2016 Delaware gubernatorial election

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2016 Delaware gubernatorial election

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
 
Nominee John Carney Colin Bonini
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 248,404 166,852
Percentage 58.3% 39.2%

Carney:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Bonini:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
     No votes

Governor before election

Jack Markell
Democratic

Elected Governor

John Carney
Democratic

The 2016 Delaware gubernatorial election took take place on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor of Delaware, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic Governor Jack Markell was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a third term in office. Democratic congressman John Carney defeated Republican state senator Colin Bonini in a landslide.

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Deceased[edit]

Withdrew[edit]

  • Kevin Tinsley[3]

Declined[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Carney
Other Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson/Delaware News Journal July 20–24, 2016 344 ± 5.3% 67% 9% 23%

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

  • Lacey Lafferty, retired state trooper[9]

Declined[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Colin
Bonini
Lacey
Lafferty
Other Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson/Delaware News Journal July 20–24, 2016 224 ± 6.6% 29% 22% 3% 42%

Results[edit]

Results by county:
  Bonini—70–80%
  Bonini—60–70%
Republican primary results[12]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Colin Bonini 21,150 69.88
Republican Lacey Lafferty 9,115 30.12
Total votes 30,265 100.00

Libertarian Party[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Sean Louis Goward[13]

General election[edit]

Debates[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[14] Safe D August 12, 2016
Daily Kos[15] Safe D November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[16] Safe D November 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Safe D November 7, 2016
Real Clear Politics[18] Safe D November 1, 2016
Governing[19] Safe D October 27, 2016

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Carney (D)
Colin
Bonini (R)
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 367 ± 4.6% 56% 40% 4%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016 383 ± 4.6% 54% 42% 4%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016 405 ± 4.6% 56% 40% 4%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016 397 ± 4.6% 56% 39% 5%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 2016 413 ± 4.6% 58% 37% 5%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 458 ± 4.6% 60% 36% 4%
University of Delaware September 16–28, 2016 900 ± 3.8% 57% 25% 7% 11%

Results[edit]

Delaware gubernatorial election, 2016[20]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic John Carney 248,404 58.34% -10.99%
Republican Colin Bonini 166,852 39.18% +10.59%
Green Andrew Groff 5,951 1.39% +0.24%
Libertarian Sean Louis Goward 4,577 1.09% +0.17%
Total votes 425,784 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ Bruggeman, Karyn; Railey, Kimberly (September 16, 2015). "Rep. John Carney to Run for Governor of Delaware". National Journal. Retrieved September 16, 2015.
  2. ^ "Beau Biden says he plans to run for governor in Delaware". CNN. April 17, 2014. Archived from the original on January 18, 2016. Retrieved April 17, 2014.
  3. ^ Bittle, Matt (July 23, 2016). "Can Carney be topped in Delaware governor race?". Delaware State News. Retrieved August 14, 2016.
  4. ^ a b c d "Delaware's 2016 speculation all about Biden". Delaware Online. November 8, 2014. Retrieved November 9, 2014.
  5. ^ Jonathan Starkey (April 21, 2014). "Denn enters AG's race; primary still possible". DelawareOnline. Retrieved March 3, 2013.
  6. ^ Matt Bittle (February 21, 2015). "Levy Court's Eaby pursuing a run for lieutenant governor". DelawareNewszap. Archived from the original on February 24, 2015. Retrieved February 24, 2015.
  7. ^ a b c "Bonini declares for governor's race". Delaware Online. November 6, 2014. Retrieved November 9, 2014.
  8. ^ a b c d Dawson, James (November 6, 2014). "Talk of 2016 rears its head at Return Day". WDDE. Archived from the original on February 25, 2015. Retrieved February 24, 2015.
  9. ^ a b Starkey, Jonathan (February 23, 2015). "Sen. Lavelle opts out of 2016 governor race". The News Journal. Retrieved February 24, 2015.
  10. ^ McPike, Erin (September 11, 2012). "Is Beau Biden Democrats' Next Emerging Star?". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved March 3, 2013.
  11. ^ "GOP may eye Simpler for governor in 2016". Delaware Online. November 6, 2014. Retrieved November 9, 2014.
  12. ^ "Delaware Election Results 2016: Governor Live Map by County, Real-Time Voting Updates". Politico. Retrieved September 14, 2016.
  13. ^ Shannon, Josh (July 14, 2016). "Candidate slate set for fall election". Newark Post. Retrieved September 2, 2016.
  14. ^ "2016 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  15. ^ "Elections 2015-16". Daily Kos. Retrieved October 15, 2018.[permanent dead link]
  16. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  17. ^ "Our Final 2016 picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on October 15, 2018. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  18. ^ "2016 Election Maps - 2016 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  19. ^ "2016 Governors Races Ratings & News". Governing Magazine. Archived from the original on October 27, 2016. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
  20. ^ "State of Delaware General Election (Official Results)". State of Delaware Election Commissioner. Retrieved November 16, 2016.

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites (Archived)