China, commonly known as Taiwan. Voters will select presidential electors who in turn will either elect a new president and vice president through the electoral college or reelect the incumbents. The series of presidential primary elections and caucuses are likely to be held during the last six months of 2019.

Incumbent President Tsai Ing-wen of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), who was elected in 2016, is eligible to seek for a second term. The winner of the 2020 presidential election is scheduled to be inaugurated on 20 May 2020. The 10th Legislative Yuan election will also be held on the same day.

Background

Presidential candidates and Vice Presidential running mates are elected on the same ticket, using first-past-the-post voting. This will be the seventh direct election of the president and vice president, the posts having previously been indirectly elected by the National Assembly until 1996.

Under the Article 22 of the Presidential and Vice Presidential Election and Recall Act, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), Kuomintang (KMT), New Power Party (NPP) and People First Party (PFP), which received more than five per cent of the total vote share in the latest election in any level, are eligible to contest the election, registering with the Central Election Commission as the candidates for President and Vice President is filed by the way of political party recommendation, a letter of recommendation stamped with the political party’s seal issued by the Ministry of the Interior shall be submitted together with the application. Under Article 23, independent candidates and smaller parties are also eligible to contest, registering as the candidates for President and Vice President by the way of joint signature shall, within five days after the public notice for election is issued, apply to the Central Election Commission for being the presenter recommended by way of joint signature, receive a list of joint signers and to receive 1.5 per cent of the total electors in the latest election of the members of the Legislative Yuan, and pay the deposit of NT$1,000,000.[1]

According to the constitution, the incumbent President Tsai Ing-wen and Vice President Chen Chien-jen, who will finish their first full term, are eligible for re-election.

Nominations

Democratic Progressive Party

Potential candidates

Kuomintang

Declared candidates

Name Born Current or previous positions Announced Ref

Eric Chu 		June 7, 1961 (age 63)
Bade City, Taiwan 		Mayor of New Taipei (2016–2018) December 25, 2018 [4]

Lo Chih-chiang 		March 26, 1970 (age 54)
Hualien City, Taiwan 		Taipei City Councillor (2018–present) November 26, 2018 [5]

Chang Ya-chung 		December 1954 (age 69)
Taichung City, Taiwan 		Professor of the National Taiwan University January 7, 2019 [6]

Potential candidates


Third parties and independents

Potential candidates

Opinion polling

Chu–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Eric Chu
KMT 		Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
14 December 2018 TVBS 834 50.0 23.0
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 53.6 27.8
27 December 2018 UDN 1,186 56.0 22.0

Chu–Lai

Date Pollster Sample size Eric Chu
KMT 		William Lai
DPP
14 December 2018 TVBS 834 40.0 39.0
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 43.8 41.0
27 December 2018 UDN 1,186 47.0 32.0

Ko–Chu–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Ko Wen-je
Ind. 		Eric Chu
KMT 		Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 41.1 32.5 17.2
24 December 2018 Formosa 1,074 36.4 29.0 14.7
27 December 2018 UDN 1,186 45.0 30.0 11.0

Ko–Chu–Lai

Date Pollster Sample size Ko Wen-je
Ind. 		Eric Chu
KMT 		William Lai
DPP
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 34.3 29.5 28.2
24 December 2018 Formosa 1,074 33.3 27.2 22.8
27 December 2018 UDN 1,186 42.0 28.0 18.0

Tsai–Gou–Chu

Date Pollster Sample size Tsai Ing-Wen
DPP 		Terry Gou
Ind. 		Eric Chu
KMT
17 May 2017 Taiwan Style Foundation 1,271 37.6 30.1 15.3

References

  1. ^ "Presidential and Vice Presidential Election and Recall Act". {{cite web}}: Cite has empty unknown parameter: |dead-url= (help)
  2. ^ Tsai Front Runner for 2020 Presidential Race: Survey Focus Taiwan, 17 May 2017
  3. ^ 總統大選聯合報民調／柯文哲若選2020 藍綠邊緣化 United Daily News, 27 December 2018
  4. ^ 朱立倫卸新北市長 宣布投入2020總統選舉，中央社，2018-12-25
  5. ^ 拋震撼彈！羅智強宣布4階段參選總統！ China Times, 26 November 2018
  6. ^ Maxon, Ann (8 January 2019). "Ex-Hung Hsiu-chu aide eyes presidential run". Taipei Times. Retrieved 8 January 2019.
  7. ^ 出新書為了再攻2020？馬英九這句回應超曖昧，ETtoday，2018-12-16
  8. ^ 選總統隨緣 王金平不留立院了 United Daily News, 21 December 2018
  9. ^ Wu Den-yih wins KMT chair election Taipei Times, 21 May 2017
  10. ^ a b "最新民調》叫我柯總統！2020柯文哲、郭台銘打敗賴清德、蔡英文". 信傳媒. 2018-09-20.
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