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| colspan="14" |'''Liberal wing of the [[Democratic Party (Japan)|Democratic Party]] split to form the [[Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan]]''' |
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| [https://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXMZO2175937001102017PE8000/ Kyodo News] |
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The 48th general election of members of the House of Representatives (第48回衆議院議員総選挙, dai-yonjūhachikai Shūgiin giin sōsenkyo) is due to take place on October 22, 2017. Voting will take place in all Representatives constituencies of Japan – 289 single-member districts and eleven proportional blocks – in order to appoint all 465 members (down from 475) of the House of Representatives, the lower house of the then 707-member bicameral National Diet of Japan. As the cabinet has to resign after a general House of Representatives election in the first post-election Diet session (Constitution, Article 70), the lower house election will also lead to a new designation election of the Prime Minister in the Diet, and the appointment of a new cabinet (even if the same ministers are re-appointed).
Date of the election
Under the post-occupation interpretation of Article 7 of the Constitution, the cabinet may instruct the Emperor to dissolve the House of Representatives before the end of term at will. Elections must be held within 40 days after dissolution.
The only time in postwar history that the House of Representatives was not dissolved before the end of its term was in 1976. If the House of Representatives completes a full four-year term, the election must be held within 30 days before that. Under certain conditions if the Diet is in session or scheduled to open at that time, the election could take place somewhat beyond the actual end of term under the "public offices election act" (kōshokusenkyohō).[1]
As of June 2015, the Democratic Party of Japan was reportedly preparing a roster of up to 250 candidates so as to be prepared in the event that the next general election was to be held alongside the House of Councillors election in the summer of 2016.[2]
In September 2017, the Japan Times reported that Prime Minister Abe planned to dissolve the lower house on 28 September and call an election for 22 or 29 October.[3]
Contesting parties
Soon after the election was called, the main opposition Democratic Party (DP) announced it would not run its own candidates and they could contest to be under the new Party of Hope led by Yuriko Koike.[4] On 2 October 2017 DP deputy president Yukio Edano launched the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan for liberal members of the DP who will not contest the election as Party of Hope candidates.[5]
Polling
Voting intention (PR blocks)
Voting intention (districts)
Party approval
| Date | Polling Firm/Source | LDP | DP | Komei | JCP | PJK | SDP | LP | Ishin | Kibō | CDP | Oth. | No party |
Und. + No Answer |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Komeito/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Japanese Communist Party/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:The Party for Japanese Kokoro/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Liberal Party (Japan, 2016)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Initiatives from Osaka/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Kibō no Tō/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan/meta/color;"| | ||||||
| 3-4 Oct | Asahi Shimbun | 30 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 21 | Tied |
| 30 Sep - 1 Oct | ANN | 39.6 | 7.1 | 4.6 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 28.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white" | 11.6 | |||
| 29 Sep - 1 Oct | NHK | 30.8 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 5.4 | 40.4 | 9.6 | ||||
| 28-29 Sep | Yomiuri Shimbun | 32 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 40 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 26-27 Sep | Asahi Shimbun | 31 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 32 | 18 | 1 | |
| 26-27 Sep | Mainichi Shimbun | 28 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 39 | 11 | ||
| 22-24 Sep | The Nikkei & TV Tokyo | 44 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white" | 12 | ||
| 16-17 Sep | ANN | 46.2 | 11.3 | 3.5 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 29.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white" | 17.2 | |||
| 8-11 Sep | Jiji Press | 23.7 | 4.3 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 62.9 | 39.2 | ||||
| 8-10 Sep | NHK | 37.7 | 6.7 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 40.8 | 7.1 | 3.1 | ||
| 8-10 Sep | Yomiuri Shimbun | 40 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 45 | 2 | 5 | |||
| 25-27 Aug | The Nikkei & TV Tokyo | 41 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 5 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 5 | ||
| 19-20 Aug | FNN | 33.0 | 6.9 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 44.6 | 0.4 | 11.6 | ||
| 5-6 Aug | Asahi Shimbun | 33 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 46 | 7 | 13 | ||
| 5-6 Aug | ANN | 38.1 | 10.8 | 3.9 | 5.6 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 37.1 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 1.0 | |||
| 4-6 Aug | NHK | 34.8 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 45.7 | 4.8 | 10.9 | ||
| 3-6 Aug | Jiji Press | 25.7 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 62.2 | 36.5 | ||||
| 3-4 Aug | The Nikkei & TV Tokyo | 37 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 6 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white" | 1 | ||
| 3-4 Aug | Yomiuri Shimbun | 36 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 45 | 4 | 9 | |||
| 3-4 Aug | Mainichi Shimbun | 26 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 21 | |||
| 3-4 Aug | Kyodo News | 39.0 | 7.3 | 5.9 | 5.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 37.9 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 1.1 | ||||
| 22-23 Jul | Mainichi Shimbun | 25 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 28 | |||
| 22-23 Jul | FNN | 29.1 | 7.0 | 5.3 | 4.6 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 45.7 | 0.8 | 16.6 | ||
| 7-10 Jul | Jiji Press | 21.1 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 65.3 | 44.2 | ||||
| 8-9 Jul | Asahi Shimbun | 30 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 47 | 7 | 17 | ||
| 7-9 Jul | NTV | 35.6 | 9.2 | 3.7 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 38.1 | 4.6 | 2.5 | ||
| 7-9 Jul | Yomiuri Shimbun | 31 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 47 | 4 | 16 | ||
| 7-9 Jul | NHK | 30.7 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 47.0 | 5.8 | 16.3 | ||
| 17-18 Jun | Mainichi Shimbun | 27 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 47 | 20 | |||
| 17-18 Jun | FNN | 36.0 | 8.3 | 4.1 | 5.6 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 38.1 | 0.4 | 2.1 | ||
| 17-18 Jun | Yomiuri Shimbun | 41 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 4 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 1 | ||
| 17-18 Jun | Asahi Shimbun | 34 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 41 | 7 | 7 | ||
| 16-18 Jun | NTV | 38.5 | 11.0 | 5.1 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 33.4 | 5.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 5.1 | ||
| 9-11 Jun | NHK | 36.4 | 7.9 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 40.8 | 5.1 | 4.4 | ||
| 13-14 May | FNN | 41.6 | 8.0 | 2.9 | 4.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 35.6 | 0.4 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 6.0 | ||
| 12-14 May | Yomiuri Shimbun | 43 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 5 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 4 | |||
| 12-14 May | NHK | 37.5 | 7.3 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 38.4 | 7.5 | 0.9 | ||
| 14-16 Apr | Yomiuri Shimbun | 44 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 38 | 4 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 6 | |||
| 7-9 Apr | NHK | 38.1 | 6.7 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 38.7 | 7.0 | 0.6 | ||
| 18-19 Mar | Yomiuri Shimbun | 40 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 43 | 2 | 3 | |||
| 10-12 Mar | NHK | 36.9 | 7.6 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 38.9 | 6.6 | 2.0 | ||
| 17-19 Feb | Yomiuri Shimbun | 43 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 2 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 3 | ||
| 11-12 Feb | NHK | 38.2 | 6.4 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 40.1 | 5.2 | 1.9 | ||||
| 27-29 Jan | Yomiuri Shimbun | 40 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 2 | ||
| 7-9 Jan | NHK | 38.3 | 8.7 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 38.3 | 5.3 | Tied | ||||
| 2017 | |||||||||||||||
| 8-10 Oct | NHK | 37.1 | 9.9 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 37.8 | 4.9 | 0.7 | ||
| 7-9 Oct | Yomiuri Shimbun | 40 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 4 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 1 | ||
| 9-11 Sep | Yomiuri Shimbun | 46.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 31.0 | 2.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 15.0 | ||
| 9-11 Sep | NHK | 40.2 | 8.3 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 36.0 | 6.1 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 4.2 | ||
| 4-6 Mar | Yomiuri Shimbun | 37.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 43.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | ||
| 12-14 Feb | Yomiuri Shimbun | 42.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 3.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 2.0 | ||||
| 5-7 Feb | NHK | 37.6 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 35.1 | 7.4 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 2.5 | ||
| 30-31 Jan | Yomiuri Shimbun | 40.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 3.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 1.0 | ||
| 9-11 Jan | NHK | 37.5 | 8.1 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 33.1 | 9.4 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 4.4 | ||
| 8-10 Jan | Yomiuri Shimbun | 40.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 37.0 | 4.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 3.0 | ||
| 2016 | |||||||||||||||
| 17-18 Dec | Yomiuri Shimbun | 37.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | ||
| 11-13 Dec | NHK | 37.5 | 8.5 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 34.3 | 7.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 3.2 | ||
| 4-6 Dec | Yomiuri Shimbun | 36.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 43.0 | 2.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 7.0 | ||
| 6-8 Nov | Yomiuri Shimbun | 40.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 2.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 1.0 | ||
| 6-8 Nov | NHK | 37.1 | 8.4 | 3.4 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 36.3 | 8.2 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 0.8 | ||
| 10-12 Oct | NHK | 35.6 | 8.6 | 3.3 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 35.7 | 10.3 | 0.1 | |||
| 7-8 Oct | Yomiuri Shimbun | 39.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 1.0 | Tied | ||||
| 19-20 Sep | Yomiuri Shimbun | 33.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | |||
| 11–13 Sep | NHK | 34.7 | 9.8 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 36.2 | 9.0 | 1.5 | |||
| 15-16 Aug | Yomiuri Shimbun | 37.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | ||||
| 7–9 Aug | NHK | 34.3 | 10.9 | 3.0 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 34.5 | 9.6 | 0.2 | |||
| 24-26 Jul | Yomiuri Shimbun | 36.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | ||||
| 18–19 Jul | Asahi Shimbun | 31.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | |||
| 11–12 Jul | Asahi Shimbun | 32.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | |||
| 10–12 Jul | NHK | 34.7 | 7.7 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 36.8 | 9.5 | 2.1 | |||
| 3-5 Jul | Yomiuri Shimbun | 35.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 44.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | ||||
| 20–21 Jun | Asahi Shimbun | 36.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | |||
| 5-7 Jun | Yomiuri Shimbun | 38.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | |||
| 5–7 Jun | NHK | 35.8 | 9.4 | 3.6 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 33.9 | 9.3 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 1.9 | |||
| 16–17 May | Asahi Shimbun | 39.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 33.0 | 10.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 6.0 | |||
| 8-10 May | Yomiuri Shimbun | 43.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | 2.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 8.0 | |||
| 8–10 May | NHK | 37.5 | 7.8 | 5.3 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 34.7 | 8.4 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 2.8 | |||
| 18–19 Apr | Asahi Shimbun | 36.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 10.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 2.0 | |||
| 10–12 Apr | NHK | 37.8 | 9.2 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 29.2 | 9.9 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 8.6 | |||
| 3-5 Apr | Yomiuri Shimbun | 41.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 1.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 1.0 | |||
| 14–15 Mar | Asahi Shimbun | 38.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 37.0 | 8.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 1.0 | |||
| 6–8 Mar | NHK | 36.7 | 10.9 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 31.8 | 8.1 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 4.9 | |||
| 28 Jan-28 Feb | Yomiuri Shimbun | 43.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 1.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 13.0 | |||
| 14–15 Feb | Asahi Shimbun | 40.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 35.0 | 7.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 5.0 | |||
| 6–8 Feb | NHK | 41.2 | 10.3 | 4.9 | 4.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 29.7 | 6.5 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 11.5 | |||
| 6-7 Feb | Yomiuri Shimbun | 42.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | 1.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 8.0 | |||
| 17–18 Jan | Asahi Shimbun | 33.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | |||
| 10–12 Jan | NHK | 39.4 | 9.2 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 31.9 | 7.7 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 7.5 | |||
| 9-11 Jan | Yomiuri Shimbun | 41.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.0 | 1.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 3.0 | |||
| 2015 | |||||||||||||||
| 24-25 Dec | Yomiuri Shimbun | 36.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 32.0 | 3.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 4.0 | |||
| 15–16 Dec | Asahi Shimbun | 35.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 33.0 | 12.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 2.0 | |||
| 14 Dec 2014 | General Election | 33.1 | 18.3 | 13.7 | 11.4 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 1.9 | — | — | — | 0.7 | — | — | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 14.9 |
Preferred prime minister
| Date | Polling Firm/Source | Abe | Koike | Oth. | Und. + No Answer |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Kibō no Tō/meta/color;"| | |||||
| 30 Sep - 1 Oct | Kyodo News | 45.9 | 33.0 | 21.1 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white" | 12.9 |
Preferred outcome
| Date | Polling Firm/Source | LDP re-election | Change in government | Und. + No Answer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4 Oct | Asahi Shimbun | 43 | 33 | 24 |
| 30 Sep - 1 Oct | ANN | 44 | 38 | 18 |
Cabinet approval / disapproval ratings
| Date | Polling Firm/Source | PM | Approval | Disapproval | Und. + No Answer | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4 Oct | Asahi Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 40 | 38 | 22 | ||||||||
| 30 Sep - 1 Oct | ANN | Shinzō Abe | 36.9 | 46.3 | 16.8 | ||||||||
| 30 Sep - 1 Oct | Kyodo News | Shinzō Abe | 40.6 | 46.2 | |||||||||
| 29 Sep - 1 Oct | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 37 | 44 | |||||||||
| 28-29 Sep | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 43 | 46 | 11 | ||||||||
| 26-27 Sep | Asahi Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 36 | 39 | 25 | ||||||||
| 26-27 Sep | Mainichi Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 36 | 42 | 19 | ||||||||
| 23-24 Sep | Kyodo News | Shinzō Abe | 45.0 | 41.3 | |||||||||
| 22-24 Sep | Nikkei & TV Tokyo | Shinzō Abe | 50 | 42 | 8 | ||||||||
| 16-17 Sep | ANN | Shinzō Abe | 41.3 | 39.6 | 19.1 | ||||||||
| 16-17 Sep | FNN | Shinzō Abe | 50.3 | 40.0 | |||||||||
| 8-11 Sep | Jiji News | Shinzō Abe | 41.8 | 36.7 | |||||||||
| 9-10 Sep | Asahi Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 38 | 38 | |||||||||
| 8-10 Sep | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 44 | 36 | |||||||||
| 8-10 Sep | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 50 | 39 | |||||||||
| 8-10 Sep | NTV | Shinzō Abe | 42.1 | 41.0 | 17.0 | ||||||||
| 2-3 Sep | JNN | Shinzō Abe | 48.1 | 50.5 | 1.5 | ||||||||
| 2-3 Sep | Mainichi Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 39 | 36 | 22 | ||||||||
| 2-3 Sep | Kyodo News | Shinzō Abe | 44.5 | 46.1 | |||||||||
| 25-27 Aug | The Nikkei & TV Tokyo | Shinzō Abe | 46 | 46 | |||||||||
| 19-20 Aug | FNN | Shinzō Abe | 43.8 | 49.0 | 7.2 | ||||||||
| 5-6 Aug | ANN | Shinzō Abe | 37.6 | 47.2 | 15.2 | ||||||||
| 5-6 Aug | JNN | Shinzō Abe | 39.7 | 59.0 | 1.3 | ||||||||
| 5-6 Aug | Asahi Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 35 | 45 | |||||||||
| 4-6 Aug | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 39 | 43 | |||||||||
| 4-6 Aug | NTV | Shinzō Abe | 35.6 | 47.3 | 17.1 | ||||||||
| 3-6 Aug | Jiji Press | Shinzō Abe | 36.6 | 44.1 | |||||||||
| 3-4 Aug | Kyodo News | Shinzō Abe | 44.4 | 43.2 | |||||||||
| 3-4 Aug | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 42 | 48 | |||||||||
| 3-4 Aug | The Nikkei & TV Tokyo | Shinzō Abe | 42 | 49 | |||||||||
| 3-4 Aug | Mainichi Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 35 | 47 | 17 | ||||||||
| 22-23 Jul | FNN | Shinzō Abe | 34.7 | 56.1 | 9.2 | ||||||||
| 22-23 Jul | The Nikkei & TV Tokyo | Shinzō Abe | 39 | 52 | |||||||||
| 22-23 Jul | Mainichi Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 26 | 56 | 17 | ||||||||
| 15-16 Jul | ANN | Shinzō Abe | 29.2 | 54.5 | 16.3 | ||||||||
| 15-16 Jul | Kyodo News | Shinzō Abe | 35.8 | 53.1 | |||||||||
| 7-10 Jul | Jiji Press | Shinzō Abe | 29.9 | 48.6 | |||||||||
| 8-9 Jul | Asahi Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 33 | 47 | 20 | ||||||||
| 7-9 Jul | NTV | Shinzō Abe | 31.9 | 49.2 | 18.9 | ||||||||
| 7-9 Jul | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 36 | 52 | 11 | ||||||||
| 7-9 Jul | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 35 | 48 | 17 | ||||||||
| 1-2 Jul | JNN | Shinzō Abe | 43.3 | 55.5 | 1.3 | ||||||||
| 17-18 Jun | Mainichi Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 36 | 44 | 17 | ||||||||
| 17-18 Jun | ANN | Shinzō Abe | 37.9 | 41.6 | 20.5 | ||||||||
| 17-18 Jun | Asahi Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 41 | 37 | 20 | ||||||||
| 17-18 Jun | Kyodo News | Shinzō Abe | 44.9 | 43.1 | |||||||||
| 17-18 Jun | FNN | Shinzō Abe | 47.6 | 42.9 | 9.5 | ||||||||
| 17-18 Jun | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 49 | 41 | 10 | ||||||||
| 16-18 Jun | The Nikkei | Shinzō Abe | 49 | 42 | |||||||||
| 16-18 Jun | NTV | Shinzō Abe | 39.8 | 41.8 | 18.4 | ||||||||
| 9-11 Jun | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 48 | 36 | 16 | ||||||||
| 3-4 Jun | JNN | Shinzō Abe | 54.4 | 44.1 | 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25-28 May | The Nikkei | Shinzō Abe | 56 | 36 | |||||||||
| 20-21 May | Mainichi Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 46 | 35 | 16 | ||||||||
| 20-21 May | ANN | Shinzō Abe | 46.4 | 32.4 | 21.2 | ||||||||
| 19-21 May | NTV | Shinzō Abe | 46.1 | 36.4 | 17.6 | ||||||||
| 13-14 May | FNN | Shinzō Abe | 56.1 | 34.7 | 9.2 | ||||||||
| 12-14 May | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 61 | 28 | 11 | ||||||||
| 12-14 May | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 51 | 30 | 19 | ||||||||
| 29-30 Apr | JNN | Shinzō Abe | 63.3 | 34.8 | 1.9 | ||||||||
| 27-30 Apr | The Nikkei | Shinzō Abe | 60 | 32 | |||||||||
| 22-23 Apr | Mainichi Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 51 | 30 | 17 | ||||||||
| 22-23 Apr | ANN | Shinzō Abe | 50.4 | 33.0 | 16.6 | ||||||||
| 15-16 Apr | FNN | Shinzō Abe | 59.3 | 30.4 | 10.3 | ||||||||
| 14-16 Apr | NTV | Shinzō Abe | 50.4 | 30.8 | 18.8 | ||||||||
| 14-16 Apr | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 60 | 29 | 11 | ||||||||
| 7-9 Apr | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 53 | 27 | 20 | ||||||||
| 1-2 Apr | JNN | Shinzō Abe | 57.0 | 40.6 | 2.4 | ||||||||
| 25-26 Mar | ANN | Shinzō Abe | 50.5 | 31.2 | 18.3 | ||||||||
| 24-26 Mar | The Nikkei | Shinzō Abe | 62 | 30 | |||||||||
| 18-19 Mar | FNN | Shinzō Abe | 57.4 | 30.9 | 11.7 | ||||||||
| 18-19 Mar | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 56 | 33 | 12 | ||||||||
| 17-19 Mar | NTV | Shinzō Abe | 47.6 | 32.9 | 19.5 | ||||||||
| 10-12 Mar | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 51 | 31 | 18 | ||||||||
| 4-5 Mar | JNN | Shinzō Abe | 61.0 | 37.3 | 1.7 | ||||||||
| 25-26 Feb | ANN | Shinzō Abe | 54.5 | 27.9 | 17.6 | ||||||||
| 24-26 Feb | The Nikkei | Shinzō Abe | 60 | 30 | |||||||||
| 18-19 Feb | FNN | Shinzō Abe | 58.8 | 30.1 | 11.1 | ||||||||
| 17-19 Feb | NTV | Shinzō Abe | 54.9 | 26.0 | 19.1 | ||||||||
| 17-19 Feb | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 66 | 24 | 9 | ||||||||
| 11-12 Feb | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 58 | 23 | 19 | ||||||||
| 4-5 Feb | JNN | Shinzō Abe | 65.4 | 33.4 | 1.2 | ||||||||
| 28-29 Jan | FNN | Shinzō Abe | 60.7 | 30.7 | 8.6 | ||||||||
| 28-29 Jan | ANN | Shinzō Abe | 55.3 | 27.5 | 17.2 | ||||||||
| 27-29 Jan | The Nikkei | Shinzō Abe | 66 | 26 | |||||||||
| 27-29 Jan | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 61 | 31 | 8 | ||||||||
| 20-22 Jan | NTV | Shinzō Abe | 57.2 | 28.9 | 13.9 | ||||||||
| 14-15 Jan | JNN | Shinzō Abe | 67.0 | 31.5 | 1.7 | ||||||||
| 7-9 Jan | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 55 | 29 | 16 | ||||||||
| 2017 | |||||||||||||
| 17-18 Dec | FNN | Shinzō Abe | 55.6 | 30.9 | 13.5 | ||||||||
| 12-13 Nov | FNN | Shinzō Abe | 57.9 | 31.9 | 10.2 | ||||||||
| 15-16 Oct | FNN | Shinzō Abe | 57.6 | 35.5 | 6.9 | ||||||||
| 17-18 Sep | FNN | Shinzō Abe | 56.6 | 33.3 | 10.1 | ||||||||
| 9-11 Sep | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 62 | 29 | 9 | ||||||||
| 9-11 Sep | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 57 | 26 | 17 | ||||||||
| 6-7 Aug | FNN | Shinzō Abe | 55.4 | 33.1 | 11.5 | ||||||||
| 16-17 Jul | FNN | Shinzō Abe | 49.8 | 39.1 | 11.1 | ||||||||
| 18-19 Jun | FNN | Shinzō Abe | 49.4 | 38.1 | 10.6 | ||||||||
| 4-6 Mar | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 49 | 40 | 11 | ||||||||
| 12-14 Feb | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 52 | 36 | 12 | ||||||||
| 5-7 Feb | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 50 | 34 | 16 | ||||||||
| 30-31 Jan | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 56 | 34 | 9 | ||||||||
| 9-11 Jan | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 46 | 35 | 19 | ||||||||
| 8-10 Jan | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 54 | 36 | 9 | ||||||||
| 2016 | |||||||||||||
| 17-18 Dec | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 49 | 39 | 12 | ||||||||
| 11-13 Dec | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 46 | 36 | 18 | ||||||||
| 4-6 Dec | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 48 | 40 | 12 | ||||||||
| 6-8 Nov | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 51 | 38 | 11 | ||||||||
| 6-8 Nov | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 47 | 39 | 14 | ||||||||
| 10-12 Oct | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 43 | 40 | 17 | ||||||||
| 7-8 Oct | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 46 | 45 | 8 | ||||||||
| 19-20 Sep | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 41 | 51 | 8 | ||||||||
| 11–13 Sep | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 43 | 39 | 18 | ||||||||
| 15-16 Aug | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 45 | 45 | 10 | ||||||||
| 7–9 Aug | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 37 | 46 | 17 | ||||||||
| 24-26 Jul | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 43 | 49 | 8 | ||||||||
| 18–19 Jul | Asahi Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 37 | 46 | 17 | ||||||||
| 11–12 Jun | Asahi Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 39 | 42 | 19 | ||||||||
| 10–12 Jul | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 41 | 43 | 16 | ||||||||
| 3-5 Jul | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 49 | 40 | 10 | ||||||||
| 20–21 Jun | Asahi Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 39 | 37 | 24 | ||||||||
| 5-7 Jun | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 53 | 36 | 10 | ||||||||
| 5–7 Jun | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 48 | 34 | 18 | ||||||||
| 16–17 May | Asahi Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 45 | 32 | 23 | ||||||||
| 8-10 May | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 58 | 32 | 10 | ||||||||
| 8–10 May | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 51 | 32 | 17 | ||||||||
| 18–19 Apr | Asahi Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 44 | 35 | 21 | ||||||||
| 10–12 Apr | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 51 | 34 | 15 | ||||||||
| 3-5 Apr | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 57 | 35 | 8 | ||||||||
| 14–15 Mar | Asahi Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 46 | 33 | 21 | ||||||||
| 6–8 Mar | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 46 | 37 | 17 | ||||||||
| 28 Jan-28 Feb | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 56 | 36 | 8 | ||||||||
| 14–15 Feb | Asahi Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 50 | 31 | 19 | ||||||||
| 6–8 Feb | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 54 | 29 | 17 | ||||||||
| 6-7 Feb | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 58 | 34 | 8 | ||||||||
| 17–18 Jan | Asahi Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 42 | 37 | 21 | ||||||||
| 10–12 Jan | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 50 | 32 | 18 | ||||||||
| 9-11 Jan | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 53 | 38 | 9 | ||||||||
| 2015 | |||||||||||||
| 24-25 Dec | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 49 | 41 | 10 | ||||||||
| 15–16 Dec | Asahi Shimbun | Shinzō Abe | 43 | 34 | 23 | ||||||||
| 5–7 Dec | NHK | Shinzō Abe | 47 | 38 | 15 | ||||||||
| 2014 | |||||||||||||
- ^ This poll is not specific to the PR blocks, but is rather a general voting-intention poll. "At the next elections, what is the party that you would like to vote for, or to which your preferred candidate belongs?".
References
- ^ MIC/e-gov legal database: 公職選挙法, chapter 5 (election dates), article 31 (general elections)
- ^ "民主、衆参同日選も想定 年内に候補者170人擁立めざす". Nihon Keizai Shimbun. 6 June 2015. Retrieved 8 June 2015.
- ^ Abe poised to dissolve Lower House for snap general election. (2017, September 17). Retrieved September 18, 2017, from https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2017/09/17/national/politics-diplomacy/abe-likely-dissolve-lower-house-soon-snap-general-election/#.WcBg3qiPLD5
- ^ Yoshida, Reiji (28 September 2017). "Democratic Party effectively disbands, throwing support behind Koike's party for Lower House poll". The Japan Times. Retrieved 28 September 2017.
- ^ http://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/AJ201710020024.html
